Player 836601 — OGILVIE

Player 836601— DSL Brewers Blue

Age — —/— ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION90 act + 68 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .294 / .333

PA68

HR2

K%26

BB%10

BABIP250

ISO133

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	MIL	—	90	75	14	3	0	3	11	19	3	11	2	187	315	347	661	160	204	21	12	304	91	-1	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.1
YTD	—	ROK	MIL	—	90	67	17	4	0	4	18	13	3	11	2	254	427	493	920	239	255	14	20	404	167	+7	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.9
ROS	—	ROK	MIL	0%	68	60	12	2	0	2	7	18	1	3	0	200	294	333	627	133	274	26	10	294	83	-1	+1	+0	-1	+2	0.0
ROS	—	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		272	—	—	279	72	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	MIL	—	90	76	14	3	0	3	11	19	3	11	2	184	315	342	657	158	200	21	12	304	91	-1	+1	+0	-2	+3	0.1
TOT	—	ROK	MIL	—	158	135	26	5	0	5	18	37	4	14	2	193	306	341	646	148	223	23	11	300	88	-2	+2	+0	-3	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	MIL	0%	160	140	31	6	1	4	16	41	3	5	1	221	314	364	679	143	276	26	10	299	87	-2	+1	+0	-3	+5	-0.0
2028	25	MLB	MIL	0%	306	268	59	11	1	8	30	78	5	9	1	220	310	358	668	138	278	25	10	301	88	-4	+1	+0	-5	+9	0.1
2029	25	MLB	MIL	0%	404	356	78	15	2	10	39	102	6	11	2	219	307	357	663	138	278	25	10	302	90	-5	+1	+0	-7	+11	0.1
2030	25	MLB	MIL	0%	469	413	92	18	2	12	46	118	7	13	2	223	311	363	674	140	278	25	10	303	90	-5	+2	+0	-8	+13	0.2
2031	25	MLB	MIL	0%	514	451	99	19	2	13	50	130	8	15	2	220	308	357	665	137	278	25	10	303	90	-6	+2	+0	-9	+15	0.2
2032	25	MLB	MIL	0%	545	479	106	21	2	14	53	137	8	15	2	221	309	361	670	140	278	25	10	304	90	-6	+2	+0	-10	+15	0.2
2033	25	MLB	MIL	0%	567	498	110	21	2	15	55	143	9	16	2	221	310	361	671	141	277	25	10	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+16	0.2
2034	25	MLB	MIL	0%	584	513	113	22	2	15	57	147	9	16	2	220	309	359	668	138	277	25	10	304	91	-6	+2	+0	-10	+17	0.2
2027	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		274	—	—	285	76	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	287	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	289	79	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	289	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		276	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2034	25	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3617	3178	700	135	14	93	353	914	56	103	14	220	309	359	669	139	277	25	10	303	90	-41	+15	+0	-65	+102	1.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	571	126	24	3	17	63	164	10	19	3	221	309	363	671	142	277	25	10	303	90	-7	+3	+0	-12	+18	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,707	94	105	222	308	362	-41	+0	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	17	19	222	308	362	-7.3	+0.0	0.7	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836601 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	193/306/341	148	223	5	14	23%	11%	88	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Anthony Norman 2010 · A	25	45→42	47→50	60→55	50	223/302/368	145	266	13	19	22%	8%	89	+0.9	213/282/332	119	290	10	11	28%	7%	71	-0.3	210/282/335	125	290	10	9	29%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Quincy Hamilton 2023 · AA	25	46→44	46→50	53→50	49	225/309/354	130	297	14	18	28%	9%	89	+0.9	206/283/353	147	268	17	12	28%	9%	78	+0.2	182/260/332	150	231	18	10	29%	9%	59	-0.6
●Brett Harris 2022 · A	24	45→50	45→50	49→50	43	220/292/339	119	296	13	11	29%	7%	78	+0.2	243/315/397	154	291	18	10	22%	8%	102	+1.9	239/320/383	144	286	17	9	22%	9%	97	+1.2
●Rafael Lantigua 2022 · A	24	46→55	46→45	53→55	46	228/295/364	136	304	13	20	29%	8%	85	+0.7	249/321/362	113	327	10	18	24%	9%	95	+1.4	253/329/353	100	328	8	18	23%	10%	92	+1.1
✕Rodney Choy Foo 2007 · A	25	48→45	46→50	53→50	44	236/295/370	134	318	14	13	29%	8%	86	+0.8	231/300/365	134	296	14	13	25%	9%	87	+0.8	226/303/366	140	277	15	13	23%	9%	90	+0.8
✕Sherman Johnson 2015 · A	25	48→52	48→50	52→50	51	240/313/386	146	291	15	13	22%	9%	98	+1.6	205/284/316	111	256	10	15	23%	10%	68	-0.5	199/272/291	92	271	7	11	28%	9%	52	-0.8
✕Richard Racobaldo 2010 · A	25	50→47	44→45	49→50	45	245/299/362	117	302	11	9	22%	6%	85	+0.7	225/280/320	95	320	6	8	29%	6%	66	-0.6	218/274/305	87	319	4	6	31%	6%	58	-0.9
✕Mario Lisson 2008 · A	24	47→49	42→55	52→55	43	226/287/335	108	297	9	19	26%	6%	73	-0.1	206/252/321	115	268	12	17	27%	5%	55	-1.4	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕José Caballero 2021 · A	24	45	43→45	52→70	46	221/293/334	113	279	10	25	24%	7%	76	+0.1	224/326/350	126	288	13	35	25%	11%	95	+1.4	225/318/339	114	299	10	63	26%	9%	86	+0.5
✕Tucker Bradley 2023 · AA	25	50→53	47→50	53→50	47	245/311/383	138	313	14	15	25%	8%	96	+1.5	241/303/381	140	314	13	15	26%	8%	92	+1.2	242/305/389	147	315	13	16	26%	8%	93	+0.7
✕Nate Tenbrink 2012 · AA	25	46→51	46→50	57→50	45	225/291/359	134	291	12	17	26%	8%	82	+0.5	227/296/377	150	329	16	13	33%	8%	89	+0.9	226/297/380	155	340	17	11	36%	8%	87	+0.4
●Daniel Carbonell 2015 · A	24	51→54	46→55	56→55	42	250/295/384	134	308	13	18	23%	5%	89	+1.0	212/250/308	96	284	9	15	28%	4%	50	-1.7	247/291/402	155	310	17	21	25%	5%	90	+0.6
✕Michael Hollimon 2007 · A	25	45→47	47→55	56→50	46	220/292/374	154	309	13	11	31%	9%	85	+0.7	213/279/370	157	294	15	11	31%	8%	79	+0.3	203/270/364	161	276	16	10	31%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Luis Santana 2023 · A	24	43	44→45	48→50	43	215/283/333	118	286	12	11	28%	7%	72	-0.2	206/263/326	120	268	13	7	28%	5%	62	-0.9	190/242/307	117	240	15	5	27%	4%	45	-1.1
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Elijah Dunham 2022 · A	24	44→42	47→50	55→60	45	219/291/363	144	292	14	21	29%	8%	83	+0.6	212/283/362	150	289	16	27	31%	8%	80	+0.4	202/275/357	155	275	17	29	32%	8%	72	-0.2
✕Steve Selsky 2013 · A	24	50→52	47→50	53→45	41	245/296/385	140	316	14	11	26%	5%	90	+1.0	236/299/342	106	328	9	8	29%	6%	80	+0.4	252/319/358	106	361	10	4	30%	7%	91	+0.6
✕Kellen Strahm 2022 · A	25	48→53	46→45	53→60	45	226/304/358	132	342	14	10	35%	10%	87	+0.8	237/314/347	110	330	11	13	29%	10%	88	+0.9	237/314/334	97	324	9	16	27%	9%	82	+0.4