Abimelec Ortiz — OGILVIE

Abimelec Ortiz1B Rochester Red Wings

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 230 lbs MLB Svc 0.000 · Ctrl thru 2031

2026 ROS PROJECTION481 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†89

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP245

ISO179

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

2026 MLB RUNS · solid = so far · light = projected ROS (park-applied)

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Recent Form · ContractCON 45 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2026

CONTACT45

xAVG

230.229

POWER54

Barrel%

548.8

Avg EV

5589.5

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED20

Sprint

1025.5

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Recent Formrolling true talent ⓘ

K%26%▼▼28% over 85 PA (30d) · proj 24%

BB%6%▼5% over 114 PA (60d) · proj 7%

ISO.178·.176 over 108 AB (60d) · proj .179

HR/BB5.7%·6.4% over 78 BBE (60d) · proj 5.2%

BABIP.269·.247 over 73 BIP (60d) · proj .270

SLASH.224/.282/.402▼proj .230/.296/.409

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb

MLB Debut 2026

Service 0.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2031

First FA Year 2032

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Pre-Arb	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Arb-1	$0.3M	—	—	—
2030	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2031	Arb-3	$0.7M	—	—	—
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	19	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	172	129	30	10	1	11	33	31	9	5	1	233	421	581	1.002	349	216	18	19	432	178	+16	+1	—	—	+4	2.1
2021	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	20	15	3	2	0	0	3	6	2	0	0	200	400	333	733	133	333	30	15	352	124	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2022	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	292	66	8	2	11	32	93	4	6	7	226	311	380	691	154	288	28	10	309	95	-2	-2	—	—	+7	0.4
2023	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	333	290	84	13	3	26	33	90	4	1	0	290	370	624	994	334	322	27	10	419	170	+28	+0	—	—	+7	3.6
2023	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	121	101	31	7	1	7	16	36	0	0	1	307	402	604	1.006	297	393	30	13	420	170	+10	-0	—	—	+3	1.3
2023	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	50	35	11	1	0	3	12	8	0	0	1	314	489	600	1.089	286	296	16	24	445	187	+5	-0	—	—	+1	0.6
2024	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	476	419	102	21	2	18	50	104	4	2	4	243	330	432	762	189	280	22	11	338	115	+8	-1	—	—	+10	1.8
2024	22	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	103	85	16	4	0	3	17	20	0	1	0	188	324	341	665	153	206	19	17	305	92	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	165	138	39	6	3	9	21	36	4	1	1	283	393	565	958	283	316	22	13	411	165	+13	-0	—	—	+4	1.6
2025	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	391	340	84	19	0	16	44	87	6	3	1	247	344	444	788	197	286	22	11	351	124	+11	+0	—	—	+8	2.0
2025	23	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	155	118	27	5	0	4	32	16	3	4	0	229	405	373	778	144	230	10	21	358	129	+5	+1	—	—	+3	1.0
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	19	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 1	—	172	142	22	6	1	8	20	45	9	5	1	155	298	380	679	225	150	26	12	297	87	-3	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2022	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	304	54	6	1	10	20	130	4	6	7	178	238	303	540	125	260	39	6	236	46	-21	-2	—	—	+7	-1.6
2023	21	A+ MLE	Hickory Crawdads	—	333	302	66	10	2	21	21	124	4	1	0	219	278	474	752	255	265	37	6	317	101	+0	+0	—	—	+7	0.8
2023	21	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	121	107	26	6	1	5	10	50	0	0	1	243	308	458	766	215	342	41	8	322	104	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.3
2024	22	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	476	436	88	18	2	13	33	126	4	2	4	202	264	342	606	140	244	26	7	262	63	-21	-1	—	—	+10	-1.2
2025	23	AAA MLE	Round Rock Express	—	165	144	34	5	3	8	15	43	4	1	1	236	325	479	804	243	261	26	9	338	115	+3	-0	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	23	AA MLE	Frisco RoughRiders	—	391	356	74	16	0	13	28	109	6	3	1	208	277	362	639	154	257	28	7	277	74	-12	+0	—	—	+8	-0.4
2021	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	192	158	25	7	1	9	22	50	11	5	1	158	304	386	690	228	160	26	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	192	144	33	12	1	11	36	37	11	5	1	229	419	556	974	326	227	19	19	423	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	304	54	6	1	10	20	130	4	6	7	178	238	303	540	125	263	39	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	292	66	8	2	11	32	93	4	6	7	226	311	380	691	154	288	28	10	309	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	504	452	101	17	3	29	35	193	4	1	2	223	285	467	752	243	298	38	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	504	426	126	21	4	36	61	134	4	1	2	296	389	617	1.006	322	336	27	12	422	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	579	530	106	21	2	16	41	153	4	3	4	200	263	338	600	138	247	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA RAW	2 teams	—	579	504	118	25	2	21	67	124	4	3	4	234	329	417	745	183	267	21	12	332	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	711	638	137	28	3	26	55	195	13	8	2	215	290	390	681	176	263	27	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA RAW	3 teams	—	711	596	150	30	3	29	97	139	13	8	2	252	368	458	826	206	279	20	14	366	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	192	157	25	7	1	9	22	50	11	5	1	159	304	389	692	229	150	26	11	297	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	304	54	6	1	10	20	130	4	6	7	178	238	303	540	125	260	39	6	236	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	504	460	101	17	3	29	35	193	4	1	2	220	285	459	744	239	286	38	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	579	529	106	21	2	16	41	153	4	3	4	200	263	338	601	138	244	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	711	637	137	28	3	26	55	195	13	8	2	215	290	391	681	176	258	27	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	504	460	101	17	3	29	35	193	4	1	2	220	285	459	744	239	286	38	7	318	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA MLE	2 teams	—	579	529	106	21	2	16	41	153	4	3	4	200	263	338	601	138	244	26	7	262	63	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA MLE	3 teams	—	711	637	137	28	3	26	55	195	13	8	2	215	290	391	681	176	258	27	8	295	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AAA MLE	WSH	—	481	437	87	25	0	18	34	115	8	0	1	199	269	380	649	181	225	24	7	282	77	-13	-0	+0	-9	+10	-1.2
▸ 2026 season
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
SO FAR	24	MLB RAW	WSH	—	116	110	24	5	0	5	6	30	0	0	0	218	259	400	659	182	253	26	5	290	77	-3	+0	+0	-9	+3	-0.9
YTD	24	AAA RAW	WSH	—	365	312	76	25	0	18	43	71	8	0	1	244	350	497	847	253	258	19	12	371	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	MLB RAW	WSH	—	116	110	24	5	0	5	6	30	0	0	0	218	259	400	659	182	253	26	5	290	83	-2	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.2
ROS	24	AAA MLE	WSH	100%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		246	25	12	299	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
ROS	24	MLB CTX	WSH	100%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		245	25	12	288	89	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	MLB A+C	WSH	—	124	117	25	5	0	5	7	32	0	0	0	214	258	385	643	171	250	26	6	290	77	-3	+0	+0	-2	+3	-0.3
TOT	24	AAA MLE	WSH	—	489	444	88	25	0	18	35	117	8	0	1	198	269	376	645	178	225	24	7	282	77	-13	-0	+0	-9	+11	-1.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	600	541	118	30	1	22	45	141	9	1	1	218	289	399	688	181	251	24	8	304	92	-6	-0	+0	-11	+13	-0.4
2028	26	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	607	547	121	30	2	22	46	142	9	1	1	221	292	404	696	183	254	23	8	306	93	-5	-0	+0	-11	+13	-0.3
2029	27	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	595	535	118	29	2	21	46	139	9	1	1	221	293	400	693	179	255	23	8	307	94	-4	-0	+0	-11	+13	-0.2
2030	28	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	583	524	115	28	1	21	46	137	8	1	1	219	292	397	689	177	255	23	8	306	94	-4	-0	-1	-10	+13	-0.3
2031	29	MLB MLE	WSH	65%	571	513	112	27	1	20	45	135	8	1	1	218	292	392	683	173	254	24	8	304	92	-5	-0	-1	-10	+12	-0.5
2027	25	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	390	352	76	19	1	14	29	92	6	1	1	216	287	395	682	179	250	24	7	292	92	-4	-0	+0	-7	+8	-0.3
2028	26	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	395	356	78	19	1	14	30	92	6	1	1	219	291	396	687	177	253	23	8	295	93	-3	-0	+0	-7	+9	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	387	348	77	19	1	14	30	91	6	1	1	221	294	402	697	181	254	24	8	296	94	-3	-0	+0	-7	+8	-0.1
2030	28	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	379	341	75	18	1	14	30	89	5	1	1	220	293	402	694	182	255	23	8	295	94	-3	-0	-0	-7	+8	-0.2
2031	29	MLB CTX	WSH	65%	371	334	73	18	1	13	29	88	5	1	1	219	291	395	686	177	253	24	8	293	92	-3	-0	-1	-7	+8	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1930	1738	380	93	5	69	149	454	28	5	5	219	291	397	688	178	254	24	8	294	86	-16	-1	-1	-34	+42	-1.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	585	128	31	2	23	50	153	9	2	2	219	290	397	687	178	255	24	8	294	86	-5	-0	-0	-12	+14	-0.4
Career	—	MLE		—	5281	4749	1008	223	17	196	402	1417	79	28	21	212	285	390	675	178	256	27	8	296	86	-25	-1	-2	-53	+64	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	123	27	2	24	49	174	10	3	3	210	283	386	669	176	253	27	8	296	86	-5	-0	-0	-12	+14	-0.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Kole Calhounlast yr '23 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,963 PA	7.5	4,963	179	33	242	316	418	-54	-33	8.3	9.6
/162	664	24	4	-7.3	-4.4	1.1	pk7: 11
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	5.2	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
/162	664	31	2	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	7.2	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.9
/162	664	27	0	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#5Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	4.2	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
/162	664	37	3	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	3.6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
/162	664	23	2	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	3.5	2,317	84	5	222	288	402	-41	+2	0.3	0.4
/162	664	24	2	-11.9	+0.5	0.1	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abimelec Ortiz (OGILVIE)	24	40→45	50→54	20	40	212/281/390	178	246	10	1	24%	7%	89	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	46	52→50	38→30	41	240/310/403	163	295	21	3	26%	5%	102	+1.5	217/305/356	139	266	15	2	24%	7%	90	+0.6	204/296/332	127	256	14	0	24%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Juan Yepez 2022 · AAA	24	43→49	56→60	39→45	46	230/298/424	194	268	25	4	25%	7%	102	+1.5	230/287/399	169	270	21	3	23%	7%	92	+0.7	229/286/380	151	267	18	3	22%	7%	85	+0.2
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	46→48	53→55	40→50	46	237/301/411	175	275	20	4	22%	7%	101	+1.4	223/307/379	156	253	17	9	19%	9%	95	+1.0	226/303/395	170	256	20	6	20%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Jeff Clement 2009 · MLB	25	46→48	52→55	40→30	49	237/311/407	170	280	19	2	23%	8%	103	+1.5	228/284/388	160	283	18	3	25%	7%	88	+0.5	219/269/372	153	273	17	2	26%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Matt Clark 2012 · AAA	25	44→45	52→55	40→30	42	229/286/392	164	299	22	2	31%	7%	90	+0.6	231/287/392	161	298	21	2	29%	7%	91	+0.6	222/280/391	169	270	22	0	26%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Dayan Viciedo 2013 · MLB	24	49→53	52→55	40	43	252/297/409	157	289	21	3	22%	5%	98	+1.2	248/295/405	157	290	19	2	21%	6%	96	+1.0	245/292/395	150	287	17	0	21%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Edwin Rios 2018 · AAA	24	46→48	52→60	41→30	36	238/273/403	165	307	21	3	30%	4%	88	+0.4	225/275/399	174	334	22	3	38%	5%	88	+0.4	213/285/383	170	311	21	1	36%	8%	85	+0.1
✕MJ Melendez 2023 · MLB	24	41→48	57→60	41→50	53	222/307/419	197	259	25	5	26%	11%	104	+1.6	219/293/396	177	279	20	8	28%	9%	93	+0.8	209/278/382	173	271	19	10	29%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Kennys Vargas 2015 · MLB	24	48→52	52→55	39→30	43	248/300/411	163	304	20	2	26%	6%	99	+1.3	233/304/390	157	299	20	2	28%	9%	96	+1.0	222/302/381	159	287	21	0	29%	10%	92	+0.6
✕Austin Allen 2019 · AA	25	46→53	52→60	35→40	40	239/284/405	166	288	21	2	25%	5%	92	+0.7	239/281/427	188	287	24	3	26%	5%	97	+1.1	235/280/417	182	286	24	0	26%	5%	89	+0.3
✕Sergio Pedroza 2008 · A	24	45→47	56→60	38→45	45	231/313/427	196	301	23	3	30%	8%	109	+2.0	225/294/350	125	305	12	11	29%	7%	83	+0.1	219/289/315	97	284	9	12	25%	8%	71	-0.3
●Mike Carp 2011 · MLB	25	42→52	51→55	39→40	47	222/291/377	155	263	20	2	24%	8%	88	+0.5	247/309/423	176	302	22	5	25%	7%	105	+1.7	260/323/444	184	320	22	4	25%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Jason Perry 2006 · AA	25	44→51	51→55	40→45	41	226/289/389	162	301	19	4	31%	6%	91	+0.6	228/292/383	155	306	18	6	30%	7%	91	+0.6	222/292/383	162	294	19	5	30%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Chris Carter 2006 · AA	23	47→57	56→55	37→40	48	251/307/438	187	265	25	2	17%	6%	108	+1.9	259/312/409	150	288	17	5	16%	7%	103	+1.5	262/313/405	143	294	16	4	16%	6%	101	+1.3
✕Kala Ka'aihue 2009 · AA	24	44→48	51→55	39→30	48	221/310/382	161	312	19	2	33%	10%	97	+1.1	187/281/318	131	270	15	5	34%	10%	72	-0.7	118/219/219	101	171	12	2	37%	10%	26	-2.1
✕Nomar Mazara 2019 · MLB	24	49→52	52→55	42→40	49	252/316/417	164	291	20	3	21%	8%	106	+1.8	247/307/404	157	303	18	4	24%	7%	100	+1.3	243/302/392	149	303	17	3	25%	7%	91	+0.3
✕Joe Koshansky 2007 · AA	25	45→46	57→55	41→40	42	240/296/436	196	301	26	4	30%	6%	104	+1.6	222/283/395	173	309	21	4	34%	7%	90	+0.6	203/270/372	168	290	21	4	36%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	45→46	53→55	40	44	239/288/412	173	276	22	3	23%	6%	95	+1.0	217/271/377	160	261	19	3	24%	6%	80	-0.1	230/306/378	148	272	15	1	21%	8%	93	+0.4
✕Adam Bailey 2012 · AA	24	46	50	41→45	38	239/268/386	148	281	19	3	23%	3%	82	-0.0	228/263/365	137	286	15	6	25%	4%	74	-0.5	219/249/356	137	275	15	5	26%	4%	65	-0.7
✕Vince Belnome 2012 · AA	24	52	53→50	38→40	50	258/333/435	176	333	21	3	28%	10%	117	+2.6	239/312/358	119	326	11	4	28%	10%	91	+0.7	227/305/323	96	315	7	3	28%	10%	79	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps