Abimelec Ortiz — OGILVIE

Abimelec Ortiz1B Rochester Red Wings

Age 24 L/L 5'10" / 230 lbs AAA Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2032

2026 ROS PROJECTION304 act + 202 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†94

AVG/OBP/SLG.219 / .289 / .411

PA202

HR8

K%26

BB%7

BABIP259

ISO192

MLB%30%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 54

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER54

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED20

scouting grade only

DEFENSE50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2027

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2032

First FA Year 2033

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2027
2027	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.3	$1M	+$0.4M
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1M
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$2M		$3M	+$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	—	192	157	24	6	1	9	23	51	11	5	1	153	304	376	679	223	153	27	12	288	79	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	2 teams	—	192	144	33	12	1	11	36	37	11	5	1	229	419	556	974	326	227	19	19	423	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	305	56	6	1	11	19	128	4	6	7	184	241	318	559	134	266	39	6	244	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	292	66	8	2	11	32	93	4	6	7	226	311	380	691	154	288	28	10	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	504	452	101	18	3	30	35	195	4	1	2	223	285	476	761	252	297	39	7	320	103	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A+	3 teams	—	504	426	126	21	4	36	61	134	4	1	2	296	389	617	1.006	322	336	27	12	422	181	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	579	532	105	21	2	17	39	160	4	3	4	197	257	340	598	143	245	28	7	260	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	22	AA	2 teams	—	579	504	118	25	2	21	67	124	4	3	4	234	329	417	745	183	267	21	12	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	711	640	142	29	4	30	53	203	13	8	2	222	295	420	715	198	272	29	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	AA	3 teams	—	711	596	150	30	3	29	97	139	13	8	2	252	368	458	826	206	279	20	14	366	139	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	AAA	WSH	—	304	274	53	14	0	13	21	72	8	0	1	193	271	387	657	193	211	24	7	286	77	-8	-0	+0	-5	+9	-0.5
YTD	24	AAA	WSH	—	304	264	62	17	0	16	31	60	8	0	1	235	333	481	814	246	243	20	10	358	132	+11	-0	+0	-5	+9	1.4
ROS	24	AAA	WSH	30%	202	182	40	9	1	8	14	52	4	1	1	219	289	411	700	192	253	26	7	308	94	-1	-0	+0	-4	+6	0.0
ROS	24	MLB	WSH	30%	61	56	12	3	0	2	4	16	1	0	0	214	279	375	654	161	253	26	7	293	83	-1	+0	+0	-1	+2	-0.1
FULL	24	AAA	WSH	—	365	330	65	17	0	15	25	88	9	0	1	197	272	385	657	188	219	24	7	287	78	-9	-0	+0	-7	+10	-0.6
TOT	24	AAA	WSH	—	506	456	93	23	1	21	35	124	12	1	2	204	278	396	674	193	230	24	7	295	84	-9	-1	+0	-9	+14	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	WSH	45%	545	490	108	24	2	22	40	137	10	2	2	220	293	412	705	192	257	25	7	312	97	-2	-0	+0	-10	+15	0.3
2028	26	MLB	WSH	53%	559	502	113	25	2	23	42	139	10	2	2	225	298	420	718	195	259	25	8	314	98	-1	-0	+0	-10	+16	0.5
2027	25	MLB	WSH	45%	243	219	49	11	1	10	18	61	4	1	1	224	295	420	715	196	257	25	7	298	87	-4	-0	+0	-4	+7	-0.1
2028	26	MLB	WSH	53%	296	267	59	13	1	12	22	74	5	1	1	221	293	412	705	191	259	25	7	301	88	-4	-0	+0	-5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	600	542	120	27	2	24	44	151	10	2	2	221	292	411	703	190	260	25	7	299	87	-9	-0	+0	-11	+17	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	587	130	29	2	26	48	164	11	2	2	221	293	411	703	189	261	25	7	299	87	-10	-0	+0	-12	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	3623	3260	689	138	16	150	265	1065	60	28	21	211	283	401	684	190	259	29	7	296	85	-62	-3	+0	-65	+103	-2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	124	25	3	27	48	191	11	5	4	212	285	403	688	191	260	29	7	296	85	-11	-1	+0	-12	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	19	ROK	DSL Rangers 1	—	172	129	30	10	1	11	33	31	9	5	1	233	421	581	1.002	349	216	18	19	432	188	+17	+1	—	—	+5	2.3
2021	19	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	20	15	3	2	0	0	3	6	2	0	0	200	400	333	733	133	333	30	15	352	127	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2022	20	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	331	292	66	8	2	11	32	93	4	6	7	226	311	380	691	154	288	28	10	309	95	-2	-2	—	—	+9	0.6
2023	21	A+	Hickory Crawdads	—	333	290	84	13	3	26	33	90	4	1	0	290	370	624	994	334	322	27	10	419	179	+30	+0	—	—	+9	4.0
2023	21	A	Down East Wood Ducks	—	121	101	31	7	1	7	16	36	0	0	1	307	402	604	1.006	297	393	30	13	420	179	+11	-0	—	—	+3	1.4
2023	21	INTL	Surprise Saguaros	—	50	35	11	1	0	3	12	8	0	0	1	314	489	600	1.089	286	296	16	24	445	198	+6	-0	—	—	+1	0.7
2024	22	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	476	419	102	21	2	18	50	104	4	2	4	243	330	432	762	189	280	22	11	338	116	+9	-1	—	—	+13	2.2
2024	22	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	103	85	16	4	0	3	17	20	0	1	0	188	324	341	665	153	206	19	17	305	91	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.2
2025	23	AAA	Round Rock Express	—	165	138	39	6	3	9	21	36	4	1	1	283	393	565	958	283	316	22	13	411	173	+14	-0	—	—	+5	1.8
2025	23	AA	Frisco RoughRiders	—	391	340	84	19	0	16	44	87	6	3	1	247	344	444	788	197	286	22	11	351	127	+12	+0	—	—	+11	2.3
2025	23	INTL	Gigantes de Carolina	—	155	118	27	5	0	4	32	16	3	4	0	229	405	373	778	144	230	10	21	358	132	+6	+1	—	—	+4	1.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Mark Trumbolast yr '18 career totals — 8 seasons, 4,372 PA	8	4,372	218	23	250	303	462	-58	-63	6.2	6.6
	/162	664	33	3	250	303	462	-8.9	-9.6	0.9	pk7: 7
#2Brandon Mosslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,459 PA	8	3,459	160	11	238	315	455	-53	-41	5.9	5.9
	/162	664	31	2	238	315	455	-10.2	-7.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#3Justin Smoaklast yr '20 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,750 PA	11	4,750	196	3	229	322	419	-85	-77	1.9	3.8
	/162	664	27	0	229	322	419	-11.9	-10.7	0.3	pk7: 6
#4Chris Carterlast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,807 PA	7	2,807	158	12	219	314	462	-50	-50	3.3	3.3
	/162	664	37	3	219	314	462	-11.7	-11.9	0.8	pk7: 3
#5Gaby Sanchezlast yr '14 career totals — 5 seasons, 2,240 PA	5	2,240	59	12	254	332	411	-40	-26	2.2	2.2
	/162	664	17	4	254	332	411	-11.9	-7.8	0.6	pk7: 2
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	6	2,377	81	7	239	332	416	-42	-36	1.7	1.7
#6Ike Davislast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,377 PA	/162	664	23	2	239	332	416	-11.9	-10.1	0.5	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	636	26	2	225	293	418	-11	+0	0.5	0.5
	/162	664	27	2	225	293	418	-11.9	+0.3	0.5	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Abimelec Ortiz (OGILVIE)	24	40→45	50→54	20	40	204/278/396	193	230	21	1	24%	7%	84	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Seth Beer 2021 · AA	24	46→45	54→55	38→30	41	242/312/417	175	297	24	3	27%	5%	107	+2.2	214/303/360	146	260	17	2	24%	7%	89	+1.0	198/292/329	131	247	14	0	25%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Kennys Vargas 2015 · MLB	24	48→53	53→55	39→30	42	249/300/418	170	306	22	2	26%	6%	101	+1.8	237/306/404	167	302	22	2	28%	9%	100	+1.7	227/306/397	170	289	23	0	29%	10%	96	+1.3
✕Justin Foscue 2023 · AA	24	46→48	56→55	40→50	45	242/305/438	196	277	24	4	23%	7%	109	+2.4	226/310/391	165	254	18	9	19%	9%	98	+1.6	231/312/415	184	255	22	6	19%	9%	102	+1.0
✕Oswaldo Arcia 2016 · MLB	25	42→51	55→60	40→45	41	224/282/404	180	279	24	3	29%	6%	91	+1.1	220/285/396	176	295	23	4	32%	7%	89	+1.0	215/292/414	198	292	26	3	34%	8%	95	+0.7
✕Sergio Pedroza 2008 · A	24	45→47	56→60	38→45	45	231/313/427	196	301	23	3	30%	8%	110	+2.4	224/293/352	128	307	13	11	29%	7%	81	+0.4	221/291/327	106	289	11	12	26%	7%	71	-0.1
✕Matt Clark 2012 · AAA	25	44→49	55→60	40→30	41	231/288/409	178	306	24	2	32%	7%	94	+1.3	229/284/394	165	298	22	2	30%	7%	88	+0.9	226/281/409	183	271	26	0	27%	6%	89	+0.8
●Matt Joyce 2009 · MLB	24	44→53	53→60	39→50	46	227/292/411	183	284	20	4	27%	8%	96	+1.5	239/319/430	191	290	21	10	24%	10%	112	+2.6	250/345/452	202	293	22	9	22%	12%	121	+2.5
✕Juan Yepez 2022 · AAA	24	42→48	61→60	39→45	45	234/298/451	217	268	30	4	26%	7%	110	+2.4	231/286/410	179	269	23	3	24%	6%	93	+1.3	228/285/388	159	265	20	3	22%	7%	84	+0.5
✕Jason Perry 2006 · AA	25	44→50	53→55	40→45	40	227/290/402	175	306	22	4	32%	6%	93	+1.3	231/295/398	167	309	20	6	31%	7%	94	+1.3	225/296/402	176	296	22	5	30%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Jeff Clement 2009 · MLB	25	46→48	52→55	40→30	49	236/310/407	170	280	19	2	23%	8%	103	+1.9	229/284/397	168	283	19	3	26%	6%	89	+1.0	221/271/384	163	273	19	2	26%	6%	76	+0.0
✕Vince Belnome 2012 · AA	24	51→50	58→55	38→40	49	261/332/466	205	334	26	3	29%	10%	127	+3.6	236/307/362	126	321	12	4	28%	9%	89	+0.9	224/301/321	97	308	8	3	27%	10%	74	-0.1
●Joe Koshansky 2006 · AA	24	43→46	60	41→40	39	234/286/448	214	296	29	5	32%	6%	104	+2.0	235/293/424	189	312	25	4	32%	7%	100	+1.7	230/292/416	186	310	24	2	33%	7%	95	+1.3
✕Edwin Rios 2018 · AAA	24	45→47	52→60	41→30	35	234/269/398	164	308	21	3	31%	4%	83	+0.6	221/271/393	172	331	22	3	38%	5%	83	+0.6	218/288/401	183	314	23	1	36%	7%	89	+0.5
✕Preston Tucker 2016 · MLB	26	45→46	54→55	40	44	237/286/411	173	275	22	3	23%	6%	94	+1.3	218/271/376	158	263	19	3	25%	6%	78	+0.2	232/310/385	153	274	16	1	21%	8%	95	+0.6
✕Richard Jones 2012 · A	24	47→49	54→60	38→30	33	241/273/417	176	321	22	2	32%	3%	90	+1.0	221/262/337	116	320	11	4	33%	4%	63	-0.8	189/228/241	52	298	0	0	35%	3%	20	-1.4
●Michael Busch 2022 · AA	24	44→49	54→60	41→40	44	222/304/400	179	317	22	4	35%	9%	99	+1.7	229/308/416	187	304	23	4	31%	9%	105	+2.1	246/334/460	214	297	27	4	26%	10%	122	+3.1
✕Kyle Parker 2014 · AA	24	47→52	52→55	41→45	44	242/300/409	167	303	21	4	27%	7%	99	+1.7	219/262/341	122	299	13	6	30%	5%	64	-0.8	205/247/313	107	286	11	5	31%	5%	48	-1.3
●Josh Whitesell 2007 · AA	25	47→55	51→55	36→40	42	230/299/383	153	334	20	3	35%	8%	92	+1.2	245/328/411	166	332	20	4	30%	10%	111	+2.5	247/339/413	165	325	19	3	28%	11%	113	+2.1
✕Kala Ka'aihue 2009 · AA	24	44→47	52→55	39→30	47	220/309/385	165	314	19	2	34%	10%	97	+1.5	187/280/323	136	273	15	5	35%	10%	69	-0.4	116/218/221	105	171	13	2	39%	10%	16	-2.1
✕Dayan Viciedo 2013 · MLB	24	49→52	52→55	40	43	253/298/412	159	288	22	3	21%	5%	99	+1.7	247/294/402	155	289	19	2	21%	6%	94	+1.3	245/292/392	148	287	17	0	21%	5%	87	+0.6