Jose Colmenares
SS Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 21 | ANYY | 100 | .244/.410/.564 | 7 | 2 | 90 | — | .176/.300/.388 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL3 orgs | 463 | .232/.321/.435 | 16 | 17 | 64 | — | .166/.226/.279 |
| 2026 | 24 | AA/A+2 orgs | 246 | .252/.366/.403 | 6 | 8 | 62 | — | .193/.276/.307 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 25 | MLBPHI | 1 | .202/.268/.321 | 0 | 0 | 64 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 26 | MLBPHI | 56 | .204/.270/.326 | 1 | 1 | 66 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ42% MLB | 27 | MLBPHI | 94 | .206/.272/.328 | 2 | 2 | 67 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | — | 187 | 159 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 208 | 311 | 308 | 620 | 101 | 234 | 17 | 11 | 283 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | — | 34 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 382 | 429 | 811 | 179 | 300 | 21 | 18 | 365 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | — | 100 | 78 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 410 | 564 | 974 | 321 | 261 | 25 | 20 | 424 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | — | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 182 | 150 | 332 | 50 | 167 | 39 | 4 | 157 | -21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 371 | 324 | 71 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 92 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 219 | 312 | 377 | 689 | 157 | 279 | 25 | 10 | 309 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 69 | 61 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 344 | 412 | 836 | 1.248 | 492 | 325 | 20 | 10 | 515 | 235 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA | Birmingham Barons | — | 92 | 80 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 212 | 300 | 388 | 688 | 175 | 269 | 28 | 9 | 303 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 154 | 126 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 278 | 405 | 413 | 818 | 135 | 386 | 27 | 16 | 371 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 187 | 167 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 156 | 230 | 228 | 457 | 72 | 184 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 367 | 661 | 167 | 244 | 29 | 12 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 100 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 388 | 688 | 212 | 219 | 35 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | AA MLE | Somerset Patriots | — | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 100 | 182 | 150 | 332 | 50 | 162 | 48 | 4 | 137 | -21 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 371 | 342 | 58 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 120 | 6 | 17 | 8 | 170 | 228 | 287 | 515 | 117 | 231 | 32 | 5 | 223 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | AA MLE | Birmingham Barons | — | 92 | 82 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 32 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 171 | 244 | 293 | 537 | 122 | 240 | 35 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 154 | 136 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 54 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 206 | 294 | 316 | 610 | 110 | 310 | 35 | 10 | 269 | 68 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 187 | 167 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 156 | 230 | 228 | 457 | 72 | 195 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK RAW | GCL Yankees West | — | 187 | 159 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 208 | 311 | 308 | 620 | 101 | 234 | 17 | 11 | 283 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 367 | 661 | 167 | 263 | 29 | 12 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Yankees | — | 34 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 250 | 382 | 429 | 811 | 179 | 300 | 21 | 18 | 365 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 100 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 388 | 688 | 212 | 222 | 35 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A RAW | Tampa Tarpons | — | 100 | 78 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 244 | 410 | 564 | 974 | 321 | 261 | 25 | 20 | 424 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 426 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 155 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 164 | 223 | 275 | 497 | 110 | 232 | 33 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 463 | 405 | 94 | 24 | 5 | 16 | 46 | 115 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 232 | 321 | 435 | 756 | 202 | 281 | 25 | 10 | 332 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 219 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 196 | 276 | 315 | 591 | 119 | 290 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 246 | 206 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 33 | 67 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 252 | 366 | 403 | 769 | 150 | 341 | 27 | 13 | 345 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 17 | ROK MLE | GCL Yankees West | — | 187 | 169 | 26 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 154 | 230 | 225 | 454 | 71 | 184 | 24 | 7 | 207 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Yankees | — | 34 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 200 | 294 | 367 | 661 | 167 | 244 | 29 | 12 | 259 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 21 | A MLE | Tampa Tarpons | — | 100 | 85 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 176 | 300 | 388 | 688 | 212 | 219 | 35 | 13 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 428 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 155 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 164 | 223 | 273 | 496 | 110 | 227 | 33 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 220 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 195 | 276 | 314 | 589 | 118 | 284 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2025 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 463 | 428 | 70 | 17 | 3 | 8 | 25 | 155 | 7 | 17 | 11 | 164 | 223 | 273 | 496 | 110 | 227 | 33 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 24 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 246 | 220 | 43 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 195 | 276 | 314 | 589 | 118 | 284 | 35 | 8 | 260 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 296 | 270 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 85 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 201 | 267 | 316 | 583 | 115 | 268 | 29 | 7 | 263 | 64 | -13 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +6 | -0.1 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 202 | 268 | 321 | 588 | 119 | 268 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 64 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 26 | MLB MLE | PHI | 30% | 185 | 168 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 52 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 203 | 269 | 321 | 590 | 118 | 269 | 28 | 7 | 266 | 66 | -7 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +4 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB MLE | PHI | 42% | 225 | 204 | 42 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 63 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 204 | 271 | 323 | 594 | 118 | 270 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 67 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB MLE | PHI | 48% | 252 | 229 | 47 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 71 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 205 | 272 | 323 | 594 | 118 | 270 | 28 | 7 | 268 | 68 | -10 | -0 | -1 | +3 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB CTX | PHI | 30% | 56 | 51 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 204 | 270 | 326 | 596 | 121 | 269 | 29 | 7 | 269 | 66 | -2 | -0 | +0 | +1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB CTX | PHI | 42% | 94 | 86 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 272 | 328 | 600 | 122 | 270 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 67 | -4 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB CTX | PHI | 48% | 120 | 109 | 24 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 34 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 206 | 273 | 328 | 600 | 122 | 270 | 28 | 8 | 271 | 68 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +3 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 270 | 246 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 76 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 211 | 279 | 337 | 616 | 126 | 279 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 55 | -11 | -0 | -0 | +3 | +6 | -0.2 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 592 | 124 | 26 | 2 | 14 | 48 | 183 | 7 | 12 | 7 | 209 | 276 | 331 | 607 | 122 | 277 | 28 | 7 | 270 | 55 | -25 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.6 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1837 | 1660 | 312 | 65 | 10 | 37 | 132 | 558 | 26 | 51 | 34 | 188 | 259 | 306 | 565 | 118 | 255 | 30 | 7 | 249 | 55 | -32 | -0 | -1 | +9 | +17 | -0.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 111 | 23 | 4 | 13 | 47 | 197 | 9 | 18 | 12 | 189 | 260 | 308 | 568 | 119 | 257 | 30 | 7 | 249 | 55 | -26 | -0 | -1 | +7 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 154 PAwOBA .364 → .269 (−96)K% 26.6% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.62% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 34.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.988 | 9.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.30% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.988 | 0.99% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | 24.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.06% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | 5.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.18% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.960 | ×0.988 | 0.95% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 3.07% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.960.
Result: wOBA .364 → .269; ISO .135 → .109; BABIP .386 → .310. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2026 AABirmingham Barons · 92 PAwOBA .298 → .246 (−52)K% 28.3% → 34.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.26% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.48% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.70% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 5.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.17% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 1.85% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 15.11% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.26% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 8.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | ×0.974 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.56% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 4.50% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .298 → .246; ISO .175 → .145; BABIP .269 → .240. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 371 PAwOBA .302 → .223 (−78)K% 24.8% → 32.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.80% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 32.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.97% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 5.46% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.62% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.24% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.24% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 15.43% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.19% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 5.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.72% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.996 | ×0.998 | 1.27% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.45% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 2.90% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .302 → .223; ISO .157 → .120; BABIP .279 → .231. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AASomerset Patriots · 23 PAwOBA .161 → .137 (−23)K% 39.1% → 49.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.13% | ÷0.970 | ×1.220 | — | — | 49.19% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.35% | ÷0.977 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 3.20% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.35% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 3.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.969 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 9.34% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.953 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 8.42% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.056 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 94, 2B 91, 3B 111, K 94, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .161 → .137; ISO .050 → .042; BABIP .167 → .162. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ATampa Tarpons · 100 PAwOBA .413 → .301 (−112)K% 25.0% → 34.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.079 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 12.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.58% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.09% | ÷0.987 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 13.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.55% | ÷0.972 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 6.22% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.21% | ÷1.086 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 9.88% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 97, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 95, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .413 → .301; ISO .321 → .232; BABIP .261 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Yankees · 34 PAwOBA .356 → .259 (−97)K% 20.6% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.59% | ÷1.013 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.26% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.65% | ÷1.018 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 10.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.996 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.008 | 19.74% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.039 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.928 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 3.72% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷0.989 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 3.78% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 98, 1B 99, 2B 108, 3B 86, K 103, BB 104 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .356 → .259; ISO .179 → .137; BABIP .300 → .244. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2019 ROKGCL Yankees West · 187 PAwOBA .280 → .207 (−73)K% 16.6% → 23.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.58% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 23.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.23% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.038 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.038 | 1.20% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.038 | 15.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.91% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.038 | 2.77% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.038 | 0.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.34% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.038 | 1.90% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 19.5 → +3.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .280 → .207; ISO .101 → .076; BABIP .234 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .