Cooper Pratt
SS Milwaukee Brewers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A+/A2 orgs | 406 | .277/.366/.406 | 8 | 27 | 79 | — | .234/.308/.336 |
| 2025 | 20 | AAMIL | 527 | .238/.348/.348 | 8 | 31 | 69 | — | .217/.301/.304 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAAMIL | 261 | .241/.350/.386 | 6 | 17 | 83 | — | .231/.315/.358 |
| 2026 | 21 | MLBMIL | 266 | .281/.359/.368 | 3 | 19 | 104 | 1.6 | |
| 2027PROJ | 22 | MLBMIL | 279 | .245/.322/.358 | 5 | 16 | 95 | 1.1 | |
| 2028PROJ92% MLB | 23 | MLBMIL | 462 | .249/.327/.372 | 10 | 27 | 100 | 2.2 | |
| 2029PROJ92% MLB | 24 | MLBMIL | 515 | .252/.330/.381 | 12 | 30 | 103 | 2.6 |
Tools · Recent Form · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | ACL Brewers | — | 54 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 356 | 442 | 444 | 887 | 89 | 444 | 20 | 9 | 387 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 95 | 86 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 221 | 261 | 442 | 703 | 221 | 237 | 25 | 4 | 296 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 311 | 261 | 77 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 57 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 295 | 397 | 395 | 792 | 100 | 361 | 18 | 12 | 357 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 527 | 437 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 80 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 238 | 348 | 348 | 695 | 110 | 267 | 15 | 13 | 313 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 266 | 228 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 48 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 281 | 359 | 368 | 728 | 88 | 332 | 18 | 10 | 320 | 104 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +6 | +6 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 261 | 220 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 34 | 37 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 241 | 350 | 386 | 737 | 145 | 264 | 14 | 13 | 330 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 266 | 228 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 48 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 281 | 359 | 368 | 728 | 88 | 332 | 18 | 10 | 320 | 103 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +6 | +6 | 1.5 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 54 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 277 | 346 | 340 | 687 | 64 | 365 | 30 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 95 | 88 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 182 | 217 | 352 | 570 | 170 | 203 | 33 | 3 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 311 | 272 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 77 | 7 | 25 | 2 | 250 | 336 | 331 | 666 | 81 | 325 | 25 | 9 | 297 | 87 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 527 | 460 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 105 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 217 | 301 | 304 | 605 | 87 | 251 | 20 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | Milwaukee Brewers | — | 266 | 228 | 64 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 48 | 2 | 19 | 3 | 281 | 359 | 368 | 728 | 88 | 332 | 18 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +1 | +3 | +0 | +6 | +6 | 1.6 |
| 2026 | 21 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 261 | 229 | 53 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 44 | 3 | 17 | 1 | 231 | 315 | 358 | 673 | 127 | 259 | 17 | 10 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 54 | 47 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 277 | 346 | 340 | 687 | 64 | 394 | 30 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | ACL Brewers | — | 54 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 356 | 442 | 444 | 887 | 89 | 444 | 20 | 9 | 387 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 360 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 107 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 233 | 308 | 336 | 644 | 103 | 308 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 406 | 347 | 96 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 42 | 81 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 277 | 366 | 406 | 772 | 130 | 333 | 20 | 10 | 343 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 527 | 460 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 105 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 217 | 301 | 304 | 605 | 87 | 262 | 20 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA RAW | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 527 | 437 | 104 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 67 | 80 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 238 | 348 | 348 | 695 | 110 | 267 | 15 | 13 | 313 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 457 | 117 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 92 | 5 | 36 | 4 | 256 | 337 | 357 | 694 | 101 | 301 | 17 | 10 | 307 | 94 | -4 | +6 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB RAW | 2 teams | — | 527 | 448 | 117 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 60 | 85 | 5 | 36 | 4 | 261 | 355 | 377 | 732 | 116 | 298 | 16 | 11 | 325 | 94 | -4 | +6 | +0 | +6 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | ACL Brewers | — | 54 | 49 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 265 | 346 | 327 | 673 | 61 | 365 | 30 | 6 | 299 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 364 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 107 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 231 | 308 | 332 | 641 | 102 | 296 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 527 | 467 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 105 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 214 | 301 | 300 | 601 | 86 | 251 | 20 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 466 | 117 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 92 | 5 | 36 | 4 | 251 | 337 | 350 | 687 | 99 | 296 | 17 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 406 | 364 | 84 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 107 | 8 | 27 | 3 | 231 | 308 | 332 | 641 | 102 | 296 | 26 | 8 | 284 | 79 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 527 | 467 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 6 | 47 | 105 | 8 | 31 | 5 | 214 | 301 | 300 | 601 | 86 | 251 | 20 | 9 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | MLB MLE | 2 teams | — | 527 | 466 | 117 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 92 | 5 | 36 | 4 | 251 | 337 | 350 | 687 | 99 | 296 | 17 | 10 | 307 | 94 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | MIL | 100% | 626 | 557 | 138 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 57 | 118 | 7 | 37 | 7 | 247 | 325 | 361 | 685 | 113 | 293 | 19 | 9 | 309 | 95 | -3 | +5 | +3 | +7 | +14 | 1.3 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | MIL | 100% | 279 | 248 | 60 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 26 | 53 | 3 | 16 | 3 | 245 | 322 | 358 | 681 | 114 | 289 | 19 | 9 | 307 | 95 | -2 | +2 | +1 | +3 | +6 | 1.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 502 | 445 | 112 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 47 | 93 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 251 | 329 | 374 | 703 | 122 | 294 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | +0 | +4 | +3 | +5 | +11 | 2.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 560 | 497 | 127 | 18 | 5 | 12 | 52 | 102 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 254 | 332 | 382 | 714 | 128 | 294 | 18 | 9 | 320 | 103 | +2 | +4 | +4 | +6 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 614 | 545 | 139 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 58 | 112 | 6 | 36 | 7 | 255 | 333 | 386 | 719 | 131 | 295 | 18 | 9 | 323 | 104 | +3 | +4 | +4 | +7 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 614 | 545 | 139 | 20 | 5 | 14 | 58 | 112 | 6 | 36 | 7 | 255 | 334 | 386 | 720 | 132 | 294 | 18 | 9 | 323 | 105 | +3 | +4 | +4 | +7 | +13 | 3.2 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 606 | 537 | 137 | 19 | 5 | 14 | 58 | 111 | 6 | 34 | 7 | 254 | 333 | 384 | 717 | 130 | 294 | 18 | 10 | 322 | 104 | +3 | +4 | +4 | +6 | +13 | 3.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 592 | 525 | 133 | 19 | 5 | 13 | 56 | 110 | 6 | 31 | 6 | 252 | 331 | 379 | 710 | 127 | 293 | 19 | 9 | 319 | 102 | +1 | +4 | +3 | +6 | +13 | 2.8 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 571 | 507 | 127 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 54 | 107 | 5 | 26 | 5 | 250 | 328 | 373 | 701 | 124 | 292 | 19 | 9 | 316 | 100 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +6 | +12 | 2.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 555 | 493 | 122 | 17 | 4 | 11 | 52 | 106 | 5 | 21 | 4 | 247 | 325 | 366 | 691 | 119 | 291 | 19 | 9 | 311 | 97 | -2 | +3 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 2.0 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 536 | 476 | 116 | 16 | 4 | 10 | 50 | 105 | 5 | 15 | 4 | 243 | 320 | 356 | 676 | 113 | 288 | 20 | 9 | 305 | 93 | -5 | +1 | +1 | +6 | +12 | 1.5 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 512 | 456 | 110 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 47 | 102 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 238 | 314 | 344 | 658 | 107 | 285 | 20 | 9 | 298 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -0 | +5 | +11 | 1.0 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB MLE | MIL | 92% | 476 | 426 | 99 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 43 | 98 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 307 | 330 | 637 | 98 | 281 | 21 | 9 | 289 | 82 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +10 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB MLE | MIL | 88% | 419 | 376 | 84 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 89 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 224 | 298 | 313 | 612 | 89 | 276 | 21 | 9 | 279 | 75 | -13 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +9 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 462 | 411 | 103 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 85 | 5 | 27 | 5 | 249 | 327 | 372 | 699 | 123 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 314 | 100 | +0 | +3 | +3 | +5 | +10 | 2.2 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 515 | 457 | 115 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 48 | 94 | 5 | 30 | 6 | 252 | 330 | 381 | 711 | 129 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 319 | 103 | +2 | +4 | +3 | +6 | +11 | 2.6 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 565 | 501 | 127 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 53 | 103 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 253 | 331 | 385 | 716 | 132 | 291 | 18 | 9 | 321 | 104 | +3 | +4 | +4 | +6 | +12 | 3.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 565 | 500 | 128 | 17 | 5 | 14 | 54 | 103 | 6 | 33 | 6 | 253 | 332 | 385 | 717 | 133 | 290 | 18 | 10 | 322 | 105 | +3 | +4 | +4 | +6 | +12 | 3.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 558 | 494 | 124 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 53 | 102 | 6 | 32 | 6 | 252 | 331 | 383 | 714 | 131 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 320 | 104 | +2 | +4 | +4 | +6 | +12 | 2.9 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 545 | 483 | 120 | 16 | 4 | 12 | 52 | 101 | 5 | 28 | 6 | 250 | 329 | 378 | 707 | 128 | 289 | 19 | 10 | 318 | 102 | +1 | +3 | +3 | +6 | +12 | 2.6 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 525 | 466 | 116 | 15 | 4 | 12 | 49 | 99 | 5 | 24 | 5 | 248 | 326 | 372 | 698 | 124 | 288 | 19 | 9 | 314 | 100 | -0 | +3 | +2 | +6 | +11 | 2.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 511 | 453 | 112 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 48 | 98 | 5 | 20 | 4 | 245 | 323 | 364 | 687 | 120 | 287 | 19 | 9 | 310 | 97 | -2 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 1.9 |
| 2036 | 31 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 493 | 440 | 107 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 46 | 96 | 4 | 14 | 3 | 241 | 318 | 355 | 673 | 114 | 285 | 19 | 9 | 304 | 93 | -4 | +2 | +1 | +5 | +11 | 1.4 |
| 2037 | 32 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 471 | 421 | 99 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 43 | 94 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 236 | 312 | 343 | 655 | 107 | 281 | 20 | 9 | 297 | 88 | -7 | +1 | -0 | +5 | +10 | 0.9 |
| 2038 | 33 | MLB CTX | MIL | 92% | 438 | 393 | 90 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 39 | 90 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 305 | 328 | 634 | 99 | 278 | 21 | 9 | 288 | 82 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +9 | 0.4 |
| 2039 | 34 | MLB CTX | MIL | 88% | 367 | 330 | 72 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 78 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 222 | 296 | 312 | 608 | 90 | 272 | 21 | 9 | 277 | 75 | -11 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +8 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 6281 | 5577 | 1377 | 178 | 48 | 131 | 586 | 1191 | 58 | 273 | 55 | 247 | 325 | 367 | 691 | 120 | 290 | 19 | 9 | 310 | 94 | -21 | +33 | +21 | +70 | +136 | 24.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 577 | 143 | 18 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 123 | 6 | 28 | 6 | 248 | 326 | 369 | 695 | 121 | 291 | 19 | 9 | 310 | 94 | -2 | +3 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.5 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 8350 | 7400 | 1820 | 257 | 64 | 157 | 770 | 1620 | 87 | 390 | 73 | 246 | 324 | 362 | 686 | 116 | 293 | 19 | 9 | 307 | 94 | -25 | +37 | +24 | +79 | +154 | 27.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 576 | 141 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 60 | 126 | 7 | 30 | 6 | 245 | 323 | 359 | 683 | 115 | 291 | 19 | 9 | 307 | 94 | -2 | +3 | +2 | +7 | +14 | 2.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAANashville Sounds · 261 PAwOBA .323 → .291 (−32)K% 14.2% → 17.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.18% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.01% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.03% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.15% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.13% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.22% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.025 | ×1.050 | 20.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.025 | ×1.050 | 2.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.025 | ×1.050 | 2.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 2.41% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (5.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.025.
Result: wOBA .323 → .291; ISO .145 → .127; BABIP .264 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AABiloxi Shuckers · 527 PAwOBA .311 → .270 (−41)K% 15.2% → 19.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.18% | ÷0.932 | ×1.220 | — | — | 19.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.52% | ÷1.008 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.050 | 8.87% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.52% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.45% | ÷0.976 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×1.050 | 19.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷1.091 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×1.050 | 5.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.28% | ÷1.083 | ×0.880 | ×0.981 | ×1.050 | 0.23% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.24% | ÷1.170 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.050 | 1.61% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 134, 1B 95, 2B 118, 3B 117, K 86, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 24.8 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .311 → .270; ISO .110 → .089; BABIP .267 → .251. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ACarolina Mudcats · 311 PAwOBA .353 → .297 (−57)K% 18.3% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.33% | ÷1.013 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.62% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.22% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 8.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.25% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 1.81% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.066 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×1.030 | 26.53% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.39% | ÷0.962 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×1.030 | 4.86% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.007 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×1.030 | 1.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.101 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 1.10% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 113, 2B 92, 3B 101, K 103, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .353 → .297; ISO .100 → .084; BABIP .361 → .325. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 95 PAwOBA .293 → .243 (−51)K% 25.3% → 32.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.26% | ÷0.993 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.31% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.21% | ÷0.995 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.042 | 3.13% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.05% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.042 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.13% | ÷1.022 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.042 | 14.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.45% | ÷0.991 | ×0.810 | ×0.951 | ×1.042 | 5.23% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.951 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.06% | ÷0.979 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 6.86% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 96, 1B 104, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 99, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .293 → .243; ISO .221 → .182; BABIP .237 → .203. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Brewers · 54 PAwOBA .392 → .299 (−93)K% 20.4% → 30.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.37% | ÷0.969 | ×1.440 | — | — | 30.28% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.26% | ÷0.998 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 5.79% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.70% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 38.24% | ÷0.991 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 31.89% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷0.952 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 4.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.923 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.31% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.898 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 80, 1B 98, 2B 90, 3B 85, K 94, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .392 → .299; ISO .089 → .067; BABIP .444 → .365. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).