Caleb Boushley
P
Texas Rangers
Age 32
RHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
MLB
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 156 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 136127vR 117
ERA4.77
FIP4.82
K%15.9%
BB%6.9%
K-BB%9.0%
ROS IP156
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 156 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1491.9
Whiff%
p1820.8%
K%
p4321.2%
xwOBA vs
p100.370
CH (13%)
CT (16%)
SI (28%)
CU (7%)
FB-1.9 (51%)
SL-2.7 (13%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 42 | 183 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 82% | 3.8 | 14.2% | 10.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 5.83 | 4.11 | — |
| 2017 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 11 | 9 | 42 | 183 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 82% | 3.8 | 20.2% | 7.7% | 12.6% | 1.1% | 5.83 | 2.96 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 1 | 73 | 296 | 72 | 9 | 6 | 3% | 1.9 | 17.9% | 3.8% | 14.1% | 1.6% | 2.71 | 2.92 | — |
| 2018 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 1 | 73 | 296 | 72 | 9 | 6 | 3% | 1.9 | 24.3% | 3.0% | 21.3% | 2.0% | 2.71 | 2.57 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 26 | 10 | 102 | 432 | 104 | 16 | 7 | 38% | 3.9 | 18.5% | 4.3% | 14.3% | 2.5% | 3.61 | 3.46 | — |
| 2019 | 25 | A+ | Lake Elsinore Storm | 26 | 10 | 102 | 432 | 104 | 16 | 7 | 38% | 3.9 | 24.1% | 3.7% | 20.4% | 1.6% | 3.61 | 2.43 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 116 | 518 | 109 | 30 | 26 | 96% | 4.8 | 18.0% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 5.0% | 5.21 | 5.09 | — |
| 2021 | 27 | MIX | 2 levels | 24 | 23 | 116 | 518 | 109 | 30 | 26 | 96% | 4.8 | 21.0% | 5.8% | 15.3% | 5.0% | 5.21 | 4.92 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 25 | 25 | 127 | 520 | 91 | 43 | 12 | 100% | 5.1 | 15.4% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.8% | 3.25 | 4.46 | — |
| 2022 | 28 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | 25 | 25 | 127 | 520 | 91 | 43 | 12 | 100% | 5.1 | 17.5% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 2.3% | 3.25 | 3.91 | — |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 26 | 138 | 591 | 115 | 52 | 19 | 87% | 4.6 | 16.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.09 | 5.17 | +0.4 |
| 2023 | 29 | MIX | 2 levels | 30 | 26 | 138 | 591 | 115 | 52 | 19 | 87% | 4.6 | 19.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 3.2% | 5.09 | 4.35 | +1.7 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 138 | 596 | 109 | 30 | 22 | 93% | 4.9 | 16.5% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 3.9% | 5.20 | 4.49 | +1.5 |
| 2024 | 30 | MIX | 2 levels | 28 | 26 | 138 | 596 | 109 | 30 | 22 | 93% | 4.9 | 18.3% | 5.0% | 13.3% | 3.7% | 5.20 | 4.24 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 6 | 77 | 331 | 65 | 26 | 7 | 17% | 2.1 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 1.9% | 4.32 | 3.55 | +1.2 |
| 2025 | 31 | MIX | 2 levels | 36 | 6 | 77 | 331 | 65 | 26 | 7 | 17% | 2.1 | 19.6% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 4.32 | 3.61 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 32 | MLB | TEX | 25 | 25 | 168 | 711 | 113 | 49 | 23 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.9% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 4.77 | 4.82 | +1.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 23 | 23 | 154 | 652 | 102 | 48 | 23 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 5.04 | +0.7 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 21 | 21 | 140 | 593 | 90 | 47 | 23 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| 2027 | 33 | MLB | TEX | 22 | 22 | 147 | 621 | 97 | 46 | 22 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 4.91 | 5.04 | +0.6 |
| 2028 | 34 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 19 | 127 | 536 | 82 | 43 | 20 | 100% | 6.7 | 15.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.11 | 5.28 | +0.2 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 69 | 42 | 323 | 1379 | 226 | 104 | 48 | 61% | 4.7 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 5.13 | 4.60 | +3.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 43 | 26 | 200 | 853 | 140 | 64 | 30 | 61% | 4.7 | 16.4% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 5.13 | 4.60 | +1.9 | ||
| Career | — | 218 | 126 | 813 | 3467 | 591 | 237 | 114 | 58% | 3.7 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.32 | +10.3 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 54 | 31 | 200 | 853 | 145 | 58 | 28 | 58% | 3.7 | 17.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.40 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Caleb Boushley (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.82 | 15.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | — | 5.15 | 15.4% | 7.8% | 295 | +0.33 | — | — | — |
| Elian Leyva R 2024 · 4.30 FIP | 30 | SP- | 4.30 | 17.0% | 8.5% | 2.9% | .323 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.16 | 158 | 78 |
| Roberto Hernandez R 2028 · 4.26 FIP | 34 | SP- | 4.26 | 11.8% | 6.7% | 2.4% | .287 | 4.22 | 13.8% | 6.8% | 86 | -0.04 | 4.22 | 171 | 74 |
| Yohan Pino R 2025 · 3.95 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.95 | 17.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | .312 | 5.48 | 15.2% | 11.6% | 35 | +1.53 | 3.95 | 133 | 73 |
| Marco Quevedo R 2026 · 5.40 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.40 | 13.6% | 11.4% | 3.6% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.34 | 300 | 72 |
| Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2026 · 5.02 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.02 | 14.0% | 6.6% | 4.1% | .268 | 5.32 | 17.5% | 9.7% | 166 | +0.30 | 3.84 | 567 | 72 |
| Sam LeCure R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.27 | 16.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | .311 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.27 | 171 | 71 |
| Juan Omar Espinoza R 2026 · 4.95 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.95 | 8.4% | 9.2% | 2.5% | .348 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.68 | 104 | 70 |
| Jerome Williams R 2027 · 4.79 FIP | 33 | SP- | 4.79 | 13.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | .326 | 5.94 | 11.7% | 5.6% | 74 | +1.15 | 4.79 | 195 | 70 |
| Jason Berken R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.31 | 11.5% | 8.3% | 2.1% | .308 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.31 | 219 | 69 |
| Thad Weber R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.86 | 13.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | .398 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.55 | 363 | 68 |
| Dillon Gee R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 31 | SP- | 3.88 | 18.0% | 5.9% | 2.8% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 380 | 67 |
| Josh Zeid R 2024 · 5.41 FIP | 30 | SW | 5.41 | 18.3% | 10.8% | 4.5% | .334 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.21 | 265 | 66 |
| Zack Segovia R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SP | 5.00 | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.8% | .314 | 3.41 | 20.2% | 14.3% | 39 | -1.59 | 3.41 | 144 | 66 |
| Garrett Richards R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.23 | 21.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .280 | 4.13 | 18.8% | 9.8% | 179 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 577 | 66 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2026 · 5.15 FIP | 32 | SP- | 5.15 | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.8% | .312 | 5.23 | 17.5% | 7.7% | 369 | +0.08 | 3.69 | 521 | 65 |
| Casey Coleman R 2026 · 5.00 FIP | 32 | SW | 5.00 | 18.4% | 9.0% | 4.2% | .319 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.86 | 306 | 64 |
| Tim Dillard R 2026 · 3.70 FIP | 32 | SW | 3.70 | 15.9% | 7.7% | 1.8% | .330 | 3.83 | 16.7% | 8.1% | 144 | +0.13 | 3.15 | 352 | 63 |
| Marco Antonio Duarte R 2026 · 4.68 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.68 | 12.2% | 9.1% | 2.6% | .420 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.02 | 203 | 63 |
| Daniel McCutchen R 2026 · 4.47 FIP | 32 | SP- | 4.47 | 13.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | .268 | 4.60 | 10.8% | 4.9% | 155 | +0.13 | 4.47 | 287 | 63 |
| Jeremy Hellickson R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 32 | SP | 4.93 | 17.8% | 8.5% | 4.1% | .282 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 646 | 63 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 154 | 15.6% | 7.4% | 1.36 | 4.92 |
| Ricky Nolasco ('17) | 3 | 139 | 18.1% | 6.5% | 1.38 | 4.85 |
| Miguel González ('17) | 3 | 145 | 16.2% | 7.5% | 1.18 | 4.44 |
| Matt Garza ('17) | 3 | 122 | 15.5% | 8.5% | 1.26 | 5.10 |
| Jeremy Hellickson ('19) | 5 | 126 | 17.5% | 6.6% | 1.44 | 4.49 |
| Doug Fister ('18) | 4 | 110 | 15.8% | 7.5% | 1.19 | 4.56 |
| Jason Hammel ('18) | 4 | 161 | 19.8% | 6.5% | 1.28 | 4.65 |