Ronny Oliver — OGILVIE

Ronny Oliver P FCL Cardinals

Age 22 RHP 6'2" / 155 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 133125vR 117

ERA5.28

FIP5.28

K%20.3%

BB%15.4%

K-BB%4.9%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2021	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals Blue	13	9	32	157	36	27	2	69%	2.5	15.6%	21.5%	-5.9%	1.7%	6.40	5.46	—
2021	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals Blue	13	9	32	157	36	27	2	69%	2.5	22.9%	17.2%	5.7%	1.3%	6.40	4.18	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	7	33	148	30	18	4	64%	3.0	13.8%	15.2%	-1.4%	3.6%	6.27	5.86	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	7	33	148	30	18	4	64%	3.0	20.3%	12.2%	8.1%	2.7%	6.27	4.49	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	6	30	149	34	20	1	55%	2.8	15.5%	16.8%	-1.3%	1.0%	4.15	4.47	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Cardinals	11	6	30	149	34	20	1	55%	2.8	15.5%	16.8%	-1.3%	1.0%	4.15	4.47	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Cardinals	11	6	30	149	34	20	1	55%	2.8	22.8%	13.4%	9.4%	0.7%	4.15	3.26	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	12	8	41	187	36	30	0	67%	3.4	13.1%	20.1%	-7.0%	0.0%	5.27	4.53	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	12	8	41	187	36	30	0	67%	3.4	13.1%	20.1%	-7.0%	0.0%	5.27	4.53	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	12	8	41	187	36	30	0	67%	3.4	19.3%	16.0%	3.2%	0.0%	5.27	3.54	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	11	6	31	132	40	15	1	55%	2.8	20.6%	14.2%	6.4%	0.9%	4.11	3.67	—
2025	21	ROK MLE	FCL Cardinals	11	6	31	132	40	15	1	55%	2.8	20.6%	14.2%	6.4%	0.9%	4.11	3.67	—
2025	21	ROK RAW	FCL Cardinals	11	6	31	132	40	15	1	55%	2.8	30.3%	11.4%	18.9%	0.8%	4.11	2.38	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	22	MLB	STL	1	1	2	8	2	1	0	100%	2.0	20.3%	15.4%	4.9%	2.8%	5.28	5.28	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	STL	7	7	38	162	35	22	5	100%	5.5	21.4%	13.4%	8.1%	2.8%	5.02	4.91	-0.0
2027	23	MLB CTX	STL	4	4	19	80	17	11	2	100%	4.8	21.4%	13.4%	8.1%	2.8%	5.02	4.91	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	19	80	17	11	2	100%	4.7	21.4%	13.4%	8.1%	2.8%	5.02	4.53	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		37	37	200	844	181	117	21	100%	5.3	21.4%	13.4%	8.1%	2.8%	5.02	4.53	+0.9
Career	—	MLE		58	36	167	773	120	138	11	62%	2.9	15.5%	17.8%	-2.3%	1.4%	5.27	4.81	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		69	43	200	924	143	164	13	62%	2.9	15.5%	17.8%	-2.3%	1.4%	5.27	4.81	-0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ronny Oliver (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.28	20.3%	15.4%	2.8%	—	4.91	21.4%	8.1%	38	-0.37	—	—	—
Wilian Bormie R 2023 · 5.84 FIP	22	SP-	5.84	21.6%	20.4%	3.6%	.275	4.16	23.1%	9.1%	200	-1.68	3.51	223	88
Ray Gaither R 2022 · 4.85 FIP	24	SP-	4.85	21.9%	13.2%	3.5%	.314	4.38	17.8%	5.3%	123	-0.47	3.90	164	84
Blane Abeyta R 2021 · 4.66 FIP	22	SP-	4.66	21.1%	18.2%	1.9%	.283	4.78	15.6%	6.4%	343	+0.12	4.24	489	83
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	83
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	82
Zach Linginfelter R 2021 · 5.53 FIP	24	SP-	5.53	19.1%	16.0%	3.7%	.295	5.01	18.8%	-0.6%	46	-0.52	3.62	109	82
Marco Jimenez R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	22	SP-	5.27	19.6%	17.7%	2.9%	.372	3.89	18.3%	6.7%	148	-1.38	3.36	183	82
Alex Vallecillo R 2023 · 4.75 FIP	21	SP-	4.75	18.6%	16.3%	2.1%	.277	—	—	—	—	—	4.51	152	81
Jake Lyons R 2021 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	21.8%	13.9%	2.6%	.325	4.64	19.4%	9.2%	105	+0.18	4.13	174	80
Lisandro Almonte R 2023 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	20.4%	20.7%	2.8%	.274	3.81	20.7%	12.2%	15	-1.73	3.81	128	80
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.72	16.0%	6.0%	316	+0.17	3.97	371	80
Wills Montgomerie R 2018 · 5.10 FIP	23	SP-	5.10	19.3%	19.1%	2.2%	.275	4.51	20.1%	6.0%	105	-0.59	4.51	153	80
Luis Mora R 2016 · 5.78 FIP	21	SP-	5.78	16.3%	15.4%	3.8%	.303	5.27	23.9%	1.2%	43	-0.51	3.95	119	79
Trent Fennell R 2018 · 4.48 FIP	22	SP-	4.48	14.5%	12.5%	1.9%	.317	4.46	20.9%	7.5%	89	-0.02	4.08	163	79
Luis Rujano R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	20	SW	4.68	17.1%	16.6%	1.7%	.309	4.74	17.4%	0.9%	149	+0.06	4.54	202	78
Eddy Peralta R 2023 · 4.65 FIP	20	SP-	4.65	22.0%	19.8%	1.6%	.342	3.96	21.0%	1.7%	86	-0.69	3.73	117	78
Jeisson Cabrera R 2019 · 4.42 FIP	20	SP-	4.42	21.3%	15.5%	2.1%	.227	—	—	—	—	—	3.78	244	78
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	77
Jared Lyons R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	22	SP-	4.47	20.1%	15.3%	2.1%	.345	4.24	18.1%	8.1%	206	-0.23	3.28	260	77
Victor Simeon R 2023 · 5.53 FIP	22	SW	5.53	20.3%	15.7%	3.9%	.333	3.87	25.6%	5.4%	81	-1.66	3.22	180	77

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	21.1%	14.1%	1.09	5.11
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Amir Garrett ('23)	1.5	51	25.8%	13.4%	1.50	5.10
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Touki Toussaint ('24)	1.4	40	23.1%	14.1%	1.25	5.39
Miguel Castro ('23)	2.1	59	20.8%	12.0%	1.04	3.99