Reibyn Corona

P Augusta GreenJackets

Age 25 RHP 5'11" / 175 lbs A

Overview

APROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2023	21	ROKATL	11	10	20	4.05	4.50	16.5%	11.8%	—	K 11.2% · BB 14.7% · FIP 6.04
2024	22	MIX2 levels	29	0	44	6.50	4.36	21.5%	11.0%	—	K 16.0% · BB 11.9% · FIP 5.29
2025	23	AATL	22	1	45	3.60	3.66	22.4%	14.8%	—	K 16.6% · BB 17.5% · FIP 4.48
2026	24	No MLB games played
2027PROJ	25	MLBATL	—	—	0	5.94	5.94	16.2%	17.6%	—
2028PROJ43% MLB	26	MLBATL	17	0	18	5.76	5.74	17.3%	16.8%	-0.2
2029PROJ63% MLB	27	MLBATL	21	0	22	5.67	5.67	17.8%	16.3%	-0.3

Next 3 projected WAR -0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Scouting grades · 20-80

Stuff35Control25Command30

CompsJordan Brink (age 23) · Andrew McInvale (age 25) · Clate Schmidt (age 25)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 146138vR 130

ERA5.94

FIP5.94

K%16.2%

BB%17.6%

K-BB%-1.4%

Proj IP60

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 60 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF3535

CTRL2525

CMD3030

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2019	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	14	9	43	183	29	18	4	64%	3.1	10.8%	12.3%	-1.5%	3.1%	5.19	5.43	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	14	9	43	183	29	18	4	64%	3.1	15.8%	9.8%	6.0%	2.2%	5.19	4.21	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	12	8	39	172	43	18	4	67%	3.2	17.0%	13.1%	3.9%	3.1%	4.66	5.02	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	12	8	39	172	43	18	4	67%	3.2	25.0%	10.5%	14.5%	2.3%	4.66	3.62	—
2023	21	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	11	10	20	85	14	10	2	91%	1.8	11.2%	14.7%	-3.5%	3.7%	4.05	6.04	—
2023	21	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	11	10	20	85	14	10	2	91%	1.8	16.5%	11.8%	4.7%	2.4%	4.05	4.50	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	44	219	47	24	6	0%	1.5	16.0%	11.9%	4.1%	3.7%	6.50	5.29	—
2024	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	29	0	44	219	47	24	6	0%	1.5	16.0%	11.9%	4.1%	3.7%	6.50	5.29	—
2024	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	29	0	44	219	47	24	6	0%	1.5	21.5%	11.0%	10.5%	2.7%	6.50	4.36	—
2025	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	22	1	45	196	44	29	2	5%	2.0	16.6%	17.5%	-0.8%	1.0%	3.60	4.48	—
2025	23	A MLE	Augusta GreenJackets	22	1	45	196	44	29	2	5%	2.0	16.6%	17.5%	-0.8%	1.0%	3.60	4.48	—
2025	23	A RAW	Augusta GreenJackets	22	1	45	196	44	29	2	5%	2.0	22.4%	14.8%	7.7%	1.0%	3.60	3.66	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	25	MLB	ATL	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	16.2%	17.6%	-1.4%	2.9%	5.94	5.94	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	26	MLB MLE	ATL	40	0	42	179	31	30	5	0%	1.1	17.3%	16.8%	0.6%	2.9%	5.76	5.74	-0.5
2029	27	MLB MLE	ATL	34	0	36	151	27	25	4	0%	1.1	17.8%	16.3%	1.5%	3.0%	5.67	5.67	-0.4
2028	26	MLB CTX	ATL	17	0	18	76	13	13	2	0%	1.1	17.3%	16.8%	0.6%	2.9%	5.76	5.74	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	ATL	21	0	22	93	17	15	3	0%	1.0	17.8%	16.3%	1.5%	3.0%	5.67	5.67	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		39	0	40	171	30	28	5	0%	1.0	17.6%	16.5%	1.1%	3.0%	5.71	5.32	-0.4
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	148	138	25	0%	1.1	17.6%	16.5%	1.1%	3.0%	5.71	5.32	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		88	28	191	855	126	118	24	32%	2.2	14.7%	13.8%	1.0%	2.8%	4.89	5.15	-1.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		92	29	200	894	132	123	25	32%	2.2	14.7%	13.8%	1.0%	2.8%	4.89	5.15	-2.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2025 AAugusta GreenJackets · 45 IPFIP 3.64 → 4.48 (+0.84)K% 22.4% → 16.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	22.45%	—	×0.740	16.61%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	14.80%	—	×1.180	17.46%
HR / BF /BF	1.02%	÷1.281	×1.300	1.04%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 156).

Result: FIP 3.64 → 4.48, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 AAugusta GreenJackets · 43 IPFIP 4.14 → 5.29 (+1.16)K% 21.6% → 16.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	21.63%	—	×0.740	16.01%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.10%	—	×1.180	11.91%
HR / BF /BF	2.88%	÷1.010	×1.300	3.71%

Result: FIP 4.14 → 5.29, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ROKFCL Braves · 20 IPFIP 4.49 → 6.04 (+1.55)K% 16.5% → 11.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	16.47%	—	×0.680	11.20%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	11.76%	—	×1.250	14.71%
HR / BF /BF	2.35%	÷0.893	×1.400	3.69%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 79).

Result: FIP 4.49 → 6.04, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 ROKFCL Braves · 39 IPFIP 3.59 → 5.02 (+1.43)K% 25.0% → 17.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	25.00%	—	×0.680	17.00%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	10.47%	—	×1.250	13.08%
HR / BF /BF	2.33%	÷1.053	×1.400	3.09%

Result: FIP 3.59 → 5.02, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2019 ROKDSL Braves · 43 IPFIP 4.21 → 5.43 (+1.22)K% 15.8% → 10.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.85%	—	×0.680	10.78%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	9.84%	—	×1.250	12.30%
HR / BF /BF	2.19%	÷1.000	×1.400	3.06%

Result: FIP 4.21 → 5.43, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Reibyn Corona (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.94	16.2%	17.6%	2.9%	—	5.71	17.5%	1.0%	78	-0.23	—	—	—
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	79
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	78
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	76
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	76
Blake Hickman R 2018 · 6.57 FIP	24	SW	6.57	12.9%	17.8%	4.2%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	4.19	156	76
Jake Eddington R 2024 · 5.02 FIP	23	SW	5.02	18.8%	24.1%	0.8%	.316	4.83	16.6%	-1.5%	105	-0.19	4.70	135	76
Drew Conover R 2024 · 6.25 FIP	23	SW	6.25	15.6%	29.8%	1.3%	.272	5.19	12.6%	-3.4%	106	-1.06	4.49	145	76
Corey Avant R 2024 · 4.76 FIP	22	SW	4.76	17.1%	14.9%	2.2%	.394	4.57	19.9%	6.4%	221	-0.19	3.69	292	75
Haden Erbe R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	25	SU	5.28	18.4%	16.5%	3.0%	.320	5.19	17.8%	0.5%	40	-0.09	5.19	116	75
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	75
Drake Fellows R 2023 · 5.66 FIP	25	SW	5.66	17.1%	20.4%	2.6%	.367	4.88	14.6%	5.6%	271	-0.78	4.28	282	75
Jeremy Guthrie R 2006 · 4.92 FIP	27	SU	4.92	15.1%	15.1%	2.1%	.349	4.57	14.8%	8.1%	566	-0.35	4.08	1,834	75
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	75
Cooper Adams R 2024 · 5.42 FIP	24	SW	5.42	13.0%	12.2%	3.4%	.275	4.32	21.7%	10.4%	141	-1.10	3.05	221	74
Brady Schanuel R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	25	SW	5.51	17.9%	23.5%	1.7%	.200	—	—	—	—	—	3.91	132	74
Cameron Foster R 2024 · 4.83 FIP	25	SW	4.83	17.4%	11.5%	3.2%	.321	3.09	25.5%	17.5%	60	-1.74	2.50	213	73
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	73
Tom Reisinger R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	23	SW	5.44	12.1%	14.6%	2.8%	.381	6.49	10.3%	-5.6%	47	+1.05	5.44	110	73
Vanny Valenzuela R 2015 · 6.82 FIP	27	SW	6.82	12.4%	14.8%	5.3%	.314	4.29	15.8%	4.6%	70	-2.53	3.26	118	73
Ben Gross R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	25	SW	4.85	17.6%	15.6%	2.3%	.303	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	118	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	46	17.0%	17.0%	1.13	5.81
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Richie Lewis ('98)	1.5	59	18.1%	14.1%	1.38	4.88
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*