Edwin Marte — OGILVIE

Edwin Marte P FCL Orioles

Age 19 RHP 6'1" / 160 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 21 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.36

FIP5.36

K%21.0%

BB%16.2%

K-BB%4.8%

ROS IP21

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	9	35	164	42	24	1	82%	3.2	17.4%	18.3%	-0.9%	0.9%	5.09	4.46	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	11	9	35	164	42	24	1	82%	3.2	17.4%	18.3%	-0.9%	0.9%	5.09	4.46	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	11	9	35	164	42	24	1	82%	3.2	25.6%	14.6%	11.0%	0.6%	5.09	3.13	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	10	5	31	133	23	22	3	50%	3.1	11.8%	20.7%	-8.9%	3.2%	4.35	6.46	—
YTD	19	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	10	5	31	133	23	22	3	50%	3.1	11.8%	20.7%	-8.9%	3.2%	4.35	6.46	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	19	ROK RAW	BAL	10	5	31	133	23	22	3	50%	3.1	17.3%	16.5%	0.8%	2.3%	4.35	4.97	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	20	MLB MLE	BAL	7	7	33	141	31	20	4	100%	4.8	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	-0.0
2027	20	MLB CTX	BAL	3	3	16	68	15	10	2	100%	5.3	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.10	5.00	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		3	3	16	69	15	10	2	100%	5.5	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.10	4.62	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	183	122	24	100%	4.9	21.7%	14.1%	7.6%	2.9%	5.10	4.62	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		21	14	66	297	44	58	6	67%	3.2	14.9%	19.4%	-4.5%	1.9%	4.75	5.36	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	42	200	895	133	173	17	67%	3.2	14.9%	19.4%	-4.5%	1.9%	4.75	5.36	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edwin Marte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.36	21.0%	16.2%	2.9%	—	5.00	21.7%	7.6%	33	-0.36	—	—	—
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	87
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	86
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	86
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	84
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	84
Dariel Francia R 2023 · 5.09 FIP	17	SW	5.09	19.8%	17.4%	2.7%	.322	5.13	19.9%	-0.4%	98	+0.04	3.84	134	84
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	83
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	82
Luis Victorino R 2022 · 4.26 FIP	19	SP-	4.26	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.98	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.72	4.26	149	82
Alex Santos II R 2021 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	19.4%	19.3%	1.2%	.282	6.11	18.9%	4.2%	189	+1.54	3.51	313	82
Jaydenn Estanista R 2021 · 4.72 FIP	19	SP-	4.72	18.1%	19.2%	1.3%	.254	5.35	21.0%	2.6%	109	+0.63	4.59	230	81
Yoniel Curet R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	19	SP-	5.18	21.8%	17.5%	3.1%	.205	3.81	23.8%	8.0%	273	-1.37	3.40	385	80
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	80
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	80
Deivy Mendez R 2015 · 4.43 FIP	19	SP-	4.43	20.3%	20.5%	0.8%	.308	4.98	22.9%	3.4%	81	+0.55	2.84	130	80
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	80
Gage Stanifer R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	19	SP-	4.78	16.6%	14.9%	2.2%	.342	4.35	24.2%	7.9%	259	-0.43	2.85	301	80
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	79
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	79
Luis Reyes R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	17	SP-	6.24	18.4%	20.7%	3.8%	.333	4.28	17.1%	5.1%	129	-1.96	4.02	167	79

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	27	21.4%	14.9%	1.11	5.20
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99