Ricardo ChirinosC DSL Orioles Orange
Age 18 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK HR +8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION84 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.204 / .304 / .306
PA56
HR1
K%25
BB%9
BABIP265
ISO102
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -13.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-13BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.5 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.0 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.01.12.20.30.71.11.51.61.61.71.71.71.51.4+$101M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 41
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT56
scouting grade only
POWER41
scouting grade only
EYE61
scouting grade only
SPEED48
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.6$8M+$8M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.7$8M+$8M
2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+1.7$7M+$7M
2035Arb-1$3M+1.7$7M+$6M
2036Arb-2$5M+1.5$6M+$4M
2037Arb-3$6M+1.4$5M+$3M
Totals $18M $41M +$35M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Black 128107 14302 12237 10 131262215477 84143 189 228 33
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Black 128101 18502 18157 10 178341287628 109186 1214 299 87
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKBAL 8467 5000 9236 00 7524475319 109 2711 169 -12 -11 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.7
YTD18 ROKBAL 8461 6000 15166 00 9832998428 128 1918 242 43 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
ROS18 ROKBAL 0% 5649 10201 5142 10 204304306610 102263 259 268 63 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
ROS18 MLBBAL 0% 01 0000 000 00 267 250 49 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKBAL 8468 5000 9236 00 7424474317 106 2711 169 -12 -11 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.7
TOT18 ROKBAL 140116 15201 14378 10 129268172441 43175 2610 209 18 -13 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBBAL 34% 198173 36613 18505 31 208301306607 98269 259 278 71 -6 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.3
202820 MLBBAL 48% 336294 631126 30839 52 214306327633 112272 259 286 77 -9 +0 +0 +6 +10 0.7
202921 MLBBAL 54% 440386 821428 4010811 73 212304321626 109274 259 291 81 -10 +0 +0 +8 +12 1.1
203022 MLBBAL 57% 514450 9917310 4612513 93 220310338648 118276 249 294 83 -10 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.5
203123 MLBBAL 58% 520455 10017310 4712613 93 220311336647 116277 249 295 84 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203224 MLBBAL 57% 520454 10017310 4712514 93 220313337650 117277 249 297 85 -9 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.6
203325 MLBBAL 57% 520454 10017310 4712514 93 220313337650 117277 249 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203426 MLBBAL 57% 520453 10117311 4812514 93 223317347663 124277 249 297 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203527 MLBBAL 55% 520453 10117311 4812514 93 223317347663 124277 249 298 86 -8 +1 +0 +9 +15 1.7
203628 MLBBAL 55% 520452 9917310 4912614 93 219315336651 117276 249 297 85 -9 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.5
203729 MLBBAL 53% 520452 9917310 4912714 93 219315336651 117276 249 295 84 -10 +1 -1 +9 +15 1.4
203830 MLBBAL 53% 520453 9716210 4912813 93 214309325633 110274 259 292 82 -11 +1 -2 +9 +15 1.2
203931 MLBBAL 57% 504439 921529 4712613 83 210305314619 105272 259 288 78 -12 +0 -3 +9 +14 0.9
204032 MLBBAL 54% 489428 881428 4612412 73 206300304604 98269 259 283 74 -14 +0 -4 +9 +14 0.5
202719 MLBBAL 34% 6860 12201 6172 10 200294283577 83273 259 262 59 -3 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.0
202820 MLBBAL 48% 163143 31513 15404 31 217309329637 112276 259 270 65 -6 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
202921 MLBBAL 54% 239209 46815 22586 41 220312340652 120278 249 275 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203022 MLBBAL 57% 291255 571026 26718 52 224315349664 125280 249 278 71 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.4
203123 MLBBAL 58% 299262 581026 27728 52 221313344657 122281 249 280 73 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203224 MLBBAL 57% 296259 581026 27718 52 224316347664 124281 249 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203325 MLBBAL 57% 295258 581026 27718 52 225317349666 124281 249 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203426 MLBBAL 57% 294257 581026 27718 52 226318350669 125281 249 282 74 -9 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203527 MLBBAL 55% 289252 561016 27708 52 222317341658 119281 249 282 74 -8 +0 +0 +5 +8 0.5
203628 MLBBAL 55% 286250 561016 27697 52 224317344661 120280 249 281 73 -9 +0 -0 +5 +8 0.5
203729 MLBBAL 53% 278243 53916 26687 52 218312337649 119280 249 279 72 -9 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.4
203830 MLBBAL 53% 274239 52915 26687 42 218312326639 109278 259 277 70 -9 +0 -1 +5 +8 0.2
203931 MLBBAL 57% 285249 53915 27717 52 213307317625 104276 259 273 67 -11 +0 -2 +5 +8 0.1
204032 MLBBAL 54% 266232 49815 25687 41 211307319626 108273 269 267 63 -11 +0 -2 +5 +8 -0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career 36233169 6971201872 33588595 6123 220313337651 117281 249 278 71 -120 +3 -6 +65 +103 4.6
/ 162G 650569 12522313 6015917 114 220313337650 118281 249 278 71 -21 +1 -1 +12 +18 0.8
Career 68255952 128121735129 6281660182 11339 215309328638 113274 249 291 81 -146 +7 -10 +122 +193 17.0
/ 162G 650567 12221312 6015817 114 215309326635 111274 249 291 81 -14 +1 -1 +12 +18 1.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL Orioles Black 128101 18502 18157 10 178341287628 109186 1214 299 87 -2 +0 +4 0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22
career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA
123,381976227312387+60+7722.521.6
/162664191+11.9+15.14.4pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24
career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA
113,088538241318351+55+5716.616.1
/162664112+11.9+12.33.6pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA
114,0091346234301398+72+716.915.7
/162664221+11.9+1.22.8pk7: 14
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17
career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA
62,1956326230304380+39+5013.713.7
/162664198+11.9+15.14.1pk7: 14
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA
114,2963939244319326+39+4312.412.0
/16266466+6.1+6.61.9pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons
83,7297163218307332+67+3210.08.2
/1626641311+11.9+5.71.8pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Ricardo Chirinos (OGILVIE) 18 51→56 36→41 43→48 61 129/268/172 43175 11 26% 10% 18 -0.6
Jesus Rodriguez
2021 · A
19 46→55 42→45 49→50 46 224/285/337 113288 99 25% 8% 72 -0.2 235/300/339 104298 612 22% 8% 80 +0.4 254/315/36210830991620%7%88+0.7
Ramon Mendoza
2019 · A
18 46→51 41→45 48→45 46 220/292/328 108287 74 25% 7% 74 -0.1 209/280/297 88296 54 29% 7% 61 -1.0 232/306/34711631011327%9%82+0.3
Juan Fernandez
2017 · A
18 51→57 38→40 45→50 49 236/314/317 81309 55 24% 8% 81 +0.4 209/269/295 86267 64 23% 6% 56 -1.3 239/301/3329329710922%6%74-0.0
Rubén Tejada
2008 · A
18 50→60 38→40 51→50 50 237/313/315 78287 513 18% 8% 79 +0.3 227/281/295 68275 39 18% 6% 60 -1.0 246/313/343972867115%8%81+0.2
Michael Arroyo
2023 · A
18 48→42 42→50 44→50 45 227/318/334 107303 87 26% 7% 88 +0.9 214/310/343 129287 128 28% 8% 88 +0.9 219/307/369150281181327%8%90+0.9
Edward Duran
2022 · A
18 49→45 37→40 49→50 46 231/297/312 81291 39 21% 7% 72 -0.2 217/290/287 70281 28 22% 8% 63 -0.9 225/304/305793045825%8%70-0.2
Osleivis Basabe
2019 · A
18 51→61 38→45 49→50 48 238/291/324 86288 312 18% 7% 71 -0.3 236/280/312 76293 312 19% 5% 63 -0.8 270/315/37110232841718%5%90+0.8
Jeferson Quero
2022 · A
19 48→42 43→50 47→45 50 230/306/345 115283 910 21% 8% 85 +0.7 221/273/345 124289 148 27% 6% 70 -0.3 225/289/37014526918423%7%82+0.3
Victor Heredia
2018 · A
18 45 38→50 49→30 42 211/275/293 82307 66 31% 7% 57 -1.2 221/268/323 102290 94 26% 5% 62 -0.9 221/264/32610528110125%4%63-0.3
Francisco Herrera
2012 · A
18 46 40→45 47→30 49 220/280/315 95261 78 19% 7% 66 -0.6 225/284/324 99267 95 19% 6% 69 -0.4 225/284/3209526010317%6%67-0.2
Ivan Ramirez
2010 · A
18 50 38→40 50→40 43 235/293/316 81288 55 20% 5% 71 -0.3 244/294/308 64287 33 15% 6% 69 -0.4 263/310/310482972112%6%76+0.0
Ismerling Mota
2016 · A
18 48 43→45 46→40 44 236/282/343 107278 125 20% 5% 73 -0.1 203/250/282 79267 64 25% 5% 43 -2.2 180/231/230512203019%5%20-0.9
Francisco Ventura
2017 · A
18 48 40 41→40 54 228/297/319 92260 76 15% 9% 73 -0.1 221/275/291 70307 45 27% 7% 56 -1.3 222/262/247253370032%5%34-0.7
Andy Paz
2012 · A
19 50 36→40 44→45 50 231/310/298 67290 38 20% 8% 74 -0.1 208/273/281 73275 45 24% 8% 53 -1.5 208/262/276682716424%7%43-0.5
Aroon Escobar
2023 · A
18 43→46 38→45 47→55 49 203/297/279 76256 612 22% 8% 66 -0.6 211/299/308 97254 916 20% 9% 72 -0.2 216/299/322106259121921%8%75-0.0
Eddys Leonard
2019 · A
18 41→47 41→55 48→50 48 200/282/301 101267 914 27% 9% 64 -0.8 211/283/328 117302 118 32% 8% 71 -0.3 225/292/37815329318428%6%84+0.6
Meibrys Viloria
2015 · A
18 45→47 40→45 46→40 48 218/285/316 97280 75 24% 8% 68 -0.5 235/286/325 90300 63 22% 6% 70 -0.3 247/290/36611931811225%5%79+0.2
Dilson Herrera
2012 · A
18 46→56 39→50 50 47 218/290/315 98283 413 23% 7% 70 -0.3 228/279/361 133299 1212 27% 6% 77 +0.1 258/308/400143315151323%6%96+1.3
Edgardo Rodriguez
2019 · A
18 49 44→45 46→30 44 239/287/352 113265 114 15% 4% 78 +0.2 226/272/321 95289 85 24% 4% 63 -0.9 180/204/231512579033%2%11-0.8
Jonathan Galvez
2009 · A
18 45→46 39→50 51→55 53 209/310/290 81290 79 27% 11% 73 -0.1 209/281/326 117306 1114 33% 8% 69 -0.4 230/282/341111315101529%6%69-0.3