Player 836353 — OGILVIE

Player 836353— DSL Phillies

Age — —/— ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION134 act + 186 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†77

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .283 / .325

PA186

HR3

SB11

K%27

BB%8

BABIP293

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.9M		$0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	—	ROK	PHI	—	134	121	32	1	4	3	11	33	1	16	1	264	331	413	744	149	337	25	8	327	108	+1	+3	+0	-2	+4	0.6
YTD	—	ROK	PHI	—	134	114	40	2	5	4	18	23	1	16	1	351	444	561	1.005	211	409	17	13	437	192	+14	+3	+0	-2	+4	1.9
ROS	—	ROK	PHI	0%	186	169	37	3	3	3	14	51	1	11	1	219	283	325	608	107	303	27	8	285	77	-5	+2	+0	-3	+5	-0.1
ROS	—	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	281	73	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	—	ROK	PHI	—	134	122	32	1	4	3	11	33	1	16	1	262	331	410	741	148	333	25	8	327	108	+1	+3	+0	-2	+4	0.6
TOT	—	ROK	PHI	—	320	290	69	4	7	6	25	84	2	27	2	238	303	362	665	124	312	26	8	303	90	-4	+5	+0	-6	+9	0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	0%	329	298	68	7	5	6	26	89	2	14	1	228	294	346	640	117	303	27	8	291	81	-7	+2	+0	-6	+9	-0.1
2028	25	MLB	PHI	0%	417	378	87	10	6	8	33	111	3	17	2	230	297	352	649	122	302	27	8	294	83	-8	+3	+0	-7	+12	-0.1
2029	25	MLB	PHI	0%	477	432	101	12	7	10	38	126	4	20	2	234	302	363	665	130	301	26	8	296	85	-8	+3	+0	-9	+14	0.0
2030	25	MLB	PHI	0%	517	466	108	13	7	11	42	136	4	22	2	232	301	361	661	129	301	26	8	298	86	-8	+4	+0	-9	+15	0.1
2031	25	MLB	PHI	0%	546	492	116	14	8	12	44	143	5	23	2	236	305	370	675	134	301	26	8	298	86	-8	+4	+0	-10	+15	0.1
2032	25	MLB	PHI	0%	566	510	119	14	8	13	46	149	5	24	2	233	303	369	672	135	300	26	8	299	87	-8	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.2
2033	25	MLB	PHI	0%	581	524	122	14	8	13	47	153	5	24	3	233	302	365	667	132	300	26	8	299	87	-8	+4	+0	-10	+16	0.1
2027	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		305	—	—	287	78	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2028	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		304	—	—	290	80	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2029	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	292	82	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2030	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		303	—	—	293	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2031	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2032	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	294	83	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
2033	25	MLB	PHI	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	295	84	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3619	3269	758	87	52	76	290	958	29	155	15	232	300	360	660	128	303	26	8	296	85	-62	+25	+0	-65	+103	0.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	137	16	9	14	52	172	5	28	3	233	301	363	664	129	304	26	8	296	85	-11	+4	+0	-12	+18	0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	8	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
	/162	664	17	29	251	317	406	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Damian Jacksonlast yr '06 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,930 PA	6	1,930	21	95	248	324	354	-6	-5	3.6	3.6
	/162	664	7	33	248	324	354	-1.9	-1.6	1.2	pk7: 4
#5Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,753	78	155	232	297	361	-42	+0	2.1	2.4
	/162	664	14	27	232	297	361	-7.5	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 3
#6Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Player 836353 (OGILVIE)	25	—	—	—	—	238/303/362	124	312	6	27	26%	8%	90	+0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Nate Eaton 2022 · A	25	40→49	40→50	55→60	44	195/262/286	91	267	7	19	29%	7%	50	-1.7	218/272/351	133	286	15	28	28%	6%	72	-0.2	219/272/357	138	284	14	27	27%	5%	70	-0.2
✕Jonathan Davis 2017 · A	25	40→50	46→45	54→55	44	199/284/331	132	279	13	21	32%	8%	72	-0.2	219/298/335	116	289	10	19	26%	8%	79	+0.3	221/302/335	114	287	10	20	25%	8%	78	+0.2
✕Kyle Datres 2022 · A	26	39→40	45→50	54→55	44	194/276/317	123	270	12	18	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/287/354	145	287	18	23	32%	8%	79	+0.3	198/279/346	148	268	20	26	32%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Allen Córdoba 2021 · A	25	48→53	41→45	53→55	40	231/281/330	100	302	7	20	26%	5%	69	-0.4	233/301/351	118	292	10	16	23%	6%	84	+0.6	231/305/357	125	285	11	18	22%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Lane Adams 2015 · AA	25	45→46	44→50	56→60	42	223/276/340	117	289	11	27	26%	6%	70	-0.3	228/280/358	130	308	14	31	29%	6%	76	+0.1	228/279/363	136	311	16	36	31%	6%	74	-0.0
✕Jared Oliva 2020 · AA	24	46→45	43→50	57→65	42	221/284/333	112	302	10	27	29%	6%	72	-0.2	215/268/322	107	303	8	24	30%	5%	62	-0.9	227/296/370	142	284	15	55	24%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Hunter Jones 2016 · A	24	41→51	40→45	56→55	41	198/260/283	85	278	8	21	30%	6%	49	-1.8	218/273/313	95	290	7	17	26%	6%	62	-0.9	225/281/324	99	293	7	16	24%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Phillip Ervin 2017 · AA	25	42→50	46→50	55	48	211/289/341	130	257	13	25	23%	8%	77	+0.1	227/293/361	134	285	14	22	24%	7%	83	+0.6	232/296/372	140	294	14	21	25%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Mario Lisson 2009 · AA	25	43→49	44→55	54→55	41	215/265/332	117	274	12	21	26%	5%	63	-0.8	209/255/341	132	274	15	15	29%	5%	63	-0.9	231/301/377	146	300	19	8	28%	7%	90	+0.7
✕Tyler Saladino 2014 · AAA	25	42→47	40→45	55	47	206/277/296	90	272	8	23	26%	8%	59	-1.1	239/290/343	104	296	9	23	21%	6%	76	+0.1	256/300/368	112	305	11	25	19%	5%	85	+0.4
✕Cade Gotta 2017 · AA	25	45→51	41→45	56→55	42	220/264/324	103	281	8	21	24%	5%	60	-1.0	235/287/337	102	301	7	29	23%	7%	73	-0.1	241/300/343	102	307	6	36	22%	8%	78	+0.1
✕Max Schuemann 2022 · AAA	25	44→47	40→45	59→60	44	212/288/308	96	283	8	32	26%	7%	68	-0.5	223/314/344	121	303	12	25	28%	9%	89	+0.9	220/317/335	116	299	12	22	28%	10%	86	+0.6
✕Justin Dean 2021 · A	24	47→49	43→45	58→65	44	222/293/335	113	314	10	23	31%	8%	76	+0.1	203/280/315	112	322	11	27	37%	8%	66	-0.6	232/303/321	89	344	6	48	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Brian O'Grady 2017 · A	25	39→37	42→60	53→50	48	191/276/300	109	267	10	14	30%	10%	61	-1.0	199/268/347	148	275	16	14	32%	8%	69	-0.4	207/269/398	192	270	24	15	32%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Dylan Moore 2017 · A	24	44→47	43→50	55→65	47	214/294/334	120	273	10	23	24%	8%	77	+0.1	206/272/327	121	267	11	18	26%	7%	66	-0.6	210/332/386	176	289	16	41	30%	12%	104	+1.0
✕Anthony Jackson 2008 · A	24	43→53	41→40	61→55	42	209/264/315	106	286	6	19	28%	6%	58	-1.2	230/284/308	78	295	4	25	22%	6%	64	-0.8	255/321/326	71	317	4	28	19%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Kyle Gaedele 2014 · A	24	44→43	42→45	55→50	42	210/274/325	116	302	9	17	32%	7%	66	-0.6	200/268/341	141	320	15	12	40%	8%	68	-0.5	176/260/344	168	320	21	7	48%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Shawn Payne 2014 · A	25	48→58	41→45	57→55	49	227/299/329	102	287	7	24	22%	8%	77	+0.1	216/285/323	107	294	8	16	27%	8%	69	-0.4	207/282/317	110	287	8	17	28%	8%	64	-0.5
✕Kyle Petty 2016 · A	25	46→49	42→50	53→50	39	221/266/325	104	308	9	11	30%	5%	61	-1.0	230/288/343	113	330	11	9	32%	6%	76	+0.1	233/295/348	115	335	12	8	32%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Reid Gorecki 2006 · AA	25	42→51	43→50	50→55	45	209/273/323	114	278	10	19	28%	8%	65	-0.7	218/279/350	132	281	15	19	27%	7%	75	-0.0	249/303/371	121	310	12	21	23%	6%	86	+0.4