Jose Montilla — OGILVIE

Jose MontillaC DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION34 act + 58 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .276 / .288

PA58

HR1

K%33

BB%9

BABIP281

ISO96

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.4	$7M	+$7M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.4	$7M	+$6M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$6M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
2037	Arb-3	$5M	+1.2	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$35M	+$30M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	91	13	5	0	2	6	41	7	0	2	143	250	264	514	121	216	38	6	220	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	85	19	8	0	2	11	26	7	0	2	224	356	388	744	165	283	24	10	331	111	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	34	27	2	1	0	0	6	17	1	0	2	74	265	111	376	37	200	50	18	226	31	-3	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	KC	—	34	23	4	2	0	0	10	12	1	0	2	174	441	261	702	87	364	35	29	356	130	+1	-1	+0	+1	+1	0.2
ROS	18	ROK	KC	0%	58	52	10	2	0	1	5	19	1	0	0	192	276	288	564	96	285	33	9	258	56	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
ROS	18	MLB	KC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		282	—	—	240	42	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	KC	—	34	28	2	1	0	0	6	17	1	0	2	71	265	107	372	36	182	50	18	226	31	-3	-1	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	KC	—	92	79	12	3	0	1	11	36	2	0	2	152	272	228	500	76	262	39	12	246	47	-6	-1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	184	163	33	7	1	3	15	58	4	1	1	202	286	313	599	110	291	32	8	271	66	-7	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.1
2028	20	MLB	KC	48%	324	287	59	13	2	5	27	100	7	3	2	206	290	317	607	111	293	31	8	280	72	-10	-0	+0	+6	+9	0.5
2029	21	MLB	KC	54%	432	383	81	18	2	8	37	131	9	3	2	211	296	332	628	120	294	30	9	285	76	-11	-0	+0	+8	+12	0.8
2030	22	MLB	KC	57%	507	448	96	21	3	10	43	152	11	4	3	214	299	342	640	127	295	30	8	289	79	-12	-0	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2031	23	MLB	KC	58%	520	459	99	21	3	11	45	156	11	4	3	216	301	346	647	131	296	30	9	291	81	-11	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.3
2032	24	MLB	KC	57%	520	459	100	22	3	11	45	155	11	4	3	218	303	351	654	133	297	30	9	293	83	-10	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2033	25	MLB	KC	57%	520	459	100	22	3	11	45	155	11	4	3	218	303	351	654	133	297	30	9	294	83	-10	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.4
2034	26	MLB	KC	57%	520	459	100	22	3	11	45	155	11	4	3	218	303	351	654	133	297	30	9	295	84	-9	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2035	27	MLB	KC	55%	520	458	99	21	3	11	46	155	11	4	3	216	303	347	650	131	297	30	9	295	84	-9	-0	+0	+9	+15	1.5
2036	28	MLB	KC	55%	520	458	99	21	3	11	46	156	11	4	3	216	303	347	650	131	296	30	9	294	83	-10	-0	-1	+9	+15	1.3
2037	29	MLB	KC	53%	520	458	97	21	2	11	46	157	11	4	2	212	299	338	637	127	295	30	9	292	82	-11	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.2
2038	30	MLB	KC	53%	520	458	97	21	2	11	46	158	11	3	2	212	299	338	637	127	294	30	9	289	80	-12	-0	-2	+9	+15	1.0
2039	31	MLB	KC	52%	504	443	92	20	2	10	45	155	11	3	2	208	297	330	626	122	291	31	9	285	76	-13	-0	-3	+9	+14	0.7
2027	19	MLB	KC	34%	63	57	10	2	0	1	5	20	1	1	0	175	254	263	517	88	288	32	8	253	52	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.0
2028	20	MLB	KC	48%	157	140	29	6	1	3	13	49	3	1	1	207	288	329	617	121	289	31	8	260	58	-8	-0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	KC	54%	234	207	42	9	1	4	20	71	5	2	1	203	289	314	603	111	290	30	9	266	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	KC	57%	287	254	53	11	2	5	25	86	6	2	2	209	295	327	622	118	291	30	9	270	64	-12	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
2031	23	MLB	KC	58%	299	265	57	12	2	6	26	89	6	2	2	215	300	343	643	128	292	30	9	272	66	-11	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	24	MLB	KC	57%	296	262	56	12	2	6	26	88	6	2	2	214	299	344	643	130	293	30	9	274	68	-11	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2033	25	MLB	KC	57%	295	261	56	12	2	6	26	88	6	2	2	215	300	345	645	130	293	30	9	275	68	-11	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB	KC	57%	294	261	56	12	2	6	25	88	6	2	2	215	298	345	643	130	293	30	9	275	69	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2035	27	MLB	KC	55%	289	256	54	12	1	6	25	86	6	2	2	211	296	336	632	125	293	30	9	275	69	-10	-0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2036	28	MLB	KC	55%	286	253	53	11	1	6	25	86	6	2	1	209	296	332	628	123	292	30	9	274	68	-10	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.3
2037	29	MLB	KC	53%	278	245	52	11	1	6	25	84	6	2	1	212	301	339	640	127	291	30	9	273	67	-10	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.2
2038	30	MLB	KC	53%	274	242	50	11	1	5	24	83	6	2	1	207	294	322	616	116	290	30	9	270	65	-11	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.1
2039	31	MLB	KC	52%	263	232	47	10	1	5	23	81	6	1	1	203	291	319	610	116	287	31	9	266	62	-11	-0	-1	+5	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3315	2936	615	131	17	65	288	999	69	23	18	209	295	332	627	123	292	30	9	271	66	-129	-3	-4	+59	+94	1.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	121	26	3	13	56	196	14	5	4	210	296	333	629	123	293	30	9	271	66	-25	-1	-1	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	6276	5535	1175	257	32	127	542	1903	138	45	34	212	298	339	638	127	296	30	9	289	79	-148	-5	-7	+112	+178	13.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	122	27	3	13	56	197	14	5	4	213	298	339	637	126	297	30	9	289	79	-15	-1	-1	+12	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Ventura	—	107	85	19	8	0	2	11	26	7	0	2	224	356	388	744	165	283	24	10	331	111	+1	-1	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,407	69	26	214	297	341	+61	+32	7.8	6.6
	/162	664	13	5	214	297	341	+11.9	+6.2	1.5	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Montilla (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	152/272/228	76	262	1	0	39%	12%	47	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Rodolfo Castro 2017 · A	18	43→40	38→55	48→50	43	202/265/291	89	290	5	5	30%	7%	53	-1.5	195/240/313	118	278	11	5	32%	5%	47	-1.9	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5
✕Rey Duran 2008 · A	19	41	39→50	49→40	44	194/268/278	84	288	7	6	33%	8%	51	-1.7	201/256/316	115	261	13	5	27%	6%	56	-1.3	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Pedro Severino 2012 · A	19	37→47	39→50	49→45	39	184/237/267	83	257	7	4	30%	6%	34	-2.8	189/233/266	77	239	5	3	22%	4%	32	-3.0	238/307/375	137	291	17	3	24%	8%	90	+0.6
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	53	-1.5	194/251/315	121	295	13	5	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2022 · A	18	43	38→40	49→45	42	202/274/283	81	295	6	6	32%	7%	55	-1.4	204/293/283	79	316	6	6	34%	9%	64	-0.8	155/264/219	64	269	6	3	39%	10%	36	-1.1
✕Douglas Glod 2023 · A	18	41	41→45	45	44	191/273/288	97	305	8	7	37%	9%	56	-1.3	173/273/269	96	330	8	5	44%	11%	53	-1.5	137/247/219	82	283	7	3	48%	11%	28	-1.3
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→37	41→55	43→30	45	190/272/291	102	269	8	3	30%	8%	57	-1.2	186/266/288	102	300	9	2	38%	8%	54	-1.4	194/273/355	161	262	20	1	33%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Rodolfo Durán 2016 · A	18	39	36→55	45→40	37	189/231/257	68	267	3	6	30%	5%	29	-3.2	211/250/329	118	282	13	5	29%	5%	56	-1.3	225/266/386	161	276	19	3	26%	4%	75	-0.0
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	39	38→55	46→45	39	185/252/258	72	287	6	6	36%	7%	39	-2.5	229/289/356	127	293	13	7	25%	6%	80	+0.4	248/309/417	169	290	19	6	21%	6%	103	+0.7
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Hidekel Gonzalez 2015 · A	18	44	37→45	47→45	37	205/260/286	81	312	4	7	34%	5%	49	-1.8	227/275/314	87	287	6	8	22%	5%	63	-0.9	241/291/328	87	291	6	8	19%	4%	72	-0.1