Player 836563 P DSL Arizona Red
Age — —HP ROK peak 0.3 · 2026
2026 ROS PROJECTION29 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINST108
ERA4.32
FIP4.32
K%23.2%
BB%9.2%
K-BB%14.1%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 49 IP
K: -4.0 runs (Runs saved by strikeouts vs lg-avg K%)-4KBB: +3.4 runs (Runs saved by walk suppression vs lg-avg BB%)+3BBCONTACT: +2.3 runs (Runs saved on contact quality (HR suppression) vs lg)+2CONTACTSTAM: +2.0 runs (Replacement credit for innings volume)+2STAMTotal WAR: +0.38 (49 IP)+0.4WAR
0.10.12627
Grades · Contract
Scouting Grades
K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career (MLE) + Projections

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

YearAge LvlTeam GGSIPBF KBBHR GS%IP/G K%BB%K-BB%HR% ERAFIP WAR
▸ 2026 Season
2026—ROKDSL Arizona Red77291282271100%4.111.7%6.8%4.9%1.1%4.713.58+0.3
ROS—MLB—3320852083100%6.723.2%9.2%14.1%3.0%4.324.32+0.1
2026 Total—MLB———4921342154——19.6%6.9%12.7%1.7%4.553.88+0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
202725MLB—3320862083100%6.823.6%8.9%14.7%3.0%4.274.25+0.1
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career—77291281591100%4.111.7%6.8%4.9%1.1%4.713.58+0.3
/ 200 IP—4949200893105637100%4.111.7%6.8%4.9%1.1%4.713.58+4.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Profile at Match Age Next 3 Yrs Career
CompAgeRole FIPK%BB%HR/BFBABIP FIPK%K-BB%IP ΔFIPLow FIPIPMatch
Player 836563 (OGILVIE) —— 4.32 23.2%9.2%3.0%— — ——— — ———
Brendan Beck R 2025 · 3.18 FIP 24 SP 3.18 22.5%6.7%2.1%.289 3.78 20.9%13.1%225 +0.60 3.18 256 81
Blake Wehunt R 2026 · 3.98 FIP 25 SP 3.98 26.8%8.1%3.9%.325 — ——— — 3.63 209 79
Landon Knack R 2026 · 4.39 FIP 25 SP 4.39 23.0%10.5%3.5%.335 4.65 21.4%11.7%382 +0.26 3.67 509 78
Ryan Jennings R 2026 · 3.55 FIP 25 SP 3.55 20.4%10.4%1.6%.286 5.51 25.3%9.1%58 +1.96 3.29 142 77
Peter Van Loon R 2026 · 3.14 FIP 25 SP 3.14 25.5%11.9%1.2%.303 4.30 21.1%10.5%53 +1.16 2.47 256 76
Jackson Nezuh R 2025 · 5.06 FIP 24 SP 5.06 23.6%10.4%4.8%.259 — ——— — 3.77 258 74
Antonio Guzman R 2028 · 3.60 FIP 27 SP 3.60 18.8%11.2%1.2%.328 3.63 20.6%11.3%170 +0.03 3.22 254 74
Griffin Canning R 2026 · 5.37 FIP 25 SP 5.37 22.4%10.1%5.2%.295 4.67 21.1%13.3%299 -0.70 3.70 776 73
Tyson Hardin R 2025 · 3.45 FIP 24 SP 3.45 23.4%8.3%2.3%.349 — ——— — 2.47 177 73
David Griffin R 2026 · 4.52 FIP 25 SP 4.52 19.2%11.9%2.8%.279 5.47 15.6%5.5%168 +0.95 4.52 239 72
Ricky Salinas R 2026 · 5.22 FIP 25 SP 5.22 20.9%10.3%4.7%.335 5.81 14.3%-0.8%71 +0.59 4.87 274 72
Jackson Finley R 2026 · 3.85 FIP 25 SP 3.85 20.7%9.3%2.4%.346 — ——— — 3.85 132 72
Chris Kachmar R 2025 · 4.39 FIP 24 SP 4.39 16.1%11.4%2.2%.309 4.74 18.4%9.4%172 +0.35 4.39 353 72
Burch Smith R 2028 · 3.94 FIP 27 SP 3.94 19.5%12.6%1.6%.234 4.41 22.2%10.5%192 +0.47 3.39 382 72
Justin Dunn R 2026 · 4.48 FIP 25 SP 4.48 22.5%13.3%2.9%.231 5.99 16.1%3.2%60 +1.51 3.51 601 72
Levi Wells R 2025 · 4.24 FIP 24 SP 4.24 19.9%7.3%3.5%.308 — ——— — 3.70 192 72
Connor Seabold R 2026 · 3.49 FIP 25 SP 3.49 20.2%8.8%1.8%.247 3.94 19.3%13.1%224 +0.45 3.03 576 71
Chase Whitley R 2027 · 3.52 FIP 26 SP 3.52 18.1%7.4%1.8%.275 3.52 18.5%12.0%123 -0.00 3.11 159 71
Brooks Auger R 2025 · 3.81 FIP 24 SP 3.81 26.3%11.9%2.6%.340 — ——— — 3.81 138 71
River Ryan R 2026 · 3.34 FIP 25 SP 3.34 23.6%10.4%1.7%.280 2.13 23.9%18.6%36 -1.21 2.13 218 71