Max Ferguson — OGILVIE

Max Ferguson2B Portland Sea Dogs

Age 26 L/R 6'1" / 180 lbs AA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 0.2 · 2026

wRC+†78

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .270 / .291

PA250

HR4

SB12

K%30

BB%9

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

35→35

PWR

35→35

SPD

60→60

EYE

53↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.2peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	+0.1	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-0.1M		$-12M	-$12M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	ROK	2 teams	152	130	18	4	1	0	19	61	2	15	1	.138	.258	.185	.443	.046	.257	40	12	.220	26	-13	+3	+0	+1	+4	-0.5
2022	22	A	2 teams	527	448	74	11	6	7	64	167	6	61	5	.165	.278	.263	.541	.098	.241	32	12	.243	45	-33	+10	+0	+2	+15	-0.6
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	366	332	57	12	1	4	33	136	1	28	4	.172	.249	.250	.499	.078	.276	37	9	.232	36	-27	+4	+0	+1	+10	-1.1
2024	24	AA	2 teams	178	161	21	3	0	5	14	64	0	9	3	.130	.200	.242	.442	.112	.168	36	8	.196	8	-18	+1	+0	+1	+5	-1.2
2025	25	AA	2 teams	460	408	71	10	1	7	43	131	3	34	7	.174	.258	.255	.513	.081	.236	28	9	.234	37	-33	+4	+0	+2	+13	-1.4
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	26	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	36	34	11	2	0	3	2	12	0	2	2	.324	.361	.647	1.008	.324	.421	33	6	.388	155	+2	-0	+0	+0	+1	0.3
ROS	26	MLB	BOS	214	192	40	7	1	5	19	65	1	10	3	.208	.283	.333	.616	.125	.277	30	9	.271	65	-8	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.1
TOT	26	MLB	BOS	250	226	51	9	1	8	21	77	1	12	5	.226	.294	.381	.675	.155	.303	31	8	.288	78	-6	+0	+0	+1	+7	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	27	MLB 11%	BOS	336	300	64	11	1	8	31	92	2	14	4	.213	.291	.337	.628	.123	.272	27	9	.279	72	-11	+1	+0	+1	+10	0.1
2028	28	MLB 22%	BOS	364	326	69	12	1	9	33	99	2	14	4	.212	.288	.337	.626	.126	.273	27	9	.282	74	-11	+1	-1	+1	+10	0.1
2029	29	MLB 34%	BOS	373	334	71	12	1	9	34	101	2	14	4	.213	.289	.335	.625	.123	.273	27	9	.282	74	-11	+1	-1	+1	+11	0.1
2030	30	MLB 44%	BOS	378	338	71	12	1	9	35	103	2	13	3	.210	.288	.331	.619	.121	.272	27	9	.280	72	-12	+1	-2	+1	+11	-0.1
2031	31	MLB 53%	BOS	369	330	68	12	1	8	34	103	2	10	3	.206	.284	.321	.605	.115	.271	28	9	.276	69	-13	+1	-3	+1	+10	-0.3
2032	32	MLB 64%	BOS	354	317	64	11	1	7	32	100	2	9	2	.202	.279	.309	.588	.107	.269	28	9	.271	66	-14	+1	-4	+1	+10	-0.5
2033	33	MLB 82%	BOS	326	291	59	10	1	7	30	95	2	7	2	.203	.282	.316	.598	.113	.268	29	9	.266	62	-14	+1	-4	+1	+9	-0.7
2034	34	MLB	BOS	284	255	49	8	1	5	26	85	1	5	1	.192	.270	.290	.560	.098	.266	30	9	.260	57	-14	+1	-5	+1	+8	-0.9
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			4681	4162	796	135	18	90	447	1402	28	243	46	.191	.274	.297	.571	.106	.262	30	10	.259	56	-230	+30	-20	+17	+133	-7.2
/ 162G	—			650	578	110	19	2	12	62	195	4	34	6	.190	.273	.292	.566	.102	.262	30	10	.259	56	-32	+4	-3	+2	+18	-1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	21	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	58	47	8	2	1	0	9	20	2	5	0	.170	.328	.255	.583	.085	.296	34	16	.284	75	-2	+1	—	—	+2	0.1
2021	21	ROK	ACL Padres	94	71	17	4	1	0	22	22	0	10	1	.239	.419	.324	.743	.085	.340	23	23	.351	126	+3	+2	—	—	+3	0.7
2022	22	A+	Greenville Drive	220	177	30	6	3	4	35	57	3	10	1	.169	.316	.305	.621	.136	.220	26	16	.286	77	-6	+2	—	—	+6	0.2
2022	22	A	Lake Elsinore Storm	307	239	59	9	5	3	61	70	3	51	4	.247	.406	.364	.770	.117	.333	23	20	.354	129	+10	+9	—	—	+9	2.8
2023	23	A+	Greenville Drive	366	308	72	16	2	5	57	102	1	28	4	.234	.355	.347	.703	.114	.333	28	16	.325	107	+3	+4	—	—	+10	1.8
2024	24	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	94	82	13	2	0	3	11	27	0	6	2	.159	.258	.293	.551	.134	.189	29	12	.252	51	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2024	24	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	84	68	16	4	0	1	14	20	0	3	1	.235	.366	.338	.704	.103	.306	24	17	.321	104	+0	+0	—	—	+2	0.3
2025	25	AAA	Worcester Red Sox	68	61	17	5	0	2	6	17	0	3	0	.279	.343	.459	.802	.180	.357	25	9	.350	126	+2	+1	—	—	+2	0.5
2025	25	AA	Portland Sea Dogs	392	325	62	8	1	7	59	85	3	31	7	.191	.320	.286	.607	.095	.235	22	15	.284	76	-11	+3	—	—	+11	0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Max Ferguson (OGILVIE)	26	35	35	60	60	.192/.270/.291	.099	.266	4	11	30%	9%	56	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adam Engel 2018 · MLB	26	39→48	43→50	58→60	40	.195/.257/.310	.114	.277	9	26	32%	6%	54	-1.4	.220/.274/.346	.126	.300	11	17	29%	5%	71	-0.3	.227/.287/.366	.138	.305	13	23	28%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Michael Gigliotti 2023 · AA	27	42	46→40	57→55	48	.206/.304/.336	.130	.293	14	25	32%	10%	82	+0.5	.214/.310/.321	.107	.288	9	17	26%	10%	81	+0.4	.206/.316/.294	.088	.270	5	13	23%	12%	76	+0.0
✕Jeff Duncan 2005 · MLB	26	43→46	41→45	53→60	50	.211/.291/.309	.098	.272	9	17	25%	9%	69	-0.4	.230/.296/.332	.102	.300	10	19	25%	8%	76	+0.1	.230/.297/.313	.083	.301	8	21	25%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Mike Antico 2023 · AA	25	41→42	45	62→60	45	.206/.275/.333	.127	.274	13	35	29%	8%	69	-0.4	.213/.276/.339	.126	.288	13	35	29%	7%	70	-0.3	.215/.278/.338	.123	.290	14	35	30%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Jacob Hannemann 2018 · MLB	27	41→43	43→45	57→60	40	.204/.256/.319	.115	.274	9	25	29%	5%	56	-1.3	.201/.252/.307	.106	.262	10	25	26%	5%	51	-1.7	.188/.238/.281	.093	.238	10	28	25%	5%	35	-1.3
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2022 · AAA	26	43	45	55→60	41	.205/.276/.321	.115	.320	13	25	38%	8%	66	-0.6	.220/.296/.341	.121	.326	14	24	34%	9%	79	+0.3	.216/.284/.321	.105	.297	11	48	29%	8%	65	-0.3
✕Adam Heisler 2014 · AAA	26	44→45	38→40	54→55	45	.211/.270/.295	.084	.276	5	19	25%	7%	56	-1.3	.222/.278/.320	.098	.290	7	16	24%	7%	66	-0.6	.240/.283/.355	.115	.295	6	17	20%	5%	70	-0.1
✕Elih Marrero 2023 · AA	26	45	37→40	53→55	46	.209/.281/.284	.076	.299	5	23	30%	9%	58	-1.2	.216/.283/.313	.097	.314	8	21	31%	8%	66	-0.6	.219/.289/.338	.119	.307	12	26	31%	8%	71	-0.1
✕Tyler Wade 2021 · MLB	26	46→55	41→45	52→60	44	.221/.279/.324	.103	.288	8	18	26%	7%	67	-0.5	.225/.296/.319	.094	.297	8	36	25%	8%	73	-0.1	.228/.299/.306	.078	.305	6	50	25%	8%	67	-0.3
✕Daniel Schneemann 2023 · AA	26	39→49	41→50	54→50	42	.197/.253/.292	.095	.271	10	18	30%	7%	48	-1.9	.223/.293/.356	.133	.299	13	15	28%	9%	82	+0.5	.226/.305/.377	.151	.297	15	13	28%	10%	89	+0.7
✕Chad Hinshaw 2017 · AA	26	44	43→45	55	41	.213/.289/.329	.116	.307	11	26	32%	7%	74	-0.1	.199/.262/.295	.096	.300	8	15	34%	6%	53	-1.5	.177/.235/.263	.086	.267	7	11	34%	6%	30	-1.5
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2016 · AAA	25	43→53	38→40	54→55	42	.204/.261/.283	.079	.290	6	22	30%	7%	49	-1.8	.215/.270/.309	.094	.315	8	16	32%	6%	59	-1.1	.221/.280/.302	.081	.332	7	11	33%	6%	59	-0.3
✕Vance Vizcaino 2021 · AA	26	44	40	54→55	38	.209/.258/.302	.093	.306	7	22	33%	6%	52	-1.6	.219/.277/.326	.107	.317	11	16	32%	6%	67	-0.5	.205/.263/.288	.083	.295	11	13	33%	6%	49	-0.5
✕Thomas Milone 2021 · AA	26	48→46	41→45	56→55	41	.228/.279/.337	.110	.312	7	16	28%	6%	70	-0.3	.227/.293/.351	.124	.339	11	16	33%	8%	80	+0.4	.219/.290/.342	.123	.335	12	17	35%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Clay Dungan 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	42→45	53→55	45	.211/.271/.315	.103	.257	10	19	22%	6%	62	-0.9	.213/.286/.318	.105	.287	8	21	27%	8%	69	-0.4	.212/.293/.322	.110	.299	8	24	29%	9%	71	-0.2
✕Joseph Rosa 2023 · AAA	26	44→43	44→40	55→50	41	.215/.277/.335	.120	.309	11	19	33%	7%	69	-0.4	.216/.295/.313	.097	.331	7	15	34%	9%	72	-0.2	.207/.298/.290	.083	.327	6	17	34%	10%	66	-0.3
✕Matt Rudick 2023 · AAA	25	42→43	39→45	54→50	48	.199/.280/.291	.091	.249	5	15	21%	8%	60	-1.0	.215/.301/.334	.119	.270	11	14	23%	9%	80	+0.4	.216/.307/.343	.128	.271	13	14	24%	10%	82	+0.3
✕Thomas Coyle 2016 · AA	25	46→51	40	55	48	.216/.288/.310	.094	.295	6	21	27%	9%	67	-0.5	.194/.254/.292	.098	.284	7	18	32%	7%	48	-1.9	.140/.189/.234	.095	.202	5	22	32%	6%	5	-1.6
✕Kevin Mattison 2012 · AAA	26	42→47	42→45	60	40	.205/.262/.316	.111	.273	9	30	28%	6%	58	-1.2	.191/.248/.300	.109	.292	9	24	36%	6%	48	-1.9	.166/.224/.274	.107	.271	10	25	40%	6%	29	-2.0
✕Kevin Merrell 2022 · AAA	26	39→37	39→40	55	38	.191/.239/.275	.083	.270	6	17	31%	5%	37	-2.7	.225/.279/.359	.134	.278	17	11	25%	6%	77	+0.1	.233/.280/.381	.148	.251	24	6	19%	6%	82	+0.1

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)