Bryan Rodriguez

C DSL Colorado

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#929ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Colorado	102	.192/.364/.308	2	0	32	—	.136/.293/.198
2026	18	ROKDSL Colorado	118	.242/.379/.368	2	2	40	—	.152/.276/.212
2027PROJMLE	19	MLB—	228	.224/.301/.312	2	3	76	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLB—	40	.227/.305/.323	0	1	80	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLB—	103	.230/.308/.333	1	2	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed73

Whiff%65

K%64

ISO55

Chase%53

wOBA48

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsJesus Rodriguez (age 19) · Christian Arroyo (age 19) · Juan Fernandez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 62 proj PA

wRC+76

AVG/OBP/SLG.222 / .298 / .309

PA62

HR1

K%25

BB%7

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$30M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 60 / POW 39

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT60

scouting grade only

POWER39

scouting grade only

EYE55

scouting grade only

SPEED49

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.3	$0.5M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	102	78	15	3	0	2	11	14	10	0	1	192	364	308	671	115	203	14	11	315	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	118	95	23	2	2	2	15	22	6	2	0	242	379	368	748	126	292	19	13	341	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	81	11	2	0	1	8	17	10	0	1	136	293	198	490	62	136	17	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	118	99	15	1	1	1	11	27	6	2	0	152	276	212	488	61	192	23	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	81	11	2	0	1	8	17	10	0	1	136	293	198	490	62	154	17	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	102	78	15	3	0	2	11	14	10	0	1	192	364	308	671	115	203	14	11	315	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	118	99	15	1	1	1	11	27	6	2	0	152	276	212	488	61	194	23	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	118	95	23	2	2	2	15	22	6	2	0	242	379	368	748	126	292	19	13	341	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	83	11	2	0	1	8	17	10	0	1	133	293	193	486	60	136	17	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	118	100	15	1	1	1	11	27	6	2	0	150	276	210	486	60	192	23	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	102	83	11	2	0	1	8	17	10	0	1	133	293	193	486	60	136	17	8	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	118	100	15	1	1	1	11	27	6	2	0	150	276	210	486	60	192	23	9	227	40	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	—	0%	228	203	45	7	2	2	17	56	6	3	1	224	301	312	613	88	295	25	7	280	76	-7	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	—	34%	117	104	24	4	1	1	9	29	3	2	1	227	305	323	628	96	296	25	8	287	80	-3	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	—	48%	213	190	44	7	2	3	16	52	5	4	2	230	308	333	641	103	297	24	8	292	83	-4	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	—	54%	325	289	68	11	3	5	25	78	8	6	3	232	311	341	651	108	298	24	8	295	86	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	—	57%	407	363	85	14	3	7	31	97	10	7	3	234	312	347	659	113	298	24	8	299	88	-6	+0	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	—	57%	445	397	94	15	4	8	35	105	10	8	3	236	314	352	666	117	299	24	8	301	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	—	57%	445	397	94	15	4	8	35	105	10	8	4	236	314	353	667	117	299	24	8	302	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2034	26	MLB MLE	—	56%	445	397	94	15	4	8	35	105	10	8	4	236	314	354	667	118	298	24	8	302	90	-5	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.3
2035	27	MLB MLE	—	55%	445	397	94	15	4	8	35	106	10	8	4	235	313	351	664	116	298	24	8	300	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	—	55%	445	397	94	15	4	8	35	107	10	7	4	233	311	346	657	113	297	24	8	297	87	-7	-0	-1	+8	+10	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	—	53%	445	398	91	15	3	7	34	108	10	7	4	231	308	340	648	109	296	24	8	294	85	-8	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.8
2038	30	MLB MLE	—	53%	445	398	90	14	3	7	34	110	10	6	5	228	304	332	636	104	294	25	8	289	82	-10	-1	-2	+8	+10	0.5
2039	31	MLB MLE	—	52%	426	382	85	13	3	6	32	107	9	5	6	223	300	322	621	98	291	25	8	283	78	-11	-1	-3	+8	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	—	52%	407	365	80	12	3	5	30	104	9	4	11	218	294	310	603	91	287	26	7	276	73	-13	-4	-4	+7	+9	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	—	34%	40	36	7	1	0	0	3	10	1	1	0	227	305	323	628	96	296	25	8	287	80	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	—	48%	103	91	20	3	1	1	8	25	3	2	1	230	308	333	641	103	297	24	8	292	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	—	54%	176	157	37	6	2	3	13	42	4	3	1	232	311	341	651	108	298	24	7	295	86	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	—	57%	230	205	49	8	2	4	18	55	5	4	2	234	312	347	659	113	298	24	8	299	88	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	—	57%	252	224	53	9	2	4	20	60	6	5	2	236	314	352	666	117	299	24	8	301	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2033	25	MLB CTX	—	57%	251	223	54	9	2	5	20	59	6	5	2	236	314	353	667	117	299	24	8	302	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	—	56%	251	223	53	8	2	5	20	59	6	5	2	236	314	354	667	118	298	24	8	302	90	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	—	55%	247	220	51	8	2	4	19	59	6	4	2	235	313	351	664	116	298	24	8	300	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	—	55%	244	217	50	8	2	4	19	59	6	4	2	233	311	346	657	113	297	24	8	297	87	-4	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	—	53%	238	213	49	8	2	4	18	58	5	4	2	231	308	340	648	109	296	24	8	294	85	-4	+0	-1	+4	+5	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	—	53%	234	209	48	7	2	4	18	58	5	3	2	228	304	332	636	104	294	25	8	289	82	-5	-0	-1	+4	+5	0.3
2039	31	MLB CTX	—	52%	222	198	45	7	2	3	17	56	5	3	3	223	300	322	621	98	291	25	8	283	78	-6	-1	-1	+4	+5	0.1
2040	32	MLB CTX	—	52%	211	189	41	6	1	3	16	54	4	2	6	218	294	310	603	91	287	26	8	276	73	-7	-2	-2	+4	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2699	2405	557	88	22	44	209	654	62	45	27	232	309	341	651	110	298	24	8	294	83	-47	-2	-6	+48	+58	5.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	134	21	5	11	50	158	15	11	7	231	309	342	651	111	298	24	8	294	83	-11	-0	-1	+12	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5292	4709	1076	170	43	84	410	1272	132	83	55	228	308	336	645	108	293	24	8	291	83	-90	-5	-10	+91	+110	9.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	132	21	5	10	50	156	16	10	7	228	307	334	641	106	294	24	8	291	83	-12	-1	-1	+12	+14	1.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Colorado · 118 PAwOBA .336 → .227 (−108)K% 18.6% → 22.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	18.64%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	22.75%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	12.71%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×1.008	8.97%
HBP% /PA	5.08%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	3.59%
Singles /BIP	23.29%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.999	×1.008	15.93%
Doubles /BIP	2.74%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.999	×1.008	1.65%
Triples /BIP	2.74%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.999	×1.008	1.65%
Home runs /BIP	2.74%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.30%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.999.

Result: wOBA .336 → .227; ISO .126 → .071; BABIP .292 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Colorado · 102 PAwOBA .314 → .216 (−98)K% 13.7% → 16.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	13.73%	÷1.016	×1.220	—	—	16.48%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.78%	÷1.026	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.52%
HBP% /PA	9.80%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.02%
Singles /BIP	15.62%	÷1.008	×0.680	×1.016	×1.022	10.95%
Doubles /BIP	4.69%	÷1.011	×0.600	×1.016	×1.022	2.89%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.011	×0.600	×1.016	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	3.12%	÷1.163	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.29%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 102, 2B 102, 3B 102, K 103, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.016.

Result: wOBA .314 → .216; ISO .115 → .061; BABIP .203 → .136. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.2	2,763	45	45	232	306	342	+49	+32	7.5	6.6
/162	664	11	11	+11.9	+7.7	1.8	pk7: 6
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#5Jake Gibbs'63-'71 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,795 PA	2.7	1,795	25	28	244*	299*	362*	+32	+0	5.4	5.4
/162	664	9	10	+11.9	+0.0	2.0	pk7: 5
#6Ben Davis'98-'04 * career totals — 6 seasons, 1,698 PA	2.6	1,698	38	9	228*	295*	352*	+30	-0	3.6	3.6
/162	664	15	4	+11.5	-0.0	1.4	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	55→60	34→39	44→49	55	222/298/309	88	295	1	1	25%	7%	76	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Christian Arroyo 2014 · A	19	49→58	40→50	49→45	44	233/282/342	109	300	5	6	23%	6%	76	-0.4	240/274/341	101	305	7	4	23%	4%	72	-0.7	254/305/408	153	304	17	7	22%	5%	100	+0.5
✕Juan Fernandez 2018 · A	19	47→57	41→40	48→50	48	226/294/329	103	270	7	6	19%	7%	78	-0.3	206/264/285	79	270	5	4	24%	6%	57	-1.8	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2024 · A	19	44→51	40→50	46→50	49	208/316/308	101	279	6	7	25%	9%	84	+0.1	228/322/372	144	297	15	11	27%	8%	99	+1.3	232/324/382	150	294	16	12	25%	8%	100	+1.3
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Demetrio Crisantes 2024 · A	19	48→58	38→50	46→55	43	227/284/313	85	310	5	7	27%	6%	70	-0.9	250/317/366	116	315	9	13	22%	8%	95	+0.9	258/328/389	130	318	10	12	21%	8%	102	+0.8
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕James Triantos 2023 · A	20	50→59	42→45	53→60	43	241/287/350	109	301	9	12	23%	5%	80	-0.2	253/301/351	98	299	7	24	17%	5%	84	+0.2	270/312/373	104	312	8	35	15%	5%	91	+0.6
✕Rubén Tejada 2008 · A	18	51→61	38→40	51→50	50	240/318/319	79	291	5	13	18%	8%	85	+0.2	237/292/307	70	286	3	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Adrián Sugastey 2022 · A	19	51	37→40	49→40	42	244/287/314	70	318	5	5	24%	5%	71	-0.8	222/270/304	82	282	6	3	22%	5%	62	-1.4	225/265/311	86	256	8	3	15%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Colton Welker 2017 · A	19	49→57	42→45	46→45	42	237/273/344	107	283	9	7	20%	4%	72	-0.7	253/292/357	104	323	9	5	23%	5%	82	+0.0	251/292/355	104	322	9	4	24%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Jamie Westbrook 2014 · A	19	45→54	39→50	50→45	43	215/270/310	95	283	4	6	24%	6%	63	-1.3	237/278/349	112	290	10	7	21%	5%	76	-0.4	246/298/391	146	280	17	3	19%	5%	92	+0.6
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→47	43→50	47→45	49	230/305/343	113	283	9	10	21%	8%	86	+0.3	230/284/354	124	292	13	8	25%	6%	80	-0.2	230/288/365	135	277	16	6	23%	7%	82	+0.0
✕George Lombard Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→48	39→45	48→55	49	232/311/316	85	335	6	12	30%	10%	81	-0.1	208/291/311	103	304	8	22	31%	9%	74	-0.6	208/297/325	117	296	10	23	30%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Wilfredo Rodriguez 2014 · A	20	48	39→40	47→50	44	231/276/323	91	287	5	5	21%	6%	69	-0.9	235/273/310	75	276	5	6	16%	4%	64	-1.3	240/274/305	65	276	5	5	15%	4%	63	-0.7

Bryan Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps