Mateo Gil — OGILVIE

Mateo GilSS Mexico Rojo

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs INTL H -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 244 proj PA

wRC+†41

AVG/OBP/SLG.180 / .220 / .288

PA21

HR0

K%33

BB%4

ISO109

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 24 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT24

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE34

scouting grade only

SPEED44

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2018	18	ROK	GCL Cardinals	—	194	171	43	6	1	1	20	51	3	2	2	251	340	316	656	64	353	26	10	305	93	-2	-0	—	—	+4	0.2
2020	20	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	46	43	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	1	186	239	279	518	93	219	22	7	237	46	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2021	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	396	366	91	25	1	9	21	99	4	8	6	249	297	396	693	148	313	25	5	305	92	-4	-1	—	—	+9	0.4
2021	21	INTL	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	37	36	11	1	0	0	0	7	0	0	0	306	306	333	639	28	367	19	0	279	75	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2022	22	A+	Spokane Indians	—	190	174	43	6	2	6	15	48	0	0	2	247	307	408	715	161	306	25	8	316	100	+0	-1	—	—	+4	0.3
2022	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	35	29	7	3	1	1	5	11	1	1	0	241	371	517	889	276	353	31	14	388	149	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2022	22	INTL	Sultanes de Monterrey	—	20	20	6	1	0	0	0	6	0	0	0	300	300	350	650	50	429	30	0	290	83	-0	+0	—	—	+0	0.0
2023	23	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	167	149	37	7	1	2	15	44	0	2	1	248	317	349	666	101	333	26	9	297	87	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.1
2023	23	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	234	212	44	14	3	10	20	56	2	3	1	208	282	443	725	236	233	24	9	318	101	+0	+0	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	24	AA	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	92	86	14	3	0	1	4	31	0	1	0	163	200	233	433	70	236	34	4	193	17	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2024	24	A+	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	217	203	47	11	2	7	11	54	1	1	2	232	274	409	683	177	278	25	5	298	88	-3	-1	—	—	+5	0.1
2024	24	INTL	Mexico	—	179	160	45	5	0	4	13	29	3	9	3	281	347	388	734	106	318	16	7	327	108	+2	+1	—	—	+4	0.6
2025	25	INTL	Mexico Rojo	—	258	219	67	19	4	2	27	39	3	11	6	306	390	457	846	151	351	15	10	365	133	+10	-0	—	—	+6	1.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	—	194	179	30	4	1	1	12	74	3	2	2	168	232	218	450	50	273	38	6	199	21	-18	-0	—	—	+4	-1.5
2021	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	396	373	71	17	1	5	14	139	4	8	6	190	228	282	509	91	275	35	4	223	37	-30	-1	—	—	+9	-2.2
2022	22	A+ MLE	Spokane Indians	—	190	180	30	4	2	3	9	69	0	0	2	167	206	261	467	94	244	36	5	207	26	-17	-1	—	—	+4	-1.4
2022	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	35	31	5	2	1	1	3	16	1	1	0	161	257	387	644	226	257	46	9	239	48	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1
2023	23	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	167	154	34	6	1	2	10	54	0	2	1	221	268	312	580	91	304	32	6	247	53	-9	+0	—	—	+4	-0.6
2023	23	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	234	218	33	10	2	7	14	74	2	3	1	151	209	312	521	161	188	32	6	226	39	-17	+0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2024	24	AA MLE	Binghamton Rumble Ponies	—	92	87	13	3	0	1	3	36	0	1	0	149	178	218	396	69	225	39	3	168	0	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	24	A+ MLE	Brooklyn Cyclones	—	217	207	35	8	2	4	7	73	1	1	2	169	200	285	485	116	229	34	3	207	26	-19	-1	—	—	+5	-1.5
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	—	194	179	30	4	1	1	12	74	3	2	2	168	232	218	450	50	279	38	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK RAW	GCL Cardinals	—	194	171	43	6	1	1	20	51	3	2	2	251	340	316	656	64	353	26	10	305	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL MLE	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	46	43	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	1	186	239	279	518	93	219	22	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2020	20	INTL RAW	Tomateros de Culiacan	—	46	43	8	1	0	1	3	10	0	1	1	186	239	279	518	93	219	22	7	237	46	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	407	78	19	1	6	16	152	4	8	6	192	230	287	517	96	283	35	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	433	402	102	26	1	9	21	106	4	8	6	254	297	391	688	137	318	24	5	303	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	245	229	36	6	2	4	14	93	1	1	2	157	209	253	462	96	241	38	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	245	223	56	10	3	7	20	65	1	1	2	251	316	417	733	166	322	27	8	325	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	401	373	66	15	3	9	23	127	2	5	2	177	229	306	534	129	238	32	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	2 teams	—	401	361	81	21	4	12	35	100	2	5	2	224	296	404	701	180	275	25	9	309	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	488	461	76	17	3	8	16	173	4	11	5	165	200	267	466	102	239	35	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	488	449	106	19	2	12	28	114	4	11	5	236	287	367	654	131	287	23	6	289	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL MLE	Mexico Rojo	—	258	219	67	19	4	2	27	39	3	11	6	306	390	457	846	151	351	15	10	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	25	INTL RAW	Mexico Rojo	—	258	219	67	19	4	2	27	39	3	11	6	306	390	457	846	151	351	15	10	365	133	—	—	—	—	—	—
2018	18	ROK MLE	GCL Cardinals	—	194	177	30	4	1	1	12	74	3	2	2	169	232	220	452	51	273	38	6	199	21	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	433	410	78	19	1	6	16	152	4	8	6	190	230	285	515	95	275	35	4	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	245	228	36	6	2	4	14	93	1	1	2	158	209	254	463	96	246	38	6	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	401	373	66	15	3	9	23	127	2	5	2	177	229	306	534	129	236	32	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	488	465	76	17	3	8	16	173	4	11	5	163	200	265	464	101	228	35	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	2 teams	—	401	373	66	15	3	9	23	127	2	5	2	177	229	306	534	129	236	32	6	235	45	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	488	465	76	17	3	8	16	173	4	11	5	163	200	265	464	101	228	35	3	195	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	NYM	0%	21	20	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	150	190	200	390	50	256	33	5	229	41	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.8
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	NYM	26%	259	243	45	10	1	5	13	84	1	3	1	185	230	296	526	111	260	32	5	238	47	-16	+0	+0	+3	+6	-0.8
2028	28	MLB MLE	NYM	39%	311	290	56	12	2	6	16	99	2	3	1	193	240	310	551	117	262	32	5	244	51	-18	+0	-1	+3	+7	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	NYM	26%	67	64	10	2	0	1	3	22	0	1	0	156	194	234	428	78	253	33	4	230	47	-4	+0	+0	+1	+1	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	NYM	39%	122	114	21	4	1	2	6	39	1	1	0	184	231	289	521	105	255	32	5	235	51	-7	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	189	178	31	6	1	3	9	61	1	2	0	174	218	270	488	96	243	32	5	234	18	-11	+0	-0	+2	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	612	106	21	3	10	31	210	3	7	0	173	216	266	483	93	243	32	5	234	18	-39	+1	-1	+7	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	2656	2464	465	104	17	42	141	858	20	45	26	189	238	296	534	107	267	32	5	195	18	-36	+0	-1	+6	+13	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	603	113	25	4	10	35	210	5	11	6	187	238	292	530	104	265	32	5	195	18	-39	+0	-1	+7	+14	-1.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20 career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA	4.5	3,003	53	12	194	253	300	+54	+136	11.2	10.8
/162	664	12	3	+11.9	+30.1	2.5	pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#3John McDonaldlast yr '14 career totals — 13 seasons, 2,596 PA	3.9	2,596	28	34	233	273	324	+20	+54	4.2	5.1
/162	664	7	9	+5.0	+13.9	1.1	pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	0.7	433	8	4	186	227	298	+5	+6	-1.2	-0.6
/162	664	12	7	+7.1	+9.2	-1.8	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Mateo Gil (OGILVIE)	26	24	38	44	34	180/220/288	108	256	4	3	33%	4%	41	-1.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	37→28	44→45	46→40	36	186/234/301	115	285	12	5	38%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/310	108	297	11	5	34%	6%	57	-1.8	187/232/277	90	267	11	0	33%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Arden Pabst 2021 · AA	26	37	44→45	43→30	35	194/230/312	118	261	12	5	31%	4%	49	-2.4	182/228/306	124	276	16	5	39%	5%	48	-2.5	131/183/232	100	198	15	0	42%	5%	12	-1.5
✕Madison Stokes 2022 · AA	26	39→36	42→45	41→40	37	196/244/302	106	285	10	4	34%	5%	53	-2.1	186/258/290	104	297	9	9	37%	8%	56	-1.9	161/248/258	96	264	8	9	38%	9%	43	-1.5
✕Jake Anchia 2023 · AA	26	37	43→45	47→40	36	192/235/296	104	268	12	3	33%	4%	48	-2.5	187/234/297	110	266	12	5	33%	5%	48	-2.5	167/214/283	117	229	13	3	33%	4%	35	-1.6
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Matt Spring 2011 · AA	26	36	45	46→45	37	189/239/312	123	264	14	4	33%	6%	54	-2.0	186/240/326	140	290	17	4	40%	6%	57	-1.8	162/219/303	141	241	18	0	40%	5%	43	-0.9
✕Grant Koch 2023 · AA	26	35	42→45	44→30	42	181/252/282	100	260	11	4	33%	7%	52	-2.2	203/258/296	93	311	9	4	35%	6%	57	-1.8	191/240/272	81	294	9	0	36%	5%	41	-0.8
✕Ryan Christianson 2007 · AAA	26	34	45	49→50	38	183/241/298	115	268	15	9	37%	7%	51	-2.2	200/256/327	127	290	15	9	35%	7%	63	-1.3	160/212/283	123	220	17	0	36%	6%	33	-0.7
✕Chris Okey 2021 · AAA	26	38	45	49→40	38	195/249/311	117	281	13	6	35%	6%	57	-1.8	211/265/319	108	303	10	5	32%	6%	64	-1.3	205/259/305	100	287	9	2	30%	5%	56	-0.6
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Christian Kelley 2021 · AAA	27	38	42→40	48→30	40	191/248/295	104	256	10	5	29%	6%	53	-2.1	228/293/328	100	322	8	8	29%	8%	77	-0.3	245/316/306	61	355	3	0	29%	9%	80	-0.0
✕Stuart Levy 2019 · A	26	36	38→40	44→40	38	176/245/251	75	269	7	5	35%	6%	42	-2.9	191/252/281	90	304	8	7	37%	6%	51	-2.2	147/204/228	81	243	8	3	41%	6%	18	-0.9
✕Zach Cone 2016 · AA	26	38→39	46→45	46→45	33	196/243/319	122	295	14	6	38%	4%	57	-1.8	206/254/335	129	302	14	8	35%	5%	65	-1.2	164/208/299	135	232	15	7	36%	4%	38	-0.7
✕Chandler Seagle 2022 · AA	26	40	38→40	44→45	35	193/247/277	84	283	5	5	32%	4%	49	-2.4	190/240/270	80	296	6	6	36%	5%	44	-2.8	170/217/237	67	275	5	4	38%	5%	25	-1.5
✕Tim Roberson 2015 · A	26	40→36	42→40	46→30	36	201/240/300	99	283	10	2	32%	5%	50	-2.3	221/258/314	93	310	8	3	30%	4%	60	-1.6	240/274/330	90	328	7	1	28%	4%	65	-0.5
✕David Maroul 2009 · AA	26	35→37	47→50	41→40	34	190/227/324	134	263	15	4	34%	4%	51	-2.2	199/243/325	126	306	14	6	38%	5%	58	-1.7	163/208/287	124	265	16	2	44%	4%	32	-1.2
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	41→45	45	43	195/255/293	98	270	8	9	30%	7%	55	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jorge Saez 2017 · AA	26	38	45	44→30	41	196/255/316	120	274	13	4	33%	7%	60	-1.6	208/274/335	127	292	16	5	32%	8%	72	-0.7	190/265/307	117	260	16	2	32%	9%	62	-0.4
✕Wade Kirkland 2015 · A	26	37→35	42→45	48→45	32	185/229/291	105	284	9	7	37%	4%	45	-2.7	194/225/274	80	317	7	8	39%	3%	38	-3.2	184/206/247	62	303	6	6	40%	2%	22	-1.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps