Francisco Renteria

OF DSL Phillies

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#942ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROK/INTL2 orgs	253	.355/.448/.636	11	24	87	—	.244/.325/.402
2027PROJMLE	18	MLBPHI	346	.236/.303/.358	6	9	87	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPHI	61	.241/.310/.373	1	2	91	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPHI	145	.244/.314/.382	3	4	94	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

wOBA98

wRC+98

ISO97

Speed96

K%80

Whiff%62

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsEduardo Quintero (age 18) · Victor Robles (age 19) · Royce Lewis (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 128 proj PA

wRC+†87

AVG/OBP/SLG.234 / .301 / .355

PA128

HR2

K%24

BB%8

ISO122

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 62 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT62

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED66

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$8M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	236	198	75	9	9	11	34	36	2	24	4	379	474	682	1.156	303	418	15	14	491	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	INTL	Aguilas del Zulia	—	17	16	1	0	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	62	62	62	125		91	35	0	53	-78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	236	209	51	6	6	5	23	44	2	24	4	244	325	402	727	158	275	19	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	253	223	54	6	6	6	25	47	2	24	4	242	324	404	728	161	277	19	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	253	214	76	9	9	11	34	42	2	24	4	355	448	636	1.084	280	396	17	13	461	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	253	224	54	6	6	6	25	47	2	24	4	241	324	402	726	161	275	19	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	253	224	54	6	6	6	25	47	2	24	4	241	324	402	726	161	275	19	10	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	346	312	75	11	6	6	28	82	3	9	1	236	303	358	661	122	299	24	8	296	87	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	177	159	39	6	3	3	14	41	2	5	1	239	308	368	676	128	301	23	8	302	91	-2	+1	+0	-1	+4	0.1
2029	20	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	300	270	65	10	4	6	24	70	3	8	2	242	312	376	688	134	302	23	8	308	94	-2	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.4
2030	21	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	409	367	90	13	6	9	34	94	5	12	3	244	315	383	698	139	302	23	8	311	97	-1	+1	+0	-2	+9	0.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	485	436	107	16	7	11	40	111	6	14	3	246	317	388	706	143	303	23	8	314	99	-1	+2	+0	-3	+11	0.9
2032	23	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	536	481	118	18	7	12	44	122	6	15	4	247	319	393	711	146	303	23	8	317	100	+0	+1	+0	-3	+12	1.0
2033	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	564	505	125	19	8	13	47	128	7	16	4	248	320	395	715	147	304	23	8	318	101	+1	+2	+0	-3	+12	1.2
2034	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	580	520	130	20	8	14	48	132	7	16	4	248	320	397	717	148	304	23	8	319	102	+1	+2	+0	-3	+13	1.2
2035	26	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	592	531	132	20	8	14	49	134	7	16	4	248	320	397	717	149	303	23	8	319	102	+1	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.2
2036	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	592	531	131	20	8	14	49	135	7	16	4	247	319	394	713	147	303	23	8	317	101	+1	+2	+0	-4	+13	1.2
2037	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	583	523	129	19	8	14	49	134	6	15	4	245	317	390	707	144	302	23	8	315	99	-1	+1	-1	-3	+13	0.9
2038	29	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	566	508	123	18	7	13	47	132	6	14	4	243	314	383	697	140	301	23	8	311	97	-2	+1	-1	-3	+12	0.7
2039	30	MLB MLE	PHI	53%	552	496	120	18	7	12	45	131	6	13	4	240	311	375	686	136	299	24	8	307	94	-4	+1	-2	-3	+12	0.3
2040	31	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	534	481	113	16	7	11	43	128	5	11	4	236	306	366	671	130	296	24	8	301	90	-7	+1	-3	-3	+12	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	61	55	13	2	1	1	5	14	1	2	0	241	310	373	683	132	301	23	8	305	91	-1	+0	+0	-0	+1	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	145	130	31	4	2	3	12	34	2	4	1	244	314	382	696	138	302	23	8	310	94	-1	+0	+0	-1	+3	0.2
2030	21	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	222	199	49	7	3	5	18	51	3	6	2	246	317	389	706	143	303	23	8	314	97	-1	+0	+0	-1	+5	0.3
2031	22	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	275	247	62	9	4	7	23	63	3	8	2	247	319	395	714	147	303	23	8	318	99	-0	+1	+0	-2	+6	0.5
2032	23	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	309	276	69	10	4	8	26	70	4	9	2	249	320	399	720	151	304	23	8	320	100	+0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.6
2033	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	321	287	72	11	4	8	27	73	4	9	2	250	321	402	724	152	304	23	8	321	101	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2034	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	329	295	74	11	5	8	27	75	4	9	2	250	322	404	725	153	305	23	8	322	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2035	26	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	335	300	76	11	5	9	28	76	4	9	2	250	322	404	726	154	304	23	8	322	102	+1	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2036	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	329	295	73	11	4	8	27	75	4	9	2	249	321	401	722	152	304	23	8	321	101	+0	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.7
2037	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	320	287	70	10	4	8	27	74	3	8	2	247	319	396	715	149	303	23	8	318	99	-0	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.5
2038	29	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	303	272	67	10	4	7	25	71	3	7	2	245	316	390	706	145	302	23	8	314	97	-1	+1	-1	-2	+7	0.3
2039	30	MLB CTX	PHI	53%	291	262	64	9	4	7	24	69	3	7	2	242	312	382	694	140	300	24	8	310	94	-2	+1	-1	-2	+6	0.2
2040	31	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	302	272	65	9	4	7	24	73	3	6	2	237	307	371	679	134	297	24	8	303	90	-4	+0	-2	-2	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3542	3177	785	114	48	86	293	818	41	93	23	247	319	394	713	147	305	23	8	316	98	-8	+9	-4	-21	+77	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	145	21	9	16	54	150	8	17	4	249	321	398	719	149	306	23	8	316	98	-1	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	6851	6147	1503	223	96	154	568	1569	76	198	50	245	316	387	703	143	302	23	8	313	98	-17	+16	-7	-40	+143	9.8
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	143	21	9	15	54	149	7	19	5	245	317	389	706	144	303	23	8	313	98	-2	+2	-1	-4	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Phillies · 236 PAwOBA .481 → .315 (−165)K% 15.3% → 18.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	15.25%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	18.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.98%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	—	9.79%
HBP% /PA	0.85%	—	×0.700	—	—	0.59%
Singles /BIP	28.40%	÷1.000	×0.680	×1.037	—	20.03%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.037	—	3.46%
Triples /BIP	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.600	×1.037	—	3.46%
Home runs /BIP	6.79%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	—	3.19%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age unknown — no age adjustment. Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.037.

Result: wOBA .481 → .315; ISO .303 → .169; BABIP .418 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Tucker'95-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,686 PA	7.1	4,686	125	114	246*	326*	410*	-44	+9	9.4	9.1
/162	664	18	16	-6.3	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 9
#2Rob Mackowiaklast yr '08 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,618 PA	3.9	2,618	64	49	259	332	405	-11	-3	8.7	8.9
/162	664	16	12	-2.7	-0.8	2.2	pk7: 9
#3Will Venablelast yr '15 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,127 PA	4.7	3,127	81	135	251	317	406	-20	-4	8.9	8.7
/162	664	17	29	-4.2	-0.8	1.9	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.5	3,668	82	97	245	313	388	-22	+0	8.1	7.0
/162	664	15	18	-4.0	+0.0	1.5	pk7: 6
#4Billy Hatcher'84-'95 * career totals — 10 seasons, 4,752 PA	7.2	4,752	54	218	261*	310*	385*	-20	-5	4.9	6.8
/162	664	8	30	-2.9	-0.7	0.7	pk7: 9
#5Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Pat Sheridan'81-'91 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,700 PA	4.1	2,700	51	86	250*	319*	387*	-22	-3	4.0	4.2
/162	664	13	21	-5.4	-0.8	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Francisco Renteria (OGILVIE)	18	57→62	43→48	61→66	60	234/301/355	121	299	2	3	24%	8%	87	+0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Victor Robles 2016 · A	19	48→54	41→50	55→60	46	230/305/334	104	275	7	21	18%	6%	84	+0.1	249/317/371	122	312	8	23	22%	5%	97	+1.1	251/319/400	149	311	12	27	22%	5%	103	+1.2
●Royce Lewis 2018 · A	19	46→51	41→60	55→50	47	222/293/320	98	273	8	16	21%	7%	76	-0.4	223/272/331	108	291	10	16	26%	6%	70	-0.9	262/323/475	213	304	29	14	24%	8%	123	+1.4
✕Luis Matos 2021 · A	19	51→58	44→50	53→50	45	249/309/372	124	290	10	14	18%	5%	94	+0.9	242/288/368	126	279	13	13	18%	5%	84	+0.2	246/298/398	152	258	18	13	13%	6%	95	+0.7
✕Ricky Cabrera 2024 · A	19	48→44	40→45	57→60	43	224/310/324	99	311	7	18	28%	7%	84	+0.1	216/282/315	99	309	8	12	31%	6%	71	-0.8	213/277/319	106	299	10	14	30%	5%	67	-0.8
✕Addison Russell 2013 · A	19	55→52	47→55	59→50	43	262/316/407	145	351	12	16	28%	7%	103	+1.6	243/307/405	162	320	16	12	28%	7%	101	+1.4	236/301/401	165	290	19	5	25%	7%	99	+1.1
✕Dorssys Paulino 2013 · A	18	49→50	46→45	56→45	42	242/283/384	142	306	12	11	25%	5%	86	+0.3	222/265/319	97	296	6	8	26%	5%	64	-1.3	242/297/349	107	319	9	8	26%	6%	80	-0.1
●Esteury Ruiz 2018 · A	19	46→56	42→50	57→70	39	220/265/344	123	298	7	19	28%	5%	70	-0.9	203/255/308	105	317	9	27	36%	5%	58	-1.7	268/342/400	133	331	12	74	21%	6%	111	+1.5
●Jose Tabata 2007 · A	18	54→62	41→45	51→55	44	257/313/356	99	323	8	16	22%	6%	91	+0.6	271/321/361	90	336	7	14	20%	5%	95	+0.9	284/341/385	101	328	6	26	14%	7%	107	+1.5
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Walker Jenkins 2024 · A	19	53	45→50	53→55	45	257/305/391	134	308	11	11	20%	6%	95	+1.0	245/323/376	131	300	11	17	21%	9%	99	+1.3	248/332/390	141	301	14	20	21%	10%	103	+1.0
✕Jay Allen II 2022 · A	19	49→47	45	58→55	44	236/309/361	125	307	12	21	26%	7%	91	+0.7	194/289/280	86	287	6	30	32%	8%	66	-1.1	202/286/304	103	275	11	24	29%	7%	68	-0.8
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Luke Adams 2023 · A	19	50→39	41→50	55	45	232/308/333	101	332	7	18	30%	8%	84	+0.2	200/335/326	126	277	12	20	29%	12%	95	+1.0	200/355/358	159	246	17	19	24%	12%	108	+1.1
●L.J. Hoes 2009 · A	19	50→60	37→40	56→50	53	235/305/308	72	289	4	11	19%	9%	76	-0.4	247/295/316	69	318	4	12	22%	6%	74	-0.6	288/348/379	91	345	5	15	17%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Ezequiel Duran 2018 · A	19	45→55	43→55	54→50	39	221/262/338	118	304	9	10	30%	5%	68	-1.0	185/227/272	87	291	7	8	37%	4%	39	-3.1	254/295/406	151	322	16	12	25%	5%	95	+0.7
●Evan Carter 2022 · A	19	47→55	43→50	52→55	56	220/331/337	117	299	9	18	27%	12%	95	+0.9	240/325/389	149	310	14	20	25%	10%	103	+1.6	241/329/398	157	310	15	21	25%	10%	104	+1.1
✕Gorkys Hernández 2007 · A	19	49→59	42→45	54→55	41	240/269/340	99	286	9	17	20%	4%	70	-0.9	254/296/340	86	322	5	22	21%	5%	80	-0.2	252/308/366	115	311	11	16	22%	7%	91	+0.5
●Julio Rodríguez 2019 · A	18	44→54	40→60	59→55	49	209/276/311	103	257	6	9	21%	8%	67	-1.1	256/313/403	147	331	14	9	26%	6%	102	+1.5	288/344/498	210	352	27	29	25%	6%	136	+3.5

Francisco Renteria

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps