Max Ferguson — OGILVIE

Max Ferguson2B Worcester Red Sox

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AAA H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION218 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.187 / .249 / .285

PA145

HR3

SB6

K%30

BB%8

BABIP252

ISO97

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	152	129	18	4	1	0	20	63	2	15	1	140	265	186	451	47	269	41	13	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	—	152	118	25	6	2	0	31	42	2	15	1	212	384	297	681	85	325	28	20	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	527	446	71	10	6	6	66	169	6	61	5	159	276	249	525	90	236	32	13	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A	2 teams	—	527	416	89	15	8	7	96	127	6	61	5	214	369	339	708	125	287	24	18	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	366	329	54	11	1	4	36	142	1	28	4	164	249	240	489	76	273	39	10	229	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	366	308	72	16	2	5	57	102	1	28	4	234	355	347	703	114	333	28	16	325	107	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	178	161	20	2	0	5	14	62	0	9	3	124	194	230	424	106	155	35	8	192	5	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA	2 teams	—	178	150	29	6	0	4	25	47	0	9	3	193	309	313	622	120	245	26	14	285	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	460	411	72	10	1	7	40	135	3	34	7	175	253	255	509	80	241	29	9	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	AA	2 teams	—	460	386	79	13	1	9	65	102	3	34	7	205	324	313	637	109	254	22	14	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	26	AAA	BOS	—	218	200	43	7	0	7	14	68	0	9	3	215	266	355	621	140	283	31	6	268	63	-9	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
YTD	26	AAA	BOS	—	218	194	51	9	0	8	20	55	0	9	3	263	332	433	765	170	323	25	9	335	114	+3	+1	+0	+1	+6	1.1
ROS	26	AAA	BOS	10%	145	133	25	4	0	3	11	44	0	6	2	187	249	285	534	97	264	30	8	257	55	-7	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
ROS	26	MLB	BOS	10%	15	14	2	0	0	0	1	5	0	1	0	143	200	143	343		270	33	7	258	56	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	26	AAA	BOS	—	233	214	45	7	0	7	15	73	0	10	3	210	262	341	603	131	279	31	6	267	63	-10	+1	+0	+1	+7	-0.2
TOT	26	AAA	BOS	—	363	333	68	11	0	10	25	112	0	15	5	204	260	327	587	123	271	31	7	263	60	-16	+1	+0	+1	+10	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	27	MLB	BOS	31%	336	305	62	10	1	8	27	99	1	14	3	203	270	321	592	118	268	29	8	264	60	-15	+2	+0	+1	+10	-0.3
2028	28	MLB	BOS	42%	364	330	67	11	1	8	29	106	2	14	4	203	271	315	587	112	269	29	8	267	63	-15	+1	-1	+1	+10	-0.3
2029	29	MLB	BOS	46%	373	338	69	12	1	8	30	108	2	14	3	204	273	317	590	112	270	29	8	268	63	-15	+2	-1	+1	+11	-0.3
2027	27	MLB	BOS	31%	104	95	19	3	0	2	8	31	0	4	1	200	262	295	557	95	274	30	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+0	+3	-0.1
2028	28	MLB	BOS	42%	153	139	29	5	0	4	12	44	1	6	1	209	276	331	607	122	275	29	8	268	63	-6	+1	-0	+1	+4	-0.1
2029	29	MLB	BOS	46%	172	155	33	6	0	4	14	50	1	6	2	213	282	329	611	116	276	29	8	269	64	-7	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	444	403	83	14	0	10	35	130	2	17	4	206	273	315	588	109	274	29	8	267	63	-19	+2	-1	+2	+13	-0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	121	20	0	15	51	190	3	25	6	205	271	315	587	110	272	29	8	267	63	-27	+3	-1	+2	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2901	2582	458	74	12	49	273	928	17	195	32	177	260	272	533	95	252	32	9	243	44	-182	+26	-2	+10	+82	-6.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	103	17	3	11	61	208	4	44	7	178	261	275	536	97	253	32	9	243	44	-41	+6	-0	+2	+18	-1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	58	47	8	2	1	0	9	20	2	5	0	170	328	255	583	85	296	34	16	284	75	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	21	ROK	ACL Padres	—	94	71	17	4	1	0	22	22	0	10	1	239	419	324	743	85	340	23	23	351	126	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	—	220	177	30	6	3	4	35	57	3	10	1	169	316	305	621	136	220	26	16	286	77	-6	+2	—	—	+6	0.2
2022	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	—	307	239	59	9	5	3	61	70	3	51	4	247	406	364	770	117	333	23	20	354	129	+10	+9	—	—	+9	2.8
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	—	366	308	72	16	2	5	57	102	1	28	4	234	355	347	703	114	333	28	16	325	107	+3	+4	—	—	+10	1.8
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	94	82	13	2	0	3	11	27	0	6	2	159	258	293	551	134	189	29	12	252	51	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	84	68	16	4	0	1	14	20	0	3	1	235	366	338	704	103	306	24	17	321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	—	68	61	17	5	0	2	6	17	0	3	0	279	343	459	802	180	357	25	9	350	126	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	—	392	325	62	8	1	7	59	85	3	31	7	191	320	286	607	95	235	22	15	284	76	-11	+3	—	—	+11	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	9	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
	/162	664	10	21	239	286	365	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	454	10	18	204	269	317	+2	+1	-0.4	-0.2
	/162	664	15	26	204	269	317	+2.4	+1.5	-0.6	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Ferguson (OGILVIE)	26	35	35	60	60	204/260/327	123	271	10	15	31%	7%	60	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jacob Hannemann 2017 · AA	26	42→41	43→45	58→60	40	209/260/324	115	279	9	24	28%	5%	59	-1.1	200/253/308	108	263	10	26	27%	5%	52	-1.6	188/241/287	99	246	9	29	27%	5%	39	-1.4
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	54→55	46	211/276/296	85	280	5	20	25%	8%	59	-1.1	224/282/323	99	296	7	15	25%	7%	68	-0.5	244/287/356	113	304	6	17	21%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	42	40	55	38	205/255/298	93	300	8	24	33%	6%	50	-1.8	219/277/326	107	312	11	15	31%	6%	67	-0.5	205/263/288	83	291	11	13	32%	5%	48	-0.5
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	57→60	39	193/255/310	117	277	9	24	33%	6%	54	-1.4	219/273/343	124	300	11	17	30%	5%	70	-0.3	224/280/353	129	300	12	21	28%	5%	73	-0.1
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→35	40	54→55	39	192/243/281	89	271	8	17	31%	6%	40	-2.4	229/282/370	141	281	18	11	25%	6%	81	+0.4	236/283/396	160	253	27	6	20%	6%	87	+0.2
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	44	206/273/330	124	274	12	36	29%	8%	67	-0.5	214/277/336	122	294	13	34	30%	7%	70	-0.3	214/278/335	120	296	13	35	31%	7%	67	-0.4
✕Josh Prince 2014 · AAA	26	41→49	41→40	53→60	45	202/268/299	97	269	9	26	27%	8%	56	-1.3	211/283/302	91	278	8	28	25%	9%	63	-0.8	220/298/303	83	297	8	28	26%	10%	67	-0.3
✕Kevin Mattison 2012 · AAA	26	44→49	42→45	61→60	41	212/271/325	113	283	8	30	27%	6%	64	-0.8	195/253/310	115	302	9	24	36%	6%	53	-1.5	174/232/288	114	283	10	25	40%	6%	36	-1.8
✕Tyler Wade 2021 · MLB	26	45→55	42→40	53→60	44	219/279/326	107	284	9	19	25%	7%	68	-0.5	226/296/320	94	297	8	37	25%	8%	73	-0.1	228/297/305	77	304	6	50	25%	8%	66	-0.3
✕Travis Swaggerty 2023 · AAA	25	42→44	45	58→55	43	210/270/336	126	291	11	20	31%	8%	66	-0.6	209/269/323	114	308	9	17	33%	7%	63	-0.9	188/264/249	61	327	0	9	38%	8%	40	-0.4
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	43	37→40	53→55	45	203/274/275	72	293	5	23	30%	8%	53	-1.5	212/276/311	99	306	9	21	31%	8%	63	-0.9	212/279/325	113	292	12	26	30%	8%	64	-0.2
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	43→46	41→45	54→60	50	210/290/306	97	270	9	18	25%	9%	68	-0.5	232/298/332	100	302	9	19	25%	8%	77	+0.1	231/299/314	83	303	7	21	24%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	45→50	40	55	46	212/284/307	94	299	7	21	29%	9%	65	-0.7	195/256/293	98	288	7	17	32%	7%	50	-1.8	140/192/231	91	206	4	22	33%	6%	5	-1.6
✕Michael Siani 2023 · MLB	24	41→44	43→45	60	46	205/272/319	114	263	11	32	26%	8%	63	-0.8	204/276/304	100	278	9	28	28%	8%	61	-1.0	193/270/284	91	271	9	30	30%	9%	52	-1.1
✕Ryan Klosterman 2008 · AA	26	41→45	43→45	55	43	203/267/314	111	263	10	20	26%	6%	60	-1.0	210/273/315	105	278	9	15	26%	7%	63	-0.9	206/273/310	105	273	10	14	27%	8%	59	-0.5
✕Lucius Fox 2022 · AAA	25	43→48	41→40	58→60	47	204/282/305	101	288	8	30	30%	9%	64	-0.8	204/260/301	97	295	9	18	32%	7%	53	-1.5	184/236/261	77	267	8	17	33%	6%	30	-1.0
✕Dave Krynzel 2007 · MLB	25	41→44	42→45	56→55	39	200/255/306	106	292	9	23	34%	6%	53	-1.5	209/262/318	109	302	11	20	33%	6%	59	-1.1	214/258/306	92	312	9	20	33%	5%	50	-1.2
✕Daniel Schneemann 2023 · AA	26	37→47	41→50	54→50	42	188/245/282	94	262	9	19	31%	7%	42	-2.3	223/294/357	134	301	14	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	226/305/375	149	299	15	13	28%	10%	88	+0.7
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44	43→40	55→50	40	213/272/327	115	309	10	19	33%	6%	66	-0.6	214/294/305	91	333	6	15	34%	9%	69	-0.4	200/294/276	76	323	5	17	35%	10%	61	-0.5
✕Stephen Wrenn 2021 · AA	26	41→43	42→45	58→60	38	201/260/313	112	299	9	25	34%	6%	56	-1.3	214/271/338	124	329	13	22	37%	6%	68	-0.5	199/257/318	119	311	13	29	38%	5%	54	-0.8