Wuilinyer Tovar — OGILVIE

Wuilinyer Tovar P FCL Braves

Age 18 RHP 6'2" / 185 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%19.4%

BB%15.0%

K-BB%4.4%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	8	29	132	23	18	2	89%	3.2	11.8%	17.0%	-5.2%	2.4%	6.83	5.58	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Braves	9	8	29	132	23	18	2	89%	3.2	11.8%	17.0%	-5.2%	2.4%	6.83	5.58	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Braves	9	8	29	132	23	18	2	89%	3.2	17.4%	13.6%	3.8%	1.5%	6.83	4.27	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	11	7	42	195	25	30	3	64%	3.8	8.7%	19.2%	-10.5%	2.2%	6.26	5.98	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	FCL Braves	11	7	42	195	25	30	3	64%	3.8	8.7%	19.2%	-10.5%	2.2%	6.26	5.98	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	ATL	11	7	42	195	25	30	3	64%	3.8	12.8%	15.4%	-2.6%	1.5%	6.26	4.81	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ATL	9	9	43	181	37	24	5	100%	4.8	20.4%	13.1%	7.3%	2.9%	5.12	5.02	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	ATL	4	4	21	89	18	12	3	100%	5.2	20.4%	13.1%	7.3%	2.9%	5.12	5.02	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	21	89	18	12	3	100%	5.3	20.4%	13.1%	7.3%	2.9%	5.12	4.64	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		41	41	200	844	171	114	29	100%	4.9	20.4%	13.1%	7.3%	2.9%	5.12	4.64	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		20	15	71	327	33	60	7	75%	3.5	10.0%	18.3%	-8.4%	2.3%	6.50	5.82	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		57	42	200	925	92	170	21	75%	3.5	10.0%	18.3%	-8.4%	2.3%	6.50	5.82	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Wuilinyer Tovar (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	19.4%	15.0%	3.0%	—	5.02	20.4%	7.3%	43	-0.35	—	—	—
Bryan Polanco R 2022 · 5.18 FIP	20	SP-	5.18	18.2%	14.3%	3.3%	.248	5.58	13.0%	1.2%	243	+0.40	5.18	374	85
Gage Stanifer R 2023 · 4.78 FIP	19	SP-	4.78	16.6%	14.9%	2.2%	.342	4.35	24.2%	7.9%	259	-0.43	2.85	301	84
Christian Fernandez R 2018 · 4.50 FIP	18	SP-	4.50	17.0%	12.6%	2.3%	.274	—	—	—	—	—	4.06	324	81
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	81
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	81
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	81
Jharold Clemente R 2023 · 4.97 FIP	20	SP	4.97	17.5%	13.6%	3.0%	.258	5.11	13.3%	4.3%	92	+0.14	4.09	116	80
Jean Munoz R 2021 · 4.96 FIP	18	SP	4.96	16.1%	16.1%	2.2%	.292	3.91	17.3%	2.4%	82	-1.05	3.23	215	80
Brailin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	15.8%	17.8%	2.1%	.322	4.82	16.8%	2.1%	76	-0.37	4.15	168	80
Jairo Garcia R 2015 · 4.47 FIP	20	SP-	4.47	16.4%	11.3%	2.4%	.298	5.25	10.1%	-1.9%	96	+0.78	3.88	148	79
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	79
Victor Munoz R 2019 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP-	4.33	14.4%	12.6%	1.6%	.273	3.63	14.1%	7.7%	107	-0.70	2.18	260	79
Janser Lara R 2016 · 5.61 FIP	19	SP-	5.61	20.1%	17.3%	3.7%	.354	5.04	17.9%	4.8%	118	-0.57	2.84	220	78
Ronny Oliver R 2022 · 5.86 FIP	18	SP-	5.86	13.8%	15.2%	3.6%	.323	4.25	16.1%	-1.3%	102	-1.61	3.67	167	78
Wellington Aracena R 2023 · 5.11 FIP	18	SP	5.11	17.2%	15.8%	2.7%	.273	4.20	19.8%	3.0%	236	-0.91	3.20	304	78
Gary Gill Hill R 2023 · 4.91 FIP	18	SP	4.91	14.1%	12.2%	2.6%	.356	4.59	16.1%	9.8%	380	-0.32	4.32	417	78
Joel Díaz R 2022 · 5.45 FIP	18	SP-	5.45	15.3%	11.9%	3.9%	.335	4.86	16.2%	8.2%	174	-0.59	1.98	328	78
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	78
Randry De Leon R 2023 · 6.45 FIP	18	SP-	6.45	17.7%	20.2%	4.2%	.308	4.83	18.4%	3.3%	123	-1.62	4.37	153	77
Alex Santos II R 2021 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	19.4%	19.3%	1.2%	.282	6.11	18.9%	4.2%	189	+1.54	3.51	313	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	30	20.1%	13.7%	1.14	5.19
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78