Jordan Geber
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
2026 ROS PROJECTION38 act + 32 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 127118vR 109
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
K%18.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%9.1%
ROS IP32
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 70 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 4 | 29 | 131 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 57% | 4.1 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.59 | 5.14 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 7 | 4 | 29 | 131 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 57% | 4.1 | 21.4% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 4.6% | 5.59 | 5.10 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 15 | 7 | 62 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 8 | 47% | 4.1 | 17.2% | 5.2% | 12.0% | 3.4% | 4.21 | 4.16 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | MIX | 4 levels | 15 | 7 | 62 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 8 | 47% | 4.1 | 21.6% | 4.0% | 17.6% | 3.2% | 4.21 | 3.52 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 13 | 89 | 381 | 66 | 29 | 8 | 52% | 3.6 | 14.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.83 | 4.80 | — |
| 2024 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 25 | 13 | 89 | 381 | 66 | 29 | 8 | 52% | 3.6 | 17.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 2.1% | 3.83 | 3.76 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 6 | 35 | 158 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 1.8 | 16.9% | 11.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 3.57 | 4.28 | — |
| 2025 | 26 | MIX | 2 levels | 20 | 6 | 35 | 158 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 30% | 1.8 | 20.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 2.5% | 3.57 | 4.20 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 16 | 6 | 38 | 181 | 33 | 30 | 5 | 38% | 2.4 | 14.2% | 18.0% | -3.8% | 3.5% | 5.63 | 6.11 | -0.7 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYM | 30 | 0 | 32 | 133 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.1 |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYM | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
| 2026 TOT | 27 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 70 | 314 | 58 | 43 | 9 | — | — | 18.5% | 13.7% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.25 | 5.51 | -0.6 |
| 2026 FULL | 27 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 19.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.41 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 29 | 0 | 31 | 130 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.83 | -0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 28 | 0 | 29 | 124 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0% | 1.0 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.86 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.80 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 15 | 0 | 16 | 68 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 4.86 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 27 | 0 | 28 | 120 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.83 | 4.50 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 162 | 84 | 28 | 0% | 1.1 | 19.3% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 3.2% | 4.83 | 4.50 | +2.1 | ||
| Career | — | 83 | 36 | 254 | 1101 | 169 | 109 | 36 | 43% | 3.1 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.84 | +1.7 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 65 | 28 | 200 | 867 | 133 | 86 | 28 | 43% | 3.1 | 15.3% | 9.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.36 | 4.84 | +1.3 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Geber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.87 | 19.3% | 9.3% | 60 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Dakota Hawkins R 2025 · 3.90 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.90 | 16.7% | 6.8% | 2.5% | .243 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 167 | 78 |
| Andres Santiago R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.27 | 16.3% | 9.1% | 2.5% | .384 | 5.45 | 13.1% | 3.2% | 159 | +1.18 | 3.74 | 291 | 77 |
| Roberto Gómez R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.13 | 18.4% | 8.9% | 2.7% | .315 | 5.25 | 13.8% | 4.9% | 18 | +1.12 | 4.13 | 115 | 77 |
| Taylor Grover R 2025 · 4.89 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.89 | 20.0% | 10.9% | 3.8% | .320 | 4.92 | 16.2% | 8.9% | 14 | +0.03 | 3.63 | 239 | 77 |
| Josh Roeder R 2025 · 4.75 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.75 | 15.1% | 8.7% | 3.3% | .264 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.75 | 175 | 77 |
| Colby Morris R 2024 · 5.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 5.76 | 16.2% | 11.8% | 4.6% | .268 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.23 | 105 | 77 |
| Alfonso Sanchez R 2026 · 4.81 FIP | 27 | SP- | 4.81 | 12.5% | 9.1% | 2.9% | .346 | 4.97 | 14.0% | 5.3% | 138 | +0.16 | 4.54 | 224 | 77 |
| Ramon Delgado R 2028 · 4.73 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.73 | 13.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | .332 | 4.45 | 11.2% | 7.2% | 74 | -0.28 | 4.45 | 135 | 76 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 5.25 FIP | 27 | SW | 5.25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 4.4% | .307 | 3.44 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.81 | 3.32 | 227 | 76 |
| Aaron Northcraft R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.16 | 16.1% | 8.3% | 2.5% | .309 | 3.28 | 24.1% | 13.4% | 34 | -0.88 | 3.28 | 252 | 75 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.79 FIP | 27 | SW | 3.79 | 16.6% | 9.2% | 1.7% | .251 | 4.85 | 16.0% | 6.7% | 234 | +1.06 | 3.76 | 399 | 75 |
| Paul Clemens R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 27 | SP- | 5.36 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 3.1% | .310 | 4.76 | 16.9% | 7.3% | 200 | -0.60 | 4.76 | 247 | 74 |
| Grant Black R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.49 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +0.97 | 4.49 | 215 | 74 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 74 |
| Dawson Netz R 2024 · 4.42 FIP | 25 | SP- | 4.42 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 3.5% | .225 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.42 | 102 | 74 |
| Orlando Rodriguez R 2026 · 4.53 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.53 | 13.7% | 10.6% | 2.3% | .252 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.50 | 119 | 73 |
| Bud Norris R 2029 · 4.90 FIP | 30 | SW | 4.90 | 18.8% | 8.2% | 4.3% | .327 | 3.85 | 24.2% | 15.5% | 233 | -1.05 | 3.52 | 316 | 73 |
| Trevor Cahill R 2026 · 4.15 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.15 | 16.4% | 9.4% | 2.3% | .297 | 4.10 | 22.9% | 12.0% | 293 | -0.05 | 3.33 | 556 | 73 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 73 |
| Dennis O'Grady R 2025 · 5.19 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.19 | 13.5% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .339 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.79 | 157 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 3 | 31 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 1.22 | 4.82 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Drew VerHagen ('23) | 6 | 43 | 19.7% | 9.4% | 1.40 | 4.82 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |