Sam Whiting — OGILVIE

Sam Whiting P Everett AquaSox

Age 25 RHP 6'3" / 220 lbs A+

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 134126vR 118

ERA5.33

FIP5.33

K%15.8%

BB%13.6%

K-BB%2.1%

ROS IP46

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 46 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	9	40	10	10	1	0%	1.1	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.5%	2.08	5.53	—
2023	22	MIX MLE	2 levels	8	0	9	40	10	10	1	0%	1.1	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.5%	2.08	5.53	—
2023	22	MIX RAW	2 levels	8	0	9	40	10	10	1	0%	1.1	25.0%	25.0%	0.0%	2.5%	2.08	5.75	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	20	72	325	62	35	3	83%	3.0	14.6%	12.3%	2.3%	1.3%	3.75	4.12	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	24	20	72	325	62	35	3	83%	3.0	14.6%	12.3%	2.3%	1.3%	3.75	4.12	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	24	20	72	325	62	35	3	83%	3.0	19.1%	10.8%	8.3%	0.9%	3.75	3.38	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	9	67	299	54	38	5	41%	3.0	14.3%	15.1%	-0.8%	2.3%	5.54	5.05	—
2025	24	MIX MLE	3 levels	22	9	67	299	54	38	5	41%	3.0	14.3%	15.1%	-0.8%	2.3%	5.54	5.05	—
2025	24	MIX RAW	3 levels	22	9	67	299	54	38	5	41%	3.0	18.1%	12.7%	5.4%	1.7%	5.54	4.17	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	26	0	45	191	52	18	5	0%	1.7	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	3.4%	3.60	4.64	—
YTD	25	AA MLE	Arkansas Travelers	26	0	45	191	52	18	5	0%	1.7	21.2%	11.4%	9.8%	3.4%	3.60	4.64	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	25	A+ RAW	SEA	25	0	43	182	50	18	5	0%	1.7	27.5%	9.9%	17.6%	2.7%	3.59	3.54	—
2026	25	AA RAW	SEA	1	0	2	9	2	0	0	0%	2.3	22.2%	0.0%	22.2%	0.0%	3.86	1.22	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	SEA	62	0	65	274	48	36	7	0%	1.0	17.5%	13.1%	4.4%	2.7%	5.18	5.14	-0.4
2028	27	MLB MLE	SEA	61	0	64	269	48	35	7	0%	1.0	17.9%	12.9%	5.0%	2.8%	5.12	5.12	-0.4
2027	26	MLB CTX	SEA	27	0	28	118	21	16	3	0%	1.0	17.5%	13.1%	4.4%	2.7%	5.18	5.14	-0.2
2028	27	MLB CTX	SEA	38	0	40	169	30	22	5	0%	1.1	17.9%	12.9%	5.0%	2.8%	5.12	5.12	-0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		65	0	68	287	51	37	8	0%	1.0	17.8%	13.0%	4.8%	2.7%	5.14	4.75	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	150	109	24	0%	1.1	17.8%	13.0%	4.8%	2.7%	5.14	4.75	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		80	29	192	855	141	117	18	36%	2.4	16.4%	13.7%	2.8%	2.2%	4.26	4.63	-0.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		83	30	200	889	146	122	19	36%	2.4	16.4%	13.7%	2.8%	2.2%	4.26	4.63	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Sam Whiting (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.33	15.8%	13.6%	2.7%	—	5.13	17.7%	4.7%	129	-0.20	—	—	—
Raymar Navarro R 2016 · 4.30 FIP	25	SW	4.30	13.1%	11.7%	1.5%	.332	4.29	11.8%	1.0%	41	-0.01	4.29	108	85
Jarret Whorff R 2023 · 4.24 FIP	24	SW	4.24	19.5%	14.2%	1.8%	.287	4.36	19.2%	10.6%	193	+0.12	3.92	257	85
Grant Black R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	27	SW	4.46	19.0%	13.9%	2.2%	.327	5.37	14.7%	3.6%	156	+0.91	4.46	215	84
Brad Allen R 2015 · 4.25 FIP	26	SW	4.25	14.0%	12.6%	1.3%	.315	5.82	14.7%	1.5%	87	+1.57	4.25	149	84
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	83
Stephen Johnson R 2016 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	16.7%	12.7%	3.4%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	3.12	141	83
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.19	27.2%	16.7%	182	-1.93	1.90	247	82
Aaron Northcraft R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	25	SW	4.37	13.6%	10.2%	2.1%	.286	4.19	16.1%	7.8%	91	-0.18	3.32	252	81
Clate Schmidt R 2019 · 5.66 FIP	25	SU	5.66	13.5%	13.9%	3.5%	.290	—	—	—	—	—	3.51	160	81
Fernando Cruz R 2015 · 5.29 FIP	25	SU	5.29	15.6%	12.2%	3.6%	.284	—	—	—	—	—	2.50	371	81
Andrew McInvale R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	25	SU	5.15	17.6%	15.9%	2.8%	.324	6.44	24.5%	10.0%	23	+1.29	4.92	103	80
Dillon McNamara R 2017 · 5.01 FIP	25	SW	5.01	13.3%	11.1%	3.0%	.229	3.00	21.2%	12.3%	69	-2.01	1.73	244	80
Kender Villegas R 2017 · 4.70 FIP	24	SU	4.70	13.3%	13.3%	1.9%	.269	—	—	—	—	—	3.26	131	80
Zach Nuding R 2015 · 4.76 FIP	25	SU	4.76	12.5%	10.5%	2.5%	.236	5.03	12.6%	3.3%	106	+0.27	4.76	146	80
Cullen Kafka R 2023 · 4.95 FIP	24	SW	4.95	14.2%	12.1%	2.8%	.330	—	—	—	—	—	3.64	148	80
Reece Karalus R 2018 · 4.73 FIP	24	SU	4.73	15.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.299	—	—	—	—	—	4.73	149	79
Juan Paniagua R 2015 · 4.69 FIP	25	SU	4.69	15.7%	11.9%	2.6%	.262	4.63	16.2%	1.8%	93	-0.06	4.57	151	79
Garrett Apker R 2023 · 6.24 FIP	23	SW	6.24	15.0%	18.8%	3.7%	.343	4.93	18.9%	5.2%	53	-1.31	4.01	101	78
Julian Arballo R 2015 · 5.13 FIP	27	SU	5.13	15.1%	13.8%	2.8%	.335	4.46	12.6%	0.6%	116	-0.67	4.45	214	78
Robbie Peto R 2023 · 5.75 FIP	25	SW	5.75	15.3%	13.4%	4.1%	.325	—	—	—	—	—	5.39	232	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	58	17.2%	13.2%	1.05	5.20
John Gant ('21)	1.7	85	20.1%	12.5%	0.79	3.91
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Steven Brault ('21)	1.7	57	18.8%	11.3%	1.00	4.77
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Tyler Chatwood ('21)	2.6	104	19.2%	13.3%	0.94	4.48