Eric Brown Jr. — OGILVIE

Eric Brown Jr.SS Biloxi Shuckers

Age 25 R/R 5'10" / 190 lbs AA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 ROS PROJECTION194 act + 129 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†45

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .265 / .269

PA129

HR2

K%29

BB%9

BABIP246

ISO87

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 39 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT39

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE47

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	117	102	21	5	1	2	10	31	4	19	2	206	302	333	635	127	271	26	9	272	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	21	A	2 teams	—	117	97	26	7	1	3	15	21	4	19	2	268	388	454	842	186	311	18	13	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	407	361	75	9	0	7	32	102	11	46	8	208	292	291	583	83	267	25	8	259	56	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	22	A+	3 teams	—	407	347	94	15	1	8	46	70	11	46	8	271	374	389	763	118	316	17	11	347	123	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	441	403	65	14	1	3	28	108	6	20	8	161	227	223	450	62	209	24	6	203	14	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	441	390	72	16	1	4	41	83	6	20	8	185	272	262	534	77	221	19	9	249	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	111	105	12	3	0	1	6	39	0	2	2	114	162	171	334	57	169	35	5	147	-29	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	111	102	16	5	0	1	9	26	0	2	2	157	225	235	461	78	200	23	8	215	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	25	AA	MIL	—	194	170	30	4	1	4	21	58	3	7	3	176	278	282	561	106	241	30	11	262	59	-9	+0	+0	+2	+5	-0.1
YTD	25	AA	MIL	—	194	161	34	5	1	5	30	45	3	7	3	211	345	348	693	137	261	23	15	322	104	+1	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.9
ROS	25	AA	MIL	2%	129	115	21	4	0	2	11	37	2	4	2	182	265	269	534	87	249	29	9	243	45	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.3
ROS	25	MLB	MIL	2%	3	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0						247	33	0	232	36	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	25	AA	MIL	—	197	173	30	4	1	4	21	59	3	7	3	173	274	277	552	104	236	30	11	262	58	-9	+0	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
TOT	25	AA	MIL	—	323	285	51	8	1	6	32	95	5	11	5	179	273	277	550	98	243	29	10	255	53	-17	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	26	MLB	MIL	31%	279	251	49	9	1	5	23	77	3	8	3	195	271	299	570	104	256	28	8	257	55	-14	+0	+0	+3	+8	-0.3
2028	27	MLB	MIL	42%	326	291	58	11	1	6	28	89	4	9	3	199	279	306	584	107	259	27	9	262	59	-15	+1	+0	+3	+9	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	MIL	48%	355	318	63	12	1	6	30	97	4	9	3	198	276	299	574	101	260	27	8	264	60	-16	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	26	MLB	MIL	31%	87	79	15	3	0	1	7	24	1	2	1	190	264	266	530	76	254	28	8	246	46	-5	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	27	MLB	MIL	42%	137	122	23	4	0	2	12	38	2	4	1	189	272	270	543	82	257	28	9	251	50	-8	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.2
2029	28	MLB	MIL	48%	170	151	30	5	1	3	15	46	2	4	1	199	280	305	584	106	258	27	9	254	52	-9	+0	-0	+2	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	397	355	68	12	1	6	34	109	5	10	3	192	272	282	553	90	256	27	9	251	50	-22	+1	-0	+4	+11	-0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	112	20	2	10	56	178	8	16	5	193	273	286	559	93	258	27	9	251	50	-37	+1	-1	+7	+18	-1.1
Career	—			—	2165	1946	364	67	5	32	168	580	34	117	31	187	263	276	539	89	246	27	8	243	44	-137	+11	-1	+23	+61	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	110	20	2	10	50	174	10	35	9	188	264	281	544	92	248	27	8	243	44	-41	+3	-0	+7	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	21	A	Carolina Mudcats	—	100	84	22	4	1	3	11	17	4	15	2	262	374	440	814	179	292	17	11	363	136	+4	+2	—	—	+3	0.9
2022	21	ROK	ACL Brewers Gold	—	17	13	4	3	0	0	4	4	0	4	0	308	471	538	1.009	231	444	24	24	444	198	+2	+1	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	22	A+	Wisconsin Timber Rattlers	—	287	245	65	8	0	4	32	48	7	37	5	265	366	347	713	82	311	17	11	328	109	+3	+5	—	—	+8	1.7
2023	22	ROK	ACL Brewers	—	15	11	2	0	0	2	3	3	1	1	0	182	400	727	1.127	545		20	20	466	215	+2	+0	—	—	+0	0.3
2023	22	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	105	91	27	7	1	2	11	19	3	8	3	297	390	462	852	165	357	18	10	381	150	+6	+0	—	—	+3	0.9
2024	23	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	441	390	72	16	1	4	41	83	6	20	8	185	272	262	534	77	221	19	9	249	48	-26	+1	—	—	+12	-1.3
2025	24	AA	Biloxi Shuckers	—	111	102	16	5	0	1	9	26	0	2	2	157	225	235	461	78	200	23	8	215	23	-10	-0	—	—	+3	-0.7

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	397	7	10	197	272	299	+4	+3	-0.3	-0.1
	/162	664	11	17	197	272	299	+7.1	+5.0	-0.5	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Eric Brown Jr. (OGILVIE)	25	39	35	54	47	179/273/277	98	243	6	11	29%	10%	53	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2013 · AA	25	42→48	39→40	53→55	38	208/243/292	84	269	7	18	25%	4%	43	-2.2	222/266/304	82	291	4	16	24%	5%	55	-1.4	232/268/302	70	292	2	12	20%	4%	51	-0.9
✕Nick Meyer 2022 · AAA	25	42	38→40	47→50	43	204/265/279	75	266	7	12	25%	6%	50	-1.7	216/287/315	99	282	11	15	26%	8%	69	-0.4	204/282/295	91	265	12	18	26%	9%	58	-0.5
✕Drew Jackson 2018 · AA	25	42→43	40→45	49→55	42	203/268/292	89	272	8	15	27%	6%	55	-1.4	195/266/301	106	281	11	17	32%	7%	56	-1.3	186/271/302	116	271	12	26	34%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	43	199/256/282	83	271	4	18	27%	6%	46	-2.0	189/251/275	86	266	7	14	30%	7%	43	-2.2	157/227/221	64	233	6	11	33%	7%	17	-1.3
✕D.J. Burt 2021 · AA	25	43→51	40	55→65	42	206/260/293	87	287	7	26	30%	7%	50	-1.7	231/298/315	84	322	6	36	27%	8%	72	-0.2	239/310/313	74	330	4	49	26%	9%	74	-0.0
✕Andrew Guillotte 2018 · AAA	25	43→46	38→40	48→50	43	206/262/283	77	266	5	16	24%	6%	49	-1.8	208/267/284	76	280	4	13	25%	7%	51	-1.7	217/285/282	65	277	3	11	21%	8%	59	-0.7
✕Devin Lohman 2014 · AA	25	44→46	40	48→50	45	213/274/304	90	262	8	16	22%	6%	60	-1.0	209/262/292	83	274	7	11	25%	5%	52	-1.6	202/252/274	72	272	6	9	27%	5%	41	-1.1
✕T.J. White 2017 · AA	25	43→44	39→45	52→45	42	206/268/297	90	269	6	10	25%	6%	56	-1.3	209/270/340	131	276	14	6	28%	6%	68	-0.5	198/262/348	150	252	18	2	29%	6%	64	-0.3
✕Jermaine Palacios 2021 · AA	25	41→47	38→45	45→50	41	198/245/274	76	268	6	12	28%	6%	39	-2.5	219/273/355	136	297	18	14	31%	6%	73	-0.1	211/262/352	141	281	20	13	32%	6%	65	-0.5
✕Auston Bousfield 2018 · AAA	25	39→44	40	49→50	45	192/257/276	85	250	8	14	26%	7%	46	-2.0	197/267/283	86	262	6	12	25%	8%	52	-1.6	172/252/237	65	236	2	9	26%	8%	33	-1.8
✕Ryan Dent 2014 · AAA	25	43→42	38→40	47→50	41	207/257/275	68	284	6	14	29%	6%	45	-2.1	205/259/297	92	289	7	10	30%	6%	52	-1.6	200/254/297	97	284	6	9	30%	5%	48	-1.2
✕Matt Whatley 2021 · A	25	39→36	37→40	52→50	47	185/262/257	71	256	5	15	28%	8%	43	-2.2	191/254/274	83	276	8	10	32%	7%	44	-2.1	167/230/254	87	226	12	8	31%	6%	27	-1.2
✕Malquin Canelo 2019 · AA	24	43→49	39→40	52→50	40	209/252/291	82	286	6	16	29%	5%	46	-2.0	208/252/290	82	311	6	12	33%	5%	46	-2.0	195/240/269	73	306	4	8	36%	5%	33	-1.5
✕Tyler Reichenborn 2023 · A	25	41→43	39→45	47→50	45	200/275/283	83	276	7	13	29%	8%	56	-1.3	207/278/312	105	288	10	11	30%	8%	64	-0.8	165/242/293	128	222	16	8	33%	8%	42	-0.6
✕Eliezer Mesa 2014 · AA	25	44→52	38→40	57→55	36	210/243/290	80	288	5	18	28%	4%	42	-2.3	238/271/324	86	298	7	12	22%	4%	63	-0.9	294/320/367	73	362	4	10	20%	3%	89	+0.3
✕Tyler Stubblefield 2013 · A	25	42	38→45	51→50	47	200/279/278	78	260	5	12	24%	8%	56	-1.3	214/270/318	104	261	9	9	21%	6%	62	-0.9	211/252/327	117	243	9	5	17%	5%	52	-0.7
✕Ryan Lormand 2011 · AAA	25	43	36→40	53→55	39	203/245/275	72	282	3	16	28%	5%	39	-2.5	199/248/276	77	281	4	15	29%	6%	40	-2.4	145/192/177	33	210	0	19	29%	6%	-12	-1.3
✕J.P. Sportman 2017 · AA	25	46→44	38→45	52→50	39	223/256/306	84	287	5	15	24%	4%	52	-1.6	215/251/346	131	280	14	14	28%	4%	61	-1.0	209/245/353	144	268	16	14	28%	4%	57	-1.1
✕Logan Warmoth 2021 · AA	25	42→40	37→45	53→55	40	194/263/268	74	309	3	13	36%	7%	46	-2.0	197/275/304	107	312	10	20	37%	8%	61	-1.0	195/273/297	102	277	11	24	31%	8%	57	-0.7