Ricardo Chirinos

C DSL Orioles Orange

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#731ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Orioles B…	128	.178/.341/.287	2	1	26	—	.113/.254/.170
2026	18	ROKDSL Orioles O…	125	.151/.407/.186	1	0	35	—	.106/.317/.138
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBBAL	235	.227/.317/.312	2	3	82	0.2
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBBAL	41	.234/.324/.330	1	1	86	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBBAL	105	.237/.326/.340	2	2	89	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Chase%86

BB%84

K%77

Whiff%64

Z-Con%62

wOBA36

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 19) · Michael Arroyo (age 19) · Nacho Alvarez Jr. (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 65 proj PA

wRC+†82

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .314 / .309

PA65

HR1

K%24

BB%9

ISO85

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$41M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE69

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	101	18	5	0	2	18	15	7	1	0	178	341	287	628	109	186	12	14	299	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Orioles Orange	—	125	86	13	0	0	1	26	20	11	0	0	151	407	186	593	35	179	16	21	313	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	106	12	3	0	1	13	19	7	1	0	113	254	170	424	57	119	15	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	125	94	10	0	0	1	18	24	11	0	0	106	317	138	455	32	116	19	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	106	12	3	0	1	13	19	7	1	0	113	254	170	424	57	125	15	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	101	18	5	0	2	18	15	7	1	0	178	341	287	628	109	186	12	14	299	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	125	94	10	0	0	1	18	24	11	0	0	106	317	138	455	32	127	19	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Orioles Orange	—	125	86	13	0	0	1	26	20	11	0	0	151	407	186	593	35	179	16	21	313	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	107	12	3	0	1	13	19	7	1	0	112	254	168	422	56	119	15	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	125	95	10	0	0	1	18	24	11	0	0	105	317	137	454	32	116	19	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Black	—	128	107	12	3	0	1	13	19	7	1	0	112	254	168	422	56	119	15	10	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Orioles Orange	—	125	95	10	0	0	1	18	24	11	0	0	105	317	137	454	32	116	19	14	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BAL	0%	235	206	47	8	2	2	21	56	6	3	1	227	317	312	629	85	297	24	9	290	82	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BAL	34%	120	105	24	4	1	1	11	28	3	2	1	230	321	324	644	93	299	23	9	296	86	-2	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	BAL	48%	217	190	44	7	1	3	20	51	5	4	2	233	323	334	657	100	299	24	9	300	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	22	MLB MLE	BAL	54%	328	287	67	11	2	5	30	76	8	6	3	236	325	342	667	106	300	23	9	304	92	-3	+0	+0	+6	+7	1.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	408	358	85	14	3	7	37	94	10	7	3	237	326	349	674	111	300	23	9	307	94	-3	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.4
2032	24	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	445	391	94	16	3	8	41	102	10	8	4	239	326	354	681	115	301	23	9	309	95	-3	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2033	25	MLB MLE	BAL	57%	445	391	94	16	3	8	41	102	10	8	4	239	327	355	682	116	301	23	9	310	96	-2	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2034	26	MLB MLE	BAL	56%	445	391	94	16	3	8	41	102	10	8	4	239	327	355	682	116	300	23	9	310	96	-2	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.6
2035	27	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	445	391	93	15	3	8	41	103	10	8	4	238	326	353	678	115	300	23	9	308	95	-3	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.5
2036	28	MLB MLE	BAL	55%	445	391	93	15	3	8	41	104	10	7	4	236	324	348	672	112	299	23	9	305	93	-4	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.3
2037	29	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	445	391	92	15	3	7	41	105	10	6	4	234	321	341	662	108	298	24	9	302	90	-5	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.1
2038	30	MLB MLE	BAL	53%	445	392	90	15	2	7	40	106	10	6	5	231	317	333	651	103	296	24	9	297	87	-7	-1	-2	+8	+10	0.8
2039	31	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	426	376	85	14	2	6	38	103	9	5	7	227	313	323	636	97	293	24	9	291	83	-8	-2	-3	+8	+9	0.4
2040	32	MLB MLE	BAL	52%	407	360	79	12	2	5	36	101	8	4	13	221	307	311	618	90	290	25	9	284	78	-11	-4	-4	+7	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	BAL	34%	41	36	8	1	0	1	4	10	1	1	0	234	324	330	653	96	303	24	10	299	86	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	BAL	48%	105	91	23	4	1	2	10	25	3	2	1	237	326	340	666	104	303	24	10	304	89	-1	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.3
2030	22	MLB CTX	BAL	54%	178	156	37	6	1	3	16	41	4	3	1	239	328	349	677	110	304	23	9	308	92	-2	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.6
2031	23	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	231	203	49	8	2	4	21	53	5	4	2	241	329	356	685	115	304	23	9	311	94	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2032	24	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	252	221	54	9	2	5	23	58	6	4	2	243	330	362	691	119	305	23	9	313	95	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2033	25	MLB CTX	BAL	57%	251	220	54	9	2	5	23	58	6	4	2	243	330	363	693	120	305	23	9	314	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2034	26	MLB CTX	BAL	56%	251	220	54	9	2	5	23	58	6	4	2	243	330	363	693	120	305	23	9	314	96	-1	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.9
2035	27	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	247	216	53	9	2	5	23	57	6	4	2	242	329	360	689	119	304	23	9	312	95	-2	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	BAL	55%	244	215	51	9	1	4	22	57	5	4	2	240	327	355	682	115	303	23	9	310	93	-2	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	238	209	49	8	1	4	22	56	5	3	2	237	324	349	673	111	302	24	9	306	90	-3	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	BAL	53%	234	206	48	8	1	4	21	56	5	3	3	234	321	340	661	106	300	24	9	301	87	-4	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	222	195	44	7	1	3	20	54	5	3	4	230	316	330	646	100	297	24	9	295	83	-4	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	BAL	52%	211	186	42	7	1	3	19	52	4	2	7	225	310	317	627	93	293	25	9	287	78	-5	-2	-2	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2705	2374	566	94	17	48	247	635	61	41	30	238	326	353	679	115	304	23	9	307	88	-29	-4	-6	+48	+59	7.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	570	137	23	4	12	59	153	15	10	7	240	328	358	686	118	306	24	9	307	88	-7	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	5339	4671	1069	175	31	84	495	1235	133	81	58	229	320	334	654	105	291	23	9	298	88	-57	-7	-10	+91	+110	12.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	130	21	4	10	60	150	16	10	7	228	319	332	651	104	291	23	9	298	88	-7	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.6

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Orioles Orange · 125 PAwOBA .313 → .220 (−92)K% 16.0% → 19.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.00%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	19.52%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	20.80%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	14.67%
HBP% /PA	8.80%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	6.21%
Singles /BIP	18.18%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.950	×1.008	11.83%
Doubles /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.950	×1.008	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.52%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	0.72%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .313 → .220; ISO .035 → .019; BABIP .179 → .116. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Orioles Black · 128 PAwOBA .297 → .206 (−91)K% 11.7% → 14.8%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.72%	÷0.968	×1.220	—	—	14.77%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	14.06%	÷0.972	×0.700	—	×1.022	10.36%
HBP% /PA	5.47%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	3.91%
Singles /BIP	12.79%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.971	×1.022	8.64%
Doubles /BIP	5.81%	÷1.043	×0.600	×0.971	×1.022	3.32%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.964	×0.600	×0.971	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	2.33%	÷0.823	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.36%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 65, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 93, K 94, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.971.

Result: wOBA .297 → .206; ISO .109 → .067; BABIP .186 → .119. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Omar Narváezlast yr '24 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,298 PA	3.5	2,298	53	0	251	334	374	+41	+15	12.6	12.9
/162	664	15	0	+11.9	+4.3	3.6	pk7: 13
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Mike Fitzgerald'83-'92 * career totals — 9 seasons, 2,667 PA	4.0	2,667	48	31	234*	320*	372*	+43	-1	9.5	9.3
/162	664	12	8	+10.8	-0.3	2.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.2	2,771	45	43	235	319	343	+49	+32	9.3	8.0
/162	664	11	10	+11.9	+7.7	2.2	pk7: 7
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Jerry May'64-'73 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,716 PA	2.6	1,716	15	1	236*	314*	355*	+31	+0	5.6	5.6
/162	664	6	0	+11.8	+0.0	2.2	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ricardo Chirinos (OGILVIE)	19	60→65	33→38	43→48	69	225/314/309	84	297	1	1	24%	9%	82	+0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
●Jackson Holliday 2023 · A	19	51→61	41→50	49→50	60	240/338/346	106	301	8	10	21%	13%	98	+1.2	254/339/391	137	339	12	14	26%	11%	109	+2.0	249/334/388	139	323	13	15	25%	11%	105	+1.7
✕Alexander Albertus 2024 · A	19	49	41→45	47→45	61	232/339/328	96	275	9	11	18%	13%	95	+1.0	228/315/321	93	292	7	9	22%	10%	84	+0.2	225/311/319	93	294	7	6	24%	10%	80	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	47→57	41→40	48→50	48	226/294/329	103	270	7	6	19%	7%	78	-0.3	206/264/285	79	270	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Josh Morgan 2015 · A	19	52→57	35→45	45→40	51	240/324/298	58	290	2	6	17%	8%	82	+0.0	253/313/325	72	305	5	5	17%	6%	83	+0.1	256/310/332	76	305	6	4	17%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Demetrio Crisantes 2024 · A	19	48→58	38→50	46→55	43	227/284/313	85	310	5	7	27%	6%	70	-0.9	250/317/366	116	315	9	13	22%	8%	95	+0.9	258/328/389	130	318	10	12	21%	8%	102	+0.8
✕Andy Paz 2012 · A	19	47	36→40	44→45	52	220/303/284	64	270	3	8	18%	9%	72	-0.7	199/266/269	70	259	4	5	23%	8%	53	-2.1	215/270/283	69	275	5	4	23%	7%	55	-0.5
✕Luis Santana 2019 · A	20	52	39→45	50	52	244/318/335	91	274	6	10	13%	7%	88	+0.5	225/293/315	90	280	7	8	21%	7%	74	-0.5	214/269/345	131	274	15	8	27%	5%	69	-0.5
✕Max Moroff 2013 · A	20	51→60	39→50	48→50	52	239/316/323	85	302	6	12	22%	10%	84	+0.2	217/281/304	87	307	5	10	29%	8%	67	-1.1	242/324/370	128	322	13	10	27%	10%	96	+0.8
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Aidan Miller 2024 · A	20	49→50	38→50	52→65	47	228/303/310	83	316	4	12	27%	8%	77	-0.3	227/310/359	132	312	11	28	28%	9%	91	+0.7	224/315/364	140	306	12	36	28%	10%	91	+0.5
✕Alejo Lopez 2016 · A	20	51→61	38→40	46→55	51	239/308/319	80	277	4	9	15%	7%	80	-0.1	229/282/302	73	267	4	10	15%	6%	66	-1.1	269/335/357	88	309	5	12	14%	8%	96	+0.8
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
●Chance Sisco 2014 · A	19	54→64	38→50	47→40	47	247/319/327	80	341	5	6	27%	8%	86	+0.3	281/335/373	92	363	6	4	22%	7%	102	+1.5	296/352/391	94	378	6	3	22%	7%	110	+1.5
●Franklin Arias 2024 · A	18	48→58	37→50	46→50	52	223/290/295	72	258	3	6	15%	8%	68	-1.0	246/303/362	116	293	11	14	19%	7%	88	+0.5	260/316/394	134	300	15	13	18%	6%	99	+1.0

Ricardo Chirinos

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps