Player 837727 P DSL Red Sox Red
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION19 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST109
ERA4.34
FIP4.34
K%23.3%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP14
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 33 IP
K: -0.6 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-1KBB: -1.8 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)-2BBCONTACT: -4.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)-4CONTACTSTAM: +1.4 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+1STAMTotal WAR: -0.56 (33 IP)-0.6WAR
0.00.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKDSL Red Sox Red5319851613360%3.912.8%19.1%-6.3%4.9%6.057.15-0.6
ROS—MLB—2214571352100%6.823.3%9.3%14.0%3.0%4.344.34+0.0
2026 Total—MLB———3314229185——20.6%12.9%7.7%3.3%5.356.00-0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLB—3320842083100%6.723.7%9.0%14.7%3.0%4.294.26+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—5319851116460%3.912.8%19.1%-6.3%4.9%6.057.15-0.6
/ 200 IP—52312008791141664160%3.912.8%19.1%-6.3%4.9%6.057.15-4.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 837727 (OGILVIE) —— 4.34 23.3%9.3%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Jake Lee R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 25.7%12.4%4.2%.296 3.43 18.7%10.3%40 -1.37 2.78 181 82
Brett Gillis R 2026 · 3.37 FIP 25 SP- 3.37 20.3%8.8%1.6%.278 5.10 15.8%6.7%73 +1.73 3.37 119 82
Dawson Netz R 2026 · 4.42 FIP 25 SP- 4.42 23.3%10.7%3.5%.225 — ——— — 4.42 102 81
Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.76 FIP 25 SP- 4.76 20.8%10.1%3.9%.380 4.51 19.3%7.9%101 -0.25 4.50 119 80
Nathanael Santiago R 2026 · 3.47 FIP 25 SP- 3.47 20.3%11.4%1.2%.286 3.51 23.2%10.9%71 +0.04 2.45 138 77
Blair Henley R 2025 · 4.80 FIP 24 SP- 4.80 20.8%12.2%3.5%.450 4.58 17.9%4.8%170 -0.22 3.80 187 77
Hunter Dollander R 2026 · 3.81 FIP 25 SP- 3.81 19.2%5.7%2.9%.311 6.73 17.6%-0.7%51 +2.92 3.81 106 77
Mitch Neunborn R 2027 · 3.92 FIP 26 SP- 3.92 24.5%9.5%3.1%.232 5.11 17.5%6.2%190 +1.19 3.92 233 75
Noah Gotsis R 2026 · 3.38 FIP 25 SP- 3.38 16.5%6.5%1.5%.296 4.26 15.9%8.6%90 +0.88 3.38 138 74
Michael King R 2026 · 4.55 FIP 25 SW 4.55 21.5%9.1%3.8%.316 2.73 28.3%20.8%219 -1.82 1.96 948 72
Daniel Federman R 2025 · 4.34 FIP 24 SP- 4.34 23.8%8.3%4.0%.311 — ——— — 4.34 119 72
Sean Mooney R 2025 · 4.82 FIP 24 SP- 4.82 24.7%13.5%3.8%.277 — ——— — 3.45 102 71
Chase Centala R 2025 · 4.16 FIP 24 SP- 4.16 17.4%6.6%3.1%.361 — ——— — 4.16 124 71
Sean Harney R 2026 · 3.51 FIP 25 SP- 3.51 18.2%9.8%1.3%.285 4.69 16.5%5.1%59 +1.18 3.51 123 70
Tristan Stevens R 2026 · 4.28 FIP 25 SW 4.28 17.3%8.2%2.9%.411 3.71 15.0%7.7%91 -0.57 3.71 126 69
Andrew Politi R 2026 · 5.50 FIP 25 SP- 5.50 21.0%12.2%4.8%.320 4.16 23.1%13.2%138 -1.34 3.45 292 69
Matt Ager R 2024 · 5.00 FIP 23 SP- 5.00 17.1%8.6%4.1%.303 — ——— — 5.00 146 69
Brandt Thompson R 2025 · 4.35 FIP 24 SP- 4.35 19.9%11.0%2.8%.326 — ——— — 4.35 162 69
Cole Percival R 2026 · 4.32 FIP 25 SP- 4.32 17.5%9.4%2.7%.296 3.59 20.5%9.5%36 -0.73 3.59 327 68
Will Sanders R 2025 · 4.48 FIP 24 SP- 4.48 24.1%9.0%4.1%.304 — ——— — 3.89 259 68