Daniel Corniel
P
Wisconsin Timber Rattlers
Age 22
RHP
6'0" / 177 lbs
A+
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.2 · 2029
2026 ROS PROJECTION22 act + 65 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 121112vR 102
ERA4.48
FIP4.48
K%22.0%
BB%10.2%
K-BB%11.8%
ROS IP65
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 87 IP
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Grades · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 183 | 47 | 14 | 3 | 90% | 4.2 | 17.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 0.8% | 4.97 | 3.29 | — |
| 2022 | 18 | ROK | DSL Brewers 2 | 10 | 9 | 42 | 183 | 47 | 14 | 3 | 90% | 4.2 | 25.7% | 7.7% | 18.0% | 1.6% | 4.97 | 2.79 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 11 | 8 | 36 | 161 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 73% | 3.3 | 20.3% | 17.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.70 | 5.35 | — |
| 2023 | 19 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 11 | 8 | 36 | 161 | 48 | 22 | 3 | 73% | 3.3 | 29.8% | 13.7% | 16.1% | 1.9% | 5.70 | 3.35 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 21 | 21 | 99 | 414 | 95 | 46 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 17.0% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 4.29 | 4.19 | — |
| 2024 | 20 | A | Carolina Mudcats | 21 | 21 | 99 | 414 | 95 | 46 | 6 | 100% | 4.7 | 22.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 1.4% | 4.29 | 3.36 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 0.29 | — |
| 2025 | 21 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 3.0 | 33.3% | 0.0% | 33.3% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 0.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | 9 | 7 | 22 | 86 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 78% | 2.5 | 16.0% | 10.8% | 5.1% | 0.0% | 2.01 | 3.12 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 12 | 65 | 274 | 60 | 28 | 8 | 100% | 5.4 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 2.9% | 4.48 | 4.48 | +0.1 |
| ROS | 22 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.45 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 22 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 87 | 360 | 78 | 33 | 10 | — | — | 21.7% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 2.7% | 3.85 | 4.13 | +1.0 |
| 2026 FULL | 22 | MLB | MIL | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 22.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 2.8% | 4.45 | 4.07 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 13 | 72 | 303 | 69 | 29 | 9 | 100% | 5.5 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.37 | 4.30 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 13 | 74 | 310 | 73 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 2.8% | 4.26 | 4.19 | +0.6 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 13 | 13 | 74 | 314 | 75 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 2.8% | 4.18 | 4.12 | +0.6 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 12 | 74 | 314 | 75 | 28 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.8% | 4.14 | 4.11 | +0.6 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 12 | 73 | 309 | 74 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 2.9% | 4.14 | 4.15 | +0.6 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 12 | 12 | 71 | 300 | 72 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.9% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.19 | 4.23 | +0.5 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 68 | 287 | 68 | 27 | 9 | 100% | 6.2 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.1% | 4.29 | 4.36 | +0.3 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 64 | 269 | 63 | 26 | 9 | 100% | 5.8 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.3% | 4.44 | 4.54 | +0.1 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 60 | 251 | 57 | 25 | 9 | 100% | 6.0 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.62 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 55 | 232 | 52 | 24 | 9 | 100% | 6.1 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.8% | 4.83 | 4.97 | -0.3 |
| 2027 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 7 | 7 | 35 | 148 | 34 | 14 | 4 | 100% | 5.0 | 22.9% | 9.5% | 13.4% | 2.8% | 4.34 | 4.27 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 51 | 215 | 50 | 20 | 6 | 100% | 5.7 | 23.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 2.7% | 4.23 | 4.16 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 25 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 60 | 22 | 7 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.8% | 8.8% | 15.0% | 2.7% | 4.15 | 4.09 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 26 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 66 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 24.0% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 2.7% | 4.11 | 4.08 | +0.4 |
| 2031 | 27 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 66 | 279 | 67 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 24.0% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 2.8% | 4.11 | 4.12 | +0.4 |
| 2032 | 28 | MLB | MIL | 11 | 11 | 65 | 274 | 66 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.9% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 2.9% | 4.16 | 4.20 | +0.3 |
| 2033 | 29 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 63 | 266 | 63 | 25 | 8 | 100% | 6.3 | 23.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 3.0% | 4.26 | 4.33 | +0.2 |
| 2034 | 30 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 60 | 253 | 59 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 6.0 | 23.3% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 3.2% | 4.40 | 4.50 | +0.0 |
| 2035 | 31 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 10 | 57 | 241 | 55 | 24 | 8 | 100% | 5.7 | 22.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 3.5% | 4.58 | 4.70 | -0.1 |
| 2036 | 32 | MLB | MIL | 9 | 9 | 52 | 220 | 49 | 23 | 8 | 100% | 5.8 | 22.4% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 4.79 | 4.93 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 98 | 98 | 576 | 2432 | 571 | 226 | 73 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.95 | +9.8 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 34 | 34 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 78 | 25 | 100% | 5.9 | 23.5% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 3.0% | 4.30 | 3.95 | +3.4 | ||
| Career | — | 52 | 45 | 202 | 856 | 153 | 109 | 13 | 87% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 4.41 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 45 | 200 | 848 | 151 | 108 | 13 | 87% | 3.9 | 17.8% | 12.7% | 5.1% | 1.5% | 4.41 | 4.05 | +3.2 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Daniel Corniel (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.48 | 22.0% | 10.2% | 2.9% | — | 4.20 | 23.4% | 14.3% | 220 | -0.28 | — | — | — |
| Jared Karros R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.72 | 19.0% | 8.9% | 3.8% | .290 | 5.32 | 17.8% | 8.3% | 120 | +0.60 | 3.31 | 191 | 89 |
| Brandon Young R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 24.5% | 12.3% | 2.7% | .297 | 3.46 | 22.4% | 14.1% | 150 | -0.61 | 3.11 | 420 | 87 |
| Noah Denoyer R 2027 · 4.45 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.45 | 21.5% | 12.1% | 3.0% | .275 | 4.09 | 25.9% | 14.9% | 121 | -0.36 | 3.05 | 181 | 87 |
| Nate Dohm R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.86 | 21.1% | 11.5% | 3.8% | .309 | 4.59 | 17.7% | 2.6% | 40 | -0.27 | 4.59 | 115 | 87 |
| Mike Vasil R 2026 · 3.71 FIP | 22 | SP | 3.71 | 21.9% | 10.5% | 2.0% | .264 | 4.60 | 19.1% | 9.4% | 359 | +0.89 | 3.71 | 429 | 87 |
| Tanner Burns R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.07 | 22.2% | 10.6% | 2.8% | .292 | 5.42 | 19.5% | 6.0% | 244 | +1.35 | 4.07 | 378 | 86 |
| Michael Knorr R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 85 |
| Ian Bedell R 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.64 | 21.0% | 10.1% | 1.9% | .285 | 5.72 | 19.1% | 8.1% | 178 | +2.08 | 3.64 | 274 | 85 |
| Brandon Bailey R 2026 · 3.37 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.37 | 24.6% | 9.9% | 2.0% | .290 | 4.39 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 215 | +1.02 | 3.37 | 306 | 85 |
| Cody Laweryson R 2027 · 4.23 FIP | 23 | SP | 4.23 | 21.7% | 8.4% | 3.5% | .329 | 3.55 | 21.5% | 12.4% | 178 | -0.68 | 2.49 | 298 | 85 |
| Tanner Hall R 2026 · 4.56 FIP | 22 | SP- | 4.56 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 3.0% | .295 | 5.39 | 10.1% | -4.6% | 72 | +0.83 | 4.56 | 137 | 85 |
| Chad Donato R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 84 |
| Pat Gallagher R 2027 · 3.56 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.56 | 21.9% | 8.3% | 2.3% | .284 | 3.43 | 20.0% | 10.3% | 195 | -0.13 | 2.97 | 258 | 84 |
| Zach Peek R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.57 | 22.8% | 10.1% | 2.0% | .339 | 3.40 | 17.5% | 9.8% | 45 | -0.17 | 3.40 | 233 | 84 |
| TJ Nichols R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.96 | 17.0% | 9.0% | 2.1% | .310 | 5.17 | 21.9% | 14.5% | 174 | +1.21 | 3.96 | 245 | 83 |
| Zack Lee R 2027 · 3.41 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.41 | 19.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% | .293 | 5.18 | 14.7% | 5.9% | 130 | +1.77 | 3.41 | 213 | 83 |
| Bryce Mayer R 2027 · 3.30 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.30 | 23.4% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .304 | 4.80 | 27.2% | 12.2% | 52 | +1.50 | 3.30 | 140 | 83 |
| Bryce Cunningham R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.06 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 2.4% | .268 | 5.93 | 17.4% | 2.1% | 47 | +1.87 | 4.06 | 101 | 83 |
| Bryce Conley R 2027 · 4.94 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.94 | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.7% | .269 | 4.98 | 17.4% | 3.3% | 197 | +0.04 | 4.60 | 529 | 83 |
| Garrett Burhenn R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 22 | SP | 4.19 | 21.1% | 7.7% | 3.5% | .333 | 4.44 | 16.9% | 8.8% | 341 | +0.25 | 4.19 | 433 | 83 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 11 | 69 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 1.17 | 4.34 |
| Buck Farmer ('24) | 10 | 50 | 21.6% | 10.5% | 1.23 | 4.59 |
| Bryan Shaw ('23) | 8 | 64 | 21.4% | 9.4% | 1.12 | 4.19 |
| Daniel Hudson ('24) | 9 | 52 | 25.5% | 8.9% | 1.13 | 3.75 |
| Joe Kelly ('24) | 9 | 56 | 24.6% | 10.3% | 0.81 | 4.40 |
| Jacob Barnes ('24) | 7 | 42 | 22.1% | 9.6% | 1.21 | 4.58 |
| Shane Greene ('21) | 7 | 56 | 21.4% | 8.5% | 1.16 | 4.67 |