Adrián SugasteyC Richmond Flying Squirrels
Age 23 R/R 6'0" / 213 lbs AA HR -8%H -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
2026 ROS PROJECTION159 act + 161 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†63
AVG/OBP/SLG.230 / .269 / .322
PA161
HR2
K%16
BB%4
BABIP264
ISO92
MLB%2%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -11.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-11BATRUN: -0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)-0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +5.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+6POSREP: +9.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+9REPTotal WAR: +0.40+0.4WAR
0.00.81.60.00.50.91.01.11.00.8+$38M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 50 / POW 40
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT50
scouting grade only
POWER40
scouting grade only
EYE30
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+1.0$6M+$6M
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.1$6M+$6M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+1.0$5M+$5M
2032Arb-1$1M+0.8$2M+$1M
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $20M +$18M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 163153 42201 7371 10 275311307618 33350 234 284 76 — — — — — —
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 163148 53602 12261 10 358410439849 81418 167 379 148 — — — — — —
202219 A3 teams — 399365 721124 239410 10 197264271535 74254 246 237 40 — — — — — —
202219 A3 teams — 399352 881325 365910 10 250337341678 91287 159 312 97 — — — — — —
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 264252 581123 9501 10 230260325585 95274 193 251 50 — — — — — —
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 264248 741524 13371 10 298336423759 125335 145 336 115 — — — — — —
202421 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 191182 33721 4473 00 181212258470 77235 252 204 14 — — — — — —
202421 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 191181 381021 5383 00 210243304547 94257 203 243 44 — — — — — —
202522 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 355330 67915 18491 43 203246282528 79222 145 233 37 — — — — — —
202522 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 355324 751018 24391 43 231287343629 111239 117 280 72 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD23 AASF — 159145 37703 7222 21 255299366664 110276 144 284 76 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
YTD23 AASF — 159141 39803 11172 21 277338397735 121290 117 321 104 +1 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.8
ROS23 AASF 2% 161152 35612 7261 21 230269322591 92264 164 268 63 -7 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.1
ROS23 MLBSF 2% 33 0000 000 00 259 00 258 55 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL23 AASF — 162148 37703 7222 21 250293358651 108270 144 284 76 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.3
TOT23 AASF — 320297 721315 14483 42 242283343627 101270 154 276 70 -11 +0 +0 +6 +9 0.4
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202724 MLBSF 31% 416390 931727 20673 42 238281346627 108267 165 277 70 -14 +0 +0 +7 +12 0.5
202825 MLBSF 45% 453423 1011829 23754 52 239284355639 116269 175 284 75 -13 +0 +0 +8 +13 0.9
202926 MLBSF 51% 474441 10619210 26794 63 240289361649 120270 175 287 78 -12 +0 +0 +8 +13 1.0
203027 MLBSF 53% 482448 10719210 27824 63 239288357645 118270 176 288 79 -12 +0 +0 +9 +14 1.1
203128 MLBSF 53% 482448 10619210 27834 63 237286355641 118269 176 287 78 -12 +0 -1 +9 +14 1.0
203229 MLBSF 53% 475441 1041929 27824 63 236286349635 113269 176 285 76 -13 +0 -1 +8 +13 0.8
202724 MLBSF 31% 129121 28512 6211 11 231273339612 107262 165 267 62 -6 -0 +0 +2 +4 0.0
202825 MLBSF 45% 202188 45814 10332 21 239285356641 117264 165 273 67 -8 +0 +0 +4 +6 0.2
202926 MLBSF 51% 241224 52915 13402 31 232280348629 116265 175 276 69 -8 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.3
203027 MLBSF 53% 253235 551015 14432 32 234283349632 115265 176 277 70 -9 -0 +0 +5 +7 0.3
203128 MLBSF 53% 257238 561015 15442 32 235286349635 113265 176 276 69 -9 -0 -0 +5 +7 0.2
203229 MLBSF 53% 250232 541015 14432 31 233282349631 116264 176 274 68 -9 +0 -1 +4 +7 0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 13351241 29052626 7222411 158 234282348630 114265 175 274 68 -48 -0 -1 +24 +38 1.2
/ 162G— — 650604 14125313 351095 74 233281349630 116264 175 274 68 -23 -0 -1 +12 +18 0.6
Career— — 43154025 9241572071 21877140 4220 230276331607 102266 185 270 65 -172 +0 -2 +77 +122 2.6
/ 162G— — 650606 14024311 331166 63 231277335612 104268 185 270 65 -26 +0 -0 +12 +18 0.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202118 ROKACL Giants Orange — 163148 53602 12261 10 358410439849 81418 167 379 148 +9 +0 — — +5 1.4
202219 ASan Jose Giants — 340300 721115 305310 10 240329333663 93277 169 306 93 -3 +0 — — +10 0.7
202219 ROKACL Giants Orange — 3126 6110 450 00 231333346679 115273 1613 300 88 -0 +0 — — +1 0.0
202219 INTLScottsdale Scorpions — 2826 10100 210 00 385429423852 38400 47 387 154 +2 +0 — — +1 0.3
202320 A+Eugene Emeralds — 264248 741524 13371 10 298336423759 125335 145 336 115 +4 +0 — — +7 1.2
202421 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 191181 381021 5383 00 210243304547 94257 203 243 44 -12 +0 — — +5 -0.7
202522 AARichmond Flying Squirrels — 355324 751018 24391 43 231287343629 111239 117 280 72 -11 -0 — — +10 -0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Zack Cozartlast yr '19
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA
83,3508521246300398+33+3814.214.8
/162664174+6.6+7.62.8pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA
72,8326234238305374+28+3311.611.6
/162664158+6.7+7.72.7pk7: 12
#3Jorge Alfarolast yr '23
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,693 PA
71,6934818254303396+30+179.19.1
/162664197+11.9+6.63.6pk7: 9
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20
career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA
93,2883735253291351+32+468.68.9
/16266477+6.5+9.31.7pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons
31,3392616239284355+24+122.62.6
/162664138+11.9+6.01.3pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Adrián Sugastey (OGILVIE) 23 50 40 45 30 242/283/343 101270 54 15% 4% 70 +0.4 ————————— —————————
✕Gilberto Galaviz
2015 · AAA 		23 46 42→40 47→30 40 227/260/330 103272 106 21% 4% 60 -1.0 245/281/325 80282 65 15% 4% 67 -0.5 255/292/302472853111%3%62-0.3
✕Dawel Lugo
2018 · AA 		23 49→54 42→45 46→45 41 238/266/346 108277 104 18% 3% 66 -0.6 247/272/354 107290 97 18% 3% 71 -0.3 252/276/3561052958817%3%70-0.4
✕Pedro Severino
2016 · AA 		23 43→48 41→50 43→45 40 214/249/306 92258 104 21% 4% 49 -1.8 215/257/302 87261 94 21% 5% 51 -1.7 238/307/37513729117324%8%90+0.6
✕Daniel Sanchez
2017 · AAA 		24 47 39→45 48→30 41 228/256/308 81261 76 16% 3% 52 -1.6 226/267/340 114283 136 24% 4% 66 -0.6 226/277/33310827612023%4%68-0.1
✕Mike Dowd
2014 · AA 		24 46 38→40 40 40 221/262/301 79264 64 19% 3% 53 -1.5 200/251/275 75259 56 24% 5% 43 -2.2 178/218/228502363225%4%11-1.5
✕Alberto Carreon
2011 · AAA 		23 44→54 39→45 43→50 42 214/263/291 78258 78 20% 4% 52 -1.6 236/287/320 84300 510 22% 5% 69 -0.4 249/304/35410531781123%5%81+0.3
✕Audry Pérez
2013 · AA 		24 46 42→40 47→40 37 229/249/327 97272 103 20% 2% 54 -1.4 218/237/304 86258 83 19% 2% 43 -2.2 252/283/38012729017020%3%80+0.1
✕Horacio Vasquez
2009 · AAA 		23 48 40 46→40 42 230/260/323 92265 79 16% 3% 57 -1.2 242/272/319 77287 56 17% 3% 62 -0.9 244/273/305612903416%3%54-0.7
✕Chadwick Tromp
2018 · AA 		23 44 39→50 46→40 41 215/258/300 85275 74 24% 5% 51 -1.7 224/281/341 117280 125 24% 6% 73 -0.1 222/279/36314127317025%7%74-0.0
✕Humberto Castro
2014 · AAA 		23 45 38→40 50→45 41 218/262/293 75259 68 19% 4% 51 -1.7 231/281/310 79287 58 20% 5% 64 -0.8 257/313/319623044515%4%76+0.0
✕David Nick
2013 · AA 		23 46→51 40→45 46→50 41 222/260/314 92269 78 20% 4% 56 -1.3 219/253/320 101284 99 25% 4% 54 -1.4 214/244/32010628010827%4%47-1.1
✕Pedro Lopez
2007 · AAA 		23 50→56 42→40 42→45 42 243/273/343 100271 106 15% 3% 69 -0.4 239/278/316 77280 66 16% 5% 64 -0.8 238/281/284462753514%5%54-0.7
✕Xavier Fernández
2018 · A 		23 46 40→50 48→40 43 223/264/313 89265 84 19% 5% 57 -1.2 226/264/353 127264 136 20% 4% 68 -0.5 232/282/35812527914222%6%74-0.0
✕Colton Welker
2021 · AA 		23 43→53 41→40 47→45 41 214/256/312 98276 95 26% 5% 54 -1.4 210/282/313 103278 106 26% 8% 66 -0.6 190/284/260702606327%10%52-0.5
✕Christian Colón
2012 · AA 		23 46→56 40→45 46→55 45 223/263/310 87246 911 14% 4% 56 -1.3 241/288/335 94265 914 13% 6% 73 -0.1 262/309/3417929651513%6%81+0.2
✕Christian Arroyo
2017 · AA 		22 51→54 40→45 43→45 39 246/273/343 97303 64 21% 3% 69 -0.4 241/286/363 122295 126 22% 5% 80 +0.4 250/302/39814830016722%5%93+0.5
✕Juan Graterol
2014 · AA 		25 49 40 46→30 41 236/267/325 88274 86 17% 3% 61 -1.0 240/269/325 85281 75 17% 3% 62 -0.9 260/287/326652973113%2%66-0.3
✕Ramón Rodríguez
2022 · AA 		23 43 42→40 47→45 40 213/257/317 104272 105 26% 5% 56 -1.3 225/280/319 94262 98 18% 6% 66 -0.6 215/285/31910423612515%8%66-0.2
✕Owen Miller
2021 · AA 		24 46→55 40→45 43→50 43 224/271/316 92277 86 22% 5% 61 -1.0 241/293/361 120305 117 24% 6% 82 +0.5 253/307/36411131191121%6%86+0.5
✕Alex Monsalve
2014 · AA 		22 46→51 40 44→40 40 223/257/316 93273 84 22% 4% 55 -1.4 221/265/322 101286 94 25% 5% 60 -1.0 219/259/290722725021%4%47-0.4