Carlos Hernandez

SS DSL Rojos

Age 18 L/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Rojos	169	.231/.372/.284	0	6	32	—	.154/.262/.189
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	279	.225/.298/.297	2	5	71	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLB—	78	.229/.304/.311	1	2	76	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLB—	174	.232/.308/.324	2	4	81	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

Z-Con%97

Chase%92

K%91

BB%66

Speed37

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsHector Osorio (age 18) · Moisés Ballesteros (age 18) · Emmanuel Avila (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 141 proj PA

wRC+71

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .296 / .295

PA141

HR1

K%22

BB%9

ISO73

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.3M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Rojos	—	169	134	31	5	1	0	30	20	0	6	4	231	372	284	656	52	261	12	18	305	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	143	22	3	1	0	21	24	0	6	4	154	262	189	451	35	171	14	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	143	22	3	1	0	21	24	0	6	4	154	262	189	451	35	177	14	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rojos	—	169	134	31	5	1	0	30	20	0	6	4	231	372	284	656	52	261	12	18	305	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	146	22	3	1	0	21	24	0	6	4	151	262	185	447	34	171	14	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rojos	—	169	146	22	3	1	0	21	24	0	6	4	151	262	185	447	34	171	14	12	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	279	250	57	9	2	2	25	60	2	5	1	225	298	297	595	73	286	22	9	273	71	-10	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	34%	228	204	47	7	2	2	20	49	2	5	1	229	304	311	615	83	288	21	9	281	76	-6	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	48%	359	321	75	12	3	4	32	77	3	7	3	232	308	324	632	92	290	21	9	288	81	-8	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	54%	458	410	95	15	3	6	41	97	4	10	3	235	312	335	647	100	291	21	9	294	85	-8	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.7
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	57%	527	470	112	18	4	8	47	112	5	11	4	238	314	345	659	107	292	21	9	298	88	-8	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.0
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	58%	574	512	123	20	4	10	51	122	6	12	4	240	316	353	668	113	293	21	9	302	90	-7	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.3
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	605	540	130	21	4	11	54	128	6	12	5	241	317	357	674	116	294	21	9	304	92	-6	+0	+0	+6	+13	1.4
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	623	556	136	22	5	12	56	132	6	13	5	242	318	360	677	118	294	21	9	305	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	57%	631	563	137	22	5	12	57	134	6	13	5	242	318	362	680	120	294	21	9	306	93	-5	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	632	564	137	22	5	12	57	135	6	13	5	241	317	359	676	118	293	21	9	305	92	-6	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	628	560	134	22	4	11	57	135	6	12	5	239	315	355	670	115	293	21	9	302	91	-7	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.3
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	618	553	131	21	4	11	55	135	5	12	6	237	313	349	661	112	292	22	9	299	88	-9	+0	-1	+7	+13	1.0
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	57%	607	543	127	20	4	10	54	134	5	11	6	234	309	341	650	107	290	22	9	294	85	-11	-0	-2	+7	+13	0.7
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	55%	593	531	122	19	4	9	52	134	5	10	8	230	304	332	636	102	288	23	9	289	81	-13	-1	-3	+6	+13	0.2
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	58%	575	516	117	18	4	8	50	132	4	9	12	225	298	320	618	95	284	23	9	281	76	-16	-3	-4	+6	+12	-0.4
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	34%	78	70	17	3	1	1	7	17	1	2	0	229	304	311	615	83	288	22	9	281	76	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	48%	174	154	36	6	1	2	16	37	2	4	1	232	308	324	632	92	290	21	9	288	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	54%	248	222	51	8	2	3	22	53	2	5	2	235	312	335	647	100	291	21	9	294	85	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	57%	298	266	63	10	2	5	27	63	3	6	2	238	314	345	659	107	292	21	9	298	88	-4	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	58%	330	294	70	11	2	6	30	70	3	7	3	240	316	353	668	113	293	21	9	302	90	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	345	308	74	12	3	6	31	73	3	7	3	241	317	357	674	116	294	21	9	304	92	-3	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	353	315	77	12	3	7	32	75	3	7	3	242	318	360	677	118	294	21	9	305	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	57%	357	319	77	12	3	7	32	76	3	7	3	242	318	362	680	120	294	21	9	306	93	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	351	313	76	12	3	7	32	75	3	7	3	241	317	359	676	118	293	21	9	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.9
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	345	308	73	12	2	6	31	74	3	7	3	239	315	355	670	115	293	21	9	302	91	-4	+0	-0	+4	+7	0.7
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	330	294	70	11	2	6	30	72	3	6	3	237	313	349	661	112	292	22	9	299	88	-5	+0	-1	+4	+7	0.5
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	57%	347	310	73	12	2	6	31	77	3	6	4	234	309	341	650	107	290	22	9	294	85	-6	-0	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	55%	325	290	67	11	2	5	29	73	3	6	4	230	304	332	636	102	288	22	9	289	81	-7	-0	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	58%	333	298	67	10	2	5	29	77	3	5	7	225	298	320	618	95	284	23	9	281	76	-9	-2	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4214	3761	891	142	30	72	379	912	38	82	41	237	313	348	661	111	292	22	9	298	86	-62	+0	-6	+45	+91	7.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	138	22	5	11	58	141	6	13	6	238	314	350	664	112	294	22	9	298	86	-10	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7968	7113	1673	266	57	127	716	1710	70	159	77	235	311	342	653	107	291	21	9	295	86	-119	+1	-10	+84	+169	12.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	137	22	5	10	58	139	6	13	6	236	312	343	655	107	292	21	9	295	86	-10	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Billy Rogell'25-'40 * career totals — 14 seasons, 5,919 PA	8.9	5,919	42	82	240*	319*	369*	+58	+47	16.9	19.4
/162	664	5	9	+6.5	+5.3	1.9	pk7: 22
#2Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#6Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,356	71	85	237	309	346	+47	+27	10.2	8.7
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+4.1	1.6	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	223/296/295	72	286	1	3	22%	9%	71	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→50	49	215/299/289	74	290	4	8	25%	9%	72	-0.7	205/319/270	65	256	3	14	19%	12%	76	-0.4	223/323/350	127	253	16	10	18%	10%	93	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	43→53	38→50	50→40	55	201/288/280	79	244	5	8	19%	10%	65	-1.2	227/293/354	127	281	14	4	23%	8%	84	+0.1	266/327/397	130	316	14	3	20%	8%	104	+1.4
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	45→55	36→45	50→45	54	206/294/278	71	267	2	9	22%	10%	67	-1.1	203/252/261	58	256	2	6	21%	5%	46	-2.6	279/319/373	94	320	8	6	15%	4%	96	+0.8
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Marco Vargas 2023 · A	18	44→46	37→40	50→60	55	207/289/284	77	258	3	13	20%	10%	66	-1.1	207/297/275	68	283	3	18	25%	11%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Samuel Zavala 2022 · A	18	42→44	38→45	48→50	50	199/273/290	91	249	4	11	21%	8%	61	-1.5	196/285/316	120	290	11	11	33%	10%	72	-0.7	193/290/301	108	265	12	12	29%	11%	68	-0.8
✕Welbyn Francisca 2024 · A	18	44→41	39→45	50→55	48	208/283/300	92	277	5	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	228/294/332	104	296	9	20	24%	8%	78	-0.3	225/294/339	114	289	12	24	25%	9%	78	-0.2
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	43→48	38→45	46→40	50	204/277/287	83	255	5	5	21%	9%	62	-1.4	233/285/320	87	295	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	246/292/359	114	319	10	2	25%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jason Martin 2014 · A	18	45→52	36→60	49→50	49	208/274/278	70	270	2	11	22%	8%	58	-1.7	218/278/323	105	286	7	11	25%	8%	70	-0.8	226/292/414	187	279	24	8	28%	8%	94	+0.6
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	42→50	37→45	46→50	48	196/277/265	70	283	4	9	30%	10%	57	-1.8	206/294/301	95	310	7	14	32%	10%	72	-0.7	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Roynier Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	34→40	46→50	55	191/273/241	51	235	1	8	18%	10%	51	-2.3	223/295/275	52	280	1	9	19%	9%	65	-1.2	252/319/319	67	324	3	6	21%	9%	82	+0.0
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	46	37→45	47→55	47	215/290/297	83	299	3	10	27%	8%	69	-0.9	222/312/294	72	300	3	13	24%	11%	77	-0.3	217/314/281	64	302	1	14	25%	12%	73	-0.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	39	37→55	49→40	48	186/260/257	71	244	4	5	25%	8%	49	-2.4	197/286/284	87	296	6	4	32%	10%	65	-1.2	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	40→46	37→45	47→55	51	190/291/259	69	233	5	12	19%	8%	63	-1.4	203/293/290	87	241	8	16	18%	9%	70	-0.9	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1

Carlos Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps