Johan Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Johan RodriguezC FCL Braves

Age 18 L/R 5'11" / 174 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION143 act + 95 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†63

AVG/OBP/SLG.226 / .283 / .340

PA95

HR2

K%26

BB%6

BABIP293

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 57 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT57

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$18M		$42M	+$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	149	134	27	3	0	1	10	21	2	3	0	201	267	246	513	45	226	14	7	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	149	129	29	3	0	1	15	15	2	3	0	225	315	271	586	47	241	10	10	272	66	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	ATL	—	143	131	26	6	0	3	7	40	2	5	1	198	250	313	563	115	253	28	5	246	46	-9	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	ATL	—	143	126	34	8	0	4	12	28	2	5	1	270	343	429	771	159	309	20	8	338	117	+3	+1	+0	+3	+4	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	ATL	0%	95	88	20	4	0	2	6	25	1	2	0	226	283	340	623	113	282	26	6	267	63	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	ATL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	259	57	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	ATL	—	143	132	26	6	0	3	7	40	2	5	1	197	250	311	561	114	250	28	5	246	46	-9	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	ATL	—	238	219	46	10	0	5	13	65	3	7	1	210	263	324	587	114	269	27	5	254	53	-13	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	266	244	55	10	1	5	17	68	3	5	1	225	284	336	620	111	286	26	6	278	71	-9	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.4
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	388	354	80	14	2	8	26	97	5	7	2	226	288	345	633	119	288	25	7	285	77	-10	+1	+0	+7	+11	0.8
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	478	436	100	18	2	10	33	118	6	9	2	229	293	349	641	119	289	25	7	290	80	-11	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.3
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	520	472	110	20	2	12	36	127	7	10	3	233	297	360	657	127	290	24	7	294	83	-10	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2031	23	MLB	ATL	58%	520	471	110	20	2	12	37	126	7	10	3	234	299	361	660	127	291	24	7	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2032	24	MLB	ATL	57%	520	471	110	20	2	12	37	126	7	10	3	234	299	361	660	127	291	24	7	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2033	25	MLB	ATL	57%	520	471	110	20	2	12	37	125	7	10	3	234	299	361	660	127	292	24	7	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2034	26	MLB	ATL	57%	520	471	110	20	2	12	37	125	7	10	3	234	299	361	660	127	291	24	7	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2035	27	MLB	ATL	55%	520	470	110	20	2	12	38	126	7	10	3	234	301	362	663	128	291	24	7	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2036	28	MLB	ATL	55%	520	470	110	20	2	12	38	126	7	10	3	234	301	362	663	128	291	24	7	297	85	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.6
2037	29	MLB	ATL	53%	520	470	109	19	2	12	38	128	7	10	3	232	299	357	656	126	290	25	7	295	84	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.4
2038	30	MLB	ATL	57%	520	470	107	19	2	11	38	129	7	10	2	228	295	347	642	119	289	25	7	292	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2039	31	MLB	ATL	55%	504	455	104	18	2	11	37	126	7	9	2	229	297	349	646	121	287	25	7	288	79	-12	+1	-3	+9	+14	0.9
2040	32	MLB	ATL	58%	489	444	99	17	2	10	36	125	6	8	2	223	290	338	628	115	283	26	7	283	74	-14	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.6
2041	33	MLB	ATL	60%	473	429	94	16	2	9	35	123	6	8	2	219	287	329	616	110	280	26	7	276	69	-16	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.2
2042	34	MLB	ATL	56%	436	396	83	13	1	8	32	116	5	7	2	210	277	308	585	98	274	27	7	267	63	-18	+1	-5	+8	+12	-0.3
2027	19	MLB	ATL	34%	91	84	18	3	0	2	6	23	1	2	0	214	275	321	596	107	286	25	7	269	64	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	20	MLB	ATL	48%	188	171	39	7	1	4	13	47	2	4	1	228	290	351	641	123	288	25	7	276	69	-7	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	21	MLB	ATL	54%	259	236	55	10	1	6	18	64	3	5	1	233	296	360	656	127	289	25	7	281	73	-8	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2030	22	MLB	ATL	57%	294	267	62	11	1	7	21	72	4	6	1	232	298	360	657	127	290	24	7	284	75	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2031	23	MLB	ATL	58%	299	272	63	11	1	7	21	73	4	6	2	232	296	357	653	125	291	24	7	285	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	ATL	57%	296	269	63	11	1	7	21	72	4	6	1	234	299	361	660	126	291	24	7	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB	ATL	57%	295	268	62	11	1	7	21	71	4	6	1	231	297	358	655	127	292	24	7	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB	ATL	57%	294	267	62	11	1	7	21	71	4	6	1	232	298	360	657	127	291	24	7	288	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB	ATL	55%	289	262	61	11	1	7	21	70	4	6	1	233	300	363	662	130	291	24	7	288	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB	ATL	55%	286	259	61	11	1	7	21	70	4	6	1	236	303	367	670	131	291	24	7	287	78	-7	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2037	29	MLB	ATL	53%	278	252	57	10	1	6	20	68	4	5	1	226	293	345	639	119	290	24	7	285	76	-7	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	30	MLB	ATL	57%	297	269	62	11	1	7	22	74	4	5	1	230	298	357	655	126	289	25	7	282	74	-9	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2039	31	MLB	ATL	55%	276	250	57	10	1	6	20	69	4	5	1	228	296	348	644	120	287	25	7	278	71	-9	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.3
2040	32	MLB	ATL	58%	284	257	58	10	1	6	21	72	4	5	1	226	294	342	637	117	283	25	7	273	67	-11	+1	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2041	33	MLB	ATL	60%	285	258	55	9	1	5	21	74	4	5	1	213	283	314	597	101	280	26	7	267	62	-12	+1	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2042	34	MLB	ATL	56%	243	220	46	7	1	4	18	65	3	4	1	209	278	305	583	95	274	27	7	258	56	-12	+0	-3	+4	+7	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4254	3862	881	154	15	95	306	1055	57	82	16	228	295	350	644	121	288	25	7	281	73	-130	+10	-11	+76	+121	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	590	135	24	2	15	47	161	9	13	2	229	296	353	648	124	288	25	7	281	73	-20	+2	-2	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7958	7216	1648	291	30	171	568	1957	104	148	39	228	294	348	642	120	288	25	7	289	79	-187	+14	-20	+142	+225	17.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	134	24	2	14	46	160	8	12	3	228	292	346	638	119	286	25	7	289	79	-15	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Braves	—	149	129	29	3	0	1	15	15	2	3	0	225	315	271	586	47	241	10	10	272	66	-6	+1	—	—	+4	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#5John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	4,409	95	82	230	292	352	+79	+40	10.6	8.5
	/162	664	14	12	230	292	352	+11.9	+6.0	1.6	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Johan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	18	52→57	37→42	47→52	48	210/263/324	114	269	5	7	27%	5%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	46→56	40	50→40	47	222/289/316	94	291	7	7	25%	8%	69	-0.4	242/309/331	89	308	7	5	22%	8%	82	+0.5	244/317/320	76	314	4	2	22%	9%	78	+0.1
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
✕Jose Reyes 2017 · A	18	50	36→45	51→55	44	235/281/303	67	296	3	10	21%	5%	62	-0.9	221/269/309	88	263	5	15	17%	6%	58	-1.2	219/269/317	97	252	6	20	15%	6%	56	-0.5
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Ronny Hernandez 2023 · A	18	41→51	45→40	48→40	46	206/276/327	122	267	12	5	27%	8%	67	-0.5	221/292/298	77	303	5	3	26%	9%	66	-0.6	221/297/311	90	280	10	1	23%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Emmanuel Avila 2007 · A	18	47→57	36→45	50→45	51	217/297/292	76	290	2	9	24%	10%	67	-0.5	206/254/266	60	262	3	6	21%	5%	40	-2.4	268/309/352	83	293	9	4	12%	4%	85	+0.5
●Josue De Paula 2023 · A	18	51→42	43→45	51→55	52	244/320/360	116	300	9	14	21%	9%	94	+1.3	228/320/325	97	311	8	17	26%	11%	85	+0.7	226/320/360	134	289	14	26	25%	12%	91	+0.8
✕Hank Conger 2007 · A	19	46→56	40→50	54→45	44	222/273/324	102	287	6	6	24%	6%	64	-0.8	243/281/378	135	290	15	6	21%	5%	82	+0.5	255/295/391	136	297	16	4	20%	5%	91	+0.7
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Abrahan Ramirez 2023 · A	18	48→46	38→45	48→55	45	221/293/307	86	324	3	10	30%	8%	69	-0.4	230/319/305	75	320	3	13	26%	11%	79	+0.3	224/322/292	68	319	1	14	26%	12%	75	-0.0
✕Pedro Ramírez 2022 · A	18	53→55	38→45	48→55	44	249/297/335	86	299	3	10	17%	5%	77	+0.1	236/289/338	102	300	8	13	23%	6%	75	-0.0	255/306/365	110	315	10	22	21%	6%	86	+0.6
✕Alek Thomas 2019 · A	19	50→51	38→50	51→50	44	238/283/324	87	297	4	10	21%	6%	68	-0.5	241/294/369	128	325	10	10	27%	6%	85	+0.7	241/298/385	144	307	13	11	25%	6%	87	+0.7
✕Alain Camou 2023 · A	19	52	37→40	46→50	53	241/307/322	81	285	3	10	16%	8%	78	+0.2	207/265/272	65	271	2	6	22%	7%	47	-1.9	177/232/223	46	237	0	2	24%	6%	19	-1.0
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Samuel Basallo 2023 · A	18	41→48	44→55	48→45	40	209/264/317	108	283	12	4	30%	6%	59	-1.1	232/286/390	158	298	19	7	28%	7%	88	+0.9	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8