Johan Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Johan RodriguezC DSL Braves

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK BB -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2033

wRC+†60

AVG/OBP/SLG.209 / .274 / .304

PA124

HR2

K%28

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.6peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.4	$32M	+$32M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$35M	+$34M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.6	$36M	+$35M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.6	$38M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.5	$38M	+$26M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$37M	+$20M
Totals		$38M		$216M	+$178M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	149	134	25	2	0	1	10	21	2	3	0	.187	.253	.224	.477	.037	.209	14	7	.223	29	-12	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	ATL	124	113	24	4	1	2	9	35	1	2	0	.212	.276	.319	.595	.106	.288	28	7	.264	60	-6	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	ATL	213	191	44	8	1	4	17	57	3	4	1	.230	.303	.346	.649	.115	.302	27	8	.294	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.6
2028	20	MLB 28%	ATL	348	310	73	12	2	8	30	91	5	8	2	.235	.313	.365	.678	.129	.307	26	9	.307	93	-3	+1	+0	+6	+10	1.4
2029	21	MLB 48%	ATL	449	400	96	16	3	11	40	114	6	12	3	.240	.318	.378	.696	.138	.307	25	9	.315	99	-0	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.2
2030	22	MLB 65%	ATL	520	459	112	19	3	14	49	130	7	15	3	.244	.326	.390	.716	.146	.308	25	9	.322	105	+3	+2	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2031	23	MLB 86%	ATL	520	458	113	19	3	15	50	127	7	15	3	.247	.330	.400	.730	.153	.308	24	10	.329	110	+6	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.2
2032	24	MLB	ATL	520	456	114	19	3	16	52	126	7	15	3	.250	.336	.410	.746	.160	.308	24	10	.333	113	+8	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.4
2033	25	MLB	ATL	520	455	114	19	3	16	53	125	7	15	3	.251	.338	.411	.749	.160	.309	24	10	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2034	26	MLB	ATL	520	454	114	19	3	16	54	125	7	15	3	.251	.340	.412	.752	.161	.310	24	10	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2035	27	MLB	ATL	520	454	114	19	3	16	54	125	7	15	3	.251	.340	.412	.752	.161	.310	24	10	.338	117	+10	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.6
2036	28	MLB	ATL	520	453	113	19	3	16	55	126	7	14	3	.249	.340	.411	.750	.161	.309	24	11	.337	116	+9	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.5
2037	29	MLB	ATL	520	453	113	19	3	16	55	128	7	13	2	.249	.340	.411	.750	.161	.309	25	11	.335	114	+8	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2038	30	MLB	ATL	520	453	112	18	3	16	55	129	7	12	2	.247	.338	.406	.744	.159	.307	25	11	.331	112	+7	+2	-2	+9	+15	3.1
2039	31	MLB	ATL	504	439	107	17	3	15	53	128	7	10	1	.244	.335	.399	.733	.155	.306	25	11	.328	109	+5	+2	-3	+9	+14	2.8
2040	32	MLB	ATL	489	428	103	17	3	14	51	126	7	7	0	.241	.331	.393	.724	.152	.304	26	10	.323	105	+3	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.4
2041	33	MLB	ATL	473	414	98	16	3	13	50	125	6	5	0	.237	.328	.384	.712	.147	.303	26	11	.317	101	+1	+1	-4	+8	+13	2.0
2042	34	MLB	ATL	436	382	88	14	3	11	45	119	6	4	0	.230	.321	.369	.690	.139	.301	27	10	.311	96	-2	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.4
2043	35	MLB	ATL	374	327	73	11	2	9	39	106	5	2	0	.223	.315	.352	.667	.128	.299	28	10	.303	90	-4	+0	-6	+7	+11	0.8
2044	36	MLB	ATL	311	272	60	9	2	7	32	92	4	1	0	.221	.312	.346	.657	.125	.297	30	10	.294	83	-6	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.2
2045	37	MLB	ATL	248	218	46	7	1	5	25	75	3	1	0	.211	.301	.321	.622	.110	.293	30	10	.285	76	-7	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.2
2046	38	MLB	ATL	185	163	33	5	1	3	18	58	2	0	0	.202	.290	.301	.590	.098	.288	31	10	.274	68	-7	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8983	7886	1889	308	52	244	896	2288	120	188	32	.240	.326	.385	.711	.145	.304	25	10	.320	103	+28	+25	-46	+160	+255	43.0
/ 162G	—			650	571	137	22	4	18	65	166	9	14	2	.240	.328	.387	.715	.147	.304	26	10	.320	103	+2	+2	-3	+12	+18	3.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	149	129	29	3	0	1	15	15	2	3	0	.225	.315	.271	.586	.047	.241	10	10	.272	66	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.209/.274/.304	.095	.288	2	2	28%	7%	60	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	51	.218/.295/.314	.096	.275	8	8	22%	9%	72	-0.2	.225/.288/.359	.134	.280	15	4	24%	8%	80	+0.4	.259/.317/.396	.137	.305	16	3	20%	7%	100	+1.5
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	40→49	43→55	49→45	43	.200/.260/.310	.110	.274	11	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	.226/.280/.361	.135	.299	16	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
●Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	.211/.278/.300	.089	.298	6	9	30%	8%	60	-1.0	.194/.251/.313	.119	.273	11	7	31%	7%	53	-1.5	.216/.308/.399	.183	.269	22	12	28%	11%	97	+1.2
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
●Jackson Chourio 2022 · A	18	44→54	42→55	49→55	45	.217/.279/.319	.102	.277	10	10	25%	7%	66	-0.6	.233/.280/.389	.156	.311	18	19	30%	6%	85	+0.7	.261/.307/.430	.168	.314	19	26	23%	6%	101	+1.8
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	44	.204/.277/.282	.078	.314	6	9	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.209/.295/.306	.097	.329	7	14	35%	9%	70	-0.3	.219/.297/.335	.116	.314	10	18	31%	8%	75	+0.0
●Mike Moustakas 2008 · A	19	46→54	38→65	50→45	42	.216/.278/.302	.086	.300	4	6	28%	6%	61	-1.0	.223/.263/.373	.150	.258	18	6	21%	4%	74	-0.1	.258/.320/.491	.233	.260	33	2	16%	7%	121	+3.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→45	49→30	44	.199/.267/.286	.087	.275	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.284/.294	.094	.304	8	4	33%	9%	63	-0.9	.198/.297/.313	.115	.312	12	2	36%	11%	71	-0.2
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→55	40→50	54→45	44	.221/.273/.322	.101	.288	6	7	25%	6%	63	-0.8	.241/.281/.377	.136	.286	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	.248/.300/.378	.130	.288	14	2	19%	7%	89	+0.7
●César Hernández 2008 · A	18	44→54	39→45	51→55	41	.212/.255/.308	.097	.268	5	8	23%	4%	52	-1.6	.222/.280/.298	.076	.270	3	15	18%	7%	60	-1.0	.277/.367/.382	.105	.344	8	16	20%	12%	114	+2.9
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
★Jason Heyward 2008 · A	18	46→56	41→55	47→50	41	.220/.274/.320	.100	.304	7	7	29%	6%	64	-0.8	.259/.317/.406	.147	.307	14	9	20%	7%	105	+2.1	.255/.348/.438	.183	.301	21	14	22%	12%	121	+3.1
●Oneil Cruz 2017 · A	18	46→51	37→60	51→55	42	.214/.266/.301	.088	.311	2	11	30%	7%	55	-1.4	.208/.249/.316	.108	.314	10	9	35%	5%	52	-1.6	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2017 · A	19	42→51	43→60	49→60	34	.206/.248/.311	.105	.320	11	11	38%	5%	50	-1.7	.204/.255/.341	.137	.318	16	11	39%	6%	62	-0.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	45→48	38→50	47→50	42	.212/.267/.289	.077	.296	6	6	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.210/.261/.301	.091	.285	8	7	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.230/.292/.378	.148	.312	16	11	30%	7%	83	+0.4
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	42→46	41→50	48→45	47	.202/.283/.303	.101	.271	9	13	27%	9%	65	-0.7	.209/.282/.326	.117	.298	11	8	31%	8%	69	-0.4	.224/.290/.376	.152	.290	17	4	28%	6%	83	+0.5
✕Francisco Mejía 2015 · A	19	45→55	44→55	49→40	40	.221/.266/.338	.118	.283	11	8	26%	5%	66	-0.6	.237/.283/.343	.106	.289	10	4	21%	5%	74	-0.1	.258/.304/.423	.165	.305	16	1	21%	5%	101	+0.9

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)