Jake Christianson
P
Lansing Lugnuts
+0.0
WAR
Age 26
RHP
6'3" / 190 lbs
A+
peak 0.2 · 2026
ERA4.66
FIP4.66
xFIP—
SIERA—
K%20.0%
BB%9.8%
K-BB%10.3%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.2peak
2026
STUF3030
CTRL4545
CMD3535
K†4045
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 22 | ROK | FCL Rays | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | — | — | — | 0.00 | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 28 | 9 | 83 | 351 | 85 | 30 | 6 | 17.9% | 10.1% | 2.1% | 3.48 | 3.99 | +1.1 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Bowling Green Hot Rods | 31 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 56 | 19 | 6 | 19.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 3.74 | 4.50 | +0.3 |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | 39 | 0 | 52 | 233 | 41 | 22 | 5 | 13.5% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 4.67 | 4.95 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 26 | MLB | OAK | 55 | — | 55 | 234 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 5.05 | 5.05 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB | OAK | 55 | — | 55 | 232 | 42 | 26 | 7 | 18.2% | 11.0% | 3.0% | 4.98 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB | OAK | 54 | — | 54 | 229 | 42 | 25 | 7 | 18.6% | 10.9% | 3.0% | 4.95 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
| 2029 | 29 | MLB | OAK | 53 | — | 53 | 224 | 42 | 24 | 7 | 18.7% | 10.9% | 3.1% | 4.95 | 4.98 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 30 | MLB | OAK | 51 | — | 51 | 217 | 40 | 24 | 7 | 18.6% | 11.0% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 5.02 | -0.0 |
| 2031 | 31 | MLB | OAK | 50 | — | 50 | 209 | 38 | 23 | 7 | 18.4% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 5.05 | 5.10 | -0.1 |
| 2032 | 32 | MLB | OAK | 48 | — | 48 | 201 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 18.1% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 5.13 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
| 2033 | 33 | MLB | OAK | 46 | — | 46 | 192 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 17.8% | 11.4% | 3.4% | 5.22 | 5.28 | -0.2 |
| 2034 | 34 | MLB | OAK | 43 | — | 43 | 182 | 32 | 21 | 6 | 17.4% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 5.32 | 5.39 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 35 | MLB | OAK | 41 | — | 41 | 172 | 29 | 20 | 6 | 17.0% | 11.9% | 3.6% | 5.43 | 5.51 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 36 | MLB | OAK | 38 | — | 38 | 161 | 27 | 19 | 6 | 16.6% | 12.1% | 3.7% | 5.56 | 5.65 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 100 | 9 | 190 | 817 | 143 | 84 | 21 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 4.36 | +2.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 105 | 9 | 200 | 860 | 151 | 88 | 22 | 17.5% | 10.2% | 2.6% | 3.84 | 4.36 | +2.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Jake Christianson (OGILVIE) | — | — | 5.05 | 17.6% | 11.2% | 3.0% | — | 4.98 | 18.5% | 7.5% | 162 | -0.07 | — | — | — |
| David Goforth R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.06 | 17.4% | 9.8% | 2.2% | .287 | 4.58 | 14.1% | 3.6% | 184 | +0.52 | 4.06 | 256 | 90 |
| Ryan Cook R 2028 · 4.78 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.78 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.3% | .297 | 3.85 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.93 | 3.85 | 102 | 89 |
| Brett McKinney R 2026 · 4.57 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.57 | 18.5% | 9.9% | 3.2% | .287 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.43 | 183 | 89 |
| Gonzalez Germen R 2027 · 4.29 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.29 | 18.0% | 12.5% | 2.1% | .296 | 3.94 | 19.2% | 8.3% | 54 | -0.35 | 3.68 | 146 | 89 |
| Tanner Scheppers R 2028 · 4.38 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.38 | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.5% | .263 | 4.82 | 15.7% | 9.0% | 48 | +0.44 | 4.38 | 101 | 88 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2025 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.4% | .275 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.16 | 135 | 87 |
| Ryan Middendorf R 2026 · 4.93 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.93 | 19.6% | 10.5% | 3.9% | .293 | 4.50 | 12.8% | -1.5% | 34 | -0.43 | 1.27 | 164 | 87 |
| Confesor Lara R 2025 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.26 | 16.4% | 11.0% | 2.1% | .329 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.73 | 111 | 87 |
| Grant Black R 2027 · 4.46 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.46 | 19.0% | 13.9% | 2.2% | .327 | 5.46 | 15.2% | 3.1% | 156 | +1.00 | 4.46 | 215 | 87 |
| Jonathan Hughes R 2026 · 4.31 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.31 | 17.1% | 9.2% | 2.7% | .283 | 3.53 | 17.1% | 4.9% | 50 | -0.78 | 3.42 | 219 | 87 |
| Armando Rivero R 2027 · 4.26 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.26 | 18.7% | 13.5% | 1.9% | .256 | 2.69 | 32.9% | 19.8% | 68 | -1.57 | 2.69 | 125 | 86 |
| Roman Phansalkar R 2026 · 5.36 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.36 | 15.8% | 13.2% | 3.5% | .294 | 4.33 | 18.2% | 3.7% | 31 | -1.03 | 4.33 | 164 | 86 |
| Jorge Reyes R 2027 · 4.66 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.66 | 15.9% | 8.5% | 3.3% | .307 | 3.46 | 14.2% | 6.2% | 129 | -1.20 | 3.35 | 227 | 86 |
| Jose Rafael De Paula R 2026 · 4.45 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.45 | 19.9% | 9.8% | 3.3% | .278 | 4.78 | 22.7% | 10.3% | 89 | +0.33 | 2.65 | 315 | 86 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.44 | 18.3% | 10.0% | 2.9% | .304 | 3.25 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 51 | -1.19 | 3.01 | 214 | 86 |
| Tyler Mizenko R 2026 · 5.14 FIP | 26 | SW | 5.14 | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.4% | .303 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.68 | 104 | 86 |
| Nolan Sanburn R 2026 · 4.52 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.52 | 15.0% | 10.4% | 2.5% | .310 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.84 | 169 | 86 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2025 · 4.76 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.76 | 19.3% | 12.6% | 3.1% | .361 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.04 | 106 | 86 |
| Logan Bawcom R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 26 | SW | 3.88 | 15.8% | 9.1% | 1.8% | .320 | 4.35 | 15.9% | 6.2% | 259 | +0.47 | 3.73 | 399 | 86 |
| Brad Schreiber R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 26 | SW | 4.23 | 17.3% | 12.7% | 1.8% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.80 | 171 | 86 |
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.