Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 14 | 9 | 43 | 183 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 64% | 3.1 | 10.8% | 12.3% | -1.5% | 3.1% | 5.19 | 5.43 | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Braves | 14 | 9 | 43 | 183 | 29 | 18 | 4 | 64% | 3.1 | 15.8% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 5.19 | 4.21 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 8 | 39 | 172 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 67% | 3.2 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.66 | 4.94 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Braves | 12 | 8 | 39 | 172 | 43 | 18 | 4 | 67% | 3.2 | 25.0% | 10.5% | 14.5% | 2.3% | 4.66 | 3.62 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Braves | 11 | 10 | 20 | 85 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 91% | 1.8 | 11.2% | 14.7% | -3.5% | 4.2% | 4.05 | 6.32 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | ROK | FCL Braves | 11 | 10 | 20 | 85 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 91% | 1.8 | 16.5% | 11.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 4.05 | 4.50 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 44 | 219 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 16.0% | 11.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.50 | 5.27 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 29 | 0 | 44 | 219 | 47 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 6.50 | 4.36 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 22 | 1 | 45 | 196 | 44 | 29 | 2 | 5% | 2.0 | 16.6% | 17.5% | -0.8% | 0.8% | 3.60 | 4.38 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | Augusta GreenJackets | 22 | 1 | 45 | 196 | 44 | 29 | 2 | 5% | 2.0 | 22.4% | 14.8% | 7.7% | 1.0% | 3.60 | 3.66 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | MLB | ATL | 54 | 0 | 57 | 241 | 37 | 41 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.3% | 16.9% | -1.6% | 2.8% | 5.88 | 5.88 | -0.9 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 41 | 37 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 16.9% | 15.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.61 | 5.53 | -0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 55 | 0 | 58 | 244 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.41 | -0.6 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | ATL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 106 | 18 | 16 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 16.9% | 15.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.61 | 5.53 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB | ATL | 36 | 0 | 38 | 160 | 28 | 24 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.7% | 14.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.45 | 5.41 | -0.4 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 60 | 0 | 63 | 266 | 46 | 40 | 8 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.51 | 5.08 | -0.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 146 | 127 | 25 | 0% | 1.1 | 17.3% | 14.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.51 | 5.08 | +0.8 | ||
| Career | — | 88 | 28 | 191 | 855 | 126 | 118 | 24 | 32% | 2.2 | 14.7% | 13.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 92 | 29 | 200 | 894 | 132 | 123 | 25 | 32% | 2.2 | 14.7% | 13.8% | 1.0% | 2.8% | 4.89 | 5.14 | +0.6 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Reibyn Corona (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.88 | 15.3% | 16.9% | 2.8% | — | 5.47 | 17.3% | 2.4% | 116 | -0.41 | — | — | — |
| Sam Whiting R 2026 · 5.13 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.13 | 14.3% | 15.1% | 2.4% | .309 | 7.73 | 17.8% | 2.4% | 17 | +2.60 | 4.17 | 152 | 82 |
| Ted Stuka R 2026 · 5.78 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.78 | 12.4% | 23.4% | 1.4% | .262 | 6.34 | 15.9% | -13.1% | 41 | +0.56 | 5.51 | 105 | 82 |
| Dylan Spacke R 2026 · 5.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.23 | 16.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% | .297 | 4.74 | 13.6% | 0.2% | 52 | -0.49 | 2.08 | 205 | 81 |
| Jordan Brink R 2025 · 5.96 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.96 | 18.3% | 19.2% | 3.6% | .233 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.10 | 132 | 80 |
| Carlos Polanco R 2025 · 5.37 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.37 | 13.9% | 20.0% | 1.7% | .267 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.58 | 276 | 80 |
| Wirkin Estevez R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.36 | 10.7% | 13.4% | 2.7% | .316 | 4.42 | 12.3% | 3.5% | 179 | -0.94 | 4.24 | 238 | 80 |
| Brett Lockwood R 2026 · 5.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.51 | 16.2% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .312 | 4.61 | 11.0% | -6.3% | 79 | -0.90 | 4.29 | 132 | 79 |
| Blake Hickman R 2026 · 6.54 FIP | 24 | SW | 6.54 | 12.9% | 17.8% | 4.1% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.45 | 156 | 79 |
| Johendí Jiminian R 2026 · 5.45 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.45 | 11.5% | 14.0% | 2.8% | .300 | 4.85 | 13.9% | 3.6% | 164 | -0.60 | 3.93 | 419 | 79 |
| Robbie Peto R 2026 · 5.38 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.38 | 15.6% | 19.4% | 2.1% | .242 | 5.71 | 15.3% | 1.9% | 80 | +0.33 | 5.38 | 232 | 79 |
| Tyler Bradt R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.09 | 19.0% | 18.7% | 2.2% | .241 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 135 | 78 |
| Jeff Soptic R 2026 · 5.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.27 | 15.5% | 17.2% | 2.4% | .237 | 5.45 | 13.6% | -1.7% | 68 | +0.18 | 5.27 | 124 | 78 |
| Nicholas Regalado R 2025 · 5.62 FIP | 23 | SU | 5.62 | 15.0% | 15.5% | 3.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.99 | 132 | 78 |
| Cooper Adams R 2026 · 5.35 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.35 | 13.0% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .275 | 3.92 | 22.5% | 11.6% | 118 | -1.43 | 2.99 | 197 | 77 |
| Alejandro Torres R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.88 | 16.8% | 14.1% | 2.6% | .275 | 6.52 | 18.3% | -1.8% | 34 | +1.64 | 4.42 | 103 | 77 |
| Josh Hansell R 2026 · 5.18 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.18 | 17.6% | 16.1% | 2.8% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 169 | 76 |
| Josh Harlow R 2026 · 5.71 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.71 | 17.1% | 21.3% | 2.5% | .289 | — | — | — | — | — | 5.52 | 107 | 76 |
| David Lucroy R 2025 · 4.85 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.85 | 15.8% | 16.8% | 1.8% | .352 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.93 | 103 | 76 |
| Yordy Cabrera R 2027 · 5.43 FIP | 25 | SU | 5.43 | 15.8% | 17.2% | 2.7% | .321 | 4.31 | 13.7% | 2.7% | 140 | -1.12 | 3.48 | 159 | 75 |
| Jacob Morris R 2026 · 5.72 FIP | 24 | SU | 5.72 | 18.0% | 19.6% | 3.0% | .218 | 4.72 | 18.7% | -2.4% | 46 | -1.00 | 4.72 | 102 | 75 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 58 | 16.6% | 15.6% | 1.10 | 5.65 |
| Touki Toussaint ('24) | 7 | 40 | 23.1% | 14.1% | 1.25 | 5.39 |
| Tyler Chatwood ('21) | 5 | 104 | 19.2% | 13.3% | 0.94 | 4.48 |
| Amir Garrett ('23) | 6 | 51 | 25.8% | 13.4% | 1.50 | 5.10 |
| John Gant ('21) | 4 | 85 | 20.1% | 12.5% | 0.79 | 3.91 |
| Steven Brault ('21) | 6 | 57 | 18.8% | 11.3% | 1.00 | 4.77 |
| Miguel Castro ('23) | 7 | 59 | 20.8% | 12.0% | 1.04 | 3.99 |