David Masters
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 25 | A+Potomac Natio… | 353 | .239/.361/.355 | 6 | 0 | 51 | — | .185/.269/.272 |
| 2019 | 26 | AA/A+2 orgs | 271 | .261/.346/.475 | 12 | 0 | 72 | — | .209/.268/.377 |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA/AASEA | 140 | .211/.302/.415 | 7 | 2 | 48 | — | .170/.230/.333 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 176 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 182 | 284 | 239 | 522 | 57 | 252 | 24 | 10 | 248 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 64 | 58 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 207 | 233 | 241 | 475 | 34 | 214 | 8 | 3 | 203 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A | Hagerstown Suns | — | 346 | 296 | 68 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 38 | 64 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 230 | 329 | 294 | 623 | 64 | 284 | 18 | 11 | 288 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 267 | 236 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 56 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 261 | 280 | 541 | 106 | 199 | 21 | 9 | 249 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 338 | 295 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 329 | 376 | 706 | 136 | 276 | 18 | 11 | 317 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 353 | 293 | 70 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 50 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 239 | 361 | 355 | 716 | 116 | 306 | 22 | 14 | 328 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 79 | 69 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 338 | 377 | 714 | 116 | 333 | 23 | 10 | 316 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ | Potomac Nationals | — | 192 | 169 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 11 | 20 | 42 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 349 | 515 | 864 | 254 | 284 | 22 | 10 | 379 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 83 | 267 | 333 | 600 | 250 | 27 | 20 | 278 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 125 | 111 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 39 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 225 | 306 | 423 | 730 | 198 | 288 | 31 | 9 | 323 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 183 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 148 | 224 | 191 | 415 | 44 | 232 | 33 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 64 | 59 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 186 | 200 | 220 | 420 | 34 | 185 | 11 | 2 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 346 | 310 | 57 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 88 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 184 | 256 | 239 | 495 | 55 | 238 | 25 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 267 | 245 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 82 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 205 | 229 | 433 | 86 | 178 | 31 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 338 | 308 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 243 | 266 | 509 | 88 | 226 | 27 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 353 | 313 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 112 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 185 | 269 | 272 | 541 | 86 | 263 | 32 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 79 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 286 | 333 | 619 | 97 | 310 | 28 | 6 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 192 | 177 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 260 | 395 | 656 | 198 | 240 | 32 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AAA MLE | Tacoma Rainiers | — | 15 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 77 | 200 | 308 | 508 | 231 | 33 | 13 | 189 | 14 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2021 | 28 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 125 | 116 | 21 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 181 | 234 | 336 | 570 | 155 | 244 | 38 | 5 | 245 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 183 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 148 | 224 | 191 | 415 | 44 | 233 | 33 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A RAW | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 176 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 49 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 182 | 284 | 239 | 522 | 57 | 252 | 24 | 10 | 248 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 369 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 95 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 182 | 245 | 230 | 475 | 49 | 235 | 23 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 410 | 354 | 80 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 40 | 69 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 226 | 315 | 285 | 600 | 59 | 271 | 17 | 10 | 275 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 267 | 245 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 82 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 143 | 205 | 229 | 433 | 86 | 188 | 31 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 267 | 236 | 41 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 56 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 174 | 261 | 280 | 541 | 106 | 199 | 21 | 9 | 249 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 338 | 308 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 243 | 266 | 509 | 88 | 233 | 27 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 338 | 295 | 71 | 14 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 241 | 329 | 376 | 706 | 136 | 276 | 18 | 11 | 317 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 353 | 313 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 112 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 185 | 269 | 272 | 541 | 86 | 269 | 32 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ RAW | Potomac Nationals | — | 353 | 293 | 70 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 50 | 79 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 239 | 361 | 355 | 716 | 116 | 306 | 22 | 14 | 328 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 249 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 268 | 378 | 645 | 169 | 268 | 31 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 271 | 238 | 62 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 28 | 60 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 261 | 346 | 475 | 821 | 214 | 299 | 22 | 10 | 360 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 140 | 129 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 171 | 230 | 333 | 564 | 163 | 225 | 37 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 140 | 123 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 302 | 415 | 717 | 203 | 260 | 31 | 10 | 318 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 21 | A MLE | Hagerstown Suns | — | 203 | 183 | 27 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 67 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 148 | 224 | 191 | 415 | 44 | 232 | 33 | 6 | 193 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 410 | 376 | 67 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 95 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 178 | 245 | 226 | 471 | 48 | 230 | 23 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 23 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 267 | 246 | 35 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 82 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 142 | 205 | 228 | 432 | 85 | 178 | 31 | 5 | 188 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 24 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 338 | 309 | 55 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 91 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 243 | 265 | 508 | 87 | 226 | 27 | 7 | 225 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 25 | A+ MLE | Potomac Nationals | — | 353 | 314 | 58 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 112 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 185 | 269 | 271 | 540 | 86 | 263 | 32 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 26 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 271 | 249 | 52 | 12 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 83 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 268 | 378 | 645 | 169 | 260 | 31 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 28 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 140 | 129 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 52 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 171 | 230 | 333 | 564 | 163 | 218 | 37 | 6 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1982 | 1796 | 316 | 57 | 4 | 33 | 130 | 582 | 30 | 10 | 15 | 176 | 243 | 267 | 511 | 91 | 237 | 29 | 7 | 225 | 38 | -145 | -4 | +0 | +21 | +43 | -8.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 589 | 104 | 19 | 1 | 11 | 43 | 191 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 177 | 245 | 268 | 513 | 92 | 238 | 29 | 7 | 225 | 38 | -48 | -1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 AAArkansas Travelers · 125 PAwOBA .314 → .245 (−68)K% 31.2% → 37.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.20% | ÷1.013 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.80% | ÷1.144 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.968 | 5.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.968 | 1.32% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.83% | ÷0.999 | ×0.940 | ×0.956 | ×0.968 | 18.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.56% | ÷0.975 | ×0.870 | ×0.956 | ×0.968 | 4.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.892 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.968 | 7.06% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 78, 1B 100, 2B 95, 3B 130, K 103, BB 129 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 24.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .314 → .245; ISO .198 → .162; BABIP .288 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAATacoma Rainiers · 15 PAwOBA .272 → .189 (−83)K% 26.7% → 32.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.67% | ÷0.994 | ×1.200 | — | — | 32.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.045 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.992 | 13.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.930 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.989 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.992 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 12.50% | ÷0.970 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.992 | 8.95% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 94, 1B 90, 2B 98, 3B 95, K 99, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .272 → .189; ISO .250 → .184; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 A+Potomac Nationals · 192 PAwOBA .368 → .278 (−90)K% 21.9% → 31.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.88% | ÷0.983 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.42% | ÷1.023 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.968 | 6.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.968 | 1.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 15.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷0.928 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 6.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.66% | ÷0.988 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.968 | 7.64% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 86, 3B 116, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .368 → .278; ISO .254 → .203; BABIP .284 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAHarrisburg Senators · 79 PAwOBA .312 → .267 (−45)K% 22.8% → 27.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.78% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 27.91% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.13% | ÷1.054 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.53% | ÷0.991 | ×0.970 | — | ×0.988 | 22.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.80% | ÷0.985 | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 8.45% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.111 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 1.36% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 98, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .312 → .267; ISO .116 → .094; BABIP .333 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 A+Potomac Nationals · 353 PAwOBA .321 → .243 (−78)K% 22.4% → 31.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.38% | ÷0.998 | ×1.420 | — | — | 31.83% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.16% | ÷1.013 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.978 | 8.61% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.70% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.978 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.43% | ÷0.992 | ×0.940 | ×0.963 | ×0.978 | 20.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.48% | ÷1.020 | ×0.830 | ×0.963 | ×0.978 | 5.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | ×0.963 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.80% | ÷1.017 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.978 | 2.43% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 98, 2B 104, 3B 80, K 100, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .321 → .243; ISO .116 → .091; BABIP .306 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 A+Potomac Nationals · 338 PAwOBA .311 → .225 (−87)K% 18.3% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.34% | ÷0.963 | ×1.420 | — | — | 27.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.65% | ÷0.982 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.988 | 6.75% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.89% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.60% | ÷1.050 | ×0.940 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 17.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.01% | ÷1.012 | ×0.830 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 4.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.800 | ×0.956 | ×0.988 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.43% | ÷1.368 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.988 | 2.23% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 174, 1B 110, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 93, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .311 → .225; ISO .136 → .089; BABIP .276 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 A+Potomac Nationals · 267 PAwOBA .245 → .188 (−57)K% 21.0% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.97% | ÷0.974 | ×1.420 | — | — | 30.58% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.61% | ÷1.061 | ×0.630 | — | ×0.998 | 5.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.860 | — | ×0.998 | 1.61% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.11% | ÷0.966 | ×0.940 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 14.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.78% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 2.16% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.56% | ÷0.975 | ×0.800 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.43% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.025 | ×0.900 | — | ×0.998 | 2.92% |
Factors used: league row CAR. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 105, 1B 93, 2B 102, 3B 95, K 95, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .245 → .188; ISO .106 → .084; BABIP .199 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AHagerstown Suns · 346 PAwOBA .283 → .218 (−65)K% 18.5% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.50% | ÷0.971 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.98% | ÷1.054 | ×0.660 | — | — | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.73% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.28% | ÷1.047 | ×0.920 | ×0.964 | — | 19.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.992 | ×0.820 | ×0.964 | — | 3.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.43% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.964 | — | 0.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.86% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.72% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 109, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 94, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.964.
Result: wOBA .283 → .218; ISO .064 → .051; BABIP .284 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).