Alex Santos II
P
Corpus Christi Hooks
Age 24
RHP
6'4" / 208 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 20 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 130121vR 112
ERA4.93
FIP4.93
K%22.4%
BB%12.9%
K-BB%9.5%
ROS IP20
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 56 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 12 | 7 | 42 | 183 | 48 | 30 | 2 | 58% | 3.5 | 19.4% | 19.3% | 0.1% | 1.1% | 3.46 | 4.49 | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 12 | 7 | 42 | 183 | 48 | 30 | 2 | 58% | 3.5 | 26.2% | 16.4% | 9.8% | 1.1% | 3.46 | 3.58 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 23 | 14 | 83 | 362 | 104 | 37 | 15 | 61% | 3.6 | 21.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.99 | 6.12 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 23 | 14 | 83 | 362 | 104 | 37 | 15 | 61% | 3.6 | 28.7% | 10.2% | 18.5% | 4.1% | 5.99 | 4.29 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 25 | 12 | 83 | 421 | 92 | 64 | 17 | 48% | 3.3 | 16.8% | 17.5% | -0.7% | 3.5% | 6.94 | 5.82 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Asheville Tourists | 25 | 12 | 83 | 421 | 92 | 64 | 17 | 48% | 3.3 | 21.9% | 15.2% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.94 | 5.86 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 6 | 5 | 23 | 111 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 83% | 3.8 | 17.5% | 13.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.83 | 6.53 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 6 | 5 | 23 | 111 | 24 | 14 | 5 | 83% | 3.8 | 21.6% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 7.83 | 5.67 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 10 | 7 | 29 | 129 | 38 | 23 | 3 | 70% | 2.9 | 23.9% | 19.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 4.60 | 4.95 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 10 | 7 | 29 | 129 | 38 | 23 | 3 | 70% | 2.9 | 29.5% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 2.3% | 4.60 | 4.19 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | 28 | 0 | 37 | 161 | 51 | 25 | 1 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.7% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 0.7% | 3.93 | 3.51 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 82 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.93 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.93 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 56 | 243 | 69 | 36 | 4 | — | — | 28.5% | 14.6% | 13.9% | 1.5% | 4.28 | 4.00 | +0.4 |
| 2026 FULL | 24 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.4% | 12.9% | 9.5% | 3.1% | 4.93 | 4.55 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | HOU | 9 | 0 | 9 | 38 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 3.1% | 4.78 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 9 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.35 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 197 | 109 | 22 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.8% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 3.1% | 4.79 | 4.35 | +2.5 | ||
| Career | — | 104 | 45 | 296 | 1367 | 275 | 221 | 49 | 43% | 2.8 | 20.1% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.65 | 5.43 | -0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 30 | 200 | 923 | 186 | 149 | 33 | 43% | 2.8 | 20.1% | 16.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.65 | 5.43 | -0.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Alex Santos II (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.93 | 22.4% | 12.9% | 3.1% | — | 4.72 | 22.9% | 11.2% | 20 | -0.21 | — | — | — |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 81 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 81 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.21 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.21 | 19.5% | 14.2% | 1.7% | .287 | 4.49 | 19.3% | 10.3% | 169 | +0.28 | 3.81 | 233 | 78 |
| Orlando Ortiz-Mayr R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.34 | 21.0% | 13.2% | 2.4% | .341 | 4.64 | 15.7% | 4.0% | 343 | +0.30 | 3.76 | 467 | 78 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 77 |
| C.J. Culpepper R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 24 | SW | 3.74 | 21.0% | 12.8% | 1.5% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.41 | 253 | 77 |
| Grant Ford R 2025 · 5.34 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.34 | 20.1% | 13.2% | 4.1% | .300 | 4.57 | 19.0% | 4.5% | 112 | -0.77 | 3.96 | 188 | 76 |
| Ryan Zeferjahn R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.45 | 21.0% | 12.4% | 2.8% | .325 | 4.48 | 27.5% | 13.5% | 163 | +0.03 | 3.30 | 323 | 76 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2027 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 76 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 76 |
| Ray Gaither R 2026 · 4.91 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.91 | 21.9% | 13.2% | 3.6% | .314 | 4.49 | 18.6% | 4.7% | 123 | -0.42 | 4.16 | 164 | 76 |
| Grant Black R 2029 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 75 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.09 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .304 | 3.92 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 166 | -1.17 | 3.59 | 307 | 75 |
| Heath Slatton R 2025 · 5.54 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.54 | 17.9% | 12.9% | 4.2% | .382 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.46 | 120 | 75 |
| Sean Sullivan R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.88 | 20.3% | 10.0% | 4.1% | .247 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.30 | 318 | 75 |
| Nick Hull R 2026 · 4.79 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.79 | 19.0% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .296 | 4.83 | 18.7% | 8.3% | 87 | +0.04 | 3.93 | 268 | 75 |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 74 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 74 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 74 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 74 |