Andrews Opata — OGILVIE

Andrews OpataOF Salem RidgeYaks

Age 22 R/R 6'2" / 200 lbs A H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION303 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†50

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .260 / .271

PA202

HR3

SB14

K%36

BB%8

BABIP283

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 43

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER43

scouting grade only

EYE57

scouting grade only

SPEED74

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	22	A	BOS	—	303	271	47	6	1	5	27	134	3	37	6	173	256	258	514	85	313	44	9	235	38	-21	+5	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
YTD	22	A	BOS	—	303	255	62	9	2	6	43	94	3	37	6	243	359	365	724	122	357	31	14	331	111	+4	+5	+0	-2	+9	1.6
ROS	22	A	BOS	0%	202	181	33	5	1	3	17	73	2	14	2	182	260	271	531	88	284	36	8	251	50	-11	+2	+0	-1	+6	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		290	—	—	247	47	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	22	A	BOS	—	303	272	47	6	1	5	27	134	3	37	6	173	256	257	513	85	311	44	9	235	38	-21	+5	+0	-2	+9	-1.0
TOT	22	A	BOS	—	505	452	80	11	2	8	44	207	5	51	8	177	257	263	521	86	300	41	9	241	43	-33	+7	+0	-3	+14	-1.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	23	MLB	BOS	34%	570	511	99	16	3	11	49	197	5	23	4	194	271	301	572	108	288	35	9	262	59	-27	+3	+0	-3	+16	-1.1
2027	23	MLB	BOS	34%	196	175	35	6	1	4	17	68	2	8	1	200	278	314	593	114	294	35	9	258	56	-10	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	196	176	35	6	1	4	17	68	2	8	1	199	278	312	591	114	295	35	9	258	56	-10	+1	+0	-1	+6	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	116	20	3	13	56	226	7	27	3	199	278	310	588	111	296	35	9	258	56	-32	+4	+0	-4	+18	-1.4
Career	—			—	772	692	132	21	4	14	66	270	7	37	6	191	268	293	561	103	286	35	9	259	56	-38	+5	+0	-5	+22	-1.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	111	18	3	12	56	227	6	31	5	190	269	293	562	103	285	35	9	259	56	-32	+4	+0	-4	+18	-1.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Doug Glanvillelast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,256 PA	5	2,256	35	90	259	290	356	-9	+3	1.3	1.3
	/162	664	10	26	259	290	356	-2.8	+0.9	0.4	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	516	9	17	195	268	301	-3	+0	-1.2	-0.6
	/162	664	12	22	195	268	301	-4.0	+0.0	-1.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Andrews Opata (OGILVIE)	22	20→25	38→43	69→74	57	177/257/263	86	300	8	51	41%	9%	43	-1.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→38	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	63	-0.9	207/276/283	76	320	2	18	33%	8%	55	-1.4	212/285/292	79	328	2	26	33%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Cooper Bowman 2023 · A	23	39	44→45	59→60	43	191/272/302	111	287	11	31	35%	8%	60	-1.0	201/274/322	121	279	12	35	31%	8%	66	-0.6	195/268/315	120	262	12	40	29%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Mason Auer 2023 · A	22	46	46→45	63→60	42	228/288/361	133	305	13	29	29%	7%	81	+0.4	187/243/297	110	292	10	31	37%	6%	46	-2.0	158/215/259	101	256	10	37	40%	5%	21	-2.6
✕Ismael Alcantara 2021 · A	22	44→28	38→45	57→50	41	201/270/281	80	317	5	16	36%	8%	53	-1.5	213/271/338	125	320	13	13	35%	6%	68	-0.5	202/261/313	111	301	12	16	35%	6%	53	-0.8
✕John Rhodes 2023 · AA	22	44→34	41→40	58→50	48	209/290/312	103	280	7	16	26%	8%	69	-0.4	183/250/282	99	265	10	9	33%	7%	45	-2.1	165/231/253	88	240	10	7	34%	7%	26	-2.5
✕Tyler James 2018 · A	21	44	36→30	64→65	42	204/266/281	77	293	2	27	29%	7%	50	-1.7	220/283/294	74	332	4	27	32%	7%	61	-1.0	230/297/289	60	352	4	45	33%	8%	61	-0.4
✕Clay Fuller 2009 · A	22	45	42→45	59→55	44	212/292/327	115	313	8	20	32%	8%	74	-0.1	209/278/327	118	293	12	18	31%	7%	68	-0.5	204/269/322	118	278	14	18	31%	7%	60	-0.7
✕Wes Rogers 2016 · A	22	47→48	38→40	65	43	223/280/308	85	293	5	35	25%	6%	63	-0.8	217/271/302	85	297	5	34	27%	6%	58	-1.2	209/263/288	80	288	5	36	28%	6%	48	-1.5
✕Johan Lopez 2022 · A	22	44	44→45	56→55	43	211/290/329	118	311	11	16	33%	8%	74	-0.1	195/266/292	97	301	9	12	36%	7%	54	-1.4	169/241/249	80	256	8	12	35%	7%	31	-1.1
✕Jase Bowen 2023 · A	22	39→38	43→50	55	35	192/249/294	102	300	11	14	38%	5%	47	-1.9	197/249/320	123	286	14	19	35%	5%	54	-1.4	200/250/342	142	290	17	24	36%	5%	57	-0.7
✕Max Ferguson 2023 · A	23	36→33	39→40	63→60	52	173/278/262	89	263	7	32	33%	12%	53	-1.5	178/261/269	91	271	9	28	34%	10%	46	-2.0	178/251/269	91	257	10	29	33%	9%	39	-1.5
✕Manuel Hilario 2014 · A	22	44	40→45	57→55	47	209/283/310	101	272	6	18	24%	8%	66	-0.6	206/261/285	79	284	5	10	28%	6%	50	-1.8	167/216/208	41	224	4	10	26%	4%	8	-0.8
✕Travis Witherspoon 2011 · A	22	42→47	43→50	58→55	34	209/249/316	107	305	11	13	35%	4%	52	-1.6	212/262/330	118	293	13	23	31%	6%	62	-0.9	209/267/345	136	278	16	25	30%	7%	65	-0.6
✕Johan Mieses 2015 · A	20	43→33	42→55	60→50	42	208/261/317	109	274	8	22	26%	6%	57	-1.2	191/237/342	151	271	18	8	36%	5%	55	-1.4	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Jorge Mateo 2017 · A	22	43→46	41→50	61→65	38	207/250/308	100	288	7	34	30%	5%	50	-1.8	196/238/316	120	289	9	28	34%	5%	47	-1.9	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Jeffrey Baez 2016 · A	22	42→43	42→50	55→60	37	209/243/311	102	277	9	22	28%	4%	48	-1.9	202/252/315	113	270	12	22	29%	6%	53	-1.5	196/251/342	146	261	19	15	32%	6%	58	-0.6
✕Ronaldo Urdaneta 2022 · A	23	42	41→40	58→60	40	198/267/289	91	321	9	25	38%	8%	53	-1.5	189/272/270	81	309	6	19	37%	9%	52	-1.6	97/227/121	24	177	0	28	39%	12%	-4	-1.2
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	184/272/253	69	286	2	24	33%	10%	47	-1.9	206/292/291	85	310	6	17	32%	9%	65	-0.7	198/299/263	65	296	5	23	31%	10%	59	-0.3
✕Todd Hankins 2013 · A	22	41→48	40→45	59→55	38	193/254/286	93	305	7	23	37%	7%	46	-2.0	196/255/289	93	296	8	24	34%	6%	48	-1.9	199/255/291	92	288	8	25	32%	6%	45	-1.4
✕Miguel Hiraldo 2023 · A	22	40→48	42→45	56→55	37	198/247/304	106	299	10	21	36%	6%	48	-1.9	206/251/309	103	330	10	20	39%	5%	51	-1.7	204/249/303	99	331	10	22	40%	4%	46	-1.0