Eric Brown Jr.
SS Biloxi Shuckers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 23 | AAMIL | 441 | .185/.272/.262 | 4 | 20 | 24 | — | .161/.227/.223 |
| 2025 | 24 | AAMIL | 111 | .157/.225/.235 | 1 | 2 | -8 | — | .124/.171/.190 |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA/AAMIL | 259 | .228/.347/.347 | 6 | 10 | 61 | — | .194/.282/.290 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 26 | MLBMIL | 3 | .185/.259/.269 | 0 | 0 | 52 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 27 | MLBMIL | 51 | .187/.261/.273 | 1 | 1 | 54 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 34 / POW 37
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 100 | 84 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 262 | 374 | 440 | 814 | 179 | 292 | 17 | 11 | 363 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK | ACL Brewers Gold | — | 17 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 308 | 471 | 538 | 1.009 | 231 | 444 | 24 | 24 | 444 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 287 | 245 | 65 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 32 | 48 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 265 | 366 | 347 | 713 | 82 | 311 | 17 | 11 | 328 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 15 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 400 | 727 | 1.127 | 545 | 20 | 20 | 466 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2023 | 22 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 105 | 91 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 297 | 390 | 462 | 852 | 165 | 357 | 18 | 10 | 381 | 144 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 441 | 390 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 83 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 185 | 272 | 262 | 534 | 77 | 221 | 19 | 9 | 249 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 111 | 102 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 157 | 225 | 235 | 461 | 78 | 200 | 23 | 8 | 215 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 47 | 41 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 293 | 383 | 366 | 749 | 73 | 367 | 21 | 13 | 345 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 212 | 178 | 38 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 52 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 213 | 340 | 343 | 682 | 129 | 273 | 25 | 15 | 316 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 100 | 87 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 207 | 303 | 333 | 636 | 126 | 253 | 24 | 8 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers Gold | — | 17 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 333 | 627 | 133 | 319 | 35 | 12 | 285 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 287 | 255 | 55 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 64 | 7 | 37 | 5 | 216 | 296 | 275 | 570 | 59 | 270 | 22 | 8 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 15 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 167 | 333 | 667 | 1.000 | 500 | 27 | 13 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 441 | 403 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 102 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 161 | 227 | 223 | 450 | 62 | 201 | 23 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 111 | 105 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 124 | 171 | 190 | 362 | 67 | 171 | 31 | 5 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 47 | 43 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 256 | 319 | 326 | 645 | 70 | 344 | 26 | 9 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 212 | 188 | 34 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 63 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 181 | 274 | 282 | 555 | 101 | 250 | 30 | 10 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 117 | 102 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 206 | 302 | 333 | 635 | 127 | 268 | 26 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 117 | 97 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 268 | 388 | 454 | 842 | 186 | 311 | 18 | 13 | 375 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 407 | 361 | 77 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 92 | 11 | 46 | 8 | 213 | 297 | 288 | 585 | 75 | 267 | 23 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 407 | 347 | 94 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 70 | 11 | 46 | 8 | 271 | 374 | 389 | 763 | 118 | 316 | 17 | 11 | 347 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 441 | 403 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 102 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 161 | 227 | 223 | 450 | 62 | 205 | 23 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 441 | 390 | 72 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 41 | 83 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 185 | 272 | 262 | 534 | 77 | 221 | 19 | 9 | 249 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 111 | 105 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 124 | 171 | 190 | 362 | 67 | 171 | 31 | 5 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 111 | 102 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 157 | 225 | 235 | 461 | 78 | 200 | 23 | 8 | 215 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 231 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 195 | 282 | 290 | 572 | 95 | 265 | 29 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 259 | 219 | 50 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 62 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 228 | 347 | 347 | 695 | 119 | 291 | 24 | 14 | 322 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 117 | 102 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 4 | 19 | 2 | 206 | 302 | 333 | 635 | 127 | 263 | 26 | 9 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 407 | 361 | 77 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 92 | 11 | 46 | 8 | 213 | 297 | 288 | 585 | 75 | 257 | 23 | 8 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 441 | 404 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 102 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 161 | 227 | 223 | 449 | 62 | 201 | 23 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 111 | 104 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 125 | 171 | 192 | 363 | 67 | 171 | 31 | 5 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 229 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 197 | 282 | 293 | 574 | 96 | 267 | 29 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 441 | 404 | 65 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 102 | 6 | 20 | 8 | 161 | 227 | 223 | 449 | 62 | 201 | 23 | 6 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 111 | 104 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 125 | 171 | 192 | 363 | 67 | 171 | 31 | 5 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 259 | 229 | 45 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 25 | 75 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 197 | 282 | 293 | 574 | 96 | 267 | 29 | 10 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 2% | 309 | 278 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 87 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 187 | 261 | 271 | 532 | 84 | 254 | 28 | 8 | 245 | 52 | -18 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | -0.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 259 | 269 | 527 | 84 | 249 | 33 | 0 | 243 | 52 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 27% | 190 | 171 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 53 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 189 | 263 | 276 | 538 | 86 | 255 | 28 | 8 | 247 | 54 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.4 |
| 2028 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 27% | 51 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 187 | 261 | 273 | 534 | 86 | 251 | 27 | 8 | 246 | 54 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 51 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 255 | 298 | 553 | 106 | 250 | 27 | 8 | 246 | 47 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 599 | 114 | 25 | 0 | 13 | 51 | 178 | 0 | 13 | 0 | 190 | 254 | 297 | 551 | 107 | 248 | 27 | 8 | 246 | 47 | -36 | +3 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1680 | 1514 | 281 | 48 | 5 | 22 | 128 | 430 | 27 | 105 | 26 | 186 | 261 | 268 | 529 | 82 | 242 | 26 | 8 | 238 | 47 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +7 | -0.8 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 586 | 110 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 50 | 166 | 10 | 41 | 10 | 188 | 263 | 273 | 536 | 85 | 243 | 26 | 8 | 238 | 47 | -37 | +1 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AABiloxi Shuckers · 212 PAwOBA .309 → .252 (−57)K% 24.5% → 29.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.53% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 29.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.988 | 9.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.42% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.988 | 1.17% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.63% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.022 | ×0.988 | 19.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.022 | ×0.988 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.022 | ×0.988 | 0.71% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 3.14% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .309 → .252; ISO .129 → .107; BABIP .273 → .250. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AAANashville Sounds · 47 PAwOBA .337 → .286 (−51)K% 21.3% → 25.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 25.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.77% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 8.97% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.48% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 33.59% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 2.30% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .337 → .286; ISO .073 → .052; BABIP .367 → .344. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 111 PAwOBA .209 → .157 (−53)K% 23.4% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.42% | ÷0.932 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.11% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 13.16% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 11.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.58% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 5.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.32% | ÷1.170 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .209 → .157; ISO .078 → .055; BABIP .200 → .171. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 441 PAwOBA .244 → .203 (−40)K% 18.8% → 23.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.82% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.07% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 6.31% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.61% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 15.19% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 4.72% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.955 | ×1.012 | 0.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷1.198 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.88% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .244 → .203; ISO .077 → .063; BABIP .221 → .201. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 287 PAwOBA .323 → .261 (−62)K% 16.7% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.72% | ÷0.955 | ×1.270 | — | — | 22.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.15% | ÷1.024 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 7.72% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.44% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.92% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.90% | ÷1.013 | ×0.920 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 23.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.06% | ÷0.966 | ×0.810 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 3.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.971 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.03% | ÷1.033 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.57% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 91, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.
Result: wOBA .323 → .261; ISO .082 → .064; BABIP .311 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Brewers · 15 PAwOBA .453 → .341 (−112)K% 20.0% → 29.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 11.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 6.67% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 4.63% |
| Singles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 20.95% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .453 → .341; ISO .545 → .460; BABIP .000 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ACarolina Mudcats · 100 PAwOBA .357 → .280 (−77)K% 17.0% → 23.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.00% | ÷0.977 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | — | 7.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.90% | ÷1.034 | ×0.920 | ×1.012 | — | 18.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.97% | ÷1.036 | ×0.830 | ×1.012 | — | 4.84% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.49% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×1.012 | — | 1.19% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.48% | ÷1.136 | ×0.800 | — | — | 3.15% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 127, 1B 107, 2B 107, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .357 → .280; ISO .179 → .130; BABIP .292 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Brewers Gold · 17 PAwOBA .434 → .285 (−148)K% 23.5% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.991 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 23.53% | ÷1.017 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 13.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 11.11% | ÷0.979 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.975 | 9.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.023 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 22.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.144 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 96, 2B 105, 3B 80, K 98, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .434 → .285; ISO .231 → .155; BABIP .444 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .