David Shirley — OGILVIE

David ShirleySS DSL Marlins

Age 18 R/R 6'1" / 195 lbs ROK HR -4%BB +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 4.0 · 2034

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.203 / .268 / .293

PA80

HR1

K%30

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

4.0peak

2034

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.5	$33M	+$33M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.8	$37M	+$36M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+4.0	$41M	+$40M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$8M	+4.0	$42M	+$34M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$13M	+3.9	$42M	+$29M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$18M	+3.6	$40M	+$22M
Totals		$42M		$235M	+$193M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	90	82	18	2	1	1	6	21	2	4	1	.220	.289	.305	.594	.085	.283	23	7	.261	58	-4	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.0
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	MIA	80	73	16	3	1	1	6	24	1	1	0	.219	.287	.329	.616	.110	.290	30	8	.257	55	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	MIA	173	155	35	6	1	3	14	49	2	3	1	.226	.298	.335	.634	.110	.305	28	8	.292	81	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB 28%	MIA	316	281	66	11	2	7	28	86	4	8	2	.235	.313	.363	.676	.128	.310	27	9	.308	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+9	1.1
2029	21	MLB 48%	MIA	426	377	90	15	3	11	40	114	6	11	3	.239	.322	.382	.703	.143	.311	27	9	.317	101	+0	+1	+0	+5	+12	1.8
2030	22	MLB 65%	MIA	504	443	108	18	3	14	49	131	7	14	3	.244	.329	.393	.721	.149	.311	26	10	.325	107	+4	+2	+0	+5	+14	2.6
2031	23	MLB 86%	MIA	556	488	121	20	4	17	55	142	8	16	4	.248	.334	.410	.744	.162	.311	26	10	.331	111	+7	+2	+0	+6	+16	3.1
2032	24	MLB	MIA	591	518	129	21	4	19	60	149	8	17	4	.249	.336	.415	.751	.166	.312	25	10	.335	114	+10	+2	+0	+6	+17	3.5
2033	25	MLB	MIA	611	533	134	22	4	20	64	153	9	18	4	.251	.342	.420	.762	.169	.312	25	10	.338	117	+12	+2	+0	+7	+17	3.8
2034	26	MLB	MIA	621	541	135	22	4	20	66	155	9	18	4	.250	.341	.416	.757	.166	.313	25	11	.340	118	+13	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.0
2035	27	MLB	MIA	623	542	135	22	4	20	67	157	9	18	3	.249	.341	.415	.757	.166	.313	25	11	.340	118	+13	+2	+0	+7	+18	4.0
2036	28	MLB	MIA	619	538	134	22	4	20	67	157	9	17	3	.249	.342	.416	.758	.167	.313	25	11	.339	117	+12	+2	-1	+7	+18	3.9
2037	29	MLB	MIA	610	530	131	21	4	19	66	156	9	15	2	.247	.340	.409	.750	.162	.312	26	11	.336	116	+11	+2	-1	+7	+17	3.6
2038	30	MLB	MIA	600	522	129	21	4	19	65	156	8	14	2	.247	.339	.412	.751	.165	.310	26	11	.333	113	+9	+2	-2	+6	+17	3.3
2039	31	MLB	MIA	586	509	124	20	4	18	64	154	8	11	1	.244	.337	.405	.742	.161	.309	26	11	.330	110	+7	+2	-3	+6	+17	2.9
2040	32	MLB	MIA	568	493	118	19	3	17	62	153	8	8	0	.239	.334	.394	.727	.154	.308	27	11	.325	107	+4	+2	-4	+6	+16	2.5
2041	33	MLB	MIA	538	468	109	17	3	15	58	148	7	6	0	.233	.326	.378	.705	.145	.306	28	11	.319	103	+2	+1	-4	+6	+15	2.0
2042	34	MLB	MIA	491	429	98	15	3	13	53	140	6	4	0	.228	.322	.368	.690	.140	.305	29	11	.313	98	-1	+1	-5	+5	+14	1.4
2043	35	MLB	MIA	435	380	85	13	3	11	46	128	6	3	0	.224	.317	.361	.678	.137	.303	29	11	.305	92	-4	+1	-6	+5	+12	0.8
2044	36	MLB	MIA	374	327	71	11	2	9	39	114	5	2	0	.217	.310	.346	.656	.128	.300	30	10	.296	85	-6	+0	-6	+4	+11	0.2
2045	37	MLB	MIA	309	270	56	8	2	6	32	97	4	1	0	.207	.301	.319	.619	.111	.296	31	10	.286	77	-8	+0	-7	+3	+9	-0.3
2046	38	MLB	MIA	239	210	42	6	1	4	24	77	3	0	0	.200	.291	.295	.586	.095	.291	32	10	.276	69	-8	+0	-8	+3	+7	-0.7
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			9960	8709	2084	335	64	284	1031	2661	138	209	37	.239	.329	.390	.720	.151	.310	27	10	.323	105	+60	+27	-46	+107	+282	43.8
/ 162G	—			650	568	136	22	4	19	67	174	9	14	2	.239	.329	.393	.721	.153	.310	27	10	.323	105	+4	+2	-3	+7	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Marlins	90	77	22	3	1	3	11	14	2	4	1	.286	.389	.468	.856	.182	.317	16	12	.383	151	+5	+0	—	—	+3	0.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
David Shirley (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.203/.268/.293	.089	.290	1	1	30%	7%	55	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Franmil Reyes 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→65	50→45	42	.204/.266/.299	.095	.285	6	10	29%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.259/.302	.094	.287	7	6	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.256/.325/.480	.224	.314	34	0	29%	9%	126	+2.6
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→54	37→60	46→50	46	.215/.278/.292	.076	.296	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	.231/.286/.324	.093	.321	6	13	28%	7%	69	-0.4	.258/.343/.395	.138	.293	16	6	17%	11%	111	+2.7
●Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→60	47→45	36	.201/.246/.271	.071	.298	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.204/.247/.300	.096	.302	9	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
●Mark Vientos 2018 · A	18	43→50	40→60	42→30	38	.207/.253/.302	.095	.293	8	4	31%	5%	50	-1.7	.206/.255/.327	.121	.274	14	3	29%	6%	59	-1.1	.246/.306/.451	.204	.321	28	0	31%	7%	109	+2.0
●Eloy Jiménez 2016 · A	19	40→50	40→65	49→40	39	.197/.240/.291	.094	.269	7	7	29%	5%	41	-2.3	.251/.286/.404	.153	.321	16	4	26%	4%	91	+1.1	.273/.314/.492	.219	.314	30	0	23%	5%	125	+2.3
●Ramón Urías 2012 · A	18	42→52	37→50	47→50	46	.201/.276/.273	.072	.254	4	6	22%	6%	54	-1.4	.211/.274/.284	.073	.251	4	6	17%	5%	55	-1.4	.277/.345/.403	.127	.328	13	14	19%	5%	112	+1.6
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	38→45	48→60	37	.201/.274/.283	.082	.302	4	8	32%	5%	56	-1.3	.218/.294/.318	.100	.311	8	15	31%	6%	73	-0.1	.220/.298/.329	.109	.312	11	20	30%	6%	75	-0.0
●Jose Alvarez 2008 · A	19	41→51	38→60	49→50	38	.197/.247/.279	.082	.270	5	8	28%	5%	42	-2.3	.198/.241/.288	.090	.275	6	8	29%	3%	41	-2.3	.293/.324/.482	.189	.318	26	9	17%	2%	126	+2.8
●José Fermín 2017 · A	18	43→51	38→45	48→55	44	.204/.260/.288	.084	.278	4	8	27%	7%	50	-1.8	.202/.252/.277	.075	.241	4	10	17%	5%	43	-2.2	.241/.336/.380	.139	.254	14	26	11%	10%	103	+0.9
✕Jhonny Pereda 2014 · A	18	39→48	37→45	47→40	44	.190/.244/.262	.072	.250	5	4	25%	6%	36	-2.7	.193/.250/.256	.063	.231	4	3	17%	6%	37	-2.7	.276/.346/.381	.105	.365	9	0	25%	9%	105	+0.9
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→55	49→50	38	.202/.248/.282	.080	.290	5	7	31%	5%	43	-2.2	.219/.267/.307	.088	.310	5	10	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.248/.301/.421	.173	.319	22	4	28%	6%	100	+1.3
●Renato Núñez 2012 · A	18	41→51	41→60	43→30	35	.205/.239/.302	.097	.278	9	4	30%	3%	44	-2.1	.212/.255/.338	.126	.283	13	4	29%	4%	61	-1.0	.238/.308/.452	.215	.278	31	1	26%	7%	111	+1.7
●Alex Liddi 2007 · A	18	43→53	39→60	52→50	35	.205/.243/.299	.094	.302	6	10	33%	4%	44	-2.1	.213/.261/.326	.113	.308	9	8	32%	5%	59	-1.1	.241/.296/.424	.182	.336	20	5	33%	6%	99	+1.7
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	40	42→50	48→55	43	.195/.271/.297	.102	.274	9	9	31%	8%	58	-1.2	.218/.289/.357	.139	.282	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	.220/.291/.383	.163	.271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→49	39→60	47→30	42	.217/.277/.302	.085	.311	6	7	31%	7%	60	-1.0	.213/.249/.357	.144	.259	18	3	25%	4%	63	-0.8	.243/.288/.435	.192	.292	26	1	26%	4%	98	+1.2
●Cheslor Cuthbert 2011 · A	18	42→52	41→50	49→45	35	.201/.249/.301	.100	.304	7	6	35%	5%	49	-1.8	.215/.263/.317	.102	.277	10	4	25%	6%	59	-1.1	.250/.304/.396	.146	.292	17	1	20%	7%	95	+0.7

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)