Jose Montilla

C DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1315ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Royals Ve…	107	.224/.356/.388	2	0	30	—	.133/.250/.222
2026	18	ROKDSL Royals Fo…	59	.162/.475/.243	0	0	62	—	.093/.339/.140
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBKC	169	.200/.288/.288	1	1	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBKC	32	.203/.291/.298	0	0	71	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBKC	90	.207/.295/.309	1	1	76	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%99

Chase%87

wOBA78

wRC+74

ISO30

Z-Con%17

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCarlos Cauro (age 19) · Jesús Báez (age 19) · Johanfran Garcia (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 38 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .285 / .285

PA38

HR0

K%30

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	85	19	8	0	2	11	26	7	0	2	224	356	388	744	165	283	24	10	331	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	59	37	6	3	0	0	20	19	2	0	3	162	475	243	718	81	333	32	34	373	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	90	12	5	0	1	7	33	7	0	2	133	250	222	472	89	172	31	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	59	43	4	2	0	0	14	23	2	0	3	93	339	140	479	47	215	39	24	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	90	12	5	0	1	7	33	7	0	2	133	250	222	472	89	186	31	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	85	19	8	0	2	11	26	7	0	2	224	356	388	744	165	283	24	10	331	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	59	43	4	2	0	0	14	23	2	0	3	93	339	140	479	47	200	39	24	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	59	37	6	3	0	0	20	19	2	0	3	162	475	243	718	81	333	32	34	373	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	92	12	5	0	1	7	33	7	0	2	130	250	217	467	87	172	31	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	59	43	4	2	0	0	14	23	2	0	3	93	339	140	479	47	215	39	24	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	92	12	5	0	1	7	33	7	0	2	130	250	217	467	87	172	31	7	213	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Royals Fortuna	—	59	43	4	2	0	0	14	23	2	0	3	93	339	140	479	47	215	39	24	260	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	KC	0%	169	149	29	7	1	1	15	51	3	1	1	200	288	288	576	88	288	30	9	266	66	-7	-0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	KC	34%	94	84	18	4	1	1	8	28	2	1	0	205	293	302	595	97	290	30	9	274	71	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	KC	48%	186	163	34	8	1	2	17	54	4	2	1	209	297	314	611	105	291	29	9	280	76	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	KC	54%	297	262	56	12	2	5	27	85	6	3	1	213	300	325	625	112	292	29	9	285	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	KC	57%	387	341	74	16	2	7	35	109	8	4	2	216	302	334	636	118	293	28	9	289	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+8	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	KC	57%	445	393	87	19	3	8	40	124	9	4	2	219	305	341	646	123	294	28	9	293	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	KC	57%	445	393	86	19	2	8	40	124	9	4	2	219	305	344	649	125	294	28	9	294	85	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	KC	56%	445	393	86	19	2	9	40	124	9	4	2	220	305	346	651	126	294	28	9	295	86	-8	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	KC	55%	445	393	86	19	2	9	40	124	9	3	2	218	304	343	648	125	293	28	9	294	85	-8	-0	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	KC	55%	445	394	84	18	2	8	40	125	8	2	2	216	302	338	641	122	292	28	9	291	83	-9	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	KC	53%	445	394	84	18	2	8	40	126	8	1	2	214	299	332	631	118	290	28	9	287	80	-10	-1	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	KC	53%	445	395	82	18	2	7	39	128	8	1	1	211	296	324	620	113	288	29	9	282	77	-12	-0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	KC	52%	426	378	79	17	2	7	37	124	8	1	1	206	291	314	605	108	285	29	9	276	73	-14	-0	-3	+8	+9	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	KC	34%	32	28	5	1	0	0	3	9	1	0	0	203	291	298	589	95	288	28	9	271	71	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	KC	48%	90	80	17	4	1	1	8	26	2	1	0	207	295	309	605	102	289	29	9	277	76	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	KC	54%	161	143	30	7	1	2	14	46	3	2	1	210	298	319	617	109	290	29	9	282	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	KC	57%	219	193	40	9	1	3	20	62	4	2	1	214	300	328	628	114	291	28	9	286	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	KC	57%	252	222	48	11	1	4	23	70	5	2	1	216	302	335	638	119	292	28	9	290	85	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	KC	57%	251	222	48	11	1	4	22	70	5	2	1	217	303	338	641	121	292	28	9	291	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	KC	56%	251	222	49	11	1	5	22	70	5	2	1	217	303	339	642	122	292	28	9	292	86	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	KC	55%	247	218	46	10	1	4	22	69	5	2	1	216	302	336	639	121	291	28	9	290	85	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	KC	55%	244	215	45	10	1	4	22	69	5	1	1	214	300	332	632	118	290	28	9	287	83	-5	-0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	KC	53%	238	211	45	10	1	4	21	68	4	0	1	212	297	326	623	114	288	29	9	284	80	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	KC	53%	234	207	43	9	1	4	21	67	4	0	1	208	294	318	612	110	286	29	9	279	77	-6	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	KC	52%	222	197	40	9	1	3	19	65	4	0	0	204	289	308	597	104	283	29	9	273	73	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2441	2158	456	102	11	38	217	691	47	14	9	211	297	322	619	110	290	28	9	285	80	-54	-1	-4	+44	+53	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	575	121	27	3	10	58	184	13	4	2	210	298	320	618	110	289	28	9	285	80	-14	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4709	4150	879	196	23	80	427	1342	98	30	23	212	300	328	628	116	290	28	9	286	80	-102	-1	-7	+81	+98	7.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	121	27	3	11	59	185	14	4	3	211	301	326	627	115	289	28	9	286	80	-15	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Royals Fortuna · 59 PAwOBA .366 → .260 (−106)K% 32.2% → 39.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	32.20%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	39.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	33.90%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	23.91%
HBP% /PA	3.39%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	2.39%
Singles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.680	—	×1.008	11.42%
Doubles /BIP	16.67%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	10.07%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	—	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .366 → .260; ISO .081 → .055; BABIP .333 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Royals Ventura · 107 PAwOBA .332 → .213 (−119)K% 24.3% → 31.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	24.30%	÷0.952	×1.220	—	—	31.14%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.28%	÷1.097	×0.700	—	×1.022	6.71%
HBP% /PA	6.54%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	4.68%
Singles /BIP	15.25%	÷1.025	×0.680	×0.975	×1.022	10.09%
Doubles /BIP	13.56%	÷1.060	×0.600	×0.975	×1.022	7.65%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.950	×0.600	×0.975	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.39%	÷0.877	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.86%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 75, 1B 105, 2B 112, 3B 90, K 90, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.975.

Result: wOBA .332 → .213; ISO .165 → .096; BABIP .283 → .172. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#2Curt Casalilast yr '24 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA	2.4	1,566	47	2	217	311	367	+28	+19	7.8	7.9
/162	664	20	1	+11.9	+7.9	3.3	pk7: 8
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.7	2,480	43	16	216	298	334	+44	+28	5.7	5.1
/162	664	12	4	+11.9	+7.5	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Montilla (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	198/285/285	88	288	0	0	30%	9%	66	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2022 · A	19	37	39→45	46→45	53	177/289/262	85	262	6	6	31%	12%	63	-1.4	182/260/254	72	283	5	6	34%	9%	49	-2.4	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2021 · A	20	42→47	39→50	45→50	45	198/273/287	89	286	6	8	31%	8%	61	-1.5	229/297/377	148	305	16	5	29%	7%	91	+0.6	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→42	41→55	47→50	41	199/257/307	107	275	8	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	197/239/329	132	279	14	5	33%	5%	57	-1.8	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	40	185/238/269	84	259	7	4	30%	6%	43	-2.8	195/239/273	78	247	5	3	22%	5%	44	-2.8	242/310/379	137	297	17	3	24%	8%	96	+0.5
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2023 · A	20	36→44	40→50	47→50	46	175/264/271	96	263	7	8	34%	10%	55	-2.0	204/267/339	135	290	14	10	33%	7%	70	-0.8	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→38	41→50	43→30	45	190/273/293	102	270	8	3	30%	8%	63	-1.4	186/268/287	101	300	9	2	38%	8%	59	-1.6	191/272/338	147	261	18	1	32%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Frank Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40	35→45	48→30	48	184/279/246	61	271	2	5	30%	9%	55	-2.0	187/249/270	83	271	7	4	32%	6%	47	-2.5	183/244/267	84	241	9	1	27%	6%	43	-0.9
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Clayton Campbell 2023 · A	19	37→44	37→45	41→45	44	174/265/248	74	284	4	4	37%	9%	50	-2.3	177/259/266	89	265	7	6	33%	8%	52	-2.2	157/241/237	80	226	7	5	32%	8%	38	-1.2
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1

Jose Montilla

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps