Carlos Martínez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 26 | AAA/AA/A+3 orgs | 137 | .273/.294/.394 | 2 | 0 | 46 | — | .227/.250/.333 |
| 2024 | 29 | INTLEstrellas Ori… | 110 | .268/.336/.309 | 0 | 4 | 84 | — | |
| 2025 | 30 | INTLEstrellas Ori… | 60 | .241/.293/.259 | 0 | 0 | 55 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK | DSL Braves | — | 142 | 122 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 341 | 295 | 636 | 41 | 265 | 5 | 7 | 291 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK | GCL Braves | — | 83 | 74 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 300 | 297 | 597 | 54 | 269 | 8 | 5 | 266 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 120 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 314 | 295 | 609 | 67 | 258 | 13 | 8 | 280 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK | Danville Braves | — | 107 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 262 | 245 | 507 | 20 | 234 | 7 | 3 | 226 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A | Rome Braves | — | 182 | 159 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 356 | 277 | 632 | 6 | 305 | 10 | 9 | 297 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 150 | 137 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 248 | 309 | 321 | 630 | 73 | 273 | 11 | 7 | 287 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A | Rome Braves | — | 79 | 74 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 316 | 324 | 641 | 54 | 290 | 6 | 6 | 292 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 187 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 198 | 268 | 251 | 520 | 53 | 230 | 16 | 6 | 242 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL | Colombia | — | 19 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 200 | 388 | 67 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 15 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 67 | 385 | 13 | 0 | 327 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA | Mississippi Braves | — | 37 | 36 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 270 | 389 | 659 | 139 | 258 | 11 | 0 | 292 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ | Rome Braves | — | 85 | 81 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 272 | 298 | 395 | 693 | 123 | 344 | 24 | 1 | 305 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 110 | 97 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 309 | 646 | 41 | 338 | 18 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL | Estrellas Orientales | — | 60 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 259 | 552 | 19 | 310 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 142 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 254 | 200 | 454 | 24 | 184 | 6 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 83 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 237 | 237 | 474 | 39 | 225 | 12 | 2 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 120 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 246 | 239 | 484 | 55 | 208 | 19 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 107 | 99 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 204 | 182 | 386 | 10 | 182 | 10 | 2 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 182 | 165 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 306 | 248 | 554 | 6 | 280 | 15 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 150 | 141 | 33 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 275 | 305 | 580 | 71 | 259 | 13 | 4 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 79 | 76 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 224 | 253 | 263 | 516 | 39 | 253 | 9 | 4 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 191 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 162 | 220 | 215 | 434 | 52 | 194 | 20 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AAA MLE | Gwinnett Stripers | — | 15 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 333 | 333 | 400 | 733 | 67 | 351 | 13 | 0 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 37 | 36 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 243 | 361 | 604 | 139 | 230 | 14 | 0 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | Rome Braves | — | 85 | 81 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 238 | 309 | 547 | 99 | 285 | 33 | 1 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 142 | 125 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 176 | 254 | 200 | 454 | 24 | 186 | 6 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Braves | — | 142 | 122 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 254 | 341 | 295 | 636 | 41 | 265 | 5 | 7 | 291 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 83 | 76 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 197 | 237 | 237 | 474 | 39 | 227 | 12 | 2 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK RAW | GCL Braves | — | 83 | 74 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 243 | 300 | 297 | 597 | 54 | 269 | 8 | 5 | 266 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 120 | 109 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 246 | 239 | 484 | 55 | 221 | 19 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 120 | 105 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 229 | 314 | 295 | 609 | 67 | 258 | 13 | 8 | 280 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 107 | 99 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 172 | 204 | 182 | 386 | 10 | 185 | 10 | 2 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK RAW | Danville Braves | — | 107 | 98 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 262 | 245 | 507 | 20 | 234 | 7 | 3 | 226 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 182 | 165 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 306 | 248 | 554 | 6 | 288 | 15 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A RAW | Rome Braves | — | 182 | 159 | 43 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 270 | 356 | 277 | 632 | 6 | 305 | 10 | 9 | 297 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 229 | 217 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 235 | 272 | 295 | 567 | 60 | 263 | 12 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 229 | 211 | 54 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 256 | 311 | 322 | 634 | 66 | 279 | 9 | 7 | 289 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 191 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 162 | 220 | 215 | 434 | 52 | 196 | 20 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA RAW | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 187 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 33 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 198 | 268 | 251 | 520 | 53 | 230 | 16 | 6 | 242 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL MLE | Colombia | — | 19 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 200 | 388 | 67 | 222 | 37 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 25 | INTL RAW | Colombia | — | 19 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | 188 | 200 | 388 | 67 | 222 | 37 | 5 | 152 | -11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 137 | 132 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 243 | 318 | 561 | 98 | 284 | 26 | 1 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 137 | 132 | 36 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 273 | 294 | 394 | 688 | 121 | 324 | 19 | 1 | 304 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 110 | 97 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 309 | 646 | 41 | 338 | 18 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 29 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 110 | 97 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 268 | 336 | 309 | 646 | 41 | 338 | 18 | 5 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL MLE | Estrellas Orientales | — | 60 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 259 | 552 | 19 | 310 | 22 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 30 | INTL RAW | Estrellas Orientales | — | 60 | 54 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 241 | 293 | 259 | 552 | 19 | 310 | 22 | 5 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Braves | — | 142 | 128 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 172 | 254 | 195 | 449 | 23 | 184 | 6 | 5 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Braves | — | 83 | 79 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 190 | 237 | 228 | 465 | 38 | 225 | 12 | 2 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 20 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 120 | 110 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 182 | 246 | 236 | 482 | 55 | 208 | 19 | 5 | 210 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 21 | ROK MLE | Danville Braves | — | 107 | 102 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 204 | 176 | 380 | 10 | 182 | 10 | 2 | 178 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 22 | A MLE | Rome Braves | — | 182 | 165 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 242 | 306 | 248 | 554 | 6 | 280 | 15 | 5 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 229 | 216 | 51 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 272 | 296 | 568 | 60 | 257 | 12 | 4 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 24 | AA MLE | Mississippi Braves | — | 207 | 191 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 41 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 162 | 220 | 215 | 434 | 52 | 194 | 20 | 4 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 26 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 137 | 132 | 29 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 220 | 243 | 318 | 561 | 98 | 277 | 26 | 1 | 236 | 46 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1396 | 1280 | 266 | 38 | 0 | 6 | 55 | 224 | 34 | 12 | 2 | 208 | 259 | 252 | 511 | 44 | 245 | 16 | 4 | 190 | 15 | -141 | +2 | +0 | +25 | +30 | -8.6 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 596 | 124 | 18 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 104 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 208 | 261 | 253 | 514 | 45 | 244 | 16 | 4 | 190 | 15 | -66 | +1 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -4.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2021 A+Rome Braves · 85 PAwOBA .300 → .224 (−76)K% 23.5% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.53% | ÷0.957 | ×1.350 | — | — | 33.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 1.18% | ÷0.991 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.968 | 0.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.968 | 1.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.95% | ÷1.001 | ×0.910 | ×0.966 | ×0.968 | 19.49% |
| Doubles /BIP | 11.48% | ÷0.982 | ×0.830 | ×0.966 | ×0.968 | 9.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.820 | ×0.966 | ×0.968 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.64% | ÷0.864 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.968 | 1.52% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 100, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 91, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 22.8 → −3.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .300 → .224; ISO .123 → .092; BABIP .344 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAMississippi Braves · 37 PAwOBA .284 → .247 (−37)K% 10.8% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.81% | ÷0.998 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.22% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.106 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 2.27% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.023 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.988 | 17.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.25% | ÷0.999 | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.861 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 2.80% |
Factors used: level-wide AA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 105, 2B 100, 3B 80, K 100, BB 121 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .284 → .247; ISO .139 → .120; BABIP .258 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AAAGwinnett Stripers · 15 PAwOBA .318 → .277 (−41)K% 13.3% → 16.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.33% | ÷0.975 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷1.011 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.018 | 28.81% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.039 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.018 | 6.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.001 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 102, 2B 108, 3B 130, K 95, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .277; ISO .067 → .052; BABIP .385 → .351. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 AAMississippi Braves · 207 PAwOBA .236 → .194 (−42)K% 15.9% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.94% | ÷0.975 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.80% | ÷0.967 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 4.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.90% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.13% | ÷1.068 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 16.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.60% | ÷0.906 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 2.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.30% | ÷0.900 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 1.17% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 114, 2B 81, 3B 80, K 95, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .236 → .194; ISO .053 → .049; BABIP .230 → .194. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 AAMississippi Braves · 150 PAwOBA .279 → .254 (−24)K% 10.7% → 13.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.67% | ÷0.985 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.00% | ÷1.037 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 4.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.33% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 1.15% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.49% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×1.007 | ×1.027 | 20.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.79% | ÷1.013 | ×0.910 | ×1.007 | ×1.027 | 5.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.110 | ×0.880 | ×1.007 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.83% | ÷0.897 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 0.76% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 99, 2B 103, 3B 122, K 97, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .279 → .254; ISO .073 → .068; BABIP .273 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2018 ARome Braves · 79 PAwOBA .285 → .236 (−49)K% 6.3% → 8.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.33% | ÷0.952 | ×1.340 | — | — | 8.90% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.33% | ÷0.995 | ×0.660 | — | ×0.990 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.19% | ÷0.983 | ×0.920 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 20.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.80% | ÷1.031 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 4.43% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.990 | ×0.940 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.880 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.990 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 97, 2B 106, 3B 98, K 90, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .285 → .236; ISO .054 → .041; BABIP .290 → .253. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2017 ARome Braves · 182 PAwOBA .292 → .248 (−44)K% 10.4% → 15.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.44% | ÷0.935 | ×1.340 | — | — | 14.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.79% | ÷1.075 | ×0.660 | — | — | 5.40% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.75% | — | ×0.770 | — | — | 2.12% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.024 | ×0.920 | ×1.026 | — | 27.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.71% | ÷1.066 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | — | 0.56% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.067 | ×0.940 | ×1.026 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.753 | ×0.820 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row SAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 51, 1B 105, 2B 113, 3B 113, K 87, BB 115 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .292 → .248; ISO .006 → .005; BABIP .305 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 ROKDanville Braves · 107 PAwOBA .229 → .178 (−51)K% 7.5% → 10.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 7.48% | ÷1.000 | ×1.420 | — | — | 10.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 2.80% | ÷1.000 | ×0.640 | — | ×0.985 | 1.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.87% | — | ×0.740 | — | ×0.985 | 1.36% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 17.47% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 1.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.740 | ×0.950 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .229 → .178; ISO .020 → .014; BABIP .234 → .182. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .