Luis Caicuto — OGILVIE

Luis CaicutoC Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 23 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION183 act + 122 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†67

AVG/OBP/SLG.218 / .289 / .318

PA122

HR2

K%21

BB%7

BABIP265

ISO100

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE51

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.2	$7M	+$7M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$2M	+$1.0M
2034	Arb-2	$1M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.5M
2035	Arb-3	$0.6M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.2M
Totals		$6M		$19M	+$15M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	106	94	28	3	1	1	7	19	3	2	2	298	365	383	748	85	365	18	7	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	106	91	32	4	1	1	10	13	3	2	2	352	433	451	883	99	403	12	9	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	27	21	2	1	0	0	4	10	1	0	0	95	269	143	412	48	167	37	15	185	0	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	27	19	2	1	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	105	346	158	504	53	154	26	22	263	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	3 teams	—	345	310	57	14	0	0	22	80	11	4	1	184	262	229	491	45	246	23	6	232	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A	3 teams	—	345	291	66	14	1	0	39	56	11	4	1	227	338	282	620	55	278	16	11	293	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	89	81	23	2	0	0	3	21	4	1	0	284	341	309	650	25	383	24	3	286	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	89	77	23	3	0	0	5	16	4	1	0	299	364	338	701	39	377	18	6	319	102	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	183	158	34	6	0	4	17	35	2	5	2	215	299	329	629	114	240	19	9	288	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
YTD	23	A+	PHI	—	183	148	36	7	0	5	26	26	2	5	2	243	362	392	753	149	252	14	14	332	112	+3	+0	+0	+3	+5	1.1
ROS	23	A+	PHI	0%	122	110	24	5	0	2	9	26	2	2	1	218	289	318	607	100	268	21	7	273	67	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	23	MLB	PHI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						270	0	0	262	59	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	23	A+	PHI	—	184	159	34	6	0	4	17	35	2	5	2	214	298	327	625	113	238	19	9	288	78	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
TOT	23	A+	PHI	—	305	268	58	11	0	6	26	61	4	7	3	216	295	325	620	108	250	20	9	282	74	-9	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	274	247	56	11	1	5	21	58	4	4	1	227	298	340	638	113	273	21	8	285	76	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	343	308	69	13	1	6	27	72	5	6	2	224	297	331	628	107	274	21	8	290	80	-8	+0	+0	+6	+10	0.9
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	389	349	80	15	1	8	31	82	6	6	2	229	303	347	650	117	275	21	8	293	82	-8	+0	+0	+7	+11	1.1
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	408	366	83	16	1	8	33	87	6	7	2	227	301	342	643	115	276	21	8	294	83	-8	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.2
2031	28	MLB	PHI	53%	417	374	84	16	1	8	34	89	6	6	2	225	300	337	636	112	275	21	8	293	82	-8	+0	-1	+7	+12	1.1
2032	29	MLB	PHI	53%	415	372	84	16	1	8	34	90	6	6	2	226	301	339	640	113	274	22	8	291	81	-9	+0	-1	+7	+12	0.9
2033	30	MLB	PHI	52%	411	369	83	16	1	8	33	90	6	5	2	225	299	339	638	114	273	22	8	288	79	-10	+0	-2	+7	+12	0.7
2034	31	MLB	PHI	52%	387	347	76	14	1	7	31	86	6	4	1	219	294	326	620	107	271	22	8	284	76	-11	+0	-3	+7	+11	0.5
2035	32	MLB	PHI	52%	360	323	70	13	1	6	29	81	5	3	1	217	291	319	610	102	268	22	8	279	71	-12	+0	-4	+6	+10	0.2
2036	33	MLB	PHI	52%	322	288	61	11	1	5	26	74	5	2	1	212	288	309	597	97	264	23	8	272	66	-12	+0	-4	+6	+9	-0.2
2027	24	MLB	PHI	30%	83	76	16	3	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	211	277	289	567	79	275	22	7	275	69	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	25	MLB	PHI	44%	152	137	32	6	1	3	12	32	2	2	1	234	305	358	662	124	276	21	8	281	73	-5	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	26	MLB	PHI	51%	197	177	41	8	1	4	15	42	3	3	1	232	303	356	658	124	277	21	8	283	75	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	27	MLB	PHI	52%	214	192	44	8	1	4	17	45	3	3	1	229	302	344	646	115	278	21	8	284	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2031	28	MLB	PHI	53%	222	199	46	9	1	4	18	47	3	3	1	231	305	347	651	116	277	21	8	283	75	-6	+0	-0	+4	+6	0.4
2032	29	MLB	PHI	53%	218	195	45	9	1	4	18	47	3	3	1	231	306	349	654	118	276	22	8	282	74	-6	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.3
2033	30	MLB	PHI	52%	214	192	43	8	1	4	17	47	3	3	1	224	297	339	636	115	275	22	8	279	72	-7	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.2
2034	31	MLB	PHI	52%	201	180	41	8	1	4	16	45	3	2	1	228	302	350	652	122	273	22	8	275	69	-7	+0	-1	+4	+6	0.1
2035	32	MLB	PHI	52%	186	166	36	7	0	3	15	42	3	2	1	217	293	313	607	96	270	23	8	270	64	-7	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.1
2036	33	MLB	PHI	52%	166	150	32	6	0	3	13	38	2	1	0	213	285	313	598	100	266	23	8	263	59	-8	+0	-2	+3	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1854	1665	376	72	7	34	147	403	26	23	8	226	299	339	637	113	276	22	8	278	71	-61	+1	-8	+33	+53	1.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	584	131	25	2	12	52	141	9	8	3	224	298	336	633	111	274	22	8	278	71	-21	+0	-3	+12	+18	0.7
Career	—			—	4415	3959	880	166	11	72	344	965	76	58	20	222	297	324	621	102	274	22	8	282	74	-128	+4	-15	+79	+125	6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	583	130	24	2	11	51	142	11	9	3	223	298	328	625	105	275	22	8	282	74	-19	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	19	ROK	ACL D-backs Red	—	106	91	32	4	1	1	10	13	3	2	2	352	433	451	883	99	403	12	9	392	158	+7	-0	—	—	+3	1.0
2023	20	ROK	ACL D-backs Black	—	27	19	2	1	0	0	6	7	1	0	0	105	346	158	504	53	154	26	22	263	60	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2024	21	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	113	97	18	0	0	0	10	21	5	0	1	186	292	186	478		237	19	9	238	41	-8	-0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2024	21	A	Clearwater Threshers	—	143	123	30	10	0	0	12	22	6	2	0	244	338	325	663	81	294	15	8	306	92	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.3
2024	21	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	89	71	18	4	1	0	17	13	0	2	0	254	398	338	736	85	305	15	19	341	119	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2025	22	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	89	77	23	3	0	0	5	16	4	1	0	299	364	338	701	39	377	18	6	319	102	+0	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	10	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
	/162	664	8	18	243	310	341	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
#5Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	1,854	35	25	225	296	337	+33	+20	3.8	3.6
	/162	664	12	9	225	296	337	+11.9	+7.2	1.4	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Caicuto (OGILVIE)	23	51→56	33→38	46→51	51	216/295/325	108	250	6	7	20%	9%	74	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Tyler Smith 2014 · A	23	49→54	39→40	50	44	230/289/323	93	288	5	11	21%	6%	71	-0.3	238/302/328	90	309	6	9	23%	8%	78	+0.2	241/302/328	87	309	6	8	23%	7%	74	-0.1
✕Trey Harris 2019 · A	23	49→52	38→50	49→45	49	230/300/322	92	281	4	9	19%	7%	76	+0.0	244/297/379	135	300	14	6	23%	5%	89	+1.0	234/288/356	122	293	14	6	24%	4%	75	+0.0
✕Dixon Machado 2015 · AA	23	48→55	39→45	47→55	50	228/290/321	93	273	5	10	18%	8%	71	-0.3	239/289/314	75	287	5	12	18%	6%	68	-0.5	228/310/338	110	275	11	4	20%	9%	81	+0.3
✕Marco Hernandez 2021 · A	23	46	39→40	49→45	47	220/285/308	87	282	6	8	23%	7%	66	-0.6	203/292/299	96	283	8	4	29%	9%	68	-0.5	162/268/244	82	214	10	0	27%	10%	41	-0.6
✕Yoel Campusano 2010 · A	23	52→55	38→40	49→50	45	247/293/327	80	293	5	9	18%	5%	72	-0.2	224/276/319	95	288	8	9	24%	6%	64	-0.8	180/244/267	87	234	9	5	26%	8%	35	-0.7
✕Mike Dowd 2013 · A	23	52	38→40	45→40	44	247/291/331	84	291	5	6	17%	5%	73	-0.1	207/251/281	74	259	5	4	22%	4%	43	-2.2	183/221/242	59	230	5	1	22%	2%	17	-1.5
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2018 · AA	23	52→56	36→40	47→55	45	246/294/309	63	293	3	11	17%	5%	69	-0.4	244/301/332	88	293	6	12	18%	6%	78	+0.2	264/312/341	77	299	6	21	14%	5%	81	+0.3
●Jake Elmore 2010 · A	23	47→57	38→40	46→55	51	223/294/310	87	271	5	10	19%	8%	70	-0.3	247/317/321	74	300	3	18	17%	9%	82	+0.5	261/334/334	72	315	2	23	16%	9%	91	+0.9
✕Andy Paz 2017 · AA	24	49	38→40	51→45	45	233/286/312	80	303	6	7	24%	7%	66	-0.6	214/262/283	69	291	5	9	26%	6%	48	-1.9	174/216/193	19	246	0	7	28%	5%	3	-1.6
✕Yung-Chi Chen 2006 · A	23	50→58	40→45	50→55	43	240/277/338	98	289	7	9	20%	5%	69	-0.4	250/290/352	102	299	8	16	18%	5%	78	+0.2	256/301/349	93	305	7	18	18%	6%	80	+0.2
✕Roy Morales 2018 · A	23	50	37→30	49→45	50	234/300/300	66	275	4	8	16%	7%	70	-0.3	228/291/302	74	282	4	10	19%	7%	66	-0.6	271/335/332	61	323	4	8	16%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Paco Figueroa 2006 · A	23	53→56	37→40	49→55	50	246/319/325	79	310	3	11	20%	8%	84	+0.6	250/306/327	77	304	4	16	18%	6%	79	+0.3	258/316/340	82	311	3	19	17%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Justin Sellers 2009 · AA	23	47→54	39→45	49→50	47	226/286/316	90	275	6	10	20%	7%	68	-0.5	224/289/321	97	277	7	9	21%	7%	71	-0.3	214/286/314	100	264	8	7	21%	8%	66	-0.4
✕Bryson Brigman 2018 · A	23	48→58	36→40	47→50	44	225/272/287	62	283	3	10	21%	6%	53	-1.5	241/294/317	76	304	4	10	21%	6%	71	-0.3	255/311/340	85	317	5	11	20%	7%	81	+0.3
✕Shane Justis 2006 · A	23	45→52	40	46→50	43	216/274/315	99	270	7	7	22%	5%	63	-0.8	241/305/347	106	285	10	8	18%	7%	84	+0.6	250/315/348	98	292	8	10	17%	7%	86	+0.4
✕A.J. Jimenez 2013 · AA	23	51→57	41→45	48→50	42	246/287/348	102	303	7	11	21%	5%	76	+0.0	232/269/326	94	287	6	6	21%	5%	63	-0.9	228/262/316	88	282	5	3	20%	4%	55	-0.6
✕P.J. Higgins 2016 · A	23	44→54	42→45	54→40	42	215/263/322	108	284	8	8	27%	6%	59	-1.1	228/299/300	72	289	3	4	20%	8%	69	-0.4	239/302/362	123	304	13	3	24%	8%	85	+0.5
✕Darwin Barney 2009 · A	23	49→58	38→40	49→50	46	232/280/321	88	277	4	8	18%	6%	66	-0.6	250/286/324	74	293	3	9	15%	4%	69	-0.4	257/295/337	80	287	4	9	12%	4%	73	-0.2
✕Ryan Crew 2007 · A	23	52→54	38→40	46→45	48	246/296/331	85	296	5	8	18%	6%	76	+0.0	226/280/299	73	281	4	8	19%	7%	60	-1.0	222/274/278	56	276	2	9	19%	7%	51	-0.8
✕Aaron Reza 2008 · A	23	46→47	39→45	47→40	50	219/295/307	87	269	6	9	20%	8%	70	-0.3	219/282/318	99	285	9	5	25%	6%	67	-0.5	213/277/308	95	277	9	2	25%	6%	59	-0.5