Daniel Garcia — OGILVIE

Daniel Garcia P DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 LHP 6'0" / 170 lbs ROK peak 0.2 · 2027

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 10 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 108117vR 125

ERA4.82

FIP4.82

K%20.7%

BB%11.6%

K-BB%9.0%

ROS IP11

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 10 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	7	5	18	76	13	8	0	71%	2.6	11.6%	13.2%	-1.5%	0.0%	3.00	3.78	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	7	5	18	76	13	8	0	71%	2.6	11.6%	13.2%	-1.5%	0.0%	3.00	3.78	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	7	5	18	76	13	8	0	71%	2.6	17.1%	10.5%	6.6%	0.0%	3.00	2.99	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	7	7	18	77	11	12	1	100%	2.6	9.7%	19.5%	-9.8%	1.8%	3.50	5.75	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	7	7	18	77	11	12	1	100%	2.6	9.7%	19.5%	-9.8%	1.8%	3.50	5.75	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	7	7	18	77	11	12	1	100%	2.6	14.3%	15.6%	-1.3%	1.3%	3.50	4.58	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	4	4	20	84	18	9	2	100%	5.0	21.3%	10.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.67	4.61	+0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	—	2	2	10	42	9	5	1	100%	5.0	21.3%	10.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.67	4.61	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		2	2	10	42	9	4	1	100%	4.9	21.4%	10.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.67	4.23	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		46	46	200	844	183	81	20	100%	4.3	21.4%	10.7%	10.7%	2.9%	4.67	4.23	+1.6
Career	—	MLE		14	12	36	153	16	25	1	86%	2.6	10.7%	16.3%	-5.7%	0.9%	3.25	4.77	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		78	67	200	850	91	139	8	86%	2.6	10.7%	16.3%	-5.7%	0.9%	3.25	4.77	+0.7

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Daniel Garcia (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.82	20.7%	11.6%	2.9%	—	4.61	21.3%	10.7%	20	-0.21	—	—	—
Robinson Ortiz L 2018 · 3.85 FIP	18	SP-	3.85	21.0%	11.0%	2.1%	.312	5.36	15.2%	0.6%	98	+1.51	2.29	275	88
Jagger Haynes L 2023 · 4.25 FIP	20	SP	4.25	19.7%	13.0%	2.1%	.303	5.02	17.7%	3.7%	343	+0.77	4.25	368	84
Ethan Lindow L 2017 · 4.33 FIP	18	SP	4.33	19.1%	12.4%	2.3%	.329	2.95	19.8%	14.0%	111	-1.38	2.95	435	81
Jeremy Gonzalez L 2023 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	19.6%	10.6%	2.2%	.290	4.53	14.4%	-1.1%	83	+0.51	3.39	148	80
Julio Mendez L 2022 · 3.83 FIP	17	SP	3.83	23.8%	15.8%	1.3%	.302	4.61	16.3%	3.1%	155	+0.78	3.83	290	78
Brady Aiken L 2016 · 3.79 FIP	19	SP	3.79	20.0%	13.7%	1.2%	.443	5.96	11.0%	-8.9%	132	+2.17	3.79	156	77
Ryan Rolison L 2018 · 3.88 FIP	21	SP	3.88	21.2%	9.2%	2.6%	.200	4.41	19.1%	11.5%	191	+0.53	3.81	386	75
Francisco Morao L 2023 · 4.30 FIP	17	SP	4.30	20.3%	15.1%	1.8%	.303	4.59	18.4%	1.5%	115	+0.29	4.00	154	75
Luke Little L 2021 · 4.02 FIP	20	SP-	4.02	25.8%	12.5%	2.8%	.200	2.91	27.9%	12.2%	155	-1.11	2.76	276	75
Blake Townsend L 2021 · 3.78 FIP	20	SP-	3.78	26.7%	11.2%	2.8%	.286	4.01	18.5%	4.8%	96	+0.23	3.34	305	75
Deyer Zapata L 2022 · 4.25 FIP	18	SP	4.25	18.8%	14.3%	1.7%	.309	5.18	17.5%	4.0%	50	+0.93	3.77	130	74
Brock Selvidge L 2022 · 3.70 FIP	19	SP-	3.70	19.9%	11.7%	1.5%	.321	3.79	17.8%	7.6%	287	+0.09	3.07	330	74
Elier Morillo L 2023 · 4.12 FIP	17	SP-	4.12	18.1%	12.7%	1.7%	.418	4.31	28.7%	8.3%	89	+0.19	2.67	115	74
Dalton Lehnen L 2017 · 3.95 FIP	21	SP	3.95	19.8%	7.6%	2.8%	.398	4.49	15.8%	2.9%	189	+0.54	3.95	222	73
Brayan Mendoza L 2022 · 5.29 FIP	18	SP-	5.29	17.9%	15.0%	3.3%	.273	3.89	17.1%	6.3%	221	-1.40	3.59	398	73
Jackson Humphries L 2023 · 4.48 FIP	19	SP	4.48	19.8%	14.0%	2.3%	.302	5.94	20.8%	1.5%	248	+1.46	4.48	305	72
Braian Salazar L 2022 · 5.94 FIP	17	SP	5.94	13.8%	10.6%	4.9%	.250	4.05	21.9%	2.8%	89	-1.89	3.58	158	72
Jesus Gomez L 2019 · 5.12 FIP	18	SP	5.12	19.3%	12.4%	3.8%	.275	4.40	24.3%	9.8%	23	-0.72	4.22	121	71
Wilkin Paredes L 2023 · 4.11 FIP	19	SP	4.11	16.2%	9.1%	2.2%	.353	4.96	12.1%	3.3%	273	+0.85	4.11	319	71
Juan Rojas L 2022 · 3.66 FIP	18	SP-	3.66	23.0%	7.6%	2.8%	.279	4.29	15.9%	2.4%	164	+0.63	2.74	282	70