Edgar Isea — OGILVIE

Edgar Isea P Hillsboro Hops

Age 23 RHP 6'3" / 185 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 4 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 162154vR 146

ERA6.80

FIP6.80

K%19.3%

BB%27.9%

K-BB%-8.6%

ROS IP4

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 4 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4545

CTRL2020

CMD2020

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	16	ROK MLE	DSL D-backs 1	12	5	29	137	22	25	0	42%	2.4	10.9%	22.8%	-11.9%	0.0%	4.30	5.07	—
2019	16	ROK RAW	DSL D-backs 1	12	5	29	137	22	25	0	42%	2.4	16.1%	18.2%	-2.2%	0.0%	4.30	4.16	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs	2	0	4	22	5	4	0	0%	2.0	22.7%	18.2%	4.5%	0.0%	9.00	3.48	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs	2	0	4	22	5	4	0	0%	2.0	22.7%	18.2%	4.5%	0.0%	9.00	3.60	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Black	11	8	34	166	47	27	3	73%	3.1	19.3%	20.3%	-1.1%	2.7%	6.35	5.51	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Black	11	8	34	166	47	27	3	73%	3.1	28.3%	16.3%	12.0%	1.8%	6.35	3.86	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	18	0	22	104	37	23	2	0%	1.2	24.2%	27.6%	-3.5%	2.9%	5.73	6.17	—
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL D-backs Red	18	0	22	104	37	23	2	0%	1.2	24.2%	27.6%	-3.5%	2.9%	5.73	6.17	—
2023	20	ROK RAW	ACL D-backs Red	18	0	22	104	37	23	2	0%	1.2	35.6%	22.1%	13.5%	1.9%	5.73	4.05	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	35	157	49	33	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	23.3%	0.1%	0.8%	4.37	4.50	—
2024	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	33	0	35	157	49	33	1	0%	1.1	23.4%	23.3%	0.1%	0.8%	4.37	4.50	—
2024	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	33	0	35	157	49	33	1	0%	1.1	31.2%	21.0%	10.2%	0.6%	4.37	3.50	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	45	0	42	205	49	47	1	0%	0.9	18.4%	26.4%	-8.0%	0.6%	3.86	5.23	—
2025	22	A+ MLE	Hillsboro Hops	45	0	42	205	49	47	1	0%	0.9	18.4%	26.4%	-8.0%	0.6%	3.86	5.23	—
2025	22	A+ RAW	Hillsboro Hops	45	0	42	205	49	47	1	0%	0.9	23.9%	22.9%	1.0%	0.5%	3.86	4.43	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	23	MLB	ARI	4	0	4	17	3	5	0	0%	1.0	19.3%	27.9%	-8.6%	2.6%	6.80	6.80	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	ARI	51	0	54	227	46	53	6	0%	1.1	20.3%	23.4%	-3.2%	2.6%	6.32	6.16	-0.9
2028	25	MLB MLE	ARI	52	0	54	230	48	47	6	0%	1.0	20.9%	20.6%	0.3%	2.6%	5.92	5.75	-0.7
2027	24	MLB CTX	ARI	22	0	23	97	20	23	3	0%	1.0	20.3%	23.4%	-3.2%	2.6%	6.32	6.16	-0.4
2028	25	MLB CTX	ARI	34	0	36	152	32	31	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	20.6%	0.3%	2.6%	5.92	5.75	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		56	0	59	250	52	54	7	0%	1.1	20.7%	21.7%	-1.0%	2.6%	6.08	5.53	-0.7
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	182	24	0%	1.1	20.7%	21.7%	-1.0%	2.6%	6.08	5.53	-2.3
Career	—	MLE		121	13	166	791	151	188	10	11%	1.4	19.2%	23.8%	-4.7%	1.3%	4.92	5.19	-1.8
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		145	16	200	951	182	226	12	11%	1.4	19.2%	23.8%	-4.7%	1.3%	4.92	5.19	-3.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Edgar Isea (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.80	19.3%	27.9%	2.6%	—	5.95	20.6%	-1.4%	108	-0.85	—	—	—
Jonathan Teaney R 2019 · 5.65 FIP	23	SU	5.65	16.4%	15.7%	3.5%	.301	—	—	—	—	—	4.77	108	83
Carlos Polanco R 2017 · 5.71 FIP	23	SU	5.71	13.9%	20.0%	2.3%	.267	—	—	—	—	—	3.70	276	81
Jack Hartman R 2022 · 5.78 FIP	24	SU	5.78	15.1%	20.3%	2.5%	.357	3.99	19.5%	8.6%	143	-1.79	3.46	161	81
Andrew Baker R 2023 · 5.99 FIP	23	SU	5.99	24.7%	25.1%	3.3%	.315	3.65	25.3%	12.2%	161	-2.34	3.44	256	80
Jake Gozzo R 2021 · 7.10 FIP	24	SU	7.10	14.3%	30.2%	2.5%	.200	5.35	15.8%	-0.7%	129	-1.75	4.32	162	79
Stephen Nogosek R 2018 · 5.74 FIP	23	SU	5.74	19.4%	18.6%	3.5%	.237	3.01	24.8%	12.8%	85	-2.73	2.56	419	79
Johnathan Lavallee R 2023 · 6.17 FIP	23	SU	6.17	17.1%	18.6%	3.9%	.356	4.23	22.8%	9.6%	144	-1.94	3.72	210	79
Alejandro Méndez R 2023 · 5.85 FIP	22	SU	5.85	20.6%	28.1%	1.7%	.211	5.17	15.0%	-6.0%	38	-0.67	4.65	136	79
Alec Kenilvort R 2016 · 6.44 FIP	23	SU	6.44	15.1%	17.0%	4.5%	.333	3.97	18.3%	9.1%	85	-2.47	2.97	109	78
Roman Phansalkar R 2022 · 6.38 FIP	24	SU	6.38	13.5%	18.4%	3.8%	.245	4.77	17.4%	4.0%	147	-1.61	4.33	164	77
Adrian Rodriguez R 2023 · 5.74 FIP	22	SU	5.74	16.0%	24.7%	1.6%	.244	5.64	26.9%	1.4%	77	-0.10	2.43	148	77
Derrik Watson R 2018 · 5.70 FIP	23	SU	5.70	16.9%	15.7%	3.7%	.344	4.12	20.0%	2.2%	80	-1.58	3.84	132	77
Audry Lugo R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	23	SU	5.76	13.7%	16.3%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.05	113	77
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	77
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	77
Juan Manuel Abril R 2021 · 5.92 FIP	23	SU	5.92	20.1%	26.8%	2.1%	.221	6.15	15.4%	-6.9%	22	+0.23	3.23	133	77
Edgar Navarro R 2021 · 6.23 FIP	23	SU	6.23	13.3%	17.7%	3.7%	.297	4.20	18.7%	2.1%	87	-2.03	3.30	244	76
Michael Brewer R 2023 · 6.19 FIP	22	SU	6.19	15.8%	15.8%	4.4%	.295	4.71	23.3%	7.1%	30	-1.48	3.14	144	76
Jaydenn Estanista R 2023 · 6.67 FIP	21	SU	6.67	16.7%	25.7%	3.1%	.348	4.95	21.5%	5.6%	143	-1.72	4.59	230	76
Dallas Woolfolk R 2021 · 6.62 FIP	24	SU	6.62	12.9%	21.9%	3.3%	.324	5.12	14.0%	0.7%	50	-1.50	5.12	100	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.8	54	20.2%	23.9%	1.00	6.34
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99