Howard Reyes

C DSL Tigers 1

Age 19 L/R 5'10" / 185 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1308ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Tigers 1	49	.158/.347/.342	1	0	11	—	.075/.245/.150
2026	18	ROKDSL Tigers 1	123	.229/.393/.396	4	5	40	—	.126/.262/.204
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBDET	233	.201/.284/.289	2	4	65	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBDET	41	.202/.287/.296	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBDET	104	.206/.291/.307	1	2	74	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%78

ISO72

BB%67

wOBA57

wRC+39

Speed37

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 19) · Juan Villavicencio (age 19) · Yasmil Bucce (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 64 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.199 / .282 / .286

PA64

HR1

K%30

BB%9

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$20M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	38	6	2	1	1	7	17	4	0	3	158	347	342	689	184	250	35	14	324	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	96	22	4	0	4	22	31	4	5	1	229	393	396	789	167	290	25	18	361	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	147	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	178	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	158	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	38	6	2	1	1	7	17	4	0	3	158	347	342	689	184	250	35	14	324	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	172	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	96	22	4	0	4	22	31	4	5	1	229	393	396	789	167	290	25	18	361	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	147	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	178	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	49	40	3	1	1	0	5	21	4	0	3	75	245	150	395	75	147	43	10	185	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	123	103	13	2	0	2	15	38	4	5	1	126	262	204	466	78	178	31	12	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	DET	0%	233	207	41	7	2	2	20	70	4	4	1	201	284	289	573	88	287	30	9	264	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	DET	34%	119	106	22	4	1	2	10	35	2	2	1	206	290	302	592	96	289	29	8	272	70	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	DET	48%	215	190	40	7	2	3	19	63	4	4	1	210	294	314	608	104	290	29	9	278	74	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	DET	54%	328	291	62	11	2	6	28	94	6	7	2	213	297	324	621	111	292	29	9	283	78	-9	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	DET	57%	408	363	78	14	3	7	35	115	7	8	3	217	300	333	633	117	292	28	9	287	81	-9	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	445	395	86	15	3	9	39	124	8	9	3	219	302	341	643	121	293	28	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	445	395	86	15	3	9	39	124	8	9	3	220	302	343	646	123	293	28	9	292	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	DET	56%	445	395	86	15	3	9	39	124	8	9	3	220	303	345	647	125	293	28	9	293	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	445	395	86	15	3	9	39	125	8	9	3	219	302	342	644	123	293	28	9	291	83	-9	+1	+0	+8	+10	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	445	395	86	15	3	9	39	126	8	9	3	217	299	337	637	120	291	28	9	289	82	-10	+1	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	DET	58%	445	395	85	15	3	8	39	127	8	8	4	214	297	331	627	116	290	29	9	285	79	-11	+0	-1	+8	+10	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	DET	55%	445	397	84	15	3	8	38	129	7	8	4	211	293	323	616	111	288	29	9	280	76	-13	+0	-2	+8	+10	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	DET	58%	426	380	78	14	2	7	36	125	7	7	5	207	288	313	601	106	284	29	8	274	72	-14	-1	-3	+8	+9	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	DET	34%	41	36	7	1	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	202	287	296	583	94	285	29	10	268	70	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	DET	48%	104	92	18	3	1	1	9	30	2	2	1	206	291	307	598	101	286	29	9	274	74	-3	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	DET	54%	178	158	33	6	1	3	15	51	3	4	1	210	294	317	611	107	287	29	8	279	78	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	DET	57%	231	205	44	8	2	4	20	65	4	5	2	213	296	326	622	113	288	28	9	283	81	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	252	223	49	9	2	5	22	70	5	5	2	216	299	333	631	117	289	28	9	287	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	251	223	49	9	2	5	22	70	4	5	2	216	299	335	634	119	289	28	9	288	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	DET	56%	251	223	48	8	2	5	22	70	4	5	2	216	299	337	636	121	288	28	9	288	84	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	247	219	47	8	2	5	22	69	4	5	2	215	298	334	632	119	288	28	9	287	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	244	217	47	8	2	5	21	69	4	5	2	213	296	329	626	116	287	28	9	284	82	-5	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	DET	58%	258	230	49	8	2	5	22	74	4	5	2	211	293	323	617	112	285	29	9	281	79	-6	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	DET	55%	246	219	45	8	1	4	21	71	4	5	2	208	290	315	605	108	283	29	9	276	76	-7	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	DET	58%	249	222	45	8	1	4	21	73	4	4	3	204	285	306	591	102	280	29	8	270	72	-8	-0	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2552	2267	481	84	18	47	221	724	43	51	21	212	294	327	622	115	288	28	9	282	78	-61	+2	-4	+46	+55	3.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	577	123	21	5	12	56	184	11	13	5	213	295	329	624	116	289	28	9	282	78	-16	+0	-1	+12	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	4847	4298	906	160	32	89	425	1389	90	95	39	211	295	325	620	114	287	29	9	283	78	-114	+4	-7	+83	+101	6.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	576	121	21	4	12	57	186	12	13	5	210	294	323	617	113	286	29	9	283	78	-16	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 123 PAwOBA .356 → .227 (−129)K% 25.2% → 30.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	25.20%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	30.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.89%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	12.46%
HBP% /PA	3.25%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	2.27%
Singles /BIP	21.54%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.960	×0.995	13.99%
Doubles /BIP	6.15%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.960	×0.995	3.53%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.960	×0.995	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	6.15%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	2.88%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.

Result: wOBA .356 → .227; ISO .167 → .085; BABIP .290 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Tigers 1 · 49 PAwOBA .317 → .185 (−132)K% 34.7% → 42.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	34.69%	÷0.987	×1.220	—	—	42.90%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.29%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.008	9.82%
HBP% /PA	8.16%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	5.76%
Singles /BIP	9.52%	÷1.045	×0.680	—	×1.008	6.24%
Doubles /BIP	9.52%	÷0.999	×0.600	—	×1.008	5.76%
Triples /BIP	4.76%	÷1.102	×0.600	—	×1.008	2.61%
Home runs /BIP	4.76%	÷3.212	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.70%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 542, 1B 109, 2B 100, 3B 120, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).

Result: wOBA .317 → .185; ISO .184 → .070; BABIP .250 → .147. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	3.9	2,617	49	51	216	295	333	+47	+28	5.8	5.2
/162	664	12	13	+11.9	+7.1	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Howard Reyes (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	199/282/286	87	287	1	1	30%	9%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Yasmil Bucce 2024 · A	19	41	38→55	49→40	44	194/265/274	79	279	5	4	30%	8%	55	-2.0	199/299/306	107	308	10	4	35%	11%	76	-0.4	192/301/328	137	300	16	2	37%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→43	39→55	47→45	40	170/236/260	90	270	6	8	37%	7%	40	-3.0	210/275/349	139	306	13	8	34%	8%	76	-0.4	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Carlos Rodriguez 2023 · A	20	37	39→45	47→45	49	178/272/261	83	262	6	6	32%	10%	55	-1.9	190/264/264	74	295	5	6	34%	9%	52	-2.2	178/256/266	88	258	7	2	31%	9%	47	-1.0
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Manuel Pena 2023 · A	19	41→50	38→50	47→50	42	198/255/277	79	286	6	10	32%	7%	51	-2.3	213/257/304	91	311	6	8	32%	5%	57	-1.8	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Ryan Mount 2006 · A	19	42	38→50	50	42	194/263/278	84	305	5	8	35%	8%	55	-2.0	216/268/330	114	295	12	11	29%	6%	68	-1.0	242/286/380	138	297	15	8	23%	5%	85	+0.1
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Hoy Park 2016 · A	20	40→50	41→45	47→55	46	197/270/297	100	265	8	11	28%	8%	62	-1.4	207/284/295	88	286	5	16	27%	9%	67	-1.1	234/324/332	98	306	8	17	24%	11%	88	+0.3
✕Darrien Miller 2021 · A	20	42	36→45	47→45	43	198/274/269	70	273	3	8	27%	6%	57	-1.8	204/306/321	117	276	13	6	29%	9%	82	+0.0	179/320/285	107	245	9	4	27%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2

Howard Reyes

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps