Johan Rodriguez

C FCL Braves

Age 19 L/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#771ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKATL	149	.225/.315/.271	1	3	23	—	.165/.240/.203
2026	18	ROKATL	154	.270/.338/.416	4	6	55	—	.206/.258/.312
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBATL	264	.226/.282/.320	4	4	70	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBATL	46	.229/.288/.331	1	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBATL	113	.232/.292/.340	2	2	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Z-Con%81

Whiff%80

ISO64

K%62

wRC+37

wOBA29

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 8.5, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 86%

CompsCam Maron (age 19) · Jose Escobar (age 19) · Ronny Hernandez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .280 / .317

PA79

HR1

K%25

BB%6

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$25M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 41

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER41

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	149	129	29	3	0	1	15	15	2	3	0	225	315	271	586	47	241	10	10	272	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Braves	—	154	137	37	8	0	4	12	29	2	6	1	270	338	416	754	146	308	19	8	332	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	149	133	22	2	0	1	11	18	2	3	0	165	240	203	443	38	177	12	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	154	141	29	6	0	3	8	42	2	6	1	206	258	312	570	106	254	27	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	149	133	22	2	0	1	11	18	2	3	0	165	240	203	443	38	179	12	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	—	149	129	29	3	0	1	15	15	2	3	0	225	315	271	586	47	241	10	10	272	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	154	141	29	6	0	3	8	42	2	6	1	206	258	312	570	106	263	27	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Braves	—	154	137	37	8	0	4	12	29	2	6	1	270	338	416	754	146	308	19	8	332	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	149	135	22	2	0	1	11	18	2	3	0	163	240	200	440	37	177	12	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	154	143	29	6	0	3	8	42	2	6	1	203	258	308	566	105	254	27	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	—	149	135	22	2	0	1	11	18	2	3	0	163	240	200	440	37	177	12	7	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	—	154	143	29	6	0	3	8	42	2	6	1	203	258	308	566	105	254	27	5	249	55	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	0%	264	242	56	9	2	4	17	66	3	4	1	226	282	320	602	94	293	25	6	272	70	-9	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ATL	34%	133	122	28	5	1	2	9	33	1	3	1	229	288	331	619	101	295	25	7	279	75	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	ATL	48%	233	213	49	8	1	4	15	57	3	5	2	232	292	340	632	108	295	24	6	284	79	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	ATL	54%	344	314	73	12	2	6	23	83	4	7	2	234	296	347	643	113	296	24	7	289	82	-8	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	421	384	90	15	2	8	29	101	5	9	3	236	298	353	651	117	297	24	7	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	445	406	96	16	3	9	31	106	5	9	3	238	300	358	658	120	297	24	7	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	445	406	96	16	3	9	31	106	5	9	3	238	300	358	658	120	297	24	7	295	86	-7	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	ATL	56%	445	406	95	16	2	9	31	106	5	9	3	237	300	358	658	120	297	24	7	295	86	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.1
2035	27	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	445	406	95	16	2	9	31	107	5	9	3	236	299	355	654	119	296	24	7	293	85	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	ATL	55%	445	406	95	16	2	9	31	108	5	8	3	235	297	350	647	116	296	24	7	291	83	-9	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	445	406	94	16	2	8	31	109	5	8	3	232	294	344	638	112	294	24	7	287	80	-10	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	ATL	53%	445	407	94	16	2	8	31	111	4	7	4	229	291	336	627	107	293	25	7	282	77	-12	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	ATL	57%	426	390	88	15	2	7	29	107	4	6	4	225	286	327	612	101	290	25	7	276	73	-14	-0	-3	+8	+9	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	ATL	34%	46	43	10	2	0	1	3	11	0	1	0	229	288	331	619	101	295	24	7	279	75	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	ATL	48%	113	103	24	4	1	2	8	28	1	2	1	232	292	340	632	108	295	25	7	284	79	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	ATL	54%	187	170	40	7	1	3	13	45	2	4	1	234	296	347	643	113	296	24	7	289	82	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	238	217	52	9	1	5	16	57	3	5	2	236	298	353	651	117	297	24	7	292	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	252	229	54	9	1	5	18	60	3	5	2	238	300	358	658	120	297	24	7	295	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	251	228	54	9	1	5	18	60	3	5	2	238	300	358	658	120	297	24	7	295	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	ATL	56%	251	228	53	9	1	5	18	60	3	5	2	237	300	358	658	120	297	24	7	295	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	247	225	53	9	1	5	17	59	3	5	2	236	299	355	654	119	296	24	7	293	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	ATL	55%	244	222	52	9	1	5	17	59	3	4	2	235	297	350	647	116	296	24	7	291	83	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	238	217	50	9	1	4	17	58	2	4	2	232	294	344	638	112	294	24	7	287	80	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	ATL	53%	234	214	49	8	1	4	16	58	2	4	2	229	291	336	627	107	293	25	7	282	77	-6	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	ATL	57%	241	221	49	8	1	4	16	61	2	3	3	225	286	327	612	101	290	25	7	276	73	-8	-1	-2	+4	+5	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2542	2317	540	92	11	48	177	616	27	47	21	233	295	344	640	111	296	24	7	289	79	-55	+1	-4	+45	+55	4.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	138	24	3	12	45	158	7	12	5	233	295	345	640	111	296	24	7	289	79	-14	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5054	4613	1060	178	24	93	346	1214	56	99	35	230	292	339	631	109	290	24	7	285	79	-104	+4	-7	+85	+103	8.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	593	136	23	3	12	44	156	7	13	5	229	290	339	629	110	289	24	7	285	79	-14	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Braves · 154 PAwOBA .329 → .249 (−81)K% 18.8% → 27.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.83%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	27.12%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	7.79%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	4.94%
HBP% /PA	1.30%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.96%
Singles /BIP	23.15%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.020	×1.022	19.80%
Doubles /BIP	7.41%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.020	×1.022	5.56%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.020	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	2.95%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.020.

Result: wOBA .329 → .249; ISO .146 → .109; BABIP .308 → .254. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Braves · 149 PAwOBA .271 → .202 (−69)K% 10.1% → 12.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	10.07%	÷1.009	×1.220	—	—	12.17%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.07%	÷0.947	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.61%
HBP% /PA	1.34%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.96%
Singles /BIP	21.93%	÷0.978	×0.680	×1.040	×1.022	16.21%
Doubles /BIP	2.63%	÷0.932	×0.600	×1.040	×1.022	1.80%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.045	×0.600	×1.040	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.88%	÷0.878	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.48%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 109, K 102, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.

Result: wOBA .271 → .202; ISO .047 → .030; BABIP .241 → .177. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	5.7	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
/162	664	24	0	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3Jorge Alfarolast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA	2.5	1,693	48	18	254	303	396	+30	+17	9.1	9.1
/162	664	19	7	+11.9	+6.6	3.6	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.9	2,621	50	49	235	293	349	+47	+28	6.5	5.7
/162	664	13	12	+11.9	+7.1	1.6	pk7: 5
#6Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	55→60	36→41	48→53	48	224/280/317	93	293	1	1	25%	6%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	47→57	40→50	54→45	44	224/275/327	103	289	6	6	24%	6%	70	-0.9	250/289/389	139	299	15	6	21%	5%	90	+0.6	260/314/394	134	302	14	2	18%	7%	99	+0.9
✕Termarr Johnson 2023 · A	19	46→53	41→45	52→55	47	212/293/316	104	323	7	14	34%	10%	75	-0.5	217/315/345	128	302	15	12	30%	12%	91	+0.6	218/312/337	119	292	14	14	28%	11%	85	+0.2
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Bryan Anderson 2006 · A	19	49→59	45	51→30	42	242/288/365	123	304	13	9	25%	6%	84	+0.1	257/306/348	91	327	6	3	22%	6%	86	+0.3	270/319/355	85	341	5	1	21%	6%	90	+0.4
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	226/277/312	86	293	6	14	24%	6%	67	-1.1	258/305/354	96	315	6	11	19%	6%	86	+0.3	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
●Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	51→57	38→50	51→50	45	241/287/329	88	302	4	10	21%	6%	74	-0.6	251/307/379	128	337	10	10	27%	7%	93	+0.8	255/313/401	146	322	13	11	24%	7%	98	+1.0
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Jorge Burgos 2022 · A	19	50→53	37→50	51→45	44	230/293/317	87	325	3	9	28%	7%	74	-0.5	224/290/322	98	312	8	5	29%	8%	74	-0.5	207/275/311	104	285	11	3	30%	8%	65	-0.8
✕Reese McGuire 2014 · A	19	52→54	35→45	49→45	46	244/288/306	62	288	2	7	16%	5%	69	-0.9	243/282/302	59	282	2	8	14%	5%	65	-1.2	237/296/361	124	284	14	5	21%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Jansel Luis 2024 · A	19	44→54	41→45	53→55	41	216/268/318	101	271	9	14	23%	5%	65	-1.2	239/284/354	115	319	8	16	26%	5%	79	-0.2	249/291/371	122	332	9	19	27%	4%	83	+0.1
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1

Johan Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps