Carlos Virahonda

C Visalia Rawhide

Age 21 R/R 5'11" / 180 lbs A HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2035

OGV OFP50OGV rank#40ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2024	18	ROKDSL Arizona R…	190	.156/.282/.231	1	2	-7	—	.085/.202/.116
2025	19	A/ROKARI	305	.300/.417/.404	4	4	76	—	.236/.340/.314
2026	20	AA/A+/AARI	448	.272/.381/.493	19	6	98	—	.234/.331/.418
2027PROJMLE	21	MLBARI	558	.234/.318/.383	15	5	100	1.0
2028PROJ48% MLB	22	MLBARI	194	.244/.327/.401	5	2	103	0.9
2029PROJ68% MLB	23	MLBARI	303	.247/.330/.409	9	3	106	1.6

Next 3 projected WAR 3.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$5M2033Arb-2$9M2034Arb-3$12M

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+

Z-Con%99

Whiff%93

K%86

wRC+80

wOBA79

ISO71

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.6 / P90 27, comp-based) · star 7% · didn't stick 67%

CompsTravis Denker (age 21) · Daniel Robertson (age 21) · Jordan Diaz (age 21)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA

wRC+†100

AVG/OBP/SLG.232 / .316 / .379

PA210

HR6

K%22

BB%6

ISO148

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$64M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.6	$11M	+$10M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+1.8	$11M	+$11M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$11M	+$11M
2032	Arb-1	$5M	+1.9	$10M	+$7M
2033	Arb-2	$9M	+1.8	$9M	+$4M
2034	Arb-3	$12M	+1.7	$8M	+$2M
Totals		$29M		$61M	+$46M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	139	112	34	13	2	1	5	18	16	3	4	304	414	482	896	179	340	13	4	385	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Red	—	190	160	25	9	0	1	15	30	13	2	1	156	282	231	513	75	183	16	8	249	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	153	129	33	4	0	3	13	34	9	1	0	256	364	357	721	101	323	22	8	331	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK	ACL D-backs	—	152	121	42	8	1	1	14	18	14	3	2	347	470	455	924	107	394	12	9	414	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	18	15	4	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	267	389	600	989	333	231	6	0	431	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+	Hillsboro Hops	—	213	173	47	8	1	8	23	36	13	3	3	272	397	468	865	197	298	17	11	382	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A	Visalia Rawhide	—	217	187	51	10	2	10	14	40	13	3	1	273	364	508	873	235	293	18	6	380	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	139	113	21	7	1	0	4	22	16	3	4	186	308	265	574	80	203	16	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	190	164	14	5	0	0	11	37	13	2	1	85	202	116	318	30	109	19	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	153	133	28	3	0	2	9	47	9	1	0	211	305	278	583	68	291	31	6	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	—	152	126	33	6	1	1	9	27	14	3	2	262	376	349	725	87	294	18	6	304	92	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	AA MLE	Amarillo Sod Poodles	—	18	15	4	2	0	1	0	1	3	0	0	267	389	600	989	333	207	6	0	373	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	—	213	179	43	7	1	7	17	49	13	3	3	240	349	408	757	168	270	23	8	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	Visalia Rawhide	—	217	191	43	8	2	8	10	54	13	3	1	225	308	414	722	188	250	25	5	300	89	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	139	113	21	7	1	0	4	22	16	3	4	186	308	265	574	80	221	16	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	139	112	34	13	2	1	5	18	16	3	4	304	414	482	896	179	340	13	4	385	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	190	164	14	5	0	0	11	37	13	2	1	85	202	116	318	30	109	19	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Red	—	190	160	25	9	0	1	15	30	13	2	1	156	282	231	513	75	183	16	8	249	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	259	60	9	1	3	18	74	23	4	2	232	337	309	646	77	308	24	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	2 teams	—	305	250	75	12	1	4	27	52	23	4	2	300	417	404	821	104	360	17	9	372	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	448	385	89	16	3	16	27	104	29	6	4	231	329	413	742	182	270	23	6	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A RAW	3 teams	—	448	375	102	20	3	19	37	77	29	6	4	272	381	493	874	221	292	17	8	383	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	139	118	21	7	1	0	4	22	16	3	4	178	308	254	563	76	203	16	3	252	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	190	164	14	5	0	0	11	37	13	2	1	85	202	116	318	30	109	19	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	261	60	9	1	3	18	74	23	4	2	230	337	307	643	77	292	24	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	448	389	89	16	3	16	27	104	29	6	4	229	329	409	738	180	258	23	6	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2024	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Red	—	190	164	14	5	0	0	11	37	13	2	1	85	202	116	318	30	109	19	6	158	-7	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	2 teams	—	305	261	60	9	1	3	18	74	23	4	2	230	337	307	643	77	292	24	6	280	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	20	A MLE	3 teams	—	448	389	89	16	3	16	27	104	29	6	4	229	329	409	738	180	258	23	6	312	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	21	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	558	493	115	21	3	15	33	120	27	5	3	234	318	383	701	148	277	22	6	315	100	-0	-0	+1	+10	+12	1.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	401	354	84	15	2	12	25	85	19	4	2	238	322	393	715	155	278	21	6	321	103	+2	+0	+1	+7	+9	1.9
2029	23	MLB MLE	ARI	68%	445	393	94	17	2	14	29	93	20	4	2	241	325	400	725	160	279	21	7	325	106	+3	+0	+2	+8	+10	2.3
2030	24	MLB MLE	ARI	74%	445	393	95	17	2	14	30	92	19	4	2	243	327	405	732	162	281	21	7	327	108	+4	+0	+2	+8	+10	2.4
2031	25	MLB MLE	ARI	77%	445	393	95	17	2	14	30	92	19	4	2	244	327	407	734	164	281	21	7	328	108	+4	+0	+2	+8	+10	2.4
2032	26	MLB MLE	ARI	78%	445	393	96	18	2	14	31	93	18	4	2	243	327	407	734	163	282	21	7	328	108	+4	+0	+2	+8	+10	2.4
2033	27	MLB MLE	ARI	77%	445	393	95	17	2	14	31	93	18	3	2	242	326	404	730	162	281	21	7	326	107	+4	-0	+2	+8	+10	2.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	ARI	77%	445	393	94	17	2	14	31	94	18	3	2	240	324	399	723	159	280	21	7	324	105	+3	-0	+1	+8	+10	2.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	ARI	75%	445	394	93	17	2	13	31	96	17	2	2	238	321	393	714	155	278	22	7	320	103	+1	-0	+1	+8	+10	1.9
2036	30	MLB MLE	ARI	73%	445	395	93	17	2	13	30	97	17	1	5	235	317	385	702	150	277	22	7	315	99	-0	-2	-0	+8	+10	1.6
2037	31	MLB MLE	ARI	73%	426	378	88	16	2	12	29	95	16	2	6	230	312	374	687	144	273	22	7	309	95	-2	-2	-1	+8	+9	1.2
2038	32	MLB MLE	ARI	72%	407	362	81	14	1	11	27	92	15	2	7	225	306	361	667	137	269	23	7	301	90	-5	-2	-2	+7	+9	0.7
2039	33	MLB MLE	ARI	72%	387	345	75	13	1	10	25	90	14	2	6	218	298	346	644	128	264	23	6	292	84	-8	-2	-3	+7	+8	0.3
2040	34	MLB MLE	ARI	68%	324	289	60	10	1	7	20	78	12	1	5	210	288	327	616	118	257	24	6	280	76	-9	-2	-4	+6	+7	-0.2
2028	22	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	194	171	41	8	1	5	12	41	9	2	1	244	327	401	729	158	287	21	6	326	103	+1	+0	+1	+3	+4	0.9
2029	23	MLB CTX	ARI	68%	303	266	66	13	2	9	20	63	14	3	1	247	330	409	739	162	289	21	7	330	106	+2	+0	+1	+5	+7	1.6
2030	24	MLB CTX	ARI	74%	330	291	72	14	2	10	22	68	14	3	1	249	332	413	745	165	290	21	7	333	108	+3	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.8
2031	25	MLB CTX	ARI	77%	342	302	75	15	2	10	23	71	14	3	1	249	332	415	747	166	291	21	7	333	108	+3	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.9
2032	26	MLB CTX	ARI	78%	348	307	76	15	2	10	24	73	14	3	1	249	332	415	747	166	291	21	7	333	108	+3	+0	+1	+6	+8	1.9
2033	27	MLB CTX	ARI	77%	343	302	75	15	2	10	24	72	14	3	1	248	331	412	743	164	291	21	7	332	107	+3	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.8
2034	28	MLB CTX	ARI	77%	341	300	74	15	2	10	24	72	14	2	1	246	329	407	736	161	289	21	7	329	105	+2	+0	+1	+6	+7	1.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	ARI	75%	332	293	71	14	2	9	23	71	13	1	2	243	326	400	726	157	288	21	7	325	103	+1	-1	+0	+6	+7	1.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	ARI	73%	327	289	70	14	2	9	22	71	13	1	3	240	322	392	714	152	286	22	7	320	99	-0	-1	-0	+6	+7	1.2
2037	31	MLB CTX	ARI	73%	310	274	64	13	1	8	21	69	12	1	4	235	317	382	699	146	282	22	7	314	95	-2	-1	-1	+6	+7	0.9
2038	32	MLB CTX	ARI	72%	295	263	60	12	1	7	19	67	11	1	5	230	310	368	679	139	278	23	6	306	90	-3	-2	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2039	33	MLB CTX	ARI	72%	279	249	54	10	1	6	18	65	10	1	5	223	302	352	655	130	272	23	6	296	84	-5	-2	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2040	34	MLB CTX	ARI	68%	219	195	43	8	1	5	14	52	8	1	4	214	293	333	626	119	265	24	6	285	76	-6	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3963	3502	841	166	21	108	266	855	160	25	30	240	323	392	715	152	286	22	7	321	95	+2	-7	+3	+71	+86	15.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	138	27	3	18	44	140	26	4	5	240	323	392	715	152	286	22	7	321	95	+0	-1	+0	+12	+14	2.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6797	5981	1371	250	29	187	442	1472	313	53	57	229	316	375	690	145	271	22	7	309	95	+1	-11	+4	+102	+124	22.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	572	132	24	3	18	42	141	30	5	5	231	317	378	694	147	273	22	6	309	95	+0	-1	+0	+12	+14	2.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AVisalia Rawhide · 217 PAwOBA .375 → .300 (−75)K% 18.4% → 25.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.43%	÷1.000	×1.360	—	—	25.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	6.45%	÷1.000	×0.690	—	×1.015	4.52%
HBP% /PA	5.99%	—	×0.780	—	×1.015	4.74%
Singles /BIP	19.73%	÷1.000	×0.920	×0.950	×1.015	17.50%
Doubles /BIP	6.80%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.950	×1.015	5.44%
Triples /BIP	1.36%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.950	×1.015	1.19%
Home runs /BIP	6.80%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.015	5.52%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .375 → .300; ISO .235 → .186; BABIP .293 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Hillsboro Hops · 213 PAwOBA .375 → .320 (−56)K% 16.9% → 22.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.90%	÷1.000	×1.350	—	—	22.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.80%	÷1.000	×0.710	—	×1.027	7.87%
HBP% /PA	6.10%	—	×0.810	—	×1.027	5.08%
Singles /BIP	21.90%	÷1.000	×0.910	×0.999	×1.027	20.44%
Doubles /BIP	5.84%	÷1.000	×0.830	×0.999	×1.027	4.97%
Triples /BIP	0.73%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.999	×1.027	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	5.84%	÷1.000	×0.830	—	×1.027	4.98%

Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .375 → .320; ISO .197 → .167; BABIP .298 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AAAmarillo Sod Poodles · 18 PAwOBA .419 → .373 (−45)K% 5.6% → 6.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	5.56%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	6.78%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.050	0.00%
HBP% /PA	16.67%	—	×0.870	—	×1.050	15.22%
Singles /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.920	—	×1.050	6.90%
Doubles /BIP	14.29%	÷1.000	×0.840	—	×1.050	12.60%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.940	—	×1.050	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	7.14%	÷1.000	×0.800	—	×1.050	6.00%

Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .419 → .373; ISO .333 → .286; BABIP .231 → .207. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 AVisalia Rawhide · 153 PAwOBA .325 → .257 (−68)K% 22.2% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	22.22%	÷0.983	×1.360	—	—	30.73%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.50%	÷1.012	×0.690	—	×1.030	5.96%
HBP% /PA	5.88%	—	×0.780	—	×1.030	4.73%
Singles /BIP	27.37%	÷1.027	×0.920	×0.999	×1.030	25.24%
Doubles /BIP	4.21%	÷1.005	×0.830	×0.999	×1.030	3.58%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.900	×0.910	×0.999	×1.030	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.16%	÷1.283	×0.800	—	×1.030	2.03%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 157, 1B 105, 2B 101, 3B 80, K 97, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .325 → .257; ISO .101 → .067; BABIP .323 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKACL D-backs · 152 PAwOBA .410 → .304 (−105)K% 11.8% → 17.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.84%	÷0.952	×1.440	—	—	17.92%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	9.21%	÷0.942	×0.620	—	×0.995	6.03%
HBP% /PA	9.21%	—	×0.720	—	×0.995	6.60%
Singles /BIP	31.07%	÷1.030	×0.820	×0.950	×0.995	23.39%
Doubles /BIP	7.77%	÷0.945	×0.720	×0.950	×0.995	5.59%
Triples /BIP	0.97%	÷0.939	×0.720	×0.950	×0.995	0.70%
Home runs /BIP	0.97%	÷0.862	×0.780	—	×0.995	0.87%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 88, K 90, BB 88 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .410 → .304; ISO .107 → .084; BABIP .394 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 DSLDSL Arizona Red · 190 PAwOBA .245 → .158 (−87)K% 15.8% → 19.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.79%	÷0.977	×1.220	—	—	19.71%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.89%	÷0.929	×0.700	—	×0.995	5.92%
HBP% /PA	6.84%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	4.77%
Singles /BIP	11.54%	÷1.044	×0.680	×0.950	×0.995	7.10%
Doubles /BIP	6.92%	÷1.009	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	3.89%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.150	×0.600	×0.950	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.77%	÷1.165	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.31%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 109, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 95, BB 86 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .245 → .158; ISO .075 → .040; BABIP .183 → .109. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Arizona Black · 139 PAwOBA .386 → .252 (−134)K% 12.9% → 15.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.95%	÷0.994	×1.220	—	—	15.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	3.60%	÷0.989	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.56%
HBP% /PA	11.51%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.12%
Singles /BIP	19.15%	÷1.004	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	12.42%
Doubles /BIP	13.83%	÷1.084	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	7.33%
Triples /BIP	2.13%	÷0.992	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	1.23%
Home runs /BIP	1.06%	÷1.039	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 108, 1B 101, 2B 117, 3B 98, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .386 → .252; ISO .179 → .102; BABIP .340 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Varitek'97-'11 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,839 PA	8.8	5,839	193	25	246*	331*	425*	+102	+0	28.9	25.6
/162	664	22	3	+11.6	+0.0	3.3	pk7: 22
#2Ernie Whitt'76-'91 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,271 PA	6.4	4,271	134	22	245*	324*	430*	+75	+0	21.1	20.3
/162	664	21	3	+11.6	+0.0	3.3	pk7: 20
#3Charles Johnson'94-'05 * career totals — 11 seasons, 4,385 PA	6.6	4,385	167	6	235*	316*	421*	+78	+0	21.1	19.6
/162	664	25	1	+11.8	+0.0	3.2	pk7: 18
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.3	4,173	122	27	236	315	389	+75	+20	18.3	15.5
/162	664	19	4	+11.9	+3.2	2.9	pk7: 13
#6Jarrod Saltalamacchialast yr '16 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	110	5	235	308	414	+56	-10	14.1	14.8
/162	664	23	1	+11.9	-2.1	3.0	pk7: 16

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Virahonda (OGILVIE)	21	—	—	—	—	232/316/379	147	277	6	2	22%	6%	100	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Travis Denker 2007 · A	21	45→51	49→50	37→45	54	228/313/371	143	268	17	3	22%	10%	95	+1.0	231/301/358	127	283	12	5	21%	9%	87	+0.4	228/292/363	135	273	14	6	21%	7%	83	+0.1
●Daniel Robertson 2015 · A	21	53→57	44→45	38→40	48	255/322/375	120	312	11	3	21%	8%	99	+1.2	245/318/352	107	314	8	4	23%	8%	92	+0.7	242/335/352	110	316	10	2	24%	10%	98	+0.8
●Jordan Diaz 2022 · A	21	49→59	49→55	42→30	44	249/294/398	149	296	16	5	22%	6%	93	+0.8	268/308/425	157	313	19	2	20%	5%	105	+1.7	274/316/435	161	317	20	0	20%	5%	108	+1.5
●Iván Herrera 2022 · AA	22	43→53	48→50	40→50	48	219/299/351	132	281	17	4	28%	9%	86	+0.3	245/334/373	128	318	13	10	25%	11%	103	+1.6	263/357/416	152	307	19	10	20%	10%	123	+2.6
●Max Ramirez 2006 · A	21	51→52	45→50	42→40	46	250/305/372	122	306	12	4	22%	7%	92	+0.7	249/330/394	145	329	16	3	27%	10%	106	+1.8	253/341/414	161	332	19	2	27%	10%	113	+1.7
●Taylor Green 2008 · A	21	50→56	44→50	35→30	48	244/303/366	122	289	11	2	20%	7%	89	+0.5	246/305/371	125	283	13	3	17%	7%	92	+0.7	251/309/394	143	284	14	0	17%	7%	97	+0.8
✕Edgar Quero 2024 · AA	21	50→58	45→50	43→40	53	239/334/366	127	305	12	5	24%	11%	102	+1.5	248/321/358	110	304	12	3	21%	8%	95	+0.9	248/318/344	96	299	11	1	20%	8%	89	+0.3
●Maikel Franco 2014 · AA	21	53→58	51→55	43→40	42	269/301/433	164	303	18	3	19%	4%	105	+1.7	258/296/421	163	288	18	3	17%	5%	100	+1.3	250/298/422	172	268	22	1	16%	6%	102	+1.4
✕Alberto Carreon 2010 · AAA	22	46→56	45	43→50	48	225/296/348	123	253	13	10	17%	6%	84	+0.1	242/295/324	82	298	5	9	19%	5%	76	-0.4	274/332/381	107	344	7	11	21%	5%	100	+0.8
●Brandon Drury 2015 · AA	22	48→56	48→60	41→40	42	242/285/391	149	288	15	3	22%	5%	88	+0.5	259/301/396	137	308	13	3	20%	5%	95	+1.0	255/306/468	213	301	27	1	24%	6%	116	+1.9
●Tyler Flowers 2008 · A	22	48→57	47→55	41→40	46	239/297/379	140	297	13	4	24%	7%	91	+0.6	243/327/404	161	330	16	5	29%	10%	107	+1.9	258/358/408	149	333	17	0	25%	9%	121	+1.6
●Logan O'Hoppe 2022 · AAA	22	44→48	48→55	46→45	43	226/277/363	137	270	17	7	24%	6%	80	-0.2	240/312/419	179	282	24	6	24%	8%	106	+1.8	242/317/431	188	286	27	4	25%	8%	110	+1.4
✕Carter Kieboom 2018 · A	20	46→55	48→50	43→45	42	231/293/376	145	306	15	5	29%	7%	88	+0.5	241/311/374	133	318	15	6	27%	8%	95	+0.9	239/318/366	128	315	14	5	27%	9%	93	+0.6
●Mark Vientos 2022 · AAA	22	43→51	56→60	38→30	37	228/276/415	187	306	25	3	34%	6%	92	+0.7	246/303/435	189	333	25	2	32%	7%	107	+1.8	247/307/448	201	309	26	1	28%	7%	110	+1.8
●Josmil Pinto 2010 · A	21	44→54	48→50	47→40	44	225/277/373	147	267	16	3	22%	6%	82	-0.0	217/263/349	132	268	14	2	24%	5%	71	-0.8	257/325/415	158	308	17	0	21%	8%	106	+1.5
●Arturo Rodriguez 2014 · AAA	22	48→42	45	43→30	46	239/295/360	121	286	13	6	21%	6%	85	+0.2	256/296/382	126	299	13	3	19%	5%	91	+0.6	251/289/367	117	291	13	0	18%	4%	82	-0.0
●Ryan McMahon 2016 · A	21	47→57	50→55	39→45	38	230/286/394	164	336	16	5	35%	6%	90	+0.6	246/298/393	147	349	14	8	31%	6%	94	+0.9	232/313/397	165	299	19	6	28%	10%	103	+1.6
●Derek Norris 2010 · A	21	45→55	52→55	45→50	49	228/310/392	164	299	20	5	30%	10%	99	+1.3	209/309/374	165	282	20	9	31%	12%	95	+1.0	257/333/410	152	314	16	5	22%	9%	112	+1.6
✕Keibert Ruiz 2019 · AA	21	53→59	43→50	42→40	45	257/298/365	108	283	11	2	14%	4%	87	+0.4	244/293/365	121	256	14	3	11%	6%	86	+0.3	257/310/410	154	264	19	3	11%	6%	103	+1.2
✕Óscar Hernández 2014 · A	21	42	46→50	42→40	47	213/290/340	126	256	14	4	22%	7%	80	-0.1	204/250/316	112	270	10	4	27%	5%	58	-1.7	166/217/270	103	212	12	1	27%	5%	33	-1.2

Carlos Virahonda

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps