Eider Gutierrez

OF DSL Reds

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +16%BB +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#908ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKCIN	210	.299/.429/.515	8	17	67	—	.191/.317/.306
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBCIN	320	.241/.313/.349	5	8	89	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBCIN	56	.246/.319/.364	1	1	93	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBCIN	135	.248/.323/.373	3	3	96	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%98

K%90

ISO87

Whiff%85

wOBA82

wRC+77

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJose Tabata (age 18) · Luis Matos (age 19) · Eduardo Quintero (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.239 / .311 / .346

PA111

HR2

K%22

BB%7

ISO108

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$29M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 69 / POW 46

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT69

scouting grade only

POWER46

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED62

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Reds	—	210	167	50	10	1	8	21	26	17	17	4	299	429	515	944	216	304	12	10	411	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	210	173	33	6	1	4	15	32	17	17	4	191	317	306	623	116	187	15	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	210	173	33	6	1	4	15	32	17	17	4	191	317	306	623	116	204	15	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Reds	—	210	167	50	10	1	8	21	26	17	17	4	299	429	515	944	216	304	12	10	411	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	210	176	33	6	1	4	15	32	17	17	4	188	317	301	618	114	187	15	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Reds	—	210	176	33	6	1	4	15	32	17	17	4	188	317	301	618	114	187	15	7	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	CIN	0%	320	286	69	12	2	5	22	71	9	8	1	241	313	349	662	108	301	22	7	300	89	-4	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	CIN	34%	162	145	35	6	1	3	11	36	5	4	1	244	318	358	676	114	303	22	7	305	93	-1	+0	+0	-1	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	CIN	48%	278	248	61	11	2	5	20	61	8	7	2	246	321	367	688	120	304	22	7	310	96	-1	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	CIN	54%	393	351	87	15	3	8	28	85	11	10	3	248	324	373	697	125	304	22	7	314	98	-1	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	472	422	105	19	3	10	34	102	13	12	3	249	325	379	704	129	304	22	7	316	100	+0	+1	+0	-3	+10	0.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	CIN	58%	526	468	118	21	4	11	39	113	14	14	4	250	326	383	709	133	304	21	7	318	102	+1	+1	+0	-3	+11	1.1
2033	24	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	560	499	125	22	4	12	41	120	15	15	4	251	327	385	712	134	305	21	7	320	102	+2	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	576	513	130	23	4	13	43	124	15	15	4	252	327	386	713	135	305	22	7	320	103	+2	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.3
2035	26	MLB MLE	CIN	57%	590	526	132	23	4	13	44	127	15	15	4	252	327	386	713	135	305	22	7	320	103	+2	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.3
2036	27	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	590	526	132	23	4	13	44	128	15	15	4	250	326	384	710	133	305	22	7	319	102	+1	+1	+0	-4	+13	1.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	CIN	55%	582	519	129	23	4	12	43	127	15	14	4	249	324	379	703	130	304	22	7	316	100	-0	+1	-1	-3	+13	1.0
2038	29	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	565	504	125	22	4	12	42	125	14	13	4	246	321	373	694	126	303	22	7	312	97	-2	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	CIN	53%	552	493	120	21	3	11	40	124	14	12	4	243	318	365	683	121	301	22	7	308	94	-4	+1	-2	-3	+12	0.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	CIN	52%	534	478	115	20	3	10	38	122	13	10	5	239	313	355	668	116	298	23	7	302	90	-6	+0	-3	-3	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	CIN	34%	56	50	12	2	0	1	4	12	2	1	0	246	319	364	683	118	304	21	7	308	93	-0	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	CIN	48%	135	120	30	5	1	3	10	29	4	3	1	248	323	373	696	125	305	21	7	313	96	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	CIN	54%	213	190	47	8	2	4	15	46	6	6	1	250	325	380	705	130	305	22	7	317	98	-0	+1	+0	-1	+5	0.4
2031	22	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	267	239	60	10	2	6	19	58	7	7	2	251	327	386	713	134	305	22	7	320	100	+0	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	CIN	58%	303	270	68	12	2	7	22	65	8	8	2	253	328	391	718	138	305	21	7	322	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	319	284	72	12	2	8	24	69	8	8	2	254	329	393	722	139	306	22	8	323	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	327	291	74	13	2	8	24	70	9	8	2	254	329	394	723	140	306	21	7	324	103	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	CIN	57%	334	297	75	13	2	8	25	72	9	8	2	254	329	394	723	140	306	22	7	324	103	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	327	292	74	13	2	8	24	71	8	8	2	253	328	391	719	139	306	22	7	322	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	CIN	55%	320	285	71	12	2	7	24	70	8	8	2	251	326	386	712	135	305	22	8	319	100	-0	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.6
2038	29	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	302	269	67	11	2	7	22	67	8	7	2	248	323	380	703	131	304	22	7	316	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.4
2039	30	MLB CTX	CIN	53%	291	261	64	11	2	6	21	65	7	6	2	245	320	371	691	126	302	22	7	311	94	-2	+0	-1	-2	+6	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	CIN	52%	278	249	61	10	2	6	20	64	7	5	2	241	315	361	676	120	299	23	7	305	90	-3	+0	-1	-2	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3472	3097	775	132	23	79	254	758	91	83	22	250	325	384	710	134	305	22	7	318	98	-3	+8	-4	-21	+75	5.6
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	580	145	25	4	15	48	142	17	16	4	250	326	384	711	134	304	22	7	318	98	-1	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	6701	5964	1471	259	45	139	490	1451	187	176	50	247	323	375	699	128	302	22	7	313	98	-9	+13	-7	-39	+141	10.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	579	142	25	4	13	48	141	18	17	5	245	323	370	693	124	301	22	7	313	98	-1	+1	-1	-4	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Reds · 210 PAwOBA .410 → .267 (−144)K% 12.4% → 15.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	12.38%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	15.10%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.00%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	7.00%
HBP% /PA	8.10%	—	×0.700	—	—	5.67%
Singles /BIP	21.99%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.958	—	14.33%
Doubles /BIP	7.09%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.958	—	4.08%
Triples /BIP	0.71%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.958	—	0.41%
Home runs /BIP	5.67%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	2.67%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.958.

Result: wOBA .410 → .267; ISO .216 → .117; BABIP .304 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Taylorlast yr '25 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,909 PA	5.9	3,909	110	91	248	327	419	-9	+4	15.9	16.4
/162	664	19	15	-1.6	+0.6	2.7	pk7: 17
#2Michael Tucker'95-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,686 PA	7.1	4,686	125	114	246*	326*	410*	-44	+9	9.4	9.1
/162	664	18	16	-6.3	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 9
#3Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#4Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,582	74	87	249	321	378	-21	+0	8.1	7.0
/162	664	14	16	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#5Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#6Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eider Gutierrez (OGILVIE)	18	64→69	41→46	57→62	51	239/311/346	107	301	2	3	22%	7%	89	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Ronald Torreyes 2011 · A	18	57→59	42→45	52→50	47	268/318/394	126	285	6	14	9%	4%	101	+1.4	271/315/368	97	293	5	11	9%	4%	94	+0.9	271/315/361	90	292	4	9	8%	4%	89	+0.4
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	48→54	41→50	55→60	46	230/305/334	104	275	7	21	18%	6%	84	+0.1	249/317/371	122	312	8	23	22%	5%	97	+1.1	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
●Alex Verdugo 2015 · A	19	54→60	41→50	56→45	49	256/309/361	105	291	6	11	15%	6%	90	+0.6	262/301/373	111	300	9	7	16%	5%	90	+0.6	284/340/436	152	320	15	7	16%	7%	121	+1.9
✕Albert Almora Jr. 2013 · A	19	49→59	39→45	52→50	42	233/271/324	92	282	6	11	20%	4%	68	-1.0	251/283/358	107	295	7	6	17%	4%	79	-0.2	280/312/395	115	326	10	5	17%	4%	99	+0.9
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2023 · A	19	47→57	43→50	49→45	44	228/296/339	111	277	10	9	21%	6%	82	-0.0	253/309/380	127	305	13	7	21%	5%	95	+1.0	266/321/397	132	318	13	6	20%	5%	101	+1.1
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→59	42→45	54→55	41	240/269/340	99	286	9	17	20%	4%	70	-0.9	254/296/340	86	322	5	22	21%	5%	80	-0.2	252/308/366	115	311	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Hendry Mendez 2022 · A	18	50→57	39→45	51→45	51	234/299/332	97	275	5	7	16%	8%	80	-0.2	227/296/304	77	285	5	5	20%	9%	73	-0.6	262/336/372	110	313	10	6	18%	9%	101	+1.0
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
●Elvis Andrus 2007 · A	18	50→60	38→50	47→60	42	237/283/320	84	312	5	14	25%	6%	71	-0.8	249/302/329	80	321	5	29	22%	6%	80	-0.1	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	46→56	42→50	57→70	39	220/265/344	123	298	7	19	28%	5%	70	-0.9	203/255/308	105	317	9	27	36%	5%	58	-1.7	268/342/400	133	331	12	74	21%	6%	111	+1.5
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4

Eider Gutierrez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps