Jose M. Mendoza

C ACL White Sox

Age 19 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1946ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKCWS	122	.333/.410/.407	1	1	54	—	.214/.279/.241
2026	18	ROKCWS	151	.204/.278/.431	9	0	22	—	.134/.185/.275
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCWS	261	.191/.252/.285	4	3	51	-0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCWS	45	.197/.260/.301	1	1	57	-0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCWS	112	.202/.265/.313	2	2	62	-0.1

Next 3 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

ISO89

wRC+15

Chase%14

wOBA13

K%10

BB%10

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 96%

CompsRichard Ramirez (age 19) · Jesus Galiz (age 19) · Freuddy Batista (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .250 / .283

PA78

HR1

K%31

BB%7

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$4M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 28 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT28

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE49

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.5M	+$0.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2036	Arb-1	$0.6M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$0.4M	—	—	—
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$3M		$1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	122	108	36	5	0	1	13	21	1	1	1	333	410	407	817	74	407	17	11	373	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL White Sox	—	151	137	28	4	0	9	13	50	1	0	1	204	278	431	709	226	244	33	9	313	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	122	112	24	3	0	0	9	25	1	1	1	214	279	241	520	27	283	20	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	151	142	19	2	0	6	8	72	1	0	1	134	185	275	460	141	204	48	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	122	112	24	3	0	0	9	25	1	1	1	214	279	241	520	27	276	20	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL White Sox	—	122	108	36	5	0	1	13	21	1	1	1	333	410	407	817	74	407	17	11	373	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	151	142	19	2	0	6	8	72	1	0	1	134	185	275	460	141	203	48	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL White Sox	—	151	137	28	4	0	9	13	50	1	0	1	204	278	431	709	226	244	33	9	313	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	122	111	24	3	0	0	9	25	1	1	1	216	279	243	522	27	283	20	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	151	141	19	2	0	6	8	72	1	0	1	135	185	277	462	142	204	48	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL White Sox	—	122	111	24	3	0	0	9	25	1	1	1	216	279	243	522	27	283	20	7	248	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL White Sox	—	151	141	19	2	0	6	8	72	1	0	1	135	185	277	462	142	204	48	5	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CWS	0%	261	240	45	7	1	4	17	81	2	3	1	191	252	285	537	94	266	31	7	244	51	-15	+0	+0	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CWS	34%	131	120	24	4	1	2	9	40	1	2	1	197	259	299	558	102	269	31	7	253	57	-7	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	CWS	48%	231	211	43	7	1	5	16	69	2	4	2	201	265	311	575	109	271	30	7	260	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	-0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	CWS	54%	342	312	64	10	2	7	24	100	3	6	3	205	270	320	590	115	273	29	7	266	66	-14	+0	+0	+6	+7	-0.0
2031	23	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	418	381	80	13	2	10	30	121	4	7	3	209	274	329	602	120	275	29	7	271	70	-15	+0	+0	+7	+9	0.2
2032	24	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	445	406	86	14	2	11	32	127	4	8	3	212	277	336	613	124	277	29	7	275	73	-15	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2033	25	MLB MLE	CWS	57%	445	406	86	14	2	11	32	127	4	8	3	212	277	337	614	125	277	29	7	276	73	-14	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	CWS	56%	445	406	86	14	2	11	32	127	4	8	3	212	277	337	615	126	277	29	7	276	73	-14	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.4
2035	27	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	445	406	86	14	2	11	32	127	4	8	4	211	276	335	611	124	276	29	7	275	72	-15	+0	+0	+8	+10	0.3
2036	28	MLB MLE	CWS	55%	445	406	84	14	2	10	32	128	4	7	4	209	274	330	604	121	275	29	7	272	70	-16	-0	-1	+8	+10	0.1
2037	29	MLB MLE	CWS	53%	445	406	83	13	2	10	32	130	4	6	4	206	271	324	595	117	273	29	7	268	68	-17	-0	-1	+8	+10	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CWS	34%	45	42	8	1	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	197	260	301	560	103	270	31	7	254	57	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	CWS	48%	112	102	21	3	1	2	8	33	1	2	1	202	265	313	578	111	272	29	7	261	62	-5	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	CWS	54%	185	168	35	6	1	4	13	54	2	3	1	206	270	323	593	117	274	29	7	267	66	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	237	216	45	7	1	6	17	68	2	4	2	209	274	331	605	122	276	29	7	272	70	-9	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
2032	24	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	252	229	48	8	1	6	18	72	3	4	2	212	278	338	616	126	278	29	7	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2033	25	MLB CTX	CWS	57%	251	228	48	8	1	6	18	72	3	4	2	213	278	340	618	127	278	29	7	277	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2034	26	MLB CTX	CWS	56%	251	229	48	8	1	6	18	72	2	4	2	213	278	340	618	127	277	29	7	278	73	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	247	225	48	8	1	6	18	71	2	4	2	212	277	337	614	126	277	29	7	276	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	CWS	55%	244	222	47	8	1	6	18	70	2	4	2	210	275	333	608	123	276	29	7	273	70	-9	+0	-0	+4	+5	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	CWS	53%	238	217	44	7	1	5	17	69	2	3	2	207	272	326	598	119	274	29	7	270	68	-9	-0	-1	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2062	1878	392	64	9	48	148	595	19	33	16	209	273	329	602	120	277	29	7	273	67	-74	+0	-1	+37	+45	0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	592	123	20	3	15	47	188	6	10	5	208	273	328	601	120	276	29	7	273	67	-23	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.2
Career	—	MLE		—	4143	3786	778	124	18	95	293	1217	37	66	32	205	269	323	592	118	274	29	7	267	67	-141	+1	-2	+69	+84	1.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	122	19	3	15	46	191	6	10	5	205	269	323	593	118	274	29	7	267	67	-24	+0	-0	+12	+14	0.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL White Sox · 151 PAwOBA .304 → .200 (−104)K% 33.1% → 47.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	33.11%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	47.68%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	8.61%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	5.46%
HBP% /PA	0.66%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.49%
Singles /BIP	17.24%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.022	15.18%
Doubles /BIP	4.60%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	3.55%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	10.34%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	8.25%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .304 → .200; ISO .226 → .145; BABIP .244 → .204. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL White Sox · 122 PAwOBA .363 → .248 (−115)K% 17.2% → 20.9%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	17.21%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	20.91%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.66%	÷1.005	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.59%
HBP% /PA	0.82%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.59%
Singles /BIP	34.48%	÷1.021	×0.680	×1.050	×1.022	24.65%
Doubles /BIP	5.75%	÷1.070	×0.600	×1.050	×1.022	3.46%
Triples /BIP	0.00%	÷0.927	×0.600	×1.050	×1.022	0.00%
Home runs /BIP	1.15%	÷1.102	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.50%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 104, 2B 114, 3B 85, K 101, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .363 → .248; ISO .074 → .040; BABIP .407 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	2.5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
/162	664	31	1	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	3.2	2,140	49	36	209	271	329	+38	+24	2.0	2.1
/162	664	15	11	+11.9	+7.4	0.6	pk7: 2
#4Mike Difelice'96-'08 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,714 PA	2.6	1,714	28	3	226*	277*	345*	+30	+0	0.6	1.5
/162	664	11	1	+11.7	+0.0	0.2	pk7: 2
#5Chad Moeller'00-'10 * career totals — 10 seasons, 1,539 PA	2.3	1,539	29	2	218*	277*	341*	+27	-0	-0.2	1.0
/162	664	13	1	+11.6	-0.1	-0.1	pk7: 2
#6Steve Swisher'74-'82 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,577 PA	2.4	1,577	20	4	211*	275*	330*	+28	+0	-0.1	0.6
/162	664	8	2	+11.9	+0.0	-0.0	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose M. Mendoza (OGILVIE)	19	23→28	43→48	43→48	49	190/250/283	93	266	1	1	31%	7%	51	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Richard Ramirez 2024 · A	19	34	39→55	48→40	46	173/246/259	86	244	7	5	31%	9%	45	-2.7	199/260/315	116	319	12	4	39%	7%	62	-1.4	198/255/335	137	313	16	2	40%	6%	62	-0.7
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	36	40→50	45→40	43	179/248/267	88	250	7	4	30%	7%	47	-2.5	187/244/294	107	279	10	5	35%	6%	51	-2.2	195/262/337	142	285	14	5	35%	6%	66	-0.5
✕Sammy Hernandez 2024 · A	20	37	43→40	51→50	40	188/254/301	113	262	11	5	31%	6%	57	-1.8	203/291/298	95	270	8	9	26%	9%	71	-0.8	201/300/298	97	262	9	13	24%	10%	72	-0.4
✕Johanfran Garcia 2024 · A	19	41	40→50	49→45	42	199/270/291	93	282	8	6	31%	7%	61	-1.5	219/276/349	130	326	16	5	36%	6%	76	-0.4	218/265/369	151	318	23	4	38%	5%	74	-0.3
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/254	72	232	7	5	25%	6%	35	-3.4	196/248/282	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	49	-2.4	215/276/319	104	267	9	0	22%	7%	69	-0.2
✕Diego Cartaya 2021 · A	19	43→35	41→50	50→30	40	209/261/307	98	290	8	5	30%	6%	60	-1.6	209/290/371	162	295	21	3	35%	8%	87	+0.4	180/269/344	164	243	23	0	35%	8%	72	-0.4
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Enderson Delgado 2024 · A	19	32	38→45	44→30	42	160/240/231	71	233	6	5	32%	7%	36	-3.3	187/268/277	90	268	8	4	31%	7%	57	-1.8	177/262/262	85	246	8	2	29%	7%	51	-0.7
✕Cristian Santana 2023 · A	19	37→20	43→45	46→45	48	180/297/288	108	265	10	11	33%	10%	73	-0.6	155/286/270	115	241	13	6	37%	13%	65	-1.2	140/273/279	139	188	20	5	36%	13%	62	-0.8
✕Jhonny Severino 2024 · A	19	38→31	44→55	55→50	37	195/245/309	114	272	12	14	32%	5%	55	-2.0	196/242/348	152	258	18	11	31%	5%	63	-1.3	186/231/352	166	232	22	11	31%	5%	58	-1.2
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Carlos Cauro 2024 · A	19	40	40	46→45	49	193/286/282	89	274	7	4	30%	10%	65	-1.2	204/280/311	107	300	11	5	33%	8%	70	-0.9	198/280/293	95	285	12	5	32%	8%	65	-0.4
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Rodolfo Castro 2018 · A	19	41→42	41→55	47→50	41	199/257/307	107	275	8	5	30%	6%	59	-1.7	197/239/329	132	279	14	5	33%	5%	57	-1.8	211/274/367	156	276	20	7	30%	7%	79	-0.2
✕Joe DeCarlo 2013 · A	19	39→38	41→50	43→30	45	190/273/293	102	270	8	3	30%	8%	63	-1.4	186/268/287	101	300	9	2	38%	8%	59	-1.6	191/272/338	147	261	18	1	32%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Luis Baez 2023 · A	19	38→36	43→50	45	36	195/236/308	113	270	10	10	32%	5%	51	-2.3	203/255/335	132	286	15	8	33%	6%	65	-1.2	202/254/334	131	283	15	8	33%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	33	39→45	46→50	43	168/240/251	83	236	7	10	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/266/296	105	275	9	11	32%	7%	61	-1.5	185/266/298	114	262	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	42→45	47→40	43	193/270/291	98	282	10	4	33%	8%	61	-1.5	183/263/292	109	300	11	4	39%	9%	59	-1.7	149/242/259	110	247	12	2	42%	10%	42	-1.0

Jose M. Mendoza

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps