John Rhodes — OGILVIE

John RhodesOF Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

wRC+†47

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .252 / .284

PA320

HR6

K%33

BB%7

MLB%2%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

30→30

PWR

35→35

SPD

45→45

EYE

45↗55

trajectory · 10 yrs

-0.9peak

2028

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Arb-1	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.2M	—	—	—
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$0.4M	—	—	—
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$0.6M	—	—	—
Totals		$-14M		$-39M	-$25M

Underwater contract
Projected production over the remaining contract is worth -$25M less than the salary owed. Most often this reflects an aging-curve fade that was visible at signing — the team paid a premium for the early years.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	2 teams	123	113	25	3	0	2	7	25	3	6	0	.221	.285	.301	.585	.080	.267	20	6	.252	51	-7	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
2022	21	A+	2 teams	352	309	59	14	4	4	30	95	10	16	0	.191	.284	.301	.585	.110	.258	27	9	.262	59	-16	+3	+0	-2	+10	-0.5
2023	22	AA	2 teams	546	496	92	20	3	14	43	186	5	9	1	.185	.257	.323	.580	.137	.262	34	8	.256	54	-28	+1	+0	-3	+15	-1.5
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	413	386	62	12	0	5	21	130	5	4	1	.161	.214	.231	.444	.070	.226	31	5	.200	11	-41	+0	+0	-2	+12	-3.2
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	430	387	61	8	1	6	35	147	6	9	3	.158	.238	.230	.468	.072	.233	34	8	.218	25	-36	+1	+0	-3	+12	-2.7
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	LAD	320	290	54	10	1	6	24	105	3	4	1	.186	.256	.290	.545	.103	.263	33	8	.247	47	-19	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	26	MLB 11%	LAD	362	327	62	11	1	7	28	115	4	5	1	.190	.262	.294	.555	.104	.267	32	8	.256	54	-19	+1	+0	-2	+10	-1.0
2028	27	MLB 26%	LAD	386	349	68	13	1	8	30	121	4	5	1	.195	.266	.307	.573	.112	.269	31	8	.261	58	-18	+1	+0	-2	+11	-0.9
2029	28	MLB 38%	LAD	399	360	70	13	1	8	32	124	4	5	1	.194	.268	.303	.570	.108	.270	31	8	.263	60	-18	+1	-1	-2	+11	-1.0
2030	29	MLB 47%	LAD	399	360	70	13	1	8	32	124	4	4	1	.194	.268	.303	.570	.108	.270	31	8	.263	59	-18	+0	-1	-2	+11	-1.1
2031	30	MLB 56%	LAD	398	359	69	13	1	8	32	125	4	3	0	.192	.266	.301	.567	.109	.268	31	8	.260	57	-19	+1	-2	-2	+11	-1.2
2032	31	MLB 73%	LAD	386	348	67	12	1	8	31	123	4	2	0	.193	.266	.302	.568	.109	.267	32	8	.256	54	-20	+0	-3	-2	+11	-1.4
2033	32	MLB 91%	LAD	369	333	62	11	1	7	29	119	4	0	0	.186	.260	.288	.548	.102	.265	32	8	.251	50	-21	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.6
2034	33	MLB	LAD	341	308	56	10	1	6	27	113	3	0	0	.182	.254	.279	.534	.097	.263	33	8	.246	46	-21	+0	-4	-2	+10	-1.8
2035	34	MLB	LAD	298	270	49	9	1	5	23	101	3	0	0	.181	.253	.278	.531	.096	.261	34	8	.240	42	-20	+0	-5	-2	+8	-1.8
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			5522	4995	926	172	18	102	424	1753	66	72	10	.185	.258	.288	.546	.103	.260	32	8	.248	48	-322	+10	-20	-33	+156	-21.2
/ 162G	—			650	588	109	20	2	12	50	206	8	8	1	.185	.259	.287	.546	.102	.260	32	8	.248	48	-38	+1	-2	-4	+18	-2.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	105	94	25	4	0	2	9	16	2	6	0	.266	.343	.372	.715	.106	.303	15	9	.326	108	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2021	20	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	18	14	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	.214	.389	.214	.603	.000	.273	17	17	.308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	104	90	17	3	2	0	12	22	1	0	0	.189	.291	.267	.558	.078	.246	21	12	.260	57	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	248	201	52	15	2	5	35	50	9	16	0	.259	.390	.428	.818	.169	.318	20	14	.367	139	+11	+3	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	468	408	93	22	3	17	53	123	5	8	1	.228	.324	.422	.746	.194	.281	26	11	.332	112	+6	+1	—	—	+13	2.1
2023	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	78	70	10	4	0	2	8	26	0	1	0	.143	.231	.286	.516	.143	.190	33	10	.237	40	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	413	376	76	16	0	8	31	98	5	4	1	.202	.272	.309	.580	.106	.251	24	8	.265	61	-18	+0	—	—	+12	-0.6
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	430	368	72	11	1	7	54	111	6	9	3	.196	.308	.288	.596	.092	.258	26	13	.280	72	-13	+1	—	—	+12	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Rhodes (OGILVIE)	25	30	35	45	55	.184/.252/.284	.100	.263	6	4	33%	7%	47	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	39→33	44→45	48→45	42	.196/.263/.315	.118	.271	12	9	31%	7%	59	-1.1	.204/.262/.318	.114	.295	12	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.195/.242/.316	.121	.282	13	0	35%	5%	50	-0.5
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→40	44→45	43→45	48	.192/.276/.305	.113	.261	12	6	30%	9%	63	-0.9	.193/.276/.302	.109	.277	10	6	32%	9%	62	-0.9	.109/.220/.196	.087	.164	8	0	36%	9%	11	-1.0
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	46→50	44	.184/.253/.297	.113	.252	12	5	31%	8%	50	-1.7	.191/.266/.309	.118	.292	13	14	36%	9%	59	-1.1	.170/.258/.270	.101	.271	11	16	38%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Quincy McAfee 2023 · AA	25	39	43→45	43→45	46	.192/.280/.301	.108	.265	11	7	30%	9%	63	-0.8	.198/.277/.336	.138	.251	16	10	27%	7%	71	-0.3	.186/.266/.336	.150	.221	18	12	25%	7%	63	-0.5
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→29	42→45	48→50	42	.191/.254/.286	.095	.257	11	14	30%	7%	47	-1.9	.192/.267/.310	.118	.259	14	15	30%	8%	59	-1.1	.186/.266/.299	.113	.246	14	14	29%	9%	54	-0.9
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	.183/.273/.272	.089	.281	8	7	35%	9%	53	-1.5	.192/.275/.296	.104	.296	10	10	35%	9%	59	-1.1	.166/.255/.274	.108	.249	11	13	35%	9%	43	-1.1
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	43→40	50	47	.190/.271/.298	.108	.259	11	13	30%	9%	59	-1.1	.198/.292/.298	.100	.275	9	11	29%	10%	68	-0.5	.183/.296/.269	.086	.255	8	11	28%	12%	59	-0.7
✕Jayson Langfels 2014 · AA	25	42→32	43→40	46→50	37	.201/.264/.310	.109	.312	11	11	37%	6%	58	-1.2	.206/.279/.294	.088	.335	7	14	38%	7%	60	-1.0	.202/.285/.272	.070	.341	4	17	38%	8%	54	-0.8
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	.177/.239/.273	.095	.270	8	7	36%	7%	37	-2.6	.200/.266/.312	.112	.290	11	7	33%	7%	59	-1.1	.191/.265/.302	.110	.270	10	5	31%	8%	52	-0.8
✕Chase Pinder 2022 · AA	26	38	42→45	43→45	44	.190/.273/.285	.095	.272	10	5	32%	8%	56	-1.3	.226/.321/.370	.144	.293	15	10	26%	11%	98	+1.6	.221/.324/.370	.149	.286	16	11	27%	12%	97	+0.8
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	39	41→40	45	36	.193/.251/.293	.100	.287	9	5	35%	5%	48	-1.9	.216/.266/.305	.089	.313	7	8	31%	5%	56	-1.3	.221/.270/.295	.074	.319	5	8	31%	5%	52	-0.6
✕Trevor Schwecke 2023 · AAA	25	40	43→45	42→50	39	.196/.257/.308	.111	.294	11	7	36%	7%	54	-1.4	.222/.280/.337	.115	.319	10	13	32%	7%	71	-0.3	.230/.289/.344	.113	.326	10	17	30%	7%	74	-0.0
✕Dylan Rosa 2021 · AA	25	38→31	44→45	49→45	37	.192/.247/.304	.112	.288	12	9	36%	6%	49	-1.8	.192/.246/.327	.135	.337	16	8	45%	6%	55	-1.4	.158/.215/.300	.142	.290	19	6	50%	5%	32	-1.0
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	39	43→45	48→45	41	.195/.262/.303	.109	.277	11	9	33%	7%	56	-1.3	.195/.261/.328	.133	.290	14	9	36%	7%	62	-0.9	.146/.214/.300	.154	.201	19	9	38%	6%	32	-0.7
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39→38	41→40	46→45	43	.194/.253/.290	.095	.251	9	7	26%	6%	47	-1.9	.207/.269/.300	.093	.281	10	10	28%	7%	57	-1.2	.200/.267/.275	.075	.273	9	10	29%	7%	46	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	38	41→45	45	42	.191/.251/.292	.101	.267	9	8	31%	7%	47	-1.9	.183/.267/.313	.130	.280	16	7	37%	10%	61	-1.0	.145/.237/.274	.129	.209	19	3	39%	10%	37	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	35→29	39→45	46→40	35	.177/.223/.265	.088	.275	7	5	37%	5%	27	-3.3	.194/.242/.308	.114	.294	12	4	36%	6%	47	-1.9	.190/.238/.309	.119	.280	15	3	37%	5%	45	-1.3
✕JJ Schwarz 2021 · A	25	39	41→45	48→30	44	.192/.259/.283	.091	.263	8	6	29%	8%	49	-1.8	.208/.276/.329	.121	.293	14	3	32%	8%	68	-0.5	.201/.273/.323	.122	.280	15	1	32%	9%	62	-0.5
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	37	38→40	45→40	39	.179/.256/.255	.076	.265	6	5	33%	6%	41	-2.3	.189/.268/.274	.085	.271	7	6	31%	7%	51	-1.7	.144/.247/.211	.068	.201	5	0	28%	8%	25	-0.8
✕Chadd Krist 2015 · A	25	40	41→40	44→45	43	.198/.262/.299	.100	.269	8	6	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.191/.246/.291	.100	.279	10	6	33%	6%	45	-2.1	.147/.198/.242	.094	.211	11	0	36%	5%	8	-1.4

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)