Caleb Boushley — OGILVIE

Caleb Boushley P Texas Rangers

Age 32 RHP 6'3" / 190 lbs MLB

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 14 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 131123vR 115

ERA4.73

FIP4.76

K%15.4%

BB%6.1%

K-BB%9.3%

ROS IP14

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 14 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF4040

CTRL6060

CMD5050

K†3030

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1491.9

Whiff%

p1820.8%

p4321.2%

xwOBA vs

p100.370

CH (13%)

CT (16%)

SI (28%)

CU (7%)

FB-1.9 (51%)

SL-2.7 (13%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	11	9	42	183	37	14	2	82%	3.8	14.2%	10.0%	4.2%	1.7%	5.83	4.11	—
2017	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	11	9	42	183	37	14	2	82%	3.8	20.2%	7.7%	12.6%	1.1%	5.83	2.96	—
2018	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	38	1	73	296	72	9	6	3%	1.9	17.9%	3.8%	14.1%	1.8%	2.71	3.05	—
2018	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	38	1	73	296	72	9	6	3%	1.9	24.3%	3.0%	21.3%	2.0%	2.71	2.57	—
2019	25	A+ MLE	Lake Elsinore Storm	26	10	102	432	104	16	7	38%	3.9	18.5%	4.3%	14.3%	2.3%	3.61	3.31	—
2019	25	A+ RAW	Lake Elsinore Storm	26	10	102	432	104	16	7	38%	3.9	24.1%	3.7%	20.4%	1.6%	3.61	2.43	—
2021	27	MIX MLE	2 levels	24	23	116	518	109	30	26	96%	4.8	18.0%	6.2%	11.9%	5.2%	5.21	5.21	—
2021	27	MIX RAW	2 levels	24	23	116	518	109	30	26	96%	4.8	21.0%	5.8%	15.3%	5.0%	5.21	4.92	—
2022	28	AAA MLE	Nashville Sounds	25	25	127	520	91	43	12	100%	5.1	15.4%	8.7%	6.7%	2.7%	3.25	4.37	—
2022	28	AAA RAW	Nashville Sounds	25	25	127	520	91	43	12	100%	5.1	17.5%	8.3%	9.2%	2.3%	3.25	3.91	—
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	26	138	591	115	52	19	87%	4.6	15.7%	7.9%	7.8%	3.8%	5.09	4.84	+0.1
2023	29	MIX MLE	2 levels	30	26	138	591	115	52	19	87%	4.6	15.7%	7.9%	7.8%	3.8%	5.09	4.84	+0.1
2023	29	MIX RAW	2 levels	30	26	138	591	115	52	19	87%	4.6	19.5%	8.8%	10.7%	3.2%	5.09	4.35	+0.9
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	138	596	109	30	22	93%	4.9	15.6%	4.4%	11.2%	4.0%	5.20	4.56	+0.5
2024	30	MIX MLE	2 levels	28	26	138	596	109	30	22	93%	4.9	15.6%	4.4%	11.2%	4.0%	5.20	4.56	+0.5
2024	30	MIX RAW	2 levels	28	26	138	596	109	30	22	93%	4.9	18.3%	5.0%	13.3%	3.7%	5.20	4.24	+1.1
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	6	77	331	65	26	7	17%	2.1	18.4%	7.5%	10.9%	1.9%	4.32	3.53	+0.9
2025	31	MIX MLE	2 levels	36	6	77	331	65	26	7	17%	2.1	18.4%	7.5%	10.9%	1.9%	4.32	3.53	+0.9
2025	31	MIX RAW	2 levels	36	6	77	331	65	26	7	17%	2.1	19.6%	7.9%	11.8%	2.1%	4.32	3.61	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			28	1	50	223	47	16	6	4%	1.8	21.1%	7.2%	13.9%	2.7%	5.80	3.74	+0.5
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	32	MLB	TEX	2	2	14	59	9	4	2	100%	7.0	15.4%	6.1%	9.3%	3.3%	4.73	4.76	+0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	33	MLB MLE	TEX	23	23	154	652	99	44	23	100%	6.7	15.2%	6.7%	8.5%	3.5%	4.86	4.99	-0.2
2028	34	MLB MLE	TEX	21	21	140	593	88	43	23	100%	6.7	14.8%	7.3%	7.6%	3.8%	5.06	5.23	-0.5
2027	33	MLB CTX	TEX	22	22	147	621	95	42	22	100%	6.7	15.2%	6.7%	8.5%	3.5%	4.86	4.99	-0.1
2028	34	MLB CTX	TEX	19	19	127	536	80	39	20	100%	6.7	14.8%	7.3%	7.6%	3.8%	5.06	5.23	-0.5
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		69	42	323	1379	221	97	48	61%	4.7	16.0%	7.0%	9.0%	3.5%	5.08	4.56	+1.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	26	200	853	137	60	30	61%	4.7	16.0%	7.0%	9.0%	3.5%	5.08	4.56	+0.8
Career	—	MLE		218	126	813	3467	579	222	112	58%	3.7	16.7%	6.4%	10.3%	3.2%	4.40	4.27	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		54	31	200	853	142	55	27	58%	3.7	16.7%	6.4%	10.3%	3.2%	4.40	4.27	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Caleb Boushley (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.76	15.4%	6.1%	3.3%	—	5.10	15.0%	8.1%	295	+0.34	—	—	—
Elian Leyva R 2019 · 4.30 FIP	30	SP-	4.30	17.0%	8.5%	2.9%	.323	—	—	—	—	—	3.10	158	76
Roberto Hernandez R 2015 · 4.38 FIP	34	SP-	4.38	11.8%	6.7%	2.6%	.287	4.38	13.8%	6.8%	86	+0.00	4.38	171	75
Yohan Pino R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	31	SP-	4.13	17.8%	5.8%	3.3%	.312	5.33	15.2%	11.6%	35	+1.20	4.13	133	74
Austin Bibens-Dirkx R 2017 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	14.0%	6.6%	4.2%	.268	5.28	17.5%	9.7%	166	+0.25	3.97	567	72
Sam LeCure R 2016 · 4.17 FIP	32	SW	4.17	16.6%	6.5%	3.0%	.311	—	—	—	—	—	4.17	171	71
Marco Quevedo R 2019 · 5.17 FIP	32	SP-	5.17	13.6%	11.4%	3.2%	.344	—	—	—	—	—	4.13	300	70
Jerome Williams R 2015 · 4.72 FIP	33	SP-	4.72	13.4%	5.6%	3.7%	.326	5.81	11.7%	5.6%	74	+1.09	4.72	195	70
Jason Berken R 2016 · 4.54 FIP	32	SW	4.54	11.5%	8.3%	2.5%	.308	—	—	—	—	—	4.34	219	69
Juan Omar Espinoza R 2016 · 4.84 FIP	32	SP-	4.84	8.4%	9.2%	2.4%	.348	—	—	—	—	—	4.81	104	69
Thad Weber R 2017 · 5.25 FIP	32	SP-	5.25	13.2%	4.4%	4.9%	.398	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	363	67
Zack Segovia R 2015 · 4.78 FIP	32	SP	4.78	15.0%	8.3%	3.4%	.314	3.33	20.2%	14.3%	39	-1.45	3.33	144	65
Dillon Gee R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	31	SP-	3.85	18.0%	5.9%	2.8%	.302	—	—	—	—	—	3.67	380	65
Garrett Richards R 2020 · 4.05 FIP	32	SP-	4.05	21.6%	8.0%	3.2%	.280	4.16	18.8%	9.8%	179	+0.11	2.31	577	65
Josh Zeid R 2017 · 5.35 FIP	30	SW	5.35	18.3%	10.8%	4.4%	.334	—	—	—	—	—	4.12	265	65
Edwin Jackson R 2016 · 5.00 FIP	32	SP-	5.00	15.7%	10.1%	3.5%	.312	5.18	17.5%	7.7%	369	+0.18	3.77	521	64
Daniel McCutchen R 2015 · 4.30 FIP	32	SP-	4.30	13.9%	4.4%	3.3%	.268	4.74	10.8%	4.9%	155	+0.44	4.30	287	64
Casey Coleman R 2019 · 5.06 FIP	32	SW	5.06	18.4%	9.0%	4.3%	.319	—	—	—	—	—	2.95	306	63
Marco Antonio Duarte R 2019 · 5.03 FIP	32	SW	5.03	12.2%	9.1%	3.3%	.420	—	—	—	—	—	4.07	203	63
Tim Dillard R 2015 · 3.58 FIP	32	SW	3.58	15.9%	7.7%	1.5%	.330	3.85	16.7%	8.1%	144	+0.27	3.13	352	62
Jesus Adrian Castillo R 2016 · 3.88 FIP	32	SP	3.88	12.8%	6.0%	2.0%	.245	4.27	13.6%	7.2%	58	+0.39	2.23	173	61

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.3	154	15.2%	6.7%	1.36	4.87
Cole Irvin ('24)	2.9	118	17.1%	5.6%	1.28	4.46
Dan Straily ('19)	2.7	136	20.0%	8.9%	1.72	4.54
Mike Foltynewicz ('21)	4.0	134	21.4%	7.7%	1.46	4.45
Homer Bailey ('19)	1.9	96	18.5%	7.8%	1.34	5.56
Zach Plesac ('23)	2.3	93	18.4%	6.3%	1.39	4.20
Kutter Crawford ('24)	2.0	130	23.9%	7.2%	1.45	4.47