Pedro Lopez
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 31 | INTLDominican Rep… | 56 | .319/.373/.340 | 0 | 0 | 89 | — | |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 371 | .274/.336/.312 | 0 | 3 | 61 | — | .283/.335/.315 |
| 2017 | 33 | INTLLeones del Es… | 46 | .262/.311/.262 | 0 | 0 | 63 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 187 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 198 | 227 | 278 | 505 | 80 | 211 | 12 | 3 | 217 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 271 | 239 | 57 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 238 | 289 | 314 | 603 | 75 | 258 | 11 | 5 | 260 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA | Charlotte Knights | — | 228 | 208 | 56 | 12 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 269 | 315 | 399 | 714 | 130 | 291 | 12 | 5 | 311 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 284 | 258 | 83 | 15 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 32 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 322 | 364 | 453 | 817 | 132 | 347 | 11 | 6 | 352 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | MLB | Cincinnati Reds | — | 47 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 222 | 435 | 44 | 229 | 21 | 2 | 201 | 22 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA | Louisville Bats | — | 324 | 285 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 28 | 38 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 284 | 348 | 368 | 717 | 84 | 317 | 12 | 9 | 315 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 385 | 339 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 307 | 295 | 602 | 59 | 283 | 16 | 9 | 271 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA | Indianapolis Indians | — | 159 | 142 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 275 | 318 | 310 | 628 | 35 | 317 | 13 | 6 | 273 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA | Altoona Curve | — | 212 | 190 | 50 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 263 | 314 | 337 | 651 | 74 | 278 | 9 | 6 | 285 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 170 | 148 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 23 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 216 | 297 | 304 | 601 | 88 | 246 | 14 | 10 | 269 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA | Harrisburg Senators | — | 73 | 69 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 208 | 203 | 411 | 29 | 211 | 18 | 4 | 188 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 85 | 73 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 284 | 260 | 544 | 55 | 242 | 15 | 8 | 243 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 276 | 240 | 516 | 80 | 182 | 10 | 10 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL | Dominican Republic | — | 56 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 319 | 373 | 340 | 713 | 21 | 375 | 12 | 7 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 248 | 212 | 65 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 17 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 307 | 377 | 349 | 726 | 42 | 328 | 7 | 10 | 318 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 123 | 109 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 252 | 239 | 491 | 28 | 253 | 15 | 4 | 213 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | INTL | Leones del Escogido | — | 46 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 311 | 262 | 573 | 282 | 7 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 47 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 222 | 435 | 44 | 229 | 21 | 2 | 201 | 22 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 21 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 204 | 189 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 201 | 222 | 280 | 502 | 79 | 204 | 14 | 2 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 271 | 243 | 59 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 243 | 281 | 317 | 598 | 74 | 255 | 13 | 3 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AAA MLE | Charlotte Knights | — | 228 | 212 | 55 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 259 | 293 | 382 | 675 | 123 | 276 | 15 | 3 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 284 | 263 | 84 | 15 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 319 | 349 | 437 | 786 | 118 | 345 | 14 | 4 | 338 | 115 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | MLB MLE | Cincinnati Reds | — | 47 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 222 | 435 | 44 | 229 | 21 | 2 | 201 | 22 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | Louisville Bats | — | 324 | 294 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 46 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 276 | 319 | 354 | 673 | 78 | 301 | 14 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 385 | 348 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 289 | 290 | 579 | 55 | 284 | 19 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AAA MLE | Indianapolis Indians | — | 159 | 145 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 283 | 311 | 317 | 628 | 34 | 316 | 15 | 4 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | Altoona Curve | — | 212 | 194 | 52 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 268 | 304 | 325 | 629 | 57 | 280 | 11 | 4 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 170 | 153 | 32 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 28 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 209 | 267 | 288 | 554 | 78 | 233 | 16 | 7 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AA MLE | Harrisburg Senators | — | 73 | 70 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 181 | 186 | 366 | 29 | 199 | 22 | 3 | 163 | -4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | Olmecas de Tabasco | — | 248 | 219 | 62 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 283 | 335 | 315 | 650 | 32 | 291 | 8 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 432 | 96 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 222 | 253 | 292 | 545 | 69 | 249 | 13 | 3 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 21 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 475 | 426 | 94 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 53 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 221 | 262 | 298 | 560 | 77 | 238 | 11 | 4 | 241 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 475 | 139 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 72 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 293 | 324 | 413 | 737 | 120 | 327 | 14 | 4 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 512 | 466 | 139 | 27 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 60 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 298 | 342 | 429 | 771 | 131 | 323 | 12 | 5 | 334 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 339 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 263 | 306 | 336 | 642 | 74 | 305 | 15 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 371 | 330 | 89 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 48 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 270 | 331 | 348 | 679 | 79 | 306 | 13 | 8 | 300 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 385 | 348 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 289 | 290 | 579 | 55 | 293 | 19 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA RAW | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 385 | 339 | 80 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 63 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 236 | 307 | 295 | 602 | 59 | 283 | 16 | 9 | 271 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 339 | 93 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 274 | 307 | 322 | 629 | 47 | 312 | 13 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 371 | 332 | 89 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 40 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 268 | 315 | 325 | 641 | 57 | 295 | 11 | 6 | 280 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 328 | 299 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 60 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 191 | 239 | 247 | 486 | 57 | 230 | 18 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 328 | 290 | 59 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 49 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 203 | 274 | 269 | 543 | 66 | 237 | 15 | 8 | 244 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 276 | 240 | 516 | 80 | 182 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 27 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 29 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 276 | 240 | 516 | 80 | 182 | 10 | 10 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL MLE | Dominican Republic | — | 56 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 319 | 373 | 340 | 713 | 21 | 375 | 12 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 31 | INTL RAW | Dominican Republic | — | 56 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 319 | 373 | 340 | 713 | 21 | 375 | 12 | 7 | 299 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 325 | 93 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 286 | 339 | 320 | 659 | 34 | 313 | 8 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 371 | 321 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 35 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 274 | 336 | 312 | 648 | 37 | 304 | 9 | 8 | 283 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2017 | 33 | INTL MLE | Leones del Escogido | — | 46 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 311 | 262 | 573 | 282 | 7 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2017 | 33 | INTL RAW | Leones del Escogido | — | 46 | 42 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 311 | 262 | 573 | 282 | 7 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2005 | 21 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 475 | 454 | 96 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 64 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 211 | 253 | 278 | 531 | 66 | 233 | 13 | 3 | 231 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 22 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 512 | 485 | 139 | 26 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 72 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 287 | 324 | 404 | 728 | 118 | 314 | 14 | 4 | 313 | 98 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 347 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 56 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 256 | 306 | 329 | 634 | 72 | 292 | 15 | 5 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 24 | AAA MLE | Syracuse Chiefs | — | 385 | 356 | 82 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 75 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 230 | 289 | 284 | 572 | 53 | 284 | 19 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 352 | 93 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 48 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 264 | 307 | 310 | 617 | 45 | 295 | 13 | 4 | 270 | 69 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 328 | 306 | 57 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 60 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 186 | 239 | 242 | 481 | 56 | 223 | 18 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 32 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 371 | 342 | 93 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 272 | 339 | 304 | 643 | 32 | 291 | 8 | 7 | 281 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 47 | 45 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 213 | 222 | 435 | 44 | 229 | 21 | 2 | 201 | 57 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 622 | 111 | 28 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 138 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 178 | 214 | 223 | 437 | 45 | 229 | 21 | 2 | 201 | 57 | -60 | +0 | +1 | +55 | +14 | 0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2944 | 2671 | 679 | 98 | 7 | 22 | 143 | 419 | 16 | 26 | 24 | 254 | 296 | 321 | 617 | 67 | 292 | 14 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +1 | 0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 590 | 151 | 22 | 2 | 5 | 32 | 93 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 256 | 299 | 325 | 625 | 69 | 294 | 14 | 5 | 253 | 57 | -60 | +0 | +1 | +55 | +14 | 0.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 AAAOlmecas de Tabasco · 248 PAwOBA .314 → .281 (−34)K% 6.9% → 8.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.85% | ÷0.977 | ×1.200 | — | — | 8.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷0.933 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 28.72% | ÷1.022 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 26.12% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.62% | ÷1.142 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 3.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.872 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 74, 1B 104, 2B 128, 3B 100, K 95, BB 87 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .314 → .281; ISO .042 → .033; BABIP .328 → .291. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 170 PAwOBA .266 → .237 (−28)K% 13.5% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.53% | ÷0.980 | ×1.200 | — | — | 16.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.027 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 6.84% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.80% | ÷0.999 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 16.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 6.80% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.918 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.80% | ÷1.055 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.018 | 0.65% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 100, 2B 109, 3B 84, K 96, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .237; ISO .088 → .077; BABIP .246 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAHarrisburg Senators · 73 PAwOBA .186 → .163 (−22)K% 17.8% → 22.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.81% | ÷0.971 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.36% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.11% | ÷1.066 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 2.67% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.016 | ×0.970 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 16.96% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.57% | ÷0.930 | ×0.860 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 3.28% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.950 | ×1.007 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 130, K 94, BB 113 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .186 → .163; ISO .029 → .026; BABIP .211 → .199. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAltoona Curve · 212 PAwOBA .280 → .272 (−8)K% 9.4% → 11.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 9.43% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 11.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.13% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 4.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.47% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×0.998 | 0.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 25.71% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.860 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.950 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.59% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.998 | 1.37% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .280 → .272; ISO .074 → .064; BABIP .278 → .280. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAAIndianapolis Indians · 159 PAwOBA .268 → .267 (−1)K% 12.6% → 15.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 12.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 15.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 4.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.87% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 28.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.10% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 3.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .268 → .267; ISO .035 → .033; BABIP .317 → .316. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 AAASyracuse Chiefs · 385 PAwOBA .266 → .254 (−12)K% 16.4% → 19.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 19.64% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 6.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.52% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 0.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.55% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 24.10% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 3.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×1.050 | ×1.048 | 0.39% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.72% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.048 | 0.64% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .266 → .254; ISO .059 → .056; BABIP .283 → .284. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 AAALouisville Bats · 324 PAwOBA .308 → .288 (−20)K% 11.7% → 14.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.200 | — | — | 14.07% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.930 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 25.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 4.54% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | ×0.990 | ×1.050 | 0.41% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.050 | 1.07% |
Factors used: league row IL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .308 → .288; ISO .084 → .078; BABIP .317 → .301. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2006 AABirmingham Barons · 284 PAwOBA .346 → .338 (−8)K% 11.3% → 13.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 13.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.28% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.042 | 3.74% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.042 | 0.31% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.99% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×1.042 | 27.04% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.045 | ×1.042 | 6.58% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×1.045 | ×1.042 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.21% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 1.84% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .346 → .338; ISO .132 → .125; BABIP .347 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .