Player 837635 — OGILVIE

Player 8376351B DSL Reds

Age — —/— ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION210 act + 29 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†95

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .310 / .385

PA29

HR0

K%24

BB%7

BABIP281

ISO154

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 59 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT59

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE43

scouting grade only

SPEED57

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
YTD	—	ROK MLE	CIN	—	210	175	40	7	1	7	13	37	17	17	4	229	341	400	741	171	243	18	6	309	95	-1	+2	+0	-4	+5	0.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	—	ROK RAW	CIN	—	210	167	50	10	1	8	21	26	17	17	4	299	429	515	944	216	304	12	10	411	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	—	ROK MLE	CIN	0%	29	26	6	1	0	1	2	7	1	1	0	231	310	385	695	154	278	24	7	309	95	-0	+0	+0	-1	+1	0.0
TOT	—	ROK MLE	CIN	—	239	201	46	8	1	8	15	44	18	18	4	229	338	398	736	169	247	18	6	309	95	-1	+2	+0	-4	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	333	296	67	12	2	8	23	76	11	8	2	226	306	361	668	135	278	23	7	305	93	-3	+1	+0	-6	+7	-0.1
2028	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	420	373	85	15	2	11	30	96	14	10	2	228	309	367	677	139	278	23	7	307	94	-3	+1	+0	-8	+9	-0.0
2029	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	478	426	99	18	3	13	34	109	15	11	2	232	312	380	692	148	279	23	7	308	95	-3	+1	+0	-9	+10	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	518	460	107	19	3	14	37	118	16	12	2	233	312	378	690	146	279	23	7	309	95	-3	+2	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	546	485	113	20	3	15	39	124	17	13	3	233	312	379	692	146	279	23	7	309	95	-3	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.1
2032	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	566	502	116	21	3	15	41	129	18	13	3	231	312	375	686	143	279	23	7	309	96	-3	+1	+0	-10	+12	0.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	581	516	120	22	3	16	42	132	18	13	3	233	312	380	692	147	278	23	7	310	96	-3	+1	+0	-10	+13	0.1
2034	25	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	593	527	122	22	3	16	43	135	18	14	3	231	311	376	687	144	278	23	7	310	96	-3	+2	+0	-11	+13	0.1
2027	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	281	—	—	286	93	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	289	94	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	291	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	292	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	293	95	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	282	—	—	293	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	281	—	—	293	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB CTX	CIN	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—	—	—	—	—	281	—	—	293	96	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—	MLE		—	4064	3611	835	150	22	109	291	926	128	95	20	231	311	376	687	144	280	23	7	309	95	-24	+11	+0	-73	+88	0.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	134	24	4	17	47	148	20	15	3	232	312	375	687	144	281	23	7	309	95	-4	+2	+0	-12	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Jeff Francoeurlast yr '16 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,633 PA	8.5	5,633	160	54	262	304	417	-60	-26	6.8	9.0
/162	664	19	6	-7.1	-3.1	0.8	pk7: 11
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.6	4,355	115	102	233	308	376	-49	+0	6.2	5.9
/162	664	18	15	-7.5	+0.0	0.9	pk7: 6
#4Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#5Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#6Nomar Mazaralast yr '22 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,690 PA	4.1	2,690	85	7	256	315	414	-29	-21	3.7	3.7
/162	664	21	2	-7.1	-5.3	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 837635 (OGILVIE)	25	59	49	57	43	227/313/365	138	278	8	13	23%	7%	95	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jared Triolo 2022 · A	24	50→60	44→45	51→55	42	242/292/364	122	316	12	18	26%	6%	85	+0.2	242/313/351	109	326	9	18	26%	9%	90	+0.6	235/321/349	114	313	11	17	26%	10%	90	+0.5
✕Cole Gillespie 2009 · AA	25	48→58	46→50	52→50	51	235/314/374	138	296	12	13	24%	10%	96	+1.0	230/305/366	136	293	11	15	24%	9%	91	+0.6	235/308/364	128	292	11	15	22%	8%	89	+0.4
✕Marty Costes 2021 · A	25	46→56	43→45	50	48	223/297/336	113	267	10	9	20%	7%	81	-0.1	246/327/353	107	315	8	14	23%	8%	96	+1.0	247/334/354	107	319	8	16	23%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Steve Selsky 2013 · A	24	50→52	48→45	53→45	40	246/297/391	145	317	15	11	27%	5%	93	+0.8	239/303/348	109	328	10	8	28%	7%	86	+0.3	249/317/346	97	354	7	4	29%	7%	89	+0.3
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→48	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	87	+0.4	226/282/318	92	319	6	8	29%	7%	70	-0.8	219/278/301	82	318	4	6	30%	7%	63	-1.1
✕Scott Heineman 2017 · A	24	48→55	45	51→50	43	234/300/367	133	315	12	17	28%	7%	89	+0.5	244/302/363	119	329	11	14	27%	6%	88	+0.5	250/311/378	128	324	14	16	26%	6%	92	+0.4
✕Collin Cowgill 2011 · AA	25	50→59	44→50	52→55	47	244/305/372	128	292	10	16	20%	7%	91	+0.7	252/307/373	121	310	11	20	21%	7%	93	+0.8	252/306/370	118	313	12	21	22%	7%	87	+0.3
✕Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	50→53	45→50	55	42	247/292/377	130	307	13	18	24%	5%	88	+0.4	212/250/306	94	281	8	15	27%	4%	56	-1.9	243/288/376	132	309	13	21	25%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Jason Rogers 2013 · A	25	50→53	43→50	50→45	49	240/306/359	118	301	10	8	23%	8%	89	+0.5	247/306/393	146	295	16	6	21%	8%	97	+1.1	251/312/408	157	293	18	4	20%	8%	100	+1.1
✕Mike Brosseau 2019 · AA	25	49→57	45→50	47→45	43	241/295/366	125	289	12	10	21%	5%	87	+0.4	239/305/401	162	297	19	8	25%	7%	99	+1.3	228/307/384	156	289	19	5	27%	8%	94	+0.5
✕Jonel Pacheco 2008 · A	25	49→55	50	47→50	43	248/288/402	154	284	18	12	20%	5%	93	+0.8	251/292/380	129	307	14	12	22%	5%	88	+0.5	251/291/358	108	308	12	11	22%	5%	81	-0.1
✕Justin Miller 2013 · A	24	52	45	49→50	43	251/306/372	122	324	12	13	26%	6%	92	+0.7	228/289/322	94	309	9	15	27%	7%	74	-0.5	200/268/232	33	280	3	24	27%	6%	43	-0.8
●Jordan Parraz 2009 · A	24	51→56	43→45	50	46	247/314/362	115	311	9	17	23%	7%	93	+0.8	255/320/378	123	313	10	9	21%	6%	99	+1.3	259/323/385	126	317	10	6	20%	6%	98	+0.9
✕Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	44→52	44→45	49→50	43	218/288/335	117	294	12	11	29%	7%	78	-0.3	241/313/376	135	292	15	10	22%	8%	96	+1.0	238/318/367	129	288	14	9	21%	8%	93	+0.6
✕Chris Pettit 2009 · AA	24	49→55	47→50	51→50	45	243/305/386	143	291	13	13	21%	6%	95	+1.0	227/285/344	117	285	10	16	23%	6%	78	-0.3	209/271/323	115	278	9	16	27%	6%	65	-0.9
✕Alex Castellanos 2012 · AA	25	47→51	49→55	53→50	38	235/287/394	159	315	15	13	30%	5%	91	+0.6	219/284/373	154	298	16	16	31%	6%	84	+0.2	207/266/345	139	303	13	8	34%	6%	69	-0.5
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	45→55	45	53→55	45	223/287/353	130	295	13	20	28%	8%	81	-0.1	247/317/352	105	324	8	18	24%	9%	91	+0.7	251/326/344	93	326	6	18	23%	9%	90	+0.5
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→53	45	53→50	48	244/310/370	125	312	11	15	24%	8%	93	+0.8	239/302/367	128	313	11	15	25%	8%	89	+0.5	240/304/373	134	316	10	16	26%	8%	90	+0.3
✕Troy Johnston 2022 · A	25	48→57	45→50	48→55	47	237/307/360	123	309	13	6	26%	8%	90	+0.6	235/299/371	136	294	14	11	24%	7%	90	+0.6	236/297/382	147	286	15	23	22%	6%	88	+0.4
✕Eric Fryer 2011 · A	25	50→60	42→45	52→50	46	239/305/353	114	310	9	11	25%	7%	88	+0.4	224/294/328	104	292	9	10	24%	8%	78	-0.3	245/306/306	62	322	2	6	23%	8%	73	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps