Jordan Geber
P
Binghamton Rumble Ponies
+0.1
WAR
Age 27
RHP
6'3" / 205 lbs
AA
peak 0.1 · 2026
ERA4.79
FIP4.79
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%18.9%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%9.1%
IP45
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.1peak
2026
K†4545
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 23 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 7 | 4 | 29 | 131 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 15.3% | 10.7% | 3.4% | 5.59 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2023 | 24 | AA | Binghamton Rumble Ponies | 15 | 7 | 62 | 250 | 54 | 10 | 8 | 17.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.21 | 4.25 | +0.5 |
| 2024 | 25 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 25 | 13 | 89 | 381 | 66 | 29 | 8 | 14.0% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 3.83 | 4.52 | +0.7 |
| 2025 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 20 | 6 | 35 | 158 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 16.9% | 11.5% | 2.4% | 3.57 | 4.47 | +0.2 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | AAA | Syracuse Mets | 3 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 7 | 4 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| ROS | 27 | MLB | NYM | 45 | — | 45 | 191 | 36 | 19 | 6 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | 4.79 | 4.79 | +0.1 |
| 2026 Total | 27 | MLB | NYM | — | — | 52 | 218 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 19.8% | 10.5% | 2.7% | 4.17 | 4.17 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYM | 44 | — | 44 | 188 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 19.4% | 9.8% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.77 | +0.1 |
| 2028 | 29 | MLB | NYM | 44 | — | 44 | 184 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 4.76 | 4.78 | +0.1 |
| 2029 | 30 | MLB | NYM | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 35 | 18 | 6 | 19.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | 4.79 | 4.82 | +0.1 |
| 2030 | 31 | MLB | NYM | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 19.4% | 10.1% | 3.2% | 4.84 | 4.88 | +0.0 |
| 2031 | 32 | MLB | NYM | 39 | — | 39 | 165 | 32 | 17 | 5 | 19.1% | 10.2% | 3.3% | 4.92 | 4.97 | -0.0 |
| 2032 | 33 | MLB | NYM | 37 | — | 37 | 157 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 18.8% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 5.01 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 34 | MLB | NYM | 35 | — | 35 | 149 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 18.4% | 10.6% | 3.5% | 5.11 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 35 | MLB | NYM | 33 | — | 33 | 141 | 25 | 15 | 5 | 18.1% | 10.8% | 3.6% | 5.22 | 5.30 | -0.1 |
| 2035 | 36 | MLB | NYM | 31 | — | 31 | 132 | 23 | 15 | 5 | 17.6% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 5.35 | 5.43 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 70 | 31 | 222 | 947 | 150 | 81 | 28 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.46 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 63 | 28 | 200 | 852 | 135 | 73 | 25 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 2.9% | 4.01 | 4.46 | +1.9 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jordan Geber (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.79 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 3.0% | — | 4.79 | 19.5% | 9.6% | 130 | -0.00 | — | — | — |
| Rob Scahill R 2027 · 3.75 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.75 | 16.9% | 7.7% | 2.0% | .288 | 3.35 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 171 | -0.40 | 3.08 | 201 | 87 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.12 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.12 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.0% | .339 | 3.39 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.73 | 3.11 | 166 | 86 |
| Joe Colón J R 2026 · 4.30 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.30 | 20.4% | 12.1% | 2.5% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.24 | 113 | 86 |
| Ryan Cook R 2027 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 85 |
| Spencer Bivens R 2027 · 4.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.85 | 19.8% | 13.5% | 3.1% | .265 | 3.87 | 18.2% | 10.2% | 272 | -0.98 | 3.45 | 315 | 85 |
| Antonio Guzman R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.60 | 18.8% | 11.2% | 1.2% | .328 | 3.47 | 20.6% | 11.3% | 170 | -0.13 | 3.16 | 254 | 84 |
| Ronald Peña R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.57 | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2.9% | .355 | 4.49 | 16.5% | 6.1% | 39 | -0.08 | 3.70 | 187 | 84 |
| Michael Blazek R 2026 · 4.97 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.97 | 17.9% | 11.9% | 3.4% | .336 | 4.43 | 17.5% | 8.0% | 124 | -0.54 | 3.06 | 221 | 84 |
| Luis Mateo R 2026 · 4.58 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.58 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 2.8% | .309 | 5.45 | 8.6% | -4.8% | 43 | +0.87 | 3.47 | 160 | 84 |
| Guido Knudson R 2025 · 4.70 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.70 | 17.5% | 10.8% | 3.1% | .235 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.50 | 106 | 84 |
| Bayden Root R 2025 · 3.81 FIP | 26 | SU | 3.81 | 16.6% | 9.8% | 1.6% | .257 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.55 | 102 | 83 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2029 · 4.83 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.83 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.2% | .292 | 1.31 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.52 | 1.30 | 218 | 83 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2027 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 83 |
| Jonathan Aro R 2026 · 3.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.96 | 17.3% | 10.9% | 1.7% | .280 | 3.30 | 12.7% | 9.3% | 64 | -0.66 | 2.57 | 323 | 82 |
| Justin Topa R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 15.1% | 7.9% | 2.4% | .374 | 2.68 | 19.2% | 12.6% | 40 | -1.45 | 2.68 | 229 | 82 |
| Cole McDonald R 2026 · 5.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.16 | 21.1% | 13.8% | 3.8% | .281 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.84 | 153 | 82 |
| Cody Satterwhite R 2027 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.72 | 20.2% | 9.8% | 2.0% | .333 | 4.05 | 17.7% | 10.2% | 75 | +0.33 | 3.70 | 147 | 82 |
| Brett McKinney R 2025 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 82 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2026 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 82 |
| Adrian Garza R 2026 · 5.48 FIP | 27 | SU | 5.48 | 14.9% | 10.5% | 4.2% | .360 | 4.17 | 13.1% | 6.5% | 84 | -1.31 | 3.95 | 229 | 82 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.