Brailin Rodriguez
P
Carolina Mudcats
Age 23
RHP
6'2" / 185 lbs
A
peak 0.1 · 2027
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 25 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120110vR 101
ERA4.43
FIP4.43
K%22.6%
BB%10.0%
K-BB%12.6%
ROS IP25
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 25 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 16 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 12 | 11 | 50 | 228 | 36 | 30 | 0 | 92% | 4.2 | 10.7% | 16.4% | -5.7% | 0.0% | 5.72 | 4.28 | — |
| 2019 | 16 | ROK | DSL Brewers | 12 | 11 | 50 | 228 | 36 | 30 | 0 | 92% | 4.2 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 5.72 | 3.46 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 9 | 42 | 193 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 75% | 3.5 | 15.8% | 17.8% | -2.0% | 2.2% | 4.71 | 5.23 | — |
| 2021 | 18 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 9 | 42 | 193 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 75% | 3.5 | 22.8% | 14.5% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 4.71 | 3.93 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 11 | 3 | 29 | 147 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 27% | 2.6 | 15.7% | 14.5% | 1.3% | 4.8% | 8.16 | 6.23 | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Brewers | 11 | 3 | 29 | 147 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 27% | 2.6 | 23.1% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 2.7% | 8.16 | 4.32 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 57 | 246 | 58 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 17.4% | 14.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 3.81 | 4.09 | — |
| 2024 | 21 | MIX | 3 levels | 27 | 0 | 57 | 246 | 58 | 28 | 5 | 0% | 2.1 | 23.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 2.0% | 3.81 | 3.68 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 23 | MLB | MIL | 24 | 0 | 25 | 107 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.43 | 4.43 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 25 | 0 | 26 | 110 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 24 | MLB | MIL | 10 | 0 | 11 | 46 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 4.30 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 11 | 0 | 11 | 47 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 198 | 72 | 18 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 2.9% | 4.35 | 3.92 | +3.5 | ||
| Career | — | 62 | 23 | 178 | 814 | 121 | 129 | 14 | 37% | 2.9 | 14.8% | 15.9% | -1.1% | 1.7% | 5.27 | 4.80 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 70 | 26 | 200 | 916 | 136 | 146 | 16 | 37% | 2.9 | 14.8% | 15.9% | -1.1% | 1.7% | 5.27 | 4.80 | +1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Brailin Rodriguez (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.43 | 22.6% | 10.0% | 2.9% | — | 4.30 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 26 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2026 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 84 |
| Clark Beeker R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.04 | 20.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | .270 | 4.35 | 11.6% | 6.4% | 244 | +0.31 | 4.04 | 287 | 82 |
| Casey Legumina R 2027 · 4.28 FIP | 24 | SP- | 4.28 | 23.3% | 9.3% | 3.6% | .260 | 4.34 | 20.5% | 11.0% | 189 | +0.06 | 3.68 | 323 | 82 |
| Yunior Montero R 2026 · 3.60 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.60 | 21.9% | 11.9% | 1.5% | .239 | 5.26 | 21.3% | 3.7% | 54 | +1.66 | 3.60 | 127 | 81 |
| Brendan Collins R 2025 · 3.60 FIP | 22 | SW | 3.60 | 21.8% | 10.3% | 1.9% | .294 | 3.85 | 20.2% | 5.1% | 54 | +0.25 | 3.60 | 122 | 80 |
| Patrick Halligan R 2026 · 4.40 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.40 | 18.8% | 11.6% | 2.6% | .330 | 3.82 | 25.6% | 15.0% | 145 | -0.58 | 2.52 | 275 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2028 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Ben Anderson R 2026 · 5.05 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.05 | 19.8% | 9.4% | 4.4% | .309 | 3.93 | 16.2% | 7.7% | 147 | -1.12 | 3.71 | 361 | 79 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2026 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 79 |
| Colin Fields R 2026 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 79 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2028 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 79 |
| John Matthews R 2026 · 4.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.88 | 18.6% | 10.4% | 3.7% | .351 | 4.67 | 15.5% | 1.6% | 145 | -0.21 | 4.40 | 213 | 79 |
| Billy Corcoran R 2026 · 4.25 FIP | 23 | SW | 4.25 | 19.5% | 10.0% | 2.8% | .308 | 4.88 | 16.3% | 8.9% | 188 | +0.63 | 4.17 | 257 | 79 |
| Trent Fennell R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 78 |
| Brett Gillis R 2028 · 3.37 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.37 | 20.3% | 8.8% | 1.6% | .278 | 5.10 | 15.8% | 6.7% | 73 | +1.73 | 3.37 | 119 | 77 |
| Adam Leverett R 2026 · 5.08 FIP | 23 | SW | 5.08 | 20.6% | 9.3% | 4.6% | .338 | 4.11 | 13.8% | 4.8% | 154 | -0.97 | 3.26 | 376 | 77 |
| Nathanael Santiago R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 25 | SP- | 3.47 | 20.3% | 11.4% | 1.2% | .286 | 3.51 | 23.2% | 10.9% | 71 | +0.04 | 2.45 | 138 | 77 |
| Luis Romero R 2026 · 4.50 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.50 | 22.1% | 11.9% | 3.2% | .367 | 4.16 | 21.6% | 12.5% | 132 | -0.34 | 3.99 | 293 | 77 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.29 | 17.9% | 9.9% | 2.6% | .262 | 5.23 | 16.8% | 4.6% | 91 | +0.94 | 4.03 | 161 | 77 |
| Noah Skirrow R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.4% | 11.5% | 2.4% | .306 | 4.68 | 16.2% | 5.7% | 316 | +0.34 | 3.90 | 371 | 77 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 26 | 22.9% | 9.7% | 1.12 | 4.39 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |