Ali Sánchez — OGILVIE

Ali SánchezC Scranton/Wilkes-Barre RailRiders

Age 29 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs MLB HR +8% Svc 2.000S2 · Ctrl thru 2029

2026 ROS PROJECTION182 act + 121 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†vL -30-15vR 24

AVG/OBP/SLG.189 / .249 / .269

PA121

HR2

K%25

BB%7

BABIP237

ISO81

MLB%100%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Splits · ContractCON 50 / POW 45

Toolsscout grade · Statcast %ile · 2024-2026

CONTACT50

Whiff%

778.1%

xwOBA

100.239

POWER45

Barrel%

295.4

Avg EV

1286.2

Bat Spd

3770.0

EYE40

Chase%

6928.1%

SPEED45

Sprint

1625.8

Platoon Splits2024 · 96 PA

vs LHP

vs RHP

Edge

—

wRC+

-35

▶▶R

wOBA

140

207

▶▶R

ISO

—

035

—

BABIP

150

268

▶▶R

22.6%

26.2%

◀L

BB%

6.5%

3.1%

◀◀L

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status Pre-Arb SUPER-2

MLB Debut 2024

Service 2.000 yrs.days

Team Control Through 2029

First FA Year 2030

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026ROS	Arb-1	$0.1M	—	—	—
2027	Arb-2	$0.2M	—	—	—
2028	Arb-3	$0.4M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-3M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	209	186	43	5	0	2	16	45	4	6	6	231	306	290	596	59	293	22	8	270	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2014	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	209	175	53	7	0	3	27	31	4	6	6	303	408	394	802	91	352	15	13	363	136	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	188	179	39	4	0	0	6	40	3	2	0	218	255	240	496	22	281	21	3	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2015	18	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	188	173	47	6	0	0	12	28	3	2	0	272	330	306	636	35	324	15	6	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	200	186	40	3	0	1	9	32	2	2	3	215	259	247	506	32	253	16	4	221	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2017	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	200	182	42	3	0	1	13	26	2	2	3	231	289	264	553	33	263	13	6	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	3 teams	—	376	360	80	20	1	5	11	61	1	2	2	222	247	325	572	103	252	16	3	249	48	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	21	A	3 teams	—	376	353	90	21	1	6	18	43	1	2	2	255	293	371	664	116	273	11	5	294	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	3 teams	—	408	380	86	18	0	1	22	80	4	1	1	226	276	282	557	55	282	20	5	250	50	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	22	AA	3 teams	—	408	368	96	19	0	1	34	71	4	1	1	261	330	321	651	60	319	17	8	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	401	383	91	12	0	5	16	92	0	0	4	238	268	308	576	70	299	23	4	254	53	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	24	AAA	2 teams	—	401	376	107	17	0	6	23	65	0	0	4	285	326	378	703	93	329	16	6	315	99	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	376	337	77	15	0	6	33	118	2	2	0	228	301	326	627	98	327	31	9	280	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	25	AAA	2 teams	—	376	329	83	17	0	6	41	90	2	2	0	252	339	359	697	106	325	24	11	316	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	267	249	59	7	0	8	15	60	0	0	3	237	280	361	642	124	277	22	6	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	267	238	74	10	0	11	26	42	0	0	3	311	379	492	870	181	335	16	10	381	150	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	3 teams	—	336	307	58	16	0	4	20	82	2	3	2	189	243	280	523	91	243	24	6	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	27	AAA	3 teams	—	336	303	74	24	0	4	24	68	2	3	2	244	304	363	667	119	302	20	7	295	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	3 teams	—	387	360	84	13	0	6	20	113	1	1	0	233	276	319	595	86	317	29	5	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	28	AAA	3 teams	—	387	350	99	17	0	12	30	72	1	1	0	283	341	434	775	151	321	19	8	341	119	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	29	AAA	NYY	—	182	166	35	3	0	5	13	43	2	0	1	211	276	319	596	108	252	24	7	265	61	-8	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.0
YTD	29	AAA	NYY	—	182	160	37	3	0	6	19	37	2	0	1	231	320	362	683	131	263	20	10	310	95	-1	-0	+0	+3	+5	0.7
ROS	29	AAA	NYY	100%	121	111	21	3	0	2	8	30	1	0	0	189	249	269	519	81	239	25	7	245	45	-7	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.1
ROS	29	MLB	NYY	100%	121	111	21	3	0	2	8	30	1	0	0	189	250	270	520	81	240	25	7	242	43	-8	+0	+1	+2	+3	-0.1
FULL	29	AAA	NYY	—	303	277	56	6	0	7	21	73	3	0	1	202	266	300	565	97	246	24	7	256	54	-16	-0	+1	+5	+9	-0.1
TOT	29	AAA	NYY	—	303	277	56	6	0	7	21	73	3	0	1	202	265	299	565	97	246	24	7	257	55	-15	-0	+1	+5	+9	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	30	MLB	NYY	65%	320	294	57	9	0	6	21	79	2	1	1	194	252	286	538	92	244	25	7	251	50	-18	-0	+1	+6	+9	-0.3
2028	31	MLB	NYY	65%	296	272	54	9	0	6	20	73	2	1	1	199	259	298	556	99	245	25	7	252	51	-16	-0	+0	+5	+8	-0.3
2027	30	MLB	NYY	65%	208	191	37	6	0	4	14	51	1	1	1	194	252	288	540	94	245	25	7	248	48	-12	-0	+1	+4	+6	-0.2
2028	31	MLB	NYY	65%	192	176	35	6	0	4	13	47	1	1	0	199	258	301	559	102	246	24	7	249	49	-11	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	640	585	112	19	0	10	39	158	4	4	2	191	247	275	522	84	242	25	6	236	39	-44	+0	+8	+22	+18	0.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	594	113	19	0	10	40	160	4	4	2	190	246	273	519	82	241	25	6	236	39	-45	+0	+8	+23	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	3885	3604	789	134	1	52	217	905	24	21	23	219	268	300	568	81	276	23	6	253	52	-211	-5	+8	+69	+110	-2.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	132	22	0	9	36	151	4	4	4	219	267	300	568	81	275	23	6	253	52	-35	-1	+1	+12	+18	-0.5

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2014	17	ROK	DSL Mets 1	—	209	175	53	7	0	3	27	31	4	6	6	303	408	394	802	91	352	15	13	363	136	+9	-1	—	—	+6	1.4
2015	18	ROK	Kingsport Mets	—	188	173	47	6	0	0	12	28	3	2	0	272	330	306	636	35	324	15	6	295	84	-3	+0	—	—	+5	0.2
2017	20	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	200	182	42	3	0	1	13	26	2	2	3	231	289	264	553	33	263	13	6	254	53	-11	-1	—	—	+6	-0.6
2018	21	A+	St. Lucie Mets	—	142	135	37	9	0	2	5	15	0	1	1	274	300	385	685	111	292	11	4	301	88	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2018	21	A	Columbia Fireflies	—	205	193	50	11	1	4	10	23	0	1	1	259	296	389	684	130	274	11	5	302	89	-3	-0	—	—	+6	0.3
2018	21	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	29	25	3	1	0	0	3	5	1	0	0	120	241	160	401	40	150	17	10	204	14	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2019	22	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	65	56	10	4	0	0	5	11	3	0	1	179	281	250	531	71	217	17	8	250	50	-4	-0	—	—	+2	-0.2
2019	22	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	294	270	75	13	0	1	23	52	1	1	0	278	337	337	674	59	341	18	8	309	94	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.7
2019	22	INTL	Scottsdale Scorpions	—	49	42	11	2	0	0	6	8	0	0	0	262	354	310	664	48	314	16	12	304	91	-1	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2021	24	AAA	Memphis Redbirds	—	270	251	69	10	0	4	18	47	0	0	2	275	323	363	686	88	323	17	7	309	95	-2	-1	—	—	+8	0.5
2021	24	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	131	125	38	7	0	2	5	18	0	0	2	304	331	408	739	104	340	14	4	327	109	+1	-1	—	—	+4	0.4
2022	25	AAA	Toledo Mud Hens	—	291	252	66	14	0	6	35	77	2	2	0	262	356	389	745	127	351	26	12	337	116	+5	+0	—	—	+8	1.4
2022	25	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	85	77	17	3	0	0	6	13	0	0	0	221	277	260	537	39	258	15	7	244	45	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.3
2023	26	AAA	Reno Aces	—	267	238	74	10	0	11	26	42	0	0	3	311	379	492	870	181	335	16	10	381	150	+15	-1	—	—	+8	2.2
2024	27	MLB	Miami Marlins	—	96	84	14	2	0	0	4	24	1	2	1	167	213	190	404	24	230	25	4	177	-7	-12	+0	+5	+6	+3	0.2
2024	27	AAA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	—	174	155	35	12	0	3	18	35	1	0	0	226	310	361	672	135	274	20	10	305	91	-2	+0	—	—	+5	0.3
2024	27	INTL	Venezuela	—	66	64	25	10	0	1	2	9	0	1	1	391	409	594	1.003	203	444	14	3	439	194	+7	-0	—	—	+2	0.9
2025	28	MLB	Boston Red Sox	—	23	23	5	2	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	217	217	304	522	87	294	26	0	230	34	-2	+0	+1	+7	+1	0.7
2025	28	AAA	Syracuse Mets	—	211	190	52	8	0	6	18	50	1	0	0	274	340	411	750	137	338	24	9	334	114	+3	+0	—	—	+6	0.9
2025	28	INTL	Cardenales de Lara	—	153	137	42	7	0	6	12	16	0	1	0	307	362	489	851	182	305	10	8	367	139	+7	+0	—	—	+4	1.1
▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual)
MLB Career	—			—	119	107	19	4	0	0	4	30	1	2	1	178	214	215	429	37	244	25	3	187	1	-13	+0	+6	+13	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Chad Moellerlast yr '09 career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA	10	1,524	29	2	226	288	351	+19	+14	3.8	4.3
	/162	664	13	1	226	288	351	+8.5	+6.2	1.6	pk7: 5
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA	11	2,352	34	4	237	273	341	+10	+21	1.0	2.7
	/162	664	10	1	237	273	341	+3.0	+5.8	0.3	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	746	12	5	189	242	277	+13	+4	-1.8	-1.2
	/162	664	11	4	189	242	277	+11.9	+3.9	-1.6	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ali Sánchez (OGILVIE)	29	50	45	45	40	202/265/299	97	246	7	0	24%	7%	55	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeff Mathis 2012 · MLB	29	38→46	42→50	43→45	41	192/242/290	98	250	9	6	27%	6%	43	-2.2	205/257/330	125	274	14	4	29%	6%	59	-1.1	211/261/316	106	287	8	1	28%	6%	54	-0.4
✕Jesús Sucre 2016 · MLB	28	43	38→40	43→40	41	207/239/282	75	248	6	4	19%	4%	38	-2.6	233/273/340	107	271	11	6	18%	4%	69	-0.4	240/279/336	96	274	11	3	17%	4%	65	-0.2
✕Juan Graterol 2018 · MLB	29	47	38→40	46→30	41	226/258/303	77	262	6	6	16%	3%	52	-1.6	231/264/303	72	256	5	4	12%	3%	54	-1.4	234/270/284	50	260	3	0	11%	3%	49	-0.7
✕Jason Delay 2023 · MLB	28	41	39→45	42→40	39	200/246/285	85	278	6	5	30%	5%	43	-2.2	222/278/307	85	291	5	5	24%	6%	62	-0.9	216/271/282	67	281	3	2	23%	6%	50	-0.6
✕Allan de San Miguel 2017 · AAA	29	41	42→45	48→40	43	203/253/305	102	245	9	8	22%	5%	51	-1.7	205/261/303	98	273	8	8	27%	5%	55	-1.4	166/226/228	62	232	3	0	28%	4%	17	-0.8
✕Anthony Bemboom 2020 · MLB	30	39	42→45	44→45	43	195/253/296	100	257	10	4	28%	7%	49	-1.8	210/278/339	129	269	14	5	26%	8%	71	-0.3	209/279/326	117	268	12	2	26%	8%	66	-0.2
✕Jesus Flores 2014 · MLB	29	36→38	40→50	42→30	37	182/215/271	89	231	8	3	25%	4%	25	-3.5	199/244/299	100	264	10	5	27%	5%	46	-2.0	191/227/296	105	255	15	0	31%	4%	33	-0.7
✕Ryan Jorgensen 2008 · MLB	29	41	43→45	48→30	42	205/254/309	104	259	11	5	25%	6%	53	-1.5	222/270/355	133	287	15	6	27%	6%	72	-0.2	214/263/359	146	274	18	0	29%	6%	67	-0.2
✕Alberto Rosario 2016 · AAA	29	41	39→40	43→50	41	201/242/282	81	245	6	5	21%	4%	40	-2.4	218/257/281	63	271	4	6	20%	4%	46	-2.0	225/259/263	38	281	2	3	20%	4%	39	-0.8
✕Jhonatan Solano 2015 · MLB	29	43	43→45	46→40	43	214/253/318	104	242	11	4	17%	4%	55	-1.4	209/247/292	83	237	8	4	15%	4%	45	-2.1	199/234/255	56	224	4	0	13%	3%	28	-1.1
✕Joe Hudson 2019 · AAA	28	40	40→45	47→40	43	197/251/291	95	263	7	3	27%	6%	47	-1.9	194/246/311	117	283	13	4	35%	6%	50	-1.7	184/288/333	149	265	21	8	37%	11%	73	-0.0
✕Luke Maile 2018 · MLB	27	38→48	40→45	44→40	40	188/228/273	85	232	8	4	23%	4%	32	-3.0	209/272/316	107	278	10	7	27%	7%	63	-0.9	231/315/353	122	314	11	4	28%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Chris Valaika 2015 · MLB	29	42→52	44→45	43→40	39	212/257/320	108	264	12	5	25%	4%	57	-1.2	225/273/345	120	283	12	6	24%	5%	70	-0.3	223/272/338	115	281	11	1	24%	5%	66	-0.4
✕Sharlon Schoop 2016 · AAA	29	43→44	37→40	42→45	41	207/249/275	68	269	5	4	25%	5%	41	-2.3	212/260/328	116	271	12	4	26%	5%	60	-1.0	204/256/330	126	257	14	0	26%	5%	55	-0.4
✕Erick Castillo 2022 · AAA	29	43	37→30	47→30	45	205/275/277	71	256	5	5	21%	6%	54	-1.4	219/278/298	79	278	7	7	23%	5%	60	-1.0	223/271/238	15	289	0	0	21%	2%	38	-0.5
✕Jackson Williams 2015 · MLB	29	41	43→45	42→40	43	205/260/314	109	265	11	5	27%	7%	56	-1.3	197/252/268	71	254	5	4	23%	6%	41	-2.3	183/237/230	47	234	3	1	22%	6%	22	-1.6
✕Pete Kozma 2017 · MLB	29	40→47	36→45	46→50	44	193/246/256	63	241	4	12	22%	6%	35	-2.8	196/245/282	86	245	7	9	22%	5%	42	-2.3	190/238/287	96	231	7	6	21%	5%	38	-1.7
✕Tuffy Gosewisch 2014 · MLB	30	42→45	42→45	40	42	209/252/318	109	248	10	4	20%	4%	54	-1.4	217/259/322	105	258	9	5	19%	5%	58	-1.2	216/262/322	106	251	11	2	18%	5%	57	-0.4
✕Max McDowell 2023 · AAA	29	40→48	39→40	47→50	44	192/276/277	85	266	6	9	28%	7%	56	-1.3	193/274/297	104	277	12	6	33%	7%	60	-1.0	168/259/259	91	245	13	1	35%	7%	43	-0.9
✕Clint Sammons 2011 · MLB	28	35→45	42→40	44→45	42	180/231/272	92	220	10	8	24%	5%	33	-2.9	191/240/322	131	249	17	7	30%	5%	51	-1.7	156/183/282	126	198	20	0	34%	2%	14	-1.0