Jose M. Mendoza — OGILVIE

Jose M. MendozaC ACL White Sox

Age 18 R/R 6'2" / 210 lbs ROK HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION130 act + 86 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†42

AVG/OBP/SLG.174 / .231 / .273

PA86

HR2

K%33

BB%6

BABIP242

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 31 / POW 49

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT31

scouting grade only

POWER49

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	122	113	28	3	0	1	8	30	1	1	1	248	303	301	604	53	329	25	7	263	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	122	108	36	5	0	1	13	21	1	1	1	333	410	407	817	74	407	17	11	373	143	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CWS	—	130	122	17	3	0	5	7	56	1	0	1	139	192	287	479	148	197	43	5	213	21	-12	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
YTD	18	ROK	CWS	—	130	117	25	4	0	8	12	39	1	0	1	214	292	453	745	239	243	30	9	328	109	+1	-0	+0	+2	+4	0.7
ROS	18	ROK	CWS	0%	86	80	14	2	0	2	5	29	1	1	0	174	231	273	503	99	256	33	6	240	42	-6	+0	+0	+2	+2	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	CWS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		256	—	—	235	38	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CWS	—	130	123	17	3	0	5	7	56	1	0	1	138	192	285	477	146	194	43	5	213	21	-12	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.6
TOT	18	ROK	CWS	—	216	202	31	5	0	7	12	85	2	1	1	153	208	281	489	128	217	39	6	224	29	-17	-0	+0	+4	+6	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CWS	34%	249	228	44	7	1	6	17	79	2	3	2	193	255	311	566	118	263	32	7	255	53	-13	-0	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	CWS	48%	375	342	68	11	2	9	26	116	4	6	3	199	263	322	585	123	267	31	7	264	60	-17	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.1
2029	21	MLB	CWS	54%	468	426	86	14	2	12	33	142	6	8	3	202	269	329	597	127	270	30	7	270	65	-18	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.4
2030	22	MLB	CWS	57%	520	472	97	16	2	14	37	156	6	9	4	206	272	337	609	131	271	30	7	274	68	-19	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.6
2027	19	MLB	CWS	34%	86	79	14	2	0	2	6	27	1	1	1	177	244	278	523	101	264	31	7	249	49	-5	-0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	CWS	48%	182	165	33	5	1	5	13	56	2	3	1	200	267	333	600	133	268	31	7	257	55	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	CWS	54%	254	231	48	8	1	7	18	77	3	4	2	208	274	342	616	134	271	30	7	263	60	-12	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.0
2030	22	MLB	CWS	57%	294	267	55	9	1	8	21	88	4	5	2	206	274	337	611	131	272	30	7	267	62	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	816	743	150	24	3	22	58	248	10	13	6	202	269	331	600	129	269	30	7	262	58	-38	+0	+0	+15	+23	-0.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	592	119	19	2	18	46	198	8	10	5	201	268	331	599	130	267	30	7	262	58	-31	+0	+0	+12	+18	-0.1
Career	—			—	1820	1661	337	53	7	44	126	552	20	28	13	203	267	323	590	120	273	30	7	266	62	-78	+0	+0	+33	+52	0.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	593	120	19	2	16	45	197	7	10	5	202	267	322	589	120	272	30	7	266	62	-28	+0	+0	+12	+18	0.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL White Sox	—	122	108	36	5	0	1	13	21	1	1	1	333	410	407	817	74	407	17	11	373	143	+6	-0	—	—	+3	0.9

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 3 projected seasons	3	947	23	15	202	264	326	+17	+12	0.4	0.5
	/162	664	16	10	202	264	326	+11.9	+8.4	0.3	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose M. Mendoza (OGILVIE)	18	26→31	44→49	43→48	48	153/208/281	128	217	7	1	39%	6%	29	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	38	43→45	49→40	40	193/254/304	111	268	10	5	31%	6%	53	-1.5	201/260/303	102	309	9	3	36%	6%	54	-1.4	189/250/287	98	295	8	2	37%	6%	45	-1.0
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→36	40→45	47→50	42	190/245/284	93	260	7	9	29%	6%	43	-2.2	187/246/287	100	286	9	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	205/268/331	127	286	15	12	32%	7%	61	-0.7
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
✕Jesús Báez 2023 · A	18	39→35	45→55	44→45	44	197/265/314	117	266	13	9	30%	8%	59	-1.1	203/264/335	132	259	15	9	27%	7%	65	-0.7	213/269/389	177	241	26	8	24%	6%	78	+0.1
✕Hector Garcia 2008 · A	18	38	40→45	49→40	41	188/237/274	86	249	7	6	27%	6%	36	-2.7	212/263/289	77	269	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	222/269/309	87	270	7	1	20%	5%	56	-0.4
✕Amador Arias 2019 · A	18	34	39→45	48→50	45	170/242/253	83	225	7	13	27%	7%	34	-2.8	186/256/285	99	277	9	12	34%	7%	48	-1.9	118/203/228	110	217	14	11	50%	8%	10	-1.7
✕Yohan Matos 2016 · A	19	40	41→45	48→45	38	194/251/289	95	288	8	7	34%	6%	46	-2.0	197/259/275	78	321	4	8	37%	7%	46	-2.0	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
✕Mariel Bautista 2016 · A	18	41→34	38→45	50	40	197/258/282	85	286	5	8	31%	6%	48	-1.9	226/275/318	92	287	6	14	22%	5%	63	-0.8	239/283/340	101	289	8	18	19%	4%	70	-0.1
✕Diego Cartaya 2021 · A	19	43→33	40→50	50→30	40	207/258/304	97	287	8	5	30%	6%	53	-1.5	205/285/365	160	292	20	3	35%	8%	82	+0.5	175/263/337	162	240	23	0	36%	8%	64	-0.4
✕Aaron Familia 2017 · A	18	38	38→40	48→40	45	181/270/258	78	284	6	4	36%	9%	48	-1.9	187/273/272	85	333	6	4	41%	9%	53	-1.5	167/258/250	82	313	7	3	44%	9%	39	-0.7
✕Cam Gallagher 2012 · A	19	36	38→45	48→30	42	181/228/253	72	231	7	5	25%	6%	27	-3.3	197/248/283	86	230	7	3	17%	6%	43	-2.2	223/283/334	112	275	10	0	22%	7%	70	-0.1
✕Kelvin Hidalgo 2023 · A	18	42→39	40→45	50→55	44	204/266/298	94	269	6	13	25%	6%	55	-1.4	206/263/306	100	292	9	17	31%	6%	56	-1.3	196/248/285	89	291	8	23	34%	5%	42	-1.3
✕Alexander Mojica 2022 · A	19	39	41→45	47→40	41	194/262/289	96	287	9	4	34%	7%	52	-1.6	185/266/295	110	307	11	4	40%	9%	56	-1.3	155/253/274	119	262	13	2	42%	10%	42	-0.8
✕Freuddy Batista 2019 · A	19	39	43→50	45→40	39	193/258/301	108	287	10	4	35%	7%	53	-1.5	194/251/315	121	295	13	5	37%	6%	53	-1.5	199/268/360	160	283	18	5	35%	6%	70	-0.2
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	39	39→45	45→55	38	193/252/278	85	266	7	8	29%	5%	44	-2.1	196/255/289	93	278	8	10	31%	6%	48	-1.9	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Francisco Medina 2016 · A	18	37	42→40	50→40	33	191/235/291	99	271	11	5	33%	4%	40	-2.4	194/248/266	72	286	6	5	32%	6%	39	-2.5	176/232/231	55	267	5	4	34%	6%	20	-1.1
✕Victor Moscote 2012 · A	18	37	41→30	46→45	39	186/242/285	99	271	9	5	34%	6%	42	-2.3	204/255/276	72	289	5	5	29%	6%	44	-2.1	209/266/252	43	268	2	3	21%	6%	40	-0.8
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	36	42→45	46→50	39	181/247/284	102	272	10	10	36%	7%	44	-2.1	194/268/302	108	283	9	11	33%	7%	58	-1.2	184/266/297	113	261	10	13	31%	8%	53	-0.7
✕Richard Ramirez 2023 · A	18	37	37→55	47→40	38	176/239/249	73	297	5	6	40%	8%	30	-3.1	195/259/306	111	313	11	5	38%	8%	55	-1.4	199/259/329	129	331	13	2	41%	6%	57	-0.5