John Rhodes — OGILVIE

John RhodesOF Tulsa Drillers

Age 25 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 320 proj PA

wRC+†37

AVG/OBP/SLG.177 / .242 / .263

PA320

HR5

K%33

BB%7

ISO87

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	123	112	24	3	0	1	8	25	3	6	0	214	285	268	552	54	267	20	7	252	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	20	A	2 teams	—	123	108	28	4	0	2	12	19	3	6	0	259	350	352	701	93	299	15	10	323	106	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	2 teams	—	352	306	61	15	4	4	33	97	10	16	0	199	298	314	612	114	274	28	9	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A+	2 teams	—	352	291	69	18	4	5	47	72	10	16	0	237	361	378	739	141	295	20	13	336	115	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	546	496	89	19	3	12	43	190	5	9	1	179	252	302	554	123	260	35	8	245	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	AA	2 teams	—	546	478	103	26	3	19	61	149	5	9	1	215	311	402	712	186	269	27	11	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	413	387	58	11	0	4	20	134	5	4	1	150	201	209	411	59	216	32	5	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	413	376	76	16	0	8	31	98	5	4	1	202	272	309	580	106	251	24	8	265	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	430	389	66	9	1	7	33	148	6	9	3	170	245	252	497	82	250	34	8	222	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	430	368	72	11	1	7	54	111	6	9	3	196	308	288	596	92	258	26	13	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season
2026	25	MLB	LAD	—	320	292	52	9	1	5	22	104	3	4	1	178	243	267	510	89	254	32	7	234	37	-23	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	LAD	31%	362	329	61	11	1	6	26	114	4	5	1	185	253	280	533	94	259	31	7	245	46	-22	+1	+0	-2	+10	-1.4
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	386	351	66	12	1	7	28	119	4	5	1	188	256	288	544	100	261	31	7	251	50	-22	+1	+0	-2	+11	-1.3
2029	28	MLB	LAD	48%	399	362	69	12	1	8	30	122	4	5	1	191	260	296	556	105	263	31	8	254	52	-21	+1	-1	-2	+11	-1.3
2027	26	MLB	LAD	31%	112	102	18	3	0	2	8	35	1	2	0	176	243	265	508	88	255	31	7	234	37	-8	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.5
2028	27	MLB	LAD	42%	162	147	27	5	0	3	12	50	2	2	1	184	255	279	534	95	258	31	7	240	42	-11	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.7
2029	28	MLB	LAD	48%	191	173	34	6	1	4	14	59	2	3	1	197	265	312	577	116	259	31	7	243	44	-12	+0	-0	-1	+5	-0.8
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	465	422	79	14	1	9	34	144	5	7	2	187	256	289	545	102	257	31	7	240	42	-31	+1	-0	-3	+13	-2.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	111	20	1	13	48	201	7	10	3	188	257	292	549	103	258	31	7	240	42	-43	+1	-0	-4	+18	-2.9
Career	—			—	3331	3024	546	101	12	54	243	1053	44	63	9	181	252	275	527	95	255	32	7	239	41	-223	+9	-1	-20	+94	-14.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	107	20	2	11	47	205	9	12	2	181	252	278	530	97	255	32	7	239	41	-44	+2	-0	-4	+18	-2.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	20	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	105	94	25	4	0	2	9	16	2	6	0	266	343	372	715	106	303	15	9	326	108	+1	+1	—	—	+3	0.5
2021	20	ROK	FCL Orioles Black	—	18	14	3	0	0	0	3	3	1	0	0	214	389	214	603		273	17	17	308	94	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2022	21	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	104	90	17	3	2	0	12	22	1	0	0	189	291	267	558	78	246	21	12	260	57	-5	+0	—	—	+3	-0.2
2022	21	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	248	201	52	15	2	5	35	50	9	16	0	259	390	428	818	169	318	20	14	367	139	+11	+3	—	—	+7	2.2
2023	22	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	468	408	93	22	3	17	53	123	5	8	1	228	324	422	746	194	281	26	11	332	112	+6	+1	—	—	+13	2.1
2023	22	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	78	70	10	4	0	2	8	26	0	1	0	143	231	286	516	143	190	33	10	237	40	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2024	23	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	413	376	76	16	0	8	31	98	5	4	1	202	272	309	580	106	251	24	8	265	61	-18	+0	—	—	+12	-0.6
2025	24	AA	Tulsa Drillers	—	430	368	72	11	1	7	54	111	6	9	3	196	308	288	596	92	258	26	13	280	72	-13	+1	—	—	+12	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	472	9	6	190	256	292	-3	+0	-1.6	-0.8
	/162	664	12	9	190	256	292	-4.0	+0.0	-2.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
John Rhodes (OGILVIE)	25	30	35	45	55	177/242/263	86	254	5	4	33%	7%	37	-1.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→33	43→45	48→45	41	191/257/300	109	268	10	9	32%	7%	53	-1.5	202/261/308	106	298	10	7	33%	7%	56	-1.3	189/237/299	111	279	11	0	35%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Anthony Mulrine 2023 · AAA	25	36	37→40	45→40	39	177/253/247	71	262	5	5	32%	6%	38	-2.6	192/271/279	87	273	7	6	30%	7%	53	-1.5	147/251/218	70	204	5	0	28%	8%	28	-0.7
✕Joe Cronin 2019 · AA	25	38	40→45	45→50	44	181/274/268	88	287	8	7	37%	9%	53	-1.5	196/278/301	105	300	9	11	35%	8%	62	-0.9	171/260/279	108	256	10	13	35%	9%	46	-1.0
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	35→37	37→40	43→45	42	172/248/244	72	250	5	8	31%	7%	35	-2.8	192/256/268	76	294	6	7	34%	7%	43	-2.2	166/232/217	51	261	3	3	35%	7%	17	-2.1
✕Chris Givin 2022 · AA	25	38	38→30	50→45	42	186/246/261	75	259	6	6	30%	7%	37	-2.6	202/265/279	77	274	6	7	26%	7%	50	-1.8	195/263/252	57	256	4	5	24%	8%	40	-1.1
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	36	44→45	47→50	43	187/255/303	116	259	12	5	32%	8%	53	-1.5	191/267/312	121	296	14	14	37%	9%	60	-1.0	169/257/271	103	275	11	16	40%	10%	43	-1.1
✕Olivier Basabe 2022 · AA	25	39	43→40	45	42	197/254/301	103	257	11	7	28%	6%	50	-1.7	210/271/311	101	292	11	10	30%	7%	61	-1.0	199/266/281	82	279	10	10	31%	7%	47	-0.9
✕Caleb Hamilton 2019 · A	24	34	41→45	45	46	172/252/271	98	253	7	6	33%	9%	43	-2.2	186/255/287	101	275	10	8	33%	8%	48	-1.9	145/239/282	137	205	21	3	40%	10%	39	-0.8
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	34	40→45	50→45	38	172/234/264	91	270	8	7	38%	7%	33	-2.9	198/262/311	113	286	10	8	32%	7%	57	-1.2	182/252/296	114	256	10	5	31%	7%	45	-1.0
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	37→39	42→45	47→50	38	186/242/289	103	277	10	12	35%	6%	43	-2.2	197/252/301	104	308	9	13	37%	6%	50	-1.8	206/260/308	103	297	8	9	32%	6%	52	-1.0
✕Nick Quintana 2023 · AA	25	38→39	43→45	42→45	48	190/274/298	109	258	11	5	30%	10%	60	-1.0	194/275/299	105	281	10	7	32%	9%	61	-1.0	106/214/187	81	163	7	0	37%	8%	7	-1.1
✕Rylan Sandoval 2013 · AA	25	38	41→40	45	35	187/242/284	97	286	9	5	36%	5%	42	-2.3	210/261/294	84	310	6	8	32%	6%	52	-1.6	210/261/280	69	308	5	8	31%	5%	44	-0.8
✕Jonathan Engelmann 2022 · AA	25	37	45	47→45	41	189/259/305	116	274	13	9	34%	7%	55	-1.4	197/263/332	135	295	15	9	36%	7%	63	-0.8	145/214/301	156	204	19	9	39%	6%	31	-0.8
✕D.K. Carey 2017 · A	25	38→36	41→40	39→45	46	188/260/281	93	256	9	7	29%	8%	49	-1.8	192/268/279	87	293	7	6	34%	9%	52	-1.6	155/246/216	62	256	3	2	37%	10%	24	-1.5
✕Jordan Betts 2017 · AA	25	34→27	41→45	45→40	34	174/219/271	97	274	8	4	39%	5%	27	-3.3	190/236/303	113	293	12	4	38%	5%	43	-2.2	180/226/293	113	272	14	3	38%	5%	36	-1.7
✕Liam Spence 2023 · A	25	37	41→40	48→45	42	184/254/275	91	273	9	6	34%	8%	45	-2.1	198/269/287	89	308	7	8	35%	8%	54	-1.4	149/242/196	47	252	3	7	38%	10%	17	-0.7
✕Raoul Torrez 2013 · AA	25	37	41→40	48→45	38	186/251/281	95	273	9	6	34%	6%	45	-2.1	189/246/276	87	329	8	9	42%	6%	41	-2.3	147/202/211	63	302	6	9	50%	4%	4	-1.7
✕Connor Blair 2022 · A	24	37	39→45	48→45	45	178/255/258	80	271	7	11	34%	9%	40	-2.4	199/285/312	113	313	12	8	37%	9%	68	-0.5	163/272/277	114	257	15	5	39%	11%	52	-0.5
✕George Soto 2011 · A	25	34	36→40	44→45	40	169/238/230	61	247	5	8	32%	6%	27	-3.3	190/261/281	91	262	7	8	28%	8%	49	-1.8	163/239/259	97	213	9	7	27%	8%	37	-1.0