Player 837635 — OGILVIE

Player 837635— DSL Reds

Age — —/— ROK HR +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION173 act + 147 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†99

AVG/OBP/SLG.238 / .322 / .362

PA147

HR3

SB7

K%22

BB%7

BABIP295

ISO123

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	CIN	—	173	144	42	7	0	6	14	30	11	18	4	292	396	465	862	174	321	17	8	361	134	+7	+2	+0	-3	+5	1.1
YTD	—	ROK	CIN	—	173	135	50	9	0	7	23	21	11	18	4	370	497	593	1.090	222	387	12	13	468	217	+23	+2	+0	-3	+5	2.7
ROS	—	ROK	CIN	0%	147	130	31	5	1	3	11	33	5	7	1	238	322	362	683	123	299	22	7	315	99	-0	+1	+0	-3	+4	0.2
ROS	—	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	293	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	CIN	—	173	145	42	7	0	6	14	30	11	18	4	290	396	462	859	172	319	17	8	361	134	+7	+2	+0	-3	+5	1.1
TOT	—	ROK	CIN	—	320	274	73	12	1	9	25	63	16	25	5	266	362	416	778	150	309	20	8	340	118	+7	+3	+0	-6	+9	1.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	CIN	0%	379	337	81	14	1	9	29	86	10	11	2	240	319	368	687	128	296	23	8	312	97	-1	+1	+0	-7	+11	0.4
2028	25	MLB	CIN	0%	450	400	97	16	2	11	35	102	12	12	2	242	322	375	697	133	295	23	8	313	98	-1	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.5
2029	25	MLB	CIN	0%	498	444	107	18	2	13	39	113	12	14	2	241	319	378	698	137	295	23	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	-9	+14	0.7
2030	25	MLB	CIN	0%	531	471	115	20	2	14	42	120	13	14	3	244	323	384	707	140	295	23	8	315	99	-0	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.7
2031	25	MLB	CIN	0%	555	492	119	20	2	14	44	126	14	15	3	242	322	376	698	134	294	23	8	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.8
2032	25	MLB	CIN	0%	572	507	123	21	2	15	46	130	14	15	3	243	323	381	703	138	294	23	8	316	100	-0	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.8
2033	25	MLB	CIN	0%	585	518	125	21	2	15	47	132	15	16	3	241	322	376	699	135	294	23	8	316	100	+0	+2	+0	-10	+17	0.8
2034	25	MLB	CIN	0%	595	527	128	22	2	16	48	135	15	16	3	243	324	383	707	140	294	23	8	317	101	+0	+2	+0	-11	+17	0.9
2027	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	298	86	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		298	—	—	299	87	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	300	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	301	88	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		297	—	—	301	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	CIN	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		296	—	—	301	89	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4312	3826	926	157	16	110	341	977	110	120	22	242	322	378	700	136	296	23	8	315	99	-3	+15	+0	-77	+122	5.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	140	24	2	17	51	147	17	18	3	243	322	380	702	137	296	23	8	315	99	-1	+2	+0	-12	+18	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	11	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
	/162	664	24	4	242	316	418	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	6	3,147	84	34	257	336	412	-36	-3	9.0	9.0
#2Travis Leelast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 3,147 PA	/162	664	18	7	257	336	412	-7.6	-0.7	1.9	pk7: 9
#3Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	11	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
	/162	664	19	6	262	304	417	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,485	113	121	242	318	377	-50	+0	8.7	8.3
	/162	664	17	18	242	318	377	-7.5	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 8
#5Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	6	2,335	57	47	263	326	406	-24	-8	5.3	5.3
#5Emil Brownlast yr '08 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,335 PA	/162	664	16	13	263	326	406	-6.7	-2.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837635 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	266/362/416	150	309	9	25	20%	8%	118	+1.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	224/297/336	113	268	10	9	20%	7%	79	+0.3	247/329/361	114	319	9	14	24%	8%	98	+1.6	249/337/364	115	324	9	16	23%	9%	100	+0.8
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
●Ka'ai Tom 2018 · A	24	45→50	44→55	52→50	47	224/285/348	125	278	11	15	23%	7%	76	+0.1	240/302/420	180	305	20	10	27%	7%	102	+1.9	227/300/415	188	290	21	7	28%	8%	97	+1.1
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→47	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	85	+0.7	225/280/320	95	320	6	8	29%	6%	66	-0.6	218/274/305	87	319	4	6	31%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Collin Cowgill 2011 · AA	25	50→56	44→50	52→55	47	245/306/373	128	296	10	16	20%	7%	91	+1.1	251/304/370	119	312	11	20	22%	7%	89	+1.0	250/302/365	115	313	12	21	23%	6%	83	+0.4
✕Cole Gillespie 2008 · A	24	47→57	45→50	48→50	51	228/313/354	126	292	12	13	25%	10%	90	+1.0	230/305/370	140	296	12	14	25%	9%	91	+1.1	256/320/365	109	307	9	13	19%	8%	94	+0.7
●Jordan Parraz 2009 · A	24	51→58	43→50	50	46	247/314/362	115	311	9	17	23%	7%	92	+1.2	257/322/386	129	317	10	9	21%	6%	102	+1.8	264/328/399	135	324	11	6	21%	6%	103	+1.4
●Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	49→53	44→55	50→45	48	239/304/362	123	299	11	8	23%	8%	88	+0.9	247/307/403	156	296	18	6	22%	8%	100	+1.7	252/313/421	168	295	20	4	21%	8%	104	+1.6
●Cal Stevenson 2022 · AA	25	45→55	44→45	50→60	50	221/295/338	116	287	12	16	26%	10%	78	+0.2	232/319/349	117	305	11	24	25%	11%	91	+1.1	242/335/362	120	310	11	30	23%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Richie Palacios 2021 · A	24	48→52	44→50	52→55	43	235/285/355	120	301	12	11	26%	6%	78	+0.2	244/321/376	132	298	10	18	20%	9%	98	+1.6	241/323/378	136	285	11	17	18%	9%	97	+1.1
✕Aaron Mathews 2006 · A	24	48→52	43→45	55→45	44	232/282/350	118	296	9	13	24%	6%	75	-0.0	247/285/361	114	296	9	7	19%	5%	79	+0.3	254/290/367	113	301	9	5	18%	4%	79	+0.2
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	46→56	43→45	51→50	42	222/289/341	118	312	10	17	30%	7%	76	+0.1	239/297/355	116	328	11	14	29%	6%	83	+0.6	257/317/388	131	330	15	16	25%	6%	97	+0.8
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA	24	44→47	44→50	52→50	46	217/293/343	126	288	11	10	27%	8%	79	+0.3	231/291/365	134	292	12	13	24%	7%	83	+0.6	246/320/384	138	320	15	17	26%	9%	98	+1.0
✕Welington Dotel 2010 · A	24	47	43→55	50→55	42	229/283/348	119	308	10	14	28%	6%	75	-0.0	215/261/321	106	298	8	12	29%	5%	58	-1.2	267/301/418	152	336	14	22	24%	4%	97	+0.6
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6