JC Vanek — OGILVIE

JC Vanek1B Columbia Fireflies

Age 21 L/L 6'3" / 205 lbs A HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION374 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†84

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP287

ISO134

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$1M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE64

scouting grade only

SPEED59

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	—	—	—
2034	Arb-1	$0.4M	—	—	—
2035	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	49	40	10	2	0	0	9	17	0	3	1	250	388	300	688	50	435	35	18	328	108	+0	+0	—	—	+1	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	49	43	7	1	0	0	6	25	0	3	1	163	265	186	451	23	377	51	12	218	34	-4	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	49	43	7	1	0	0	6	25	0	3	1	163	265	186	451	23	389	51	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A RAW	Columbia Fireflies	—	49	40	10	2	0	0	9	17	0	3	1	250	388	300	688	50	435	35	18	328	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	49	43	7	1	0	0	6	25	0	3	1	163	265	186	451	23	377	51	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	20	A MLE	Columbia Fireflies	—	49	43	7	1	0	0	6	25	0	3	1	163	265	186	451	23	377	51	12	218	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	21	A MLE	KC	—	374	322	65	7	2	12	41	148	8	20	7	202	307	348	655	146	323	40	11	290	82	-8	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	21	A RAW	KC	—	374	298	76	9	3	14	65	104	8	20	7	255	402	446	848	191	341	28	17	380	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	21	A MLE	KC	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		290	33	11	292	84	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	21	A MLE	KC	—	383	330	66	7	2	12	42	151	8	20	7	200	305	342	648	142	320	39	11	290	82	-8	+1	+0	-7	+8	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	22	MLB MLE	KC	34%	336	293	62	9	2	10	35	109	5	8	3	212	306	358	665	147	292	32	10	300	89	-4	+0	+0	-6	+7	-0.3
2028	23	MLB MLE	KC	48%	415	363	78	12	2	13	43	130	6	10	3	215	308	366	675	152	293	31	10	306	93	-3	+1	+0	-7	+9	-0.1
2029	24	MLB MLE	KC	53%	463	405	89	14	3	15	48	143	7	11	4	220	313	380	693	160	294	31	10	310	96	-2	+1	+0	-8	+10	0.0
2030	25	MLB MLE	KC	55%	484	424	94	15	3	16	50	148	7	12	4	222	314	384	698	163	294	31	10	312	97	-2	+1	+0	-9	+10	0.1
2031	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	495	434	96	15	3	17	51	151	7	12	4	221	313	387	700	166	294	31	10	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2032	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	495	433	96	15	3	17	52	151	7	12	4	222	315	388	703	166	293	31	11	313	98	-1	+1	+0	-9	+11	0.1
2033	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	491	429	92	14	2	16	52	151	7	12	4	214	309	368	678	154	293	31	11	311	97	-2	+1	-1	-9	+11	0.0
2034	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	481	420	91	14	2	16	51	149	7	11	3	217	312	374	686	157	291	31	11	309	95	-3	+1	-1	-9	+10	-0.1
2035	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	470	410	87	13	2	15	50	147	7	10	3	212	308	363	672	151	289	31	11	306	93	-4	+1	-2	-8	+10	-0.3
2027	22	MLB CTX	KC	34%	115	100	21	3	1	3	12	37	2	3	1	210	307	350	657	140	289	32	10	284	89	-1	+0	+0	-2	+2	-0.1
2028	23	MLB CTX	KC	48%	201	175	37	6	1	6	21	63	3	5	2	211	307	360	667	149	290	31	10	289	93	-2	+0	+0	-4	+4	-0.1
2029	24	MLB CTX	KC	53%	244	213	45	7	1	7	25	75	4	6	2	211	306	352	658	141	290	31	10	293	96	-1	+0	+0	-4	+5	0.0
2030	25	MLB CTX	KC	55%	265	232	51	8	2	8	27	81	4	6	2	220	312	375	687	155	290	31	10	295	97	-1	+0	+0	-5	+6	0.1
2031	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	276	241	53	8	2	9	29	84	4	7	2	220	314	382	696	162	290	30	11	296	98	-1	+1	+0	-5	+6	0.1
2032	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	272	237	51	8	2	8	29	83	4	7	2	215	311	367	678	152	290	31	11	296	98	-1	+1	+0	-5	+6	0.1
2033	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	268	234	50	8	1	8	28	82	4	6	2	214	308	359	667	145	289	31	10	294	97	-1	+0	-0	-5	+6	0.0
2034	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	257	224	47	7	1	8	27	79	4	6	2	210	306	357	663	147	287	31	11	292	95	-1	+0	-1	-5	+6	-0.1
2035	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	247	215	45	7	1	7	26	77	4	5	2	209	306	349	655	140	285	31	11	289	93	-2	+0	-1	-4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2145	1871	400	62	12	64	224	661	33	51	17	214	309	362	671	149	291	31	10	293	95	-11	+3	-2	-38	+46	-0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	567	121	19	4	19	68	200	10	15	5	213	309	362	670	148	291	31	10	293	95	-3	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4188	3662	793	122	22	135	439	1307	60	101	33	217	311	372	683	156	294	31	10	308	95	-22	+7	-4	-74	+90	-0.4
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	568	123	19	3	21	68	203	9	16	5	217	310	371	681	155	294	31	10	308	95	-4	+1	-1	-12	+14	-0.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Daniel Vogelbachlast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,913 PA	2.9	1,913	81	0	220	342	411	-29	-16	4.4	4.4
/162	664	28	0	-10.2	-5.6	1.5	pk7: 4
#4Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#5Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.4	2,277	74	54	219	309	376	-41	-9	1.3	1.3
/162	664	22	16	-11.9	-2.6	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Hunter Dozierlast yr '23 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,294 PA	3.5	2,294	73	19	238	305	421	-23	-45	0.0	0.0
/162	664	21	5	-6.5	-13.2	0.0	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
JC Vanek (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	49→54	54→59	64	201/299/338	137	290	4	5	34%	11%	84	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	40	187/257/301	114	274	12	9	35%	7%	58	-1.7	198/280/293	95	349	7	8	41%	9%	65	-1.2	152/277/229	77	359	3	4	50%	12%	49	-0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2023 · A	20	38→41	47→50	53→55	46	189/281/323	135	287	14	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	211/290/332	121	325	11	16	35%	9%	78	-0.3	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Abimelec Ortiz 2022 · A	20	38→40	54→55	50→40	51	205/308/389	184	250	22	8	27%	10%	98	+1.2	204/267/371	167	284	22	5	35%	7%	78	-0.3	209/275/391	181	265	24	2	30%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Nicky Delmonico 2013 · A	21	41→47	47→50	50→45	46	212/280/346	134	259	15	8	25%	8%	77	-0.3	208/273/343	135	283	14	7	30%	7%	74	-0.6	230/299/381	151	284	16	4	24%	8%	89	+0.4
✕William Beckwith 2012 · A	21	43→44	49→50	51→50	44	218/293/369	151	274	16	9	26%	7%	88	+0.4	218/279/360	142	299	16	11	31%	6%	80	-0.1	210/271/353	143	288	18	12	32%	6%	74	-0.3
●Jerry Sands 2009 · A	21	35→45	50→60	51→45	45	191/275/338	147	260	19	8	33%	9%	74	-0.5	230/295/419	189	285	24	6	28%	8%	100	+1.3	230/295/426	197	277	25	7	26%	8%	100	+1.2
✕George Valera 2022 · AA	21	43→40	51→50	49→45	51	217/316/377	160	294	20	12	32%	11%	98	+1.2	207/288/352	145	288	17	6	32%	10%	82	-0.0	215/282/349	134	280	16	5	28%	8%	76	-0.2
✕Eddinson Paulino 2023 · A	21	43→40	46→45	56→50	44	213/280/360	147	287	12	14	29%	8%	80	-0.2	202/260/324	122	280	11	15	30%	6%	64	-1.3	187/244/301	115	257	12	15	31%	6%	50	-1.5
✕Travis Blankenhorn 2018 · A	21	41→44	45→50	55→50	39	205/268/336	130	291	12	8	32%	6%	70	-0.8	208/257/336	128	292	13	8	32%	5%	66	-1.1	205/278/354	149	273	18	6	31%	8%	75	-0.3
✕Wuilfredo Antunez 2023 · A	21	46→39	47→55	52→50	50	227/309/366	139	292	14	16	26%	10%	92	+0.7	215/268/349	134	288	12	13	28%	6%	72	-0.7	209/258/360	151	275	14	14	29%	5%	69	-0.6
●Kyle Manzardo 2022 · A	22	48→43	44→60	49→40	44	233/297/357	124	290	11	6	23%	6%	86	+0.3	235/309/418	183	277	21	3	23%	9%	105	+1.7	222/304/411	189	270	24	2	27%	9%	100	+1.1
✕Dillon Paulson 2019 · A	22	41→36	47→50	50→30	48	207/281/353	146	266	14	4	27%	9%	79	-0.2	206/284/335	129	302	13	4	33%	10%	76	-0.4	192/276/319	127	274	13	2	32%	10%	68	-0.6
✕Joe Winker 2012 · A	22	49→33	44→55	55→45	42	234/289/365	131	323	9	6	29%	6%	84	+0.1	198/247/314	116	278	10	6	31%	5%	57	-1.8	172/217/282	111	237	10	6	32%	5%	38	-2.5
✕Akil Baddoo 2019 · A	20	42→52	43→50	56→55	47	203/279/323	120	288	8	13	30%	9%	71	-0.8	213/282/343	130	314	11	16	33%	9%	76	-0.4	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Derek Fisher 2016 · A	22	43→50	50→55	55	42	218/282/367	149	303	18	18	33%	8%	82	+0.0	229/299/385	156	321	18	19	32%	8%	93	+0.8	225/302/403	177	309	23	18	33%	9%	95	+0.7
✕Coby Mayo 2023 · AA	21	42→45	50→60	51→45	41	217/278/369	152	291	18	8	31%	7%	82	-0.0	222/298/396	174	297	20	5	30%	9%	95	+1.0	216/298/397	181	285	21	4	30%	9%	93	+0.7
✕Jason Martin 2017 · A	21	42→49	47→60	48→50	44	214/273/351	137	280	14	13	28%	7%	75	-0.5	224/270/363	139	299	14	12	28%	6%	76	-0.4	219/286/408	189	272	25	8	29%	8%	91	+0.4
✕Roger Bernadina 2006 · A	22	40→50	44→45	54→60	50	202/283/312	110	254	12	20	25%	9%	71	-0.8	236/296/330	94	314	8	26	25%	7%	78	-0.3	261/318/385	124	324	11	31	22%	7%	95	+0.9
●Chris Parmelee 2009 · A	21	37→47	49→50	47→45	42	191/267/337	146	289	16	5	38%	9%	70	-0.8	223/292/354	131	290	13	3	26%	8%	83	+0.1	248/312/386	138	291	14	1	19%	8%	96	+1.0
✕Loidel Chapelli 2023 · A	21	47→38	47→45	55	50	235/301/382	148	274	14	11	20%	8%	93	+0.8	199/271/299	100	302	8	17	34%	8%	63	-1.4	183/258/273	90	287	7	21	36%	8%	50	-1.5

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps