Brady Parker
P
Fresno Grizzlies
Age 22
LHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.2 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION64 act + 36 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 100109vR 118
ERA4.35
FIP4.35
K%23.5%
BB%9.6%
K-BB%14.0%
ROS IP36
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 100 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A | Fresno Grizzlies | 17 | 7 | 64 | 289 | 100 | 37 | 6 | 41% | 3.7 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | 35 | 0 | 36 | 153 | 36 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23.5% | 9.6% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.35 | 4.35 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | COL | — | — | 100 | 442 | 136 | 52 | 11 | — | — | 30.8% | 11.7% | 19.1% | 2.4% | 4.46 | 4.34 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 36 | 0 | 38 | 159 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.20 | +0.2 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 163 | 40 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.10 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 41 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 39 | 165 | 42 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | COL | 37 | 0 | 38 | 163 | 41 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | COL | 36 | 0 | 37 | 157 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | COL | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 24.2% | 9.0% | 15.2% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.20 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | COL | 26 | 0 | 27 | 114 | 28 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.7% | 8.7% | 16.0% | 2.9% | 4.17 | 4.10 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | COL | 30 | 0 | 32 | 135 | 34 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 8.6% | 16.5% | 2.9% | 4.10 | 4.05 | +0.2 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | COL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 36 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 2.9% | 4.06 | 4.03 | +0.2 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | COL | 33 | 0 | 35 | 148 | 37 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.2% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 3.0% | 4.07 | 4.07 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | COL | 32 | 0 | 34 | 144 | 36 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.1% | 8.8% | 16.3% | 3.1% | 4.12 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 172 | 0 | 180 | 762 | 190 | 66 | 23 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 3.71 | +3.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 211 | 73 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 8.7% | 16.3% | 3.0% | 4.12 | 3.71 | +3.9 | ||
| Career | — | 17 | 7 | 64 | 289 | 74 | 44 | 8 | 41% | 3.7 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.33 | +0.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 53 | 22 | 200 | 908 | 232 | 137 | 25 | 41% | 3.7 | 25.6% | 15.1% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.52 | 4.33 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brady Parker (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.35 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 3.0% | — | 4.12 | 24.7% | 15.9% | 115 | -0.23 | — | — | — |
| Jordan Woods L 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.74 | 24.2% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.74 | 143 | 84 |
| Keyshawn Askew L 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.37 | 25.6% | 12.2% | 1.6% | .274 | 3.78 | 20.7% | 5.5% | 196 | +0.41 | 3.37 | 262 | 82 |
| Will Johnston L 2027 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.21 | 24.8% | 11.6% | 3.2% | .290 | 4.34 | 22.8% | 8.6% | 82 | +0.13 | 4.04 | 174 | 78 |
| James Reeves L 2027 · 3.50 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.50 | 21.9% | 8.7% | 2.1% | .237 | 3.30 | 23.0% | 13.1% | 146 | -0.20 | 2.02 | 280 | 78 |
| Bryan Sammons L 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.60 | 22.7% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .275 | 3.91 | 18.4% | 8.4% | 228 | +0.31 | 3.53 | 688 | 77 |
| Joe Kemlage L 2027 · 4.35 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.35 | 19.4% | 13.5% | 2.1% | .278 | 5.53 | 17.6% | 5.9% | 65 | +1.18 | 4.35 | 128 | 75 |
| Kyle Twomey L 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.08 | 17.6% | 10.5% | 2.1% | .298 | 3.89 | 14.8% | 6.9% | 68 | -0.19 | 3.89 | 141 | 75 |
| Sonny Vargas L 2024 · 4.43 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.43 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .300 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.20 | 165 | 75 |
| Alex Cornwell L 2027 · 3.97 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.97 | 18.9% | 7.3% | 2.8% | .382 | 3.85 | 16.5% | 8.0% | 311 | -0.12 | 3.10 | 381 | 74 |
| Garrett Schoenle L 2028 · 4.66 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.66 | 21.4% | 10.8% | 3.6% | .263 | 4.29 | 21.0% | 9.5% | 219 | -0.37 | 2.34 | 338 | 74 |
| Dante Biasi L 2027 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 21.5% | 12.6% | 3.6% | .251 | 6.01 | 19.3% | 2.3% | 153 | +1.13 | 4.88 | 224 | 74 |
| Matt Osterberg L 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.89 | 20.2% | 12.3% | 1.7% | .255 | 4.14 | 15.6% | 9.3% | 274 | +0.25 | 3.59 | 294 | 73 |
| Mac Lardner L 2027 · 4.63 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.63 | 18.9% | 8.5% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.35 | 17.5% | 8.1% | 119 | -0.28 | 3.54 | 186 | 73 |
| Nate Peterson L 2027 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.40 | 18.4% | 11.4% | 2.6% | .284 | 4.47 | 17.1% | 5.8% | 213 | +0.07 | 3.67 | 288 | 73 |
| Jimmy Robbins L 2028 · 3.89 FIP | 24 | SP- | 3.89 | 23.3% | 11.3% | 2.4% | .286 | 4.89 | 18.1% | 2.5% | 99 | +1.00 | 3.89 | 176 | 73 |
| Hayden Wynja L 2028 · 4.84 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.84 | 20.5% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .315 | 4.77 | 18.0% | 7.5% | 56 | -0.07 | 4.77 | 154 | 72 |
| David Rodriguez L 2025 · 3.74 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.74 | 19.8% | 5.7% | 2.9% | .324 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.58 | 120 | 72 |
| Patrick Wicklander L 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.88 | 21.5% | 7.9% | 4.7% | .320 | 4.91 | 16.4% | 5.8% | 156 | +0.03 | 4.80 | 254 | 72 |
| Dalton Pence L 2026 · 3.32 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.32 | 23.8% | 9.6% | 1.8% | .271 | 3.89 | 22.0% | 13.9% | 71 | +0.57 | 3.32 | 153 | 72 |
| Connor Oliver L 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.29 | 17.3% | 12.1% | 2.0% | .314 | 5.52 | 19.2% | 3.4% | 121 | +1.23 | 4.29 | 200 | 71 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 7 | 38 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.14 | 4.16 |
| Ryan Tepera ('22) | 7 | 48 | 24.7% | 8.8% | 1.12 | 3.53 |
| Hansel Robles ('22) | 7 | 59 | 25.3% | 10.1% | 1.16 | 3.86 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Trevor May ('23) | 8 | 51 | 27.6% | 8.3% | 1.18 | 3.83 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |