Mateo GilSS Mexico Rojo
Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 180 lbs INTL Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 244 proj PA
wRC+†31
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .218 / .283
PA244
HR4
K%34
BB%4
ISO106
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -19.0 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-19BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +6.9 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -1.00-1.0WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-1.0-0.8-0.82628
Tools · ContractCON 23 / POW 37
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT23
scouting grade only
POWER37
scouting grade only
EYE34
scouting grade only
SPEED44
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKGCL Cardinals 194179 30411 12743 22 168232218450 50279 386 199 11
201818 ROKGCL Cardinals 194171 43611 20513 22 251340316656 64353 2610 305 92
202020 INTLTomateros de Culiacan 4643 8101 3100 11 186239279518 93219 227
202020 INTLTomateros de Culiacan 4643 8101 3100 11 186239279518 93219 227 237 39
202121 A2 teams 433407 771815 161564 86 189227275502 86287 364 216 24
202121 A2 teams 433402 1022619 211064 86 254297391688 137318 245 303 90
202222 A+3 teams 245230 35624 13951 12 152201248449 96235 395 202 13
202222 A+3 teams 245223 561037 20651 12 251316417733 166322 278 325 107
202323 A+2 teams 401373 661539 231292 52 177229306534 129241 326 232 35
202323 A+2 teams 401361 8121412 351002 52 224296404701 180275 259 309 95
202424 A+3 teams 488461 741737 161754 115 161195256451 95236 363 191 5
202424 A+3 teams 488449 10619212 281144 115 236287367654 131287 236 289 80
202525 INTLMexico Rojo 258219 671942 27393 116 306390457846 151351 1510
202525 INTLMexico Rojo 258219 671942 27393 116 306390457846 151351 1510 365 137
▸ 2026 Season
202626 MLBNYM 244230 41914 11831 31 178219278497 100256 345 226 31 -19 +0 +0 +3 +7 -1.0
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202727 MLBNYM 26% 259243 451015 13851 31 185230296526 111260 335 236 39 -18 +0 +0 +3 +7 -0.8
202828 MLBNYM 39% 311289 561226 171002 31 194244311555 118262 325 242 43 -20 +0 -1 +3 +9 -0.9
202727 MLBNYM 26% 6764 11201 3220 10 172209250459 78260 334 232 36 -5 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.2
202828 MLBNYM 39% 122113 22512 7391 10 195248310558 115262 326 237 40 -8 +0 -0 +1 +3 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 189177 33713 10611 20 186234288522 102263 325 235 38 -13 +0 -0 +2 +5 -0.6
/ 162G 650609 11324310 342103 70 186232284516 99263 325 235 38 -45 +1 -1 +7 +18 -2.0
Career 28792674 4991111844 15194621 4827 187236291527 104266 335 194 7 -303 -1 -1 +31 +82 -19.6
/ 162G 650604 11325410 342145 116 187236291528 104268 335 194 7 -68 -0 -0 +7 +18 -4.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
201818 ROKGCL Cardinals 194171 43611 20513 22 251340316656 64353 2610 305 92 -2 -0 +5 0.3
202020 INTLTomateros de Culiacan 4643 8101 3100 11 186239279518 93219 227 237 39 -3 -0 +1 -0.2
202121 AFresno Grizzlies 396366 912519 21994 86 249297396693 148313 255 305 91 -4 -1 +11 0.7
202121 INTLTomateros de Culiacan 3736 11100 070 00 306306333639 28367 190 279 72 -1 +0 +1 -0.0
202222 A+Spokane Indians 190174 43626 15480 02 247307408715 161306 258 316 100 +0 -1 +5 0.5
202222 ROKACL Rockies 3529 7311 5111 10 241371517889 276353 3114 388 155 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202222 INTLSultanes de Monterrey 2020 6100 060 00 300300350650 50429 300 290 80 -0 +0 +1 0.0
202323 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies 167149 37712 15440 21 248317349666 101333 269 297 86 -3 +0 +5 0.2
202323 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 234212 4414310 20562 31 208282443725 236233 249 318 102 +0 +0 +7 0.7
202424 AABinghamton Rumble Ponies 9286 14301 4310 10 163200233433 70236 344 193 6 -10 +0 +3 -0.7
202424 A+Brooklyn Cyclones 217203 471127 11541 12 232274409683 177278 255 298 87 -3 -1 +6 0.2
202424 INTLMexico 179160 45504 13293 93 281347388734 106318 167 327 109 +2 +1 +5 0.8
202525 INTLMexico Rojo 258219 671942 27393 116 306390457846 151351 1510 365 137 +11 -0 +7 1.8

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Jeff Mathislast yr '20
career totals — 15 seasons, 3,003 PA
153,0035312194253300+54+13611.310.9
/162664123+11.9+30.12.5pk7: 10
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
243384184225293+5+6-1.5-0.8
/162664127+7.1+9.2-2.3pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Mateo Gil (OGILVIE) 26 23 37 44 34 178/218/283 105256 43 34% 4% 31 -1.2
Mike Salvatore
2023 · A
26 31 41→40 49→45 40 165/225/253 88235 95 33% 7% 26 -3.4 191/259/280 89260 88 28% 8% 48 -1.9 174/253/251762286725%9%34-1.1
Madison Stokes
2022 · AA
26 38→35 42→40 41→40 36 190/239/291 101287 104 36% 5% 42 -2.3 182/255/286 104302 99 39% 8% 48 -1.9 156/243/254992638940%9%32-1.5
Jake Anchia
2023 · AA
26 37 44→45 48→40 35 193/235/302 109272 133 34% 4% 43 -2.2 192/238/323 131269 165 34% 5% 50 -1.7 174/222/32314923019333%4%41-1.1
Jordan Betts
2018 · AA
26 35→27 45 46→40 34 182/229/301 118285 135 40% 6% 40 -2.4 198/246/305 107298 125 36% 5% 48 -1.9 181/224/2688726411035%4%27-2.0
Connor Justus
2021 · AA
26 35→37 37→40 43→45 42 172/248/244 72250 58 31% 7% 35 -2.8 192/256/268 76294 67 34% 7% 43 -2.2 166/232/217512613335%7%17-2.1
Stuart Levy
2019 · A
26 36 38→40 44→40 38 175/245/249 74270 65 35% 6% 34 -2.8 191/251/282 91306 87 38% 6% 45 -2.1 149/202/237882459341%6%9-0.9
Chandler Seagle
2022 · AA
26 40 39→40 44→45 34 192/246/279 87294 65 35% 4% 42 -2.3 189/241/273 84303 76 38% 5% 37 -2.6 167/216/237702776440%5%15-1.5
Tim Roberson
2015 · A
26 39→35 41→40 47→30 36 198/236/293 95281 92 33% 5% 40 -2.4 218/253/309 91312 83 31% 4% 52 -1.6 234/266/323893297130%4%55-0.5
Toby Welk
2022 · AA
25 38→33 43→45 48→45 41 191/257/300 109268 109 32% 7% 53 -1.5 202/261/308 106298 107 33% 7% 56 -1.3 189/237/29911127911035%5%42-0.7
Grant Koch
2023 · AA
26 36 42→45 44→30 41 181/250/278 97261 104 33% 7% 44 -2.1 201/256/297 96313 104 36% 6% 50 -1.7 187/235/2738529210038%5%31-0.8
Jorge Saez
2017 · AA
26 37 45 44→30 40 191/250/309 118275 134 34% 7% 52 -1.6 208/275/344 136298 175 34% 8% 72 -0.2 192/268/32413226719234%9%62-0.3
Anthony Mulrine
2023 · AAA
25 36 37→40 45→40 39 177/253/247 71262 55 32% 6% 38 -2.6 192/271/279 87273 76 30% 7% 53 -1.5 147/251/218702045028%8%28-0.7
Rylan Sandoval
2013 · AA
25 38 41→40 45 35 187/242/284 97286 95 36% 5% 42 -2.3 210/261/294 84310 68 32% 6% 52 -1.6 210/261/280693085831%5%44-0.8
Raoul Torrez
2013 · AA
25 37 41→40 48→45 38 186/251/281 95273 96 34% 6% 45 -2.1 189/246/276 87329 89 42% 6% 41 -2.3 147/202/211633026950%4%4-1.7
Ali Solis
2015 · AAA
27 40 40→45 46→30 33 200/229/288 88275 75 30% 3% 35 -2.8 182/214/260 78254 74 30% 3% 21 -3.7 193/228/31812625217231%4%41-0.8
Austin Rei
2019 · AA
25 38 40 40 40 187/261/280 94277 74 33% 7% 50 -1.8 192/262/285 93308 87 37% 7% 51 -1.7 123/204/184612065040%8%-2-1.0
Matt Whatley
2023 · AAA
27 40→36 41→40 42→50 40 201/255/292 91279 109 31% 6% 49 -1.8 189/252/290 101263 1211 31% 6% 47 -1.9 154/225/24086212121133%7%22-1.3
Wade Kirkland
2015 · A
26 37→33 41→45 48→45 32 183/227/285 102284 87 37% 4% 35 -2.8 183/214/261 78323 78 44% 3% 22 -3.7 163/185/222582996647%2%-3-2.3
Matt Spring
2011 · AA
26 36 46→50 46→45 36 189/238/312 124270 144 35% 6% 47 -1.9 181/235/318 137298 174 43% 6% 48 -1.9 166/218/32115525219041%5%40-0.8
Olivier Basabe
2022 · AA
25 39 43→40 45 42 197/254/301 103257 117 28% 6% 50 -1.7 210/271/311 101292 1110 30% 7% 61 -1.0 199/266/28182279101031%7%47-0.9