Bryan Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Bryan RodriguezC DSL Colorado

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 188 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION79 act + 52 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+69

AVG/OBP/SLG.214 / .304 / .321

PA52

HR1

K%25

BB%8

BABIP276

ISO107

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.7	$6M	+$3M
Totals		$21M		$48M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	102	82	12	2	0	1	7	19	10	0	1	146	293	207	500	61	172	19	7	228	33	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	102	78	15	3	0	2	11	14	10	0	1	192	364	308	671	115	203	14	11	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	79	68	11	1	1	2	6	22	5	2	0	162	278	294	573	132	205	28	8	223	29	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	79	65	13	1	1	2	9	15	5	2	0	200	342	338	680	138	229	19	11	318	102	+0	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.4
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	52	46	10	2	0	1	4	13	2	1	0	214	304	321	625	107	275	25	8	276	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	276	69	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	79	69	11	1	1	2	6	22	5	2	0	159	278	290	568	130	200	28	8	223	29	-6	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	131	114	21	3	1	3	10	35	7	3	0	183	289	305	594	122	235	27	8	244	45	-8	+1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	181	161	35	6	1	3	13	45	5	2	1	217	296	323	619	106	276	25	7	281	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	322	286	62	10	2	6	24	79	9	3	1	217	298	329	626	112	279	25	7	289	80	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	430	383	86	14	3	9	32	104	12	5	1	225	304	347	652	123	281	24	7	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+8	+12	1.3
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	506	448	101	16	4	11	38	122	15	5	1	225	307	353	660	127	282	24	8	298	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	520	461	105	17	4	12	39	124	15	6	2	228	309	360	669	132	283	24	8	301	88	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	520	461	106	17	4	12	39	124	15	6	2	230	311	362	673	132	284	24	8	303	90	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	520	460	106	17	4	12	40	124	15	6	2	230	313	363	676	133	284	24	8	304	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	520	460	107	17	4	13	40	124	15	6	2	233	315	372	686	139	284	24	8	305	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	520	460	106	17	4	13	40	124	15	6	2	230	313	370	682	139	283	24	8	305	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	520	459	105	17	4	12	41	125	15	5	1	229	313	362	674	133	283	24	8	304	91	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2037	29	MLB	—	58%	520	459	105	17	4	12	41	126	15	5	1	229	313	362	674	133	282	24	8	302	89	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2038	30	MLB	—	60%	520	459	103	16	3	12	41	127	15	4	1	224	309	351	660	126	281	24	8	299	87	-8	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.5
2039	31	MLB	—	62%	504	445	98	15	3	11	40	125	14	4	1	220	305	342	646	121	278	25	8	295	84	-9	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.2
2040	32	MLB	—	63%	489	434	93	14	3	10	38	123	14	3	1	214	298	329	628	115	275	25	8	289	80	-11	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	62	56	12	2	0	1	4	15	2	1	0	214	290	304	594	89	276	24	6	281	74	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	156	139	31	5	1	3	11	38	5	2	0	223	303	338	641	115	279	24	7	289	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	233	207	46	7	2	5	17	56	7	3	1	222	303	348	651	126	281	24	7	295	84	-4	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	286	254	57	9	2	6	22	69	8	3	1	224	306	346	653	122	282	24	8	298	87	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	299	265	61	10	2	7	23	72	9	3	1	230	313	362	675	132	283	24	8	301	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	296	263	60	10	2	7	22	71	9	3	1	228	310	361	671	133	284	24	7	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	295	262	60	10	2	7	22	70	9	3	1	229	311	363	673	134	284	24	7	304	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	294	261	60	10	2	7	22	70	9	3	1	230	312	364	676	134	284	24	7	305	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	289	257	58	9	2	7	22	69	8	3	1	226	307	358	665	132	283	24	8	305	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	286	254	58	9	2	7	22	69	8	3	1	228	310	362	672	134	283	24	8	304	91	-3	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.0
2037	29	MLB	—	58%	302	266	61	10	2	7	24	73	9	3	1	229	314	361	675	132	282	24	8	302	89	-4	+0	-1	+5	+9	1.0
2038	30	MLB	—	60%	313	276	62	10	2	7	25	77	9	3	1	225	310	351	661	127	281	25	8	299	87	-5	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.9
2039	31	MLB	—	62%	311	274	61	10	2	7	25	77	9	2	1	223	308	350	659	128	278	25	8	295	84	-6	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.7
2040	32	MLB	—	63%	307	271	58	9	2	6	24	77	9	2	1	214	299	328	628	114	275	25	8	289	80	-7	+0	-2	+5	+9	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3729	3306	745	120	25	84	285	903	110	37	12	225	308	353	661	128	283	24	8	299	87	-54	+3	-6	+67	+106	11.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	576	130	21	4	15	50	157	19	6	2	226	309	354	663	128	283	24	8	299	87	-9	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.0
Career	—			—	6746	5964	1340	214	47	150	517	1628	201	67	20	225	308	352	660	127	282	24	8	298	86	-107	+5	-10	+120	+191	20.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	130	21	5	14	50	157	19	6	2	226	309	353	662	127	284	24	8	298	86	-10	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	102	78	15	3	0	2	11	14	10	0	1	192	364	308	671	115	203	14	11	315	99	-0	-0	—	—	+3	0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	12	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
	/162	664	19	1	227	312	387	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,819	85	38	226	305	354	+68	+36	12.1	9.8
	/162	664	15	7	226	305	354	+11.9	+6.3	2.1	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Bryan Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	183/289/305	122	235	3	3	27%	8%	45	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Manuel Joseph 2013 · A	19	46	41→45	44→50	45	221/274/319	97	271	8	8	21%	6%	63	-0.8	244/300/352	108	288	9	15	18%	6%	83	+0.6	263/321/381	118	302	10	21	15%	5%	101	+0.8
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	66	-0.6	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	69	-0.4	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	68	-0.5	235/286/325	90	300	6	3	22%	6%	70	-0.3	247/290/366	119	318	11	2	25%	5%	79	+0.2
✕Ismerling Mota 2016 · A	18	48	43→45	46→40	44	236/282/343	107	278	12	5	20%	5%	73	-0.1	203/250/282	79	267	6	4	25%	5%	43	-2.2	180/231/230	51	220	3	0	19%	5%	20	-0.9
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→47	39→60	46→30	42	217/277/301	85	310	6	7	31%	7%	60	-1.0	217/253/369	152	263	19	3	26%	4%	69	-0.4	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Sebastian Valle 2008 · A	18	46→49	38→50	43→40	49	216/286/302	86	264	5	6	20%	8%	65	-0.7	209/261/312	103	271	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	45→42	37→55	48→30	43	215/262/292	77	271	4	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	208/248/305	97	282	9	2	28%	5%	49	-1.8	228/269/391	163	297	23	0	31%	5%	78	+0.1
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Jeferson Quero 2022 · A	19	48→42	43→50	47→45	50	230/306/345	115	283	9	10	21%	8%	85	+0.7	221/273/345	124	289	14	8	27%	6%	70	-0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.2	188/232/267	79	256	8	1	29%	3%	30	-0.9