Jordan Geber — OGILVIE

Jordan Geber P Binghamton Rumble Ponies

Age 27 RHP 6'3" / 205 lbs AA

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 31 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%16.1%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%7.2%

ROS IP32

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 31 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4040

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2022	23	MIX MLE	2 levels	7	4	29	131	28	12	6	57%	4.1	15.3%	10.7%	4.6%	3.4%	5.59	5.03	—
2022	23	MIX RAW	2 levels	7	4	29	131	28	12	6	57%	4.1	21.4%	9.2%	12.2%	4.6%	5.59	5.10	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	15	7	62	250	54	10	8	47%	4.1	17.2%	5.2%	12.0%	3.6%	4.21	4.26	—
2023	24	MIX MLE	4 levels	15	7	62	250	54	10	8	47%	4.1	17.2%	5.2%	12.0%	3.6%	4.21	4.26	—
2023	24	MIX RAW	4 levels	15	7	62	250	54	10	8	47%	4.1	21.6%	4.0%	17.6%	3.2%	4.21	3.52	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	13	89	381	66	29	8	52%	3.6	13.9%	8.0%	5.9%	2.8%	3.83	4.48	—
2024	25	MIX MLE	3 levels	25	13	89	381	66	29	8	52%	3.6	13.9%	8.0%	5.9%	2.8%	3.83	4.48	—
2024	25	MIX RAW	3 levels	25	13	89	381	66	29	8	52%	3.6	17.3%	7.6%	9.7%	2.1%	3.83	3.76	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	6	35	158	32	17	4	30%	1.8	16.5%	10.6%	6.0%	2.4%	3.57	4.35	—
2025	26	MIX MLE	2 levels	20	6	35	158	32	17	4	30%	1.8	16.5%	10.6%	6.0%	2.4%	3.57	4.35	—
2025	26	MIX RAW	2 levels	20	6	35	158	32	17	4	30%	1.8	20.3%	10.8%	9.5%	2.5%	3.57	4.20	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	17	6	41	189	35	31	5	35%	2.4	14.5%	17.8%	-3.3%	3.4%	5.27	5.97	—
YTD	27	AAA MLE	Syracuse Mets	17	6	41	189	35	31	5	35%	2.4	14.5%	17.8%	-3.3%	3.4%	5.27	5.97	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	27	AA RAW	NYM	16	6	38	179	32	29	5	38%	2.4	17.9%	16.2%	1.7%	2.8%	5.63	5.18	—
2026	27	AAA RAW	NYM	1	0	3	10	3	2	0	0%	2.7	30.0%	20.0%	10.0%	0.0%	0.00	3.10	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	NYM	29	0	31	130	22	12	4	0%	1.1	16.7%	9.0%	7.6%	3.1%	4.90	4.93	-0.1
2027	28	MLB CTX	NYM	11	0	12	51	8	5	2	0%	1.1	16.7%	9.0%	7.6%	3.1%	4.90	4.93	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		11	0	12	49	8	4	2	0%	1.0	16.7%	9.0%	7.6%	3.1%	4.90	4.55	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	139	69	35	0%	1.1	16.7%	9.0%	7.6%	3.1%	4.90	4.55	+0.0
Career	—	MLE		84	36	257	1109	169	108	34	43%	3.1	15.3%	9.7%	5.5%	3.1%	4.31	4.73	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		65	28	200	864	132	84	27	43%	3.1	15.3%	9.7%	5.5%	3.1%	4.31	4.73	-0.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jordan Geber (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	16.1%	8.9%	3.0%	—	4.93	16.7%	7.6%	31	+0.03	—	—	—
Alfonso Sanchez R 2015 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.5%	9.1%	3.2%	.346	4.85	14.0%	5.3%	138	-0.11	4.51	224	82
Ramon Delgado R 2016 · 4.60 FIP	29	SW	4.60	13.8%	5.9%	3.5%	.332	4.31	11.2%	7.2%	74	-0.29	4.31	135	81
Tristan Stevens R 2023 · 4.14 FIP	25	SW	4.14	17.3%	8.2%	2.7%	.411	3.68	15.0%	7.7%	91	-0.46	3.68	126	80
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	80
Josh Roeder R 2019 · 4.71 FIP	26	SW	4.71	15.1%	8.7%	3.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.71	175	80
Andres Santiago R 2017 · 4.16 FIP	27	SW	4.16	16.3%	9.1%	2.3%	.384	5.26	13.1%	3.2%	159	+1.10	3.76	291	78
Colby Morris R 2022 · 5.76 FIP	25	SW	5.76	16.2%	11.8%	4.6%	.268	—	—	—	—	—	4.11	105	77
Orlando Rodriguez R 2023 · 4.67 FIP	27	SW	4.67	13.7%	10.6%	2.5%	.252	—	—	—	—	—	4.40	119	77
Aaron Northcraft R 2016 · 4.19 FIP	26	SW	4.19	16.1%	8.3%	2.5%	.309	3.32	24.1%	13.4%	34	-0.87	3.32	252	76
Roberto Gómez R 2017 · 3.95 FIP	27	SW	3.95	18.4%	8.9%	2.3%	.315	5.25	13.8%	4.9%	18	+1.30	3.95	115	76
Paul Clemens R 2015 · 5.37 FIP	27	SP-	5.37	14.3%	14.1%	3.1%	.310	4.62	16.9%	7.3%	200	-0.75	4.58	247	76
Rodolfo Aguirre R 2015 · 4.29 FIP	30	SW	4.29	12.4%	6.9%	2.5%	.288	4.81	11.4%	1.3%	125	+0.52	3.39	212	76
Dennis O'Grady R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	26	SW	4.95	13.5%	11.0%	2.9%	.339	—	—	—	—	—	3.62	157	76
Logan Bawcom R 2016 · 3.73 FIP	27	SW	3.73	16.6%	9.2%	1.6%	.251	4.85	16.0%	6.7%	234	+1.12	3.73	399	75
Aldo Montes R 2017 · 4.96 FIP	27	SP-	4.96	12.4%	8.5%	3.3%	.322	4.69	18.2%	7.6%	75	-0.27	4.69	210	75
Nolan Sanburn R 2017 · 4.55 FIP	26	SW	4.55	15.0%	10.4%	2.5%	.310	—	—	—	—	—	3.82	169	75
Taylor Grover R 2017 · 4.93 FIP	26	SW	4.93	20.0%	10.9%	3.9%	.320	4.89	16.2%	8.9%	14	-0.04	3.68	239	74
Trevor Cahill R 2015 · 4.13 FIP	27	SW	4.13	16.4%	9.4%	2.2%	.297	4.12	22.9%	12.0%	293	-0.01	3.37	556	74
Zac Kristofak R 2023 · 4.10 FIP	25	SW	4.10	15.5%	8.9%	2.1%	.252	4.70	10.8%	5.0%	19	+0.60	4.10	168	74
Bud Norris R 2015 · 4.68 FIP	30	SW	4.68	18.8%	8.2%	3.9%	.327	3.78	24.2%	15.5%	233	-0.90	3.51	316	73

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	31	16.4%	9.0%	1.19	4.90
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41