Howard ReyesC DSL Tigers 1
Age 18 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION69 act + 46 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†55
AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .283 / .293
PA46
HR1
K%33
BB%9
BABIP280
ISO98
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -6.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-7BATRUN: +0.7 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.1 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +3.3 runs (Replacement-level credit)+3REPTotal WAR: -0.00-0.0WAR
0.00.91.90.10.40.81.11.31.31.41.41.41.31.1+$77M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.3$7M+$6M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$7M+$6M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.4$6M+$6M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.4$6M+$5M
2036Arb-2$4M+1.3$5M+$3M
2037Arb-3$5M+1.1$4M+$2M
Totals $15M $34M +$28M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Tigers 1 4941 2100 4254 03 4920473277 24125 518 172 -10
202517 ROKDSL Tigers 1 4938 6211 7174 03 158347342689 184250 3514 324 106
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKDET 6960 9102 7261 30 150250267517 117212 3810 245 46 -4 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
YTD18 ROKDET 6956 13203 11181 30 232368429796 196278 2616 354 129 +2 +1 +0 +1 +2 0.6
ROS18 ROKDET 0% 4641 8101 4151 10 195283293575 98280 339 257 55 -2 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
ROS18 MLBDET 0% 01 0000 000 00 275 242 43 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKDET 6961 9102 7261 30 148250262512 115206 3810 245 46 -4 +1 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
TOT18 ROKDET 115101 17203 11412 40 168263277540 109241 3610 250 50 -7 +1 +0 +2 +3 -0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBDET 34% 147131 27513 12473 20 206288328616 122285 328 270 65 -6 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.1
202820 MLBDET 48% 295263 551026 25915 41 209290331621 122288 318 278 71 -10 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
202921 MLBDET 54% 410366 781439 341257 61 213292342634 128289 308 283 75 -12 +1 +0 +7 +12 0.8
203022 MLBDET 57% 492439 9317311 411489 71 212292339632 128290 308 287 78 -12 +1 +0 +9 +14 1.1
203123 MLBDET 58% 520462 9918312 441569 72 214295344639 130291 308 289 79 -12 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203224 MLBDET 57% 520462 9918312 441569 72 214295344639 130292 308 290 80 -12 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.3
203325 MLBDET 57% 520461 9918312 4415510 72 215297345642 130292 308 291 81 -11 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203426 MLBDET 57% 520461 10018313 4415510 72 217299354653 137291 308 291 81 -11 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203527 MLBDET 55% 520460 9917313 4515610 72 215299350649 135291 309 292 81 -11 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.4
203628 MLBDET 59% 520460 9817312 4515610 71 213297341638 128291 309 290 80 -11 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.3
203729 MLBDET 61% 520460 9717312 461589 61 211295339634 128290 309 289 79 -12 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.1
203830 MLBDET 62% 520460 9717312 461599 61 211295339634 128288 319 286 77 -14 +1 -2 +9 +15 0.9
203931 MLBDET 63% 504446 9216311 441559 51 206291330620 123286 319 282 74 -15 +1 -3 +9 +14 0.6
202719 MLBDET 34% 5146 9201 4161 10 196275304579 109281 318 254 52 -3 +0 +0 +1 +1 -0.0
202820 MLBDET 48% 143127 27513 12443 20 213296339634 126283 318 261 58 -7 +0 +0 +3 +4 0.0
202921 MLBDET 54% 222197 41715 19674 31 208291330621 122284 309 266 61 -10 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.1
203022 MLBDET 57% 278248 52926 23845 41 210290335625 125285 308 269 64 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.2
203123 MLBDET 58% 299267 571027 25905 41 213293345637 131286 308 271 65 -12 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203224 MLBDET 57% 296264 561027 25895 41 212293345637 133287 308 272 66 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203325 MLBDET 57% 295263 561027 25885 41 213294346640 133287 308 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203426 MLBDET 57% 294262 561027 25885 41 214295347642 134287 309 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203527 MLBDET 55% 289257 54927 25875 41 210293342635 132286 309 273 67 -11 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.3
203628 MLBDET 59% 307271 571027 27926 41 210296339636 129286 309 272 67 -12 +0 -0 +5 +9 0.3
203729 MLBDET 61% 317280 581027 28966 41 207293332625 125285 309 271 65 -12 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.2
203830 MLBDET 62% 324287 591027 28996 41 206290328617 122284 319 268 63 -13 +0 -1 +6 +9 0.1
203931 MLBDET 63% 318281 581027 28986 31 206292331623 125281 319 264 60 -14 +0 -2 +6 +9 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 34333051 6401122278 294103862 4511 210292338630 128288 309 270 65 -138 +5 -4 +61 +97 2.2
/ 162G 650578 12121415 5619712 92 209293337630 128287 309 270 65 -26 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.4
Career 61035413 114320436139 5221857114 7920 211294339633 128291 309 286 77 -157 +8 -7 +109 +173 12.8
/ 162G 650577 12222415 5619812 82 211295341636 130291 309 286 77 -17 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Tigers 1 4938 6211 7174 03 158347342689 184250 3514 324 106 +0 -1 +1 0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA
113,94714453241275417+70+5319.118.9
/162664249+11.9+8.83.2pk7: 19
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA
123,7531342235284407+60+3015.816.0
/162664240+10.7+5.32.8pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,4898044213292342+62+327.76.5
/162664158+11.9+6.11.5pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Howard Reyes (OGILVIE) 18 168/263/277 109241 34 36% 10% 50 -0.0
Yasmil Bucce
2023 · A
18 41 40→45 49→30 44 198/265/288 89272 75 29% 7% 53 -1.5 202/288/300 98309 84 34% 10% 66 -0.6 205/306/33412832513237%11%79+0.2
Leopoldo Correa
2010 · A
18 41 42→45 50→30 48 197/280/305 107291 95 33% 10% 63 -0.8 210/272/297 87263 63 21% 7% 57 -1.2 212/269/300892618021%6%53-0.5
Robert Lopez
2022 · A
18 38 39→45 48→45 42 181/262/270 89284 66 36% 8% 48 -1.9 190/252/274 84293 74 35% 7% 43 -2.2 183/243/267842779335%7%34-0.9
Carlos Rodriguez
2022 · A
19 39 40→45 46→45 47 181/281/275 94294 76 37% 11% 57 -1.2 183/259/259 76293 56 36% 9% 43 -2.2 170/253/254842537233%9%37-1.0
Juan Villavicencio
2023 · A
18 43 40→50 55 41 205/263/297 92301 714 33% 7% 53 -1.5 187/262/281 94277 712 32% 8% 50 -1.8 192/266/303111286101834%8%55-0.5
Samuel Basallo
2022 · A
17 39→48 43→55 49→45 43 197/258/309 111269 115 30% 7% 55 -1.4 225/279/360 135298 166 29% 6% 76 +0.1 230/287/40617628623628%7%89+0.8
Carlos Jimenez
2022 · A
19 38→43 42→55 53→50 44 188/268/290 102278 1011 34% 8% 55 -1.4 201/284/321 120321 1116 37% 9% 69 -0.4 229/308/399169310211831%9%95+0.9
Victor Arias
2022 · A
18 43→45 38→45 46→50 44 201/275/277 76311 69 35% 9% 54 -1.4 211/298/310 99331 714 35% 9% 72 -0.2 226/292/355129316111430%7%77+0.1
Daniel Vellojin
2019 · A
19 39 39→45 47→45 48 189/268/273 83260 66 28% 9% 50 -1.7 214/303/312 98272 78 22% 10% 76 +0.0 196/299/31111625812627%12%71-0.1
Shed Long Jr.
2014 · A
18 44→47 38→50 46→50 41 211/266/287 76294 66 29% 6% 52 -1.6 206/257/295 89285 78 29% 6% 50 -1.7 233/295/385151314171130%7%87+0.6
Ravel Santana
2010 · A
18 39 42→50 48→55 44 192/269/294 102269 109 31% 8% 56 -1.3 219/288/360 141283 1615 27% 8% 81 +0.4 220/291/383163271202026%8%85+0.3
Angel Ortiz
2022 · A
19 41 41→50 46→45 44 205/260/295 90268 99 27% 7% 51 -1.7 207/258/303 96281 77 27% 6% 53 -1.5 221/277/35313228512926%6%72-0.1
Carter Jensen
2023 · A
20 35→45 42→55 45→50 44 176/254/278 102265 97 35% 9% 46 -2.0 196/287/331 135277 149 32% 11% 73 -0.1 224/298/39617229121829%9%92+0.9
Jesus Galiz
2023 · A
19 38 43→45 49→40 40 193/254/304 111268 105 31% 6% 53 -1.5 201/260/303 102309 93 36% 6% 54 -1.4 189/250/287982958237%6%45-1.0
Randel Alcantara
2015 · A
18 40 43→45 41→45 42 200/268/307 107273 114 30% 7% 59 -1.1 200/265/309 109265 86 26% 6% 58 -1.2 186/252/3051192418625%5%48-0.6
Manuel Pena
2022 · A
18 41→43 40→50 50 41 202/257/292 90282 815 30% 7% 50 -1.8 197/245/281 84297 69 33% 6% 41 -2.3 216/250/34512928916631%4%58-0.9
Omar Alfonzo
2022 · A
18 42→40 37→45 48→40 49 193/291/265 72306 54 35% 11% 59 -1.1 195/283/284 89295 84 33% 10% 59 -1.1 200/285/30710731713238%10%64-0.5
Rodolfo Castro
2018 · A
19 41→40 42→55 47→50 39 203/257/313 110287 85 31% 6% 55 -1.4 192/232/317 125275 125 34% 4% 45 -2.1 205/272/358153266191130%7%72-0.2
Bo Naylor
2019 · A
19 44 39→55 52→50 46 210/278/299 89296 69 30% 8% 60 -1.0 189/246/313 124271 118 33% 7% 50 -1.7 218/311/403185271231227%11%99+1.3
Victor Heredia
2018 · A
18 45 38→50 49→30 42 211/275/293 82307 66 31% 7% 57 -1.2 221/268/323 102290 94 26% 5% 62 -0.9 221/264/32610528110125%4%63-0.3