Joniel Hernandez

SS DSL Giants Black

Age 18 R/R ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKDSL Giants Bl…	238	.321/.443/.539	7	10	68	—	.185/.289/.288
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLB—	348	.230/.304/.337	4	6	82	0.4
2028PROJ43% MLB	19	MLB—	123	.234/.309/.347	2	2	86	0.2
2029PROJ61% MLB	20	MLB—	246	.237/.313/.355	4	5	90	0.5

Next 3 projected WAR 1.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA89

ISO87

wRC+84

K%79

Z-Con%63

BB%60

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 94%

CompsRubén Tejada (age 18) · Jesus Rodriguez (age 19) · Aron Estrada (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 208 proj PA

wRC+82

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .302 / .334

PA208

HR3

K%24

BB%9

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$65M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 61 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT61

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE67

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.3	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$6M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-1	$5M	+1.2	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-2	$7M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
2038	Arb-3	$9M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$15M		$29M	+$22M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Giants Black	—	238	193	62	17	2	7	40	37	2	10	5	321	443	539	981	218	364	16	17	427	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	238	205	38	10	1	3	28	45	2	10	5	185	289	288	577	102	220	19	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	238	205	38	10	1	3	28	45	2	10	5	185	289	288	577	102	220	19	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Giants Black	—	238	193	62	17	2	7	40	37	2	10	5	321	443	539	981	218	364	16	17	427	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	238	206	38	10	1	3	28	45	2	10	5	184	289	286	576	102	220	19	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Giants Black	—	238	206	38	10	1	3	28	45	2	10	5	184	289	286	576	102	220	19	12	268	68	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	—	0%	348	312	71	14	3	4	30	83	3	6	2	230	304	337	641	106	297	24	9	290	82	-7	+0	+0	+4	+8	0.4
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	—	43%	286	256	60	12	2	4	25	67	3	6	2	234	309	347	656	113	298	23	9	296	86	-5	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.5
2029	20	MLB MLE	—	61%	405	362	86	17	3	7	36	94	4	9	3	237	313	355	668	118	299	23	9	301	90	-5	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2030	21	MLB MLE	—	68%	493	440	106	21	4	9	44	114	6	11	4	239	315	362	677	123	300	23	9	305	92	-4	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2031	22	MLB MLE	—	71%	555	495	118	23	4	10	49	127	6	12	4	240	317	367	685	127	300	23	9	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.5
2032	23	MLB MLE	—	72%	598	533	128	25	4	12	53	137	7	13	5	242	318	372	690	130	301	23	9	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.7
2033	24	MLB MLE	—	72%	618	551	134	26	5	12	55	141	7	14	5	243	319	374	693	131	301	23	9	311	97	-3	+1	+0	+7	+13	1.9
2034	25	MLB MLE	—	71%	628	560	136	27	5	12	56	143	7	14	5	243	319	374	693	131	301	23	9	311	97	-2	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.9
2035	26	MLB MLE	—	71%	635	566	138	27	5	13	57	145	7	14	5	243	319	374	693	131	301	23	9	311	97	-3	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.9
2036	27	MLB MLE	—	70%	635	566	137	27	5	12	57	146	7	13	5	242	318	371	690	130	301	23	9	310	96	-3	+1	+0	+7	+14	1.8
2037	28	MLB MLE	—	69%	630	562	135	26	5	12	56	146	7	12	5	240	316	367	683	127	300	23	9	307	94	-5	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.6
2038	29	MLB MLE	—	67%	620	553	131	26	4	11	55	145	7	11	5	238	314	361	675	123	299	23	9	304	92	-6	+0	-1	+7	+13	1.3
2039	30	MLB MLE	—	66%	609	544	127	25	4	10	54	145	6	11	6	235	311	354	664	119	298	24	9	299	89	-8	-0	-2	+7	+13	0.9
2040	31	MLB MLE	—	71%	595	532	124	24	4	10	52	144	6	9	7	231	306	344	650	113	295	24	9	294	85	-11	-1	-3	+6	+13	0.5
2041	32	MLB MLE	—	68%	576	517	116	22	4	8	49	142	5	8	11	226	300	332	632	106	292	25	9	286	80	-14	-3	-4	+6	+12	-0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	—	43%	123	110	26	5	1	2	11	29	1	2	1	234	309	347	656	113	298	24	9	296	86	-2	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	20	MLB CTX	—	61%	246	219	52	10	2	4	22	57	3	5	2	237	313	355	668	118	299	23	9	301	90	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2030	21	MLB CTX	—	68%	336	299	72	14	3	6	30	78	4	7	3	239	315	362	677	123	300	23	9	305	92	-3	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2031	22	MLB CTX	—	71%	395	352	85	17	3	7	35	91	5	9	3	240	317	367	685	127	300	23	9	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2032	23	MLB CTX	—	72%	432	386	92	18	3	8	38	99	5	9	3	242	318	372	690	130	301	23	9	310	96	-2	+1	+0	+5	+9	1.3
2033	24	MLB CTX	—	72%	442	395	96	19	3	9	39	101	5	10	4	243	319	374	693	131	301	23	9	311	97	-2	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2034	25	MLB CTX	—	71%	447	399	97	19	3	9	40	102	5	10	4	243	319	374	693	131	301	23	9	311	97	-2	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2035	26	MLB CTX	—	71%	451	403	97	19	3	9	40	103	5	10	4	243	319	374	693	131	301	23	9	311	97	-2	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2036	27	MLB CTX	—	70%	442	395	96	19	3	9	39	101	5	9	4	242	318	371	690	130	301	23	9	310	96	-2	+0	+0	+5	+10	1.2
2037	28	MLB CTX	—	69%	433	386	92	18	3	8	39	100	5	8	4	240	316	367	683	127	300	23	9	307	94	-3	+0	-0	+5	+9	1.1
2038	29	MLB CTX	—	67%	415	371	88	17	3	8	37	97	4	8	4	238	314	361	675	123	299	23	9	304	92	-4	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.9
2039	30	MLB CTX	—	66%	401	359	84	16	3	7	35	95	4	7	4	235	311	354	664	119	298	24	9	299	89	-5	-0	-1	+4	+9	0.6
2040	31	MLB CTX	—	71%	422	378	88	17	3	7	37	102	4	6	5	231	306	344	650	113	295	24	9	294	85	-8	-1	-2	+5	+9	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	—	68%	393	352	79	15	2	6	34	97	4	5	7	226	300	332	632	106	292	25	9	286	80	-9	-2	-2	+4	+9	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	5378	4804	1144	223	38	99	476	1252	59	105	52	238	314	362	677	124	300	23	9	304	91	-50	+0	-7	+58	+117	12.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	581	139	27	5	12	58	151	7	13	6	239	316	365	681	126	302	23	9	304	91	-6	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	8329	7428	1758	347	61	148	744	1930	89	171	78	237	314	360	673	123	299	23	9	303	91	-79	+3	-10	+87	+175	17.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	580	138	27	5	12	58	151	7	13	6	238	315	364	679	126	300	23	9	303	91	-6	+0	-1	+7	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Erick Aybarlast yr '17 career totals — 11 seasons, 5,588 PA	8.4	5,588	58	154	271	314	372	+58	+49	22.0	21.3
/162	664	7	18	+6.9	+5.8	2.6	pk7: 21
#2Chico Carrasquel'50-'59 * career totals — 10 seasons, 5,259 PA	7.9	5,259	55	31	251*	317*	361*	+54	+31	14.2	15.5
/162	664	7	4	+6.9	+3.9	1.8	pk7: 17
#3Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#4Zoilo Versalles'59-'71 * career totals — 11 seasons, 5,578 PA	8.4	5,578	95	97	247*	294*	397*	+56	+13	12.5	13.7
/162	664	11	12	+6.7	+1.6	1.5	pk7: 15
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	8.4	5,586	100	110	239	312	363	+60	+30	16.3	13.5
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+3.6	1.9	pk7: 11
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Billy Urbanski'31-'37 * career totals — 6 seasons, 3,345 PA	5.0	3,345	19	24	237*	300*	353*	+32	+2	7.1	7.1
/162	664	4	5	+6.5	+0.4	1.4	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Joniel Hernandez (OGILVIE)	18	56→61	38→43	50→55	67	228/302/334	105	297	3	4	24%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Aron Estrada 2023 · A	18	50→54	41→50	47→55	54	238/323/346	109	290	6	7	19%	10%	93	+0.8	235/304/342	107	293	8	18	21%	8%	84	+0.2	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	45→51	39→50	44→50	49	210/310/300	90	269	6	7	22%	8%	79	-0.2	217/319/344	127	291	11	8	27%	9%	93	+0.8	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Alfredo Duno 2024 · A	18	43→48	41→55	53→45	53	207/305/309	102	280	9	8	27%	11%	78	-0.3	224/320/362	138	312	14	6	30%	12%	95	+1.0	229/330/392	163	306	18	4	29%	12%	104	+0.9
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	48→51	42→50	51→40	49	225/310/341	116	302	7	7	26%	9%	87	+0.4	180/268/296	116	277	12	3	37%	8%	62	-1.4	209/276/363	155	262	21	2	29%	7%	78	-0.2
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	47→54	40→50	50→55	54	224/305/318	94	270	6	14	19%	10%	80	-0.2	233/325/328	95	314	7	17	25%	11%	90	+0.6	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Alirio Ferrebus 2024 · A	18	47	37→50	49→45	43	218/293/295	77	297	5	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	229/288/340	111	275	11	6	20%	5%	78	-0.3	235/286/353	118	276	13	4	19%	4%	79	-0.1
●Daniel Robertson 2013 · A	19	46→56	46→45	52→40	49	227/301/367	141	268	12	6	20%	8%	90	+0.6	245/312/360	115	307	10	3	22%	7%	92	+0.7	256/329/366	110	321	8	2	21%	8%	96	+0.9
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Victor Bericoto 2021 · A	19	50→49	40→50	51→40	49	230/310/323	93	327	7	10	30%	10%	82	+0.0	224/286/341	117	319	13	5	31%	8%	78	-0.3	230/278/364	134	300	16	3	28%	6%	78	-0.2
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→54	39→55	52→50	46	240/297/334	93	309	5	8	23%	7%	80	-0.2	252/306/371	119	311	10	8	21%	7%	91	+0.7	226/328/409	183	251	21	13	19%	12%	110	+2.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	48→58	39→50	47→60	47	231/294/314	84	293	7	9	23%	7%	74	-0.5	241/292/319	78	321	4	22	25%	6%	74	-0.6	276/328/411	135	308	11	19	14%	7%	107	+1.7
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	47→57	36→45	49→50	50	218/277/294	76	258	2	12	16%	7%	63	-1.4	229/275/301	72	282	3	12	19%	5%	63	-1.4	276/322/383	106	335	4	17	18%	5%	96	+0.8

Joniel Hernandez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps