Frank Rodriguez
C Tulsa Drillers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | A+LAD | 115 | .181/.246/.210 | 0 | 1 | -1 | — | .140/.193/.159 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 236 | .198/.289/.309 | 4 | 0 | 36 | — | .184/.255/.269 |
| 2026 | 24 | AALAD | 275 | .245/.326/.390 | 8 | 1 | 62 | — | .202/.267/.310 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBLAD | 3 | .210/.271/.321 | 0 | 0 | 69 | 0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ31% MLB | 26 | MLBLAD | 62 | .212/.274/.325 | 1 | 1 | 71 | 0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBLAD | 99 | .212/.275/.326 | 2 | 1 | 72 | 0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 148 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 356 | 211 | 567 | 35 | 247 | 24 | 17 | 285 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 106 | 91 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 337 | 330 | 666 | 88 | 288 | 18 | 9 | 303 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | ACL Dodgers | — | 85 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 337 | 375 | 712 | 139 | 326 | 29 | 11 | 318 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 156 | 141 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 234 | 291 | 525 | 128 | 184 | 23 | 6 | 237 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 115 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 246 | 210 | 455 | 29 | 244 | 24 | 6 | 215 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 53 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 250 | 208 | 458 | 21 | 237 | 19 | 8 | 213 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 144 | 124 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 333 | 379 | 712 | 145 | 286 | 21 | 12 | 323 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 39 | 35 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 86 | 179 | 200 | 379 | 114 | 77 | 21 | 8 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 275 | 241 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 58 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 326 | 390 | 716 | 145 | 285 | 21 | 8 | 318 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 148 | 121 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 260 | 124 | 384 | 17 | 157 | 29 | 12 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 106 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 253 | 503 | 74 | 223 | 26 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 85 | 76 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 241 | 289 | 530 | 118 | 246 | 42 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 156 | 143 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 201 | 238 | 439 | 98 | 165 | 29 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 115 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 140 | 193 | 159 | 352 | 19 | 213 | 31 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 53 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 231 | 204 | 435 | 20 | 225 | 23 | 6 | 182 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 144 | 130 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 264 | 292 | 556 | 108 | 243 | 27 | 8 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 275 | 248 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 267 | 310 | 577 | 109 | 248 | 26 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 148 | 121 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 260 | 124 | 384 | 17 | 163 | 29 | 12 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 148 | 114 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 35 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 356 | 211 | 567 | 35 | 247 | 24 | 17 | 285 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 106 | 95 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 250 | 253 | 503 | 74 | 235 | 26 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Dodgers | — | 106 | 91 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 242 | 337 | 330 | 666 | 88 | 288 | 18 | 9 | 303 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 85 | 76 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 171 | 241 | 289 | 530 | 118 | 282 | 42 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Dodgers | — | 85 | 72 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 337 | 375 | 712 | 139 | 326 | 29 | 11 | 318 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 156 | 143 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 201 | 238 | 439 | 98 | 177 | 29 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 156 | 141 | 23 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 234 | 291 | 525 | 128 | 184 | 23 | 6 | 237 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 115 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 140 | 193 | 159 | 352 | 19 | 208 | 31 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ RAW | Great Lakes Loons | — | 115 | 105 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 181 | 246 | 210 | 455 | 29 | 244 | 24 | 6 | 215 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 236 | 215 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 186 | 255 | 274 | 530 | 88 | 245 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 236 | 207 | 41 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 198 | 289 | 309 | 599 | 111 | 239 | 20 | 10 | 275 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 275 | 248 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 202 | 267 | 310 | 577 | 109 | 251 | 26 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 275 | 241 | 59 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 58 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 326 | 390 | 716 | 145 | 285 | 21 | 8 | 318 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Dodgers Shoemaker | — | 148 | 122 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 43 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 260 | 123 | 383 | 16 | 157 | 29 | 12 | 194 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 106 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 177 | 250 | 250 | 500 | 73 | 223 | 26 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Dodgers | — | 85 | 78 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 241 | 282 | 523 | 115 | 246 | 42 | 6 | 212 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 156 | 144 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 46 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 139 | 201 | 236 | 437 | 97 | 165 | 29 | 4 | 191 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 115 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 140 | 193 | 159 | 352 | 19 | 213 | 31 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 236 | 214 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 255 | 276 | 531 | 89 | 238 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 275 | 251 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 267 | 307 | 573 | 108 | 248 | 26 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 115 | 107 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 140 | 193 | 159 | 352 | 19 | 213 | 31 | 4 | 167 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 236 | 214 | 40 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 187 | 255 | 276 | 531 | 89 | 238 | 26 | 7 | 230 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 275 | 251 | 50 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 71 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 199 | 267 | 307 | 573 | 108 | 248 | 26 | 5 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | LAD | 2% | 325 | 297 | 63 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 80 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 214 | 275 | 325 | 600 | 111 | 269 | 25 | 6 | 270 | 69 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +6 | +7 | 0.2 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | LAD | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 271 | 321 | 592 | 110 | 263 | 33 | 0 | 267 | 69 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | LAD | 31% | 199 | 181 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 49 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 215 | 277 | 329 | 606 | 114 | 269 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | LAD | 42% | 235 | 215 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 58 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 278 | 331 | 609 | 115 | 270 | 25 | 6 | 274 | 72 | -8 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +5 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | LAD | 48% | 261 | 238 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 64 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 216 | 278 | 330 | 608 | 114 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 274 | 72 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB MLE | LAD | 49% | 269 | 245 | 53 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 67 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 215 | 278 | 328 | 605 | 113 | 270 | 25 | 7 | 273 | 71 | -9 | +0 | -1 | +5 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | LAD | 31% | 62 | 57 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 274 | 325 | 599 | 113 | 264 | 24 | 6 | 270 | 71 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | LAD | 42% | 99 | 92 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 275 | 326 | 601 | 114 | 264 | 24 | 6 | 271 | 72 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +2 | 0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | LAD | 48% | 125 | 114 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 212 | 275 | 325 | 600 | 113 | 264 | 25 | 6 | 271 | 72 | -4 | +0 | -0 | +2 | +3 | 0.1 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB CTX | LAD | 49% | 133 | 121 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 274 | 323 | 597 | 112 | 264 | 25 | 7 | 270 | 71 | -5 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | 0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 419 | 384 | 79 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 27 | 103 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 206 | 269 | 312 | 581 | 107 | 255 | 25 | 6 | 270 | 52 | -14 | +1 | -1 | +7 | +9 | 0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 596 | 123 | 22 | 0 | 14 | 42 | 160 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 206 | 269 | 314 | 583 | 107 | 256 | 25 | 6 | 270 | 52 | -22 | +1 | -2 | +12 | +14 | 0.3 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2247 | 2032 | 391 | 71 | 8 | 37 | 146 | 599 | 45 | 11 | 3 | 192 | 262 | 290 | 552 | 97 | 251 | 27 | 6 | 245 | 52 | -39 | +1 | -2 | +20 | +24 | 0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 588 | 114 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 42 | 173 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 194 | 263 | 293 | 555 | 99 | 252 | 27 | 6 | 245 | 52 | -22 | +0 | -1 | +12 | +14 | 0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AATulsa Drillers · 275 PAwOBA .314 → .260 (−54)K% 21.1% → 25.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.09% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 25.73% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 5.59% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.21% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 19.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.92% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 4.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×0.969 | ×0.998 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.37% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 3.49% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.
Result: wOBA .314 → .260; ISO .145 → .117; BABIP .285 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Great Lakes Loons · 144 PAwOBA .315 → .247 (−68)K% 20.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.83% | ÷0.980 | ×1.270 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.81% | ÷1.023 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 8.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.39% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 1.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.15% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.961 | ×0.988 | 16.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.45% | ÷0.927 | ×0.810 | ×0.961 | ×0.988 | 6.18% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.06% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.961 | ×0.988 | 0.75% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.19% | ÷0.992 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 2.54% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 100, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.961.
Result: wOBA .315 → .247; ISO .145 → .113; BABIP .286 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AATulsa Drillers · 53 PAwOBA .208 → .182 (−26)K% 18.9% → 23.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.87% | ÷0.984 | ×1.220 | — | — | 23.40% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.55% | ÷1.061 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 5.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.968 | ×0.920 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 20.28% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.63% | ÷1.014 | ×0.840 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 2.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.137 | ×0.940 | ×1.002 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 94, 2B 103, 3B 127, K 97, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.002.
Result: wOBA .208 → .182; ISO .021 → .017; BABIP .237 → .225. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Great Lakes Loons · 115 PAwOBA .211 → .167 (−44)K% 24.3% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.35% | ÷0.990 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.24% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.09% | ÷1.037 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 4.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 1.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.78% | ÷1.004 | ×0.920 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 18.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.90% | ÷0.950 | ×0.810 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 3.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.948 | ×0.850 | ×0.965 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.036 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 101, 2B 90, 3B 90, K 98, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.965.
Result: wOBA .211 → .167; ISO .029 → .022; BABIP .244 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Great Lakes Loons · 156 PAwOBA .234 → .191 (−43)K% 23.1% → 29.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.08% | ÷1.004 | ×1.270 | — | — | 29.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.77% | ÷0.992 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.012 | 4.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.56% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.012 | 2.05% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.38% | ÷0.975 | ×0.920 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 11.68% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.011 | ×0.810 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 4.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.997 | ×0.850 | ×0.988 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.81% | ÷0.951 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 3.24% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 95, 2B 102, 3B 99, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.
Result: wOBA .234 → .191; ISO .128 → .102; BABIP .184 → .165. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Dodgers · 85 PAwOBA .309 → .212 (−97)K% 29.4% → 42.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.41% | ÷0.998 | ×1.440 | — | — | 42.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.41% | ÷0.973 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.35% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 1.67% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.40% | ÷1.029 | ×0.820 | ×0.977 | ×0.985 | 17.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.51% | ÷0.931 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×0.985 | 6.33% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.26% | ÷0.912 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 3.59% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .309 → .212; ISO .139 → .101; BABIP .326 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKACL Dodgers · 106 PAwOBA .298 → .214 (−84)K% 17.9% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.92% | ÷0.973 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.53% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.49% | ÷1.007 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 5.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.83% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.61% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | ×0.973 | ×0.995 | 18.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.942 | ×0.720 | ×0.973 | ×0.995 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.973 | ×0.995 | 0.84% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.068 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.01% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 114, 1B 99, 2B 88, 3B 130, K 95, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .298 → .214; ISO .088 → .060; BABIP .288 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 DSLDSL Dodgers Shoemaker · 148 PAwOBA .283 → .194 (−89)K% 23.6% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.65% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.85% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.89% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 11.91% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.73% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 3.34% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.25% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 13.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 2.91% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .283 → .194; ISO .035 → .021; BABIP .247 → .157. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .