Diego Cartaya
C Eugene Emeralds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22 | AAA/AA/INTL3 orgs | 423 | .220/.326/.364 | 12 | 2 | 55 | — | .181/.259/.292 |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA/A2 orgs | 87 | .118/.230/.211 | 2 | 0 | -18 | — | .087/.172/.136 |
| 2026 | 24 | A+SF | 35 | .107/.286/.214 | 1 | 0 | -47 | — | .000/.143/.000 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBSF | 1 | .166/.246/.267 | 0 | 0 | 49 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBSF | 55 | .171/.250/.279 | 1 | 1 | 54 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 207 | 185 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 348 | 432 | 780 | 151 | 338 | 20 | 8 | 343 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 114 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 412 | 614 | 1.026 | 316 | 353 | 27 | 13 | 440 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ | Great Lakes Loons | — | 282 | 231 | 58 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 75 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 251 | 382 | 476 | 858 | 225 | 310 | 27 | 14 | 380 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 163 | 131 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 44 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 260 | 405 | 550 | 955 | 290 | 321 | 27 | 14 | 418 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 403 | 354 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 37 | 117 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 281 | 379 | 659 | 189 | 216 | 29 | 9 | 294 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 208 | 183 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 57 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 208 | 296 | 350 | 646 | 142 | 262 | 27 | 10 | 292 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA | Tulsa Drillers | — | 192 | 161 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 56 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 236 | 356 | 379 | 735 | 143 | 327 | 29 | 14 | 335 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 23 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 348 | 368 | 716 | 158 | 300 | 35 | 17 | 330 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | — | 69 | 59 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 85 | 217 | 136 | 353 | 51 | 222 | 58 | 13 | 184 | -31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A | San Jose Giants | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 471 | 748 | 235 | 231 | 17 | 0 | 328 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Eugene Emeralds | — | 35 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 286 | 214 | 500 | 107 | 500 | 66 | 17 | 252 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 207 | 191 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 245 | 293 | 538 | 99 | 258 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 120 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 324 | 467 | 790 | 233 | 312 | 36 | 9 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | Great Lakes Loons | — | 282 | 243 | 48 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 28 | 92 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 198 | 304 | 362 | 666 | 165 | 261 | 33 | 10 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 163 | 140 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 179 | 294 | 350 | 644 | 171 | 273 | 39 | 9 | 282 | 77 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 403 | 363 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 139 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 233 | 298 | 531 | 140 | 193 | 34 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | Oklahoma City Baseball Club | — | 208 | 189 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 69 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 248 | 296 | 544 | 116 | 244 | 33 | 7 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 192 | 170 | 31 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 71 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 182 | 272 | 288 | 560 | 106 | 277 | 37 | 9 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | St. Paul Saints | — | 69 | 62 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 49 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 145 | 48 | 193 | 224 | 71 | 9 | 122 | -31 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 23 | A MLE | San Jose Giants | — | 18 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 235 | 278 | 471 | 748 | 235 | 187 | 22 | 0 | 217 | 33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 35 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 89 | 11 | 98 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 207 | 191 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 245 | 293 | 538 | 99 | 260 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 207 | 185 | 52 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 42 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 281 | 348 | 432 | 780 | 151 | 338 | 20 | 8 | 343 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 120 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 324 | 467 | 790 | 233 | 317 | 36 | 9 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 114 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 10 | 18 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 298 | 412 | 614 | 1.026 | 316 | 353 | 27 | 13 | 440 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 382 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 157 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 305 | 369 | 674 | 175 | 275 | 35 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 445 | 362 | 92 | 22 | 1 | 22 | 63 | 119 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 391 | 503 | 893 | 249 | 314 | 27 | 14 | 394 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 403 | 363 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 139 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 233 | 298 | 531 | 140 | 201 | 34 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA RAW | Tulsa Drillers | — | 403 | 354 | 67 | 10 | 0 | 19 | 37 | 117 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 281 | 379 | 659 | 189 | 216 | 29 | 9 | 294 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 380 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 148 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 257 | 287 | 544 | 108 | 261 | 35 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 423 | 363 | 80 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 121 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 220 | 326 | 364 | 690 | 143 | 292 | 29 | 12 | 313 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 87 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 172 | 139 | 312 | 51 | 240 | 61 | 7 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 87 | 76 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 43 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 230 | 211 | 440 | 92 | 226 | 49 | 10 | 214 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 35 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | — | 89 | 11 | 98 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | Eugene Emeralds | — | 35 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 107 | 286 | 214 | 500 | 107 | 500 | 66 | 17 | 252 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | AZL Dodgers Mota | — | 207 | 192 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 60 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 245 | 292 | 537 | 99 | 258 | 29 | 5 | 239 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | A MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 137 | 120 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 12 | 50 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 324 | 467 | 790 | 233 | 312 | 36 | 9 | 341 | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 20 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 445 | 381 | 74 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 157 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 194 | 305 | 370 | 675 | 176 | 265 | 35 | 10 | 292 | 84 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | AA MLE | Tulsa Drillers | — | 403 | 364 | 57 | 9 | 0 | 14 | 28 | 139 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 157 | 233 | 297 | 530 | 140 | 193 | 34 | 7 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 380 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 148 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 257 | 287 | 544 | 108 | 260 | 35 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 87 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 172 | 139 | 312 | 51 | 216 | 61 | 7 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 35 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 89 | 11 | 98 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 22 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 380 | 68 | 14 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 148 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 179 | 257 | 287 | 544 | 108 | 260 | 35 | 8 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 87 | 79 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 53 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 89 | 172 | 139 | 312 | 51 | 216 | 61 | 7 | 142 | -18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Eugene Emeralds | — | 35 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 143 | 89 | 11 | 98 | -47 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||||
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | SF | 0% | 200 | 179 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 69 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 169 | 248 | 275 | 524 | 106 | 243 | 34 | 8 | 241 | 49 | -12 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | SF | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 166 | 246 | 267 | 512 | 101 | 240 | 0 | 0 | 236 | 49 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | SF | 30% | 181 | 162 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 61 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 174 | 253 | 287 | 541 | 113 | 246 | 34 | 8 | 247 | 54 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +4 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | SF | 30% | 55 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 171 | 250 | 279 | 529 | 108 | 243 | 35 | 7 | 243 | 54 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 55 | 50 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 180 | 255 | 280 | 535 | 100 | 267 | 35 | 7 | 243 | 57 | -3 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 591 | 107 | 24 | 0 | 12 | 47 | 225 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 181 | 255 | 283 | 538 | 102 | 268 | 35 | 7 | 243 | 57 | -36 | +2 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2023 | 1801 | 314 | 61 | 3 | 57 | 161 | 735 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 174 | 259 | 306 | 566 | 132 | 251 | 36 | 8 | 252 | 57 | -16 | +0 | +0 | +5 | +6 | -0.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 101 | 20 | 1 | 18 | 52 | 236 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 174 | 259 | 306 | 565 | 131 | 252 | 36 | 8 | 252 | 57 | -37 | +0 | +0 | +12 | +14 | -1.1 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Eugene Emeralds · 35 PAwOBA .246 → .098 (−148)K% 65.7% → 88.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 65.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.350 | — | — | 88.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 11.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.86% | — | ×0.810 | — | ×0.978 | 2.26% |
| Singles /BIP | 40.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.978 | 35.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.978 | 16.23% |
Factors used: level-wide A+ factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .246 → .098; ISO .107 → .000; BABIP .500 → .000. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAASt. Paul Saints · 69 PAwOBA .181 → .122 (−58)K% 58.0% → 70.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 57.97% | ÷0.989 | ×1.200 | — | — | 70.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.022 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.048 | 9.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.45% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.048 | 1.43% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷0.944 | ×0.930 | — | ×1.048 | 21.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.253 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.048 | 3.08% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 151, 1B 89, 2B 88, 3B 100, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .181 → .122; ISO .051 → .021; BABIP .222 → .224. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ASan Jose Giants · 18 PAwOBA .318 → .217 (−101)K% 16.7% → 23.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.67% | ÷0.962 | ×1.360 | — | — | 23.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 0.00% | ÷1.055 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.56% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 4.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.007 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.980 | 12.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.138 | ×0.830 | — | ×0.980 | 5.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.980 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.358 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 4.12% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 172, 1B 101, 2B 128, 3B 80, K 92, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .318 → .217; ISO .235 → .134; BABIP .231 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAAOklahoma City Baseball Club · 208 PAwOBA .287 → .241 (−46)K% 27.4% → 33.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.40% | ÷0.990 | ×1.200 | — | — | 33.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.62% | ÷1.021 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.050 | 6.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.44% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.050 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.05% | ÷0.977 | ×0.930 | ×0.955 | ×1.050 | 18.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.35% | ÷0.930 | ×0.830 | ×0.955 | ×1.050 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.126 | ×0.970 | ×0.955 | ×1.050 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.896 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.050 | 3.91% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 79, 1B 95, 2B 86, 3B 125, K 98, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 27.2 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.955.
Result: wOBA .287 → .241; ISO .142 → .116; BABIP .262 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AATulsa Drillers · 192 PAwOBA .327 → .251 (−76)K% 29.2% → 37.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.17% | ÷0.959 | ×1.220 | — | — | 37.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.54% | ÷1.048 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.56% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 1.40% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.956 | ×1.027 | 20.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.62% | ÷1.003 | ×0.840 | ×0.956 | ×1.027 | 6.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.142 | ×0.940 | ×0.956 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.063 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 3.68% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 113, 1B 108, 2B 101, 3B 128, K 92, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.956.
Result: wOBA .327 → .251; ISO .143 → .108; BABIP .327 → .277. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AATulsa Drillers · 403 PAwOBA .289 → .233 (−56)K% 29.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.03% | ÷1.023 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.18% | ÷0.973 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.042 | 6.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.99% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.042 | 1.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.03% | ÷0.992 | ×0.920 | ×0.951 | ×1.042 | 14.73% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.22% | ÷0.942 | ×0.840 | ×0.951 | ×1.042 | 3.73% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×0.951 | ×1.042 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.02% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.042 | 6.17% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 98, 2B 88, 3B 80, K 105, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 24.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.
Result: wOBA .289 → .233; ISO .189 → .144; BABIP .216 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Great Lakes Loons · 282 PAwOBA .371 → .298 (−73)K% 26.6% → 32.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.60% | ÷1.033 | ×1.270 | — | — | 32.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.48% | ÷0.980 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.027 | 10.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.19% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×1.027 | 2.59% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.51% | ÷1.026 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 17.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷0.985 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 6.69% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.013 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 6.76% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 103, 1B 105, 2B 97, 3B 130, K 107, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .371 → .298; ISO .225 → .180; BABIP .310 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ARancho Cucamonga Quakes · 163 PAwOBA .405 → .282 (−123)K% 27.0% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.99% | ÷0.930 | ×1.360 | — | — | 39.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.50% | ÷1.072 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.52% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 4.37% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.981 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 15.60% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.34% | ÷0.923 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 8.97% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.15% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.88% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.34% | ÷1.247 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 149, 1B 96, 2B 85, 3B 130, K 86, BB 114 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .405 → .282; ISO .290 → .182; BABIP .321 → .273. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .