Jose Colmenares — OGILVIE

Jose ColmenaresSS Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 193 lbs A+ HR +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION154 act + 166 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.192 / .261 / .305

PA166

HR3

K%31

BB%7

BABIP265

ISO113

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	187	167	25	3	1	2	13	45	3	6	3	150	224	216	440	66	187	24	7	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	187	159	33	5	1	3	21	31	3	6	3	208	311	308	620	101	234	17	11	283	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	30	6	0	1	1	4	10	0	2	0	200	294	367	661	167	263	29	12	262	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	28	7	0	1	1	6	7	0	2	0	250	382	429	811	179	300	21	18	365	137	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	85	14	3	0	5	13	37	2	2	1	165	290	376	666	212	209	37	13	298	86	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	78	19	4	0	7	20	25	2	2	1	244	410	564	974	321	261	25	20	424	182	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	463	426	71	16	3	7	25	159	7	17	11	167	225	268	492	101	242	34	5	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+	3 teams	—	463	405	94	24	5	16	46	115	7	17	11	232	321	435	756	202	281	25	10	332	112	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	24	A+	PHI	—	154	135	29	5	1	2	16	55	2	5	9	215	307	311	618	96	342	36	10	279	72	-5	-3	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
YTD	24	A+	PHI	—	154	126	35	6	1	3	25	41	2	5	9	278	405	413	818	135	386	27	16	371	142	+7	-3	+0	+2	+4	1.1
ROS	24	A+	PHI	0%	166	151	29	6	1	3	12	51	2	4	4	192	261	305	565	113	264	31	7	252	51	-9	-1	+0	+2	+5	-0.4
ROS	24	MLB	PHI	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						266	0	0	244	45	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	24	A+	PHI	—	155	136	29	5	1	2	16	55	2	5	9	213	305	309	614	96	338	35	10	279	72	-5	-3	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
TOT	24	A+	PHI	—	320	286	58	11	2	5	28	106	4	9	13	203	283	308	591	105	299	33	9	265	61	-14	-3	+0	+3	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	359	324	64	12	2	7	28	107	4	8	6	198	270	312	581	114	267	30	8	262	59	-17	-1	+0	+4	+10	-0.4
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	399	359	72	14	2	8	32	117	5	9	7	201	275	318	593	117	269	29	8	268	63	-17	-1	+0	+4	+11	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	PHI	49%	415	374	75	14	2	9	33	121	5	9	7	201	274	321	595	120	270	29	8	271	65	-16	-1	+0	+4	+12	-0.1
2030	28	MLB	PHI	52%	422	380	77	15	2	9	34	122	5	9	7	203	277	324	601	121	270	29	8	271	66	-16	-1	-1	+5	+12	-0.2
2027	25	MLB	PHI	30%	109	99	20	4	1	2	8	33	1	2	2	202	269	323	592	121	269	30	7	255	53	-6	-0	+0	+1	+3	-0.2
2028	26	MLB	PHI	44%	177	159	32	6	1	4	14	52	2	4	3	201	274	327	601	126	271	29	8	261	58	-8	-0	+0	+2	+5	-0.2
2029	27	MLB	PHI	49%	203	183	37	7	1	4	16	59	2	4	3	202	274	317	591	115	272	29	8	264	60	-9	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2030	28	MLB	PHI	52%	217	194	40	8	1	5	18	63	3	4	3	206	284	335	619	129	272	29	8	264	60	-10	-0	-0	+2	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	707	636	129	25	4	15	56	207	8	14	11	203	276	325	601	123	273	29	8	262	58	-33	-2	-0	+8	+20	-0.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	119	23	4	14	51	190	7	13	10	203	275	328	603	125	273	29	8	262	58	-30	-1	-0	+7	+18	-0.7
Career	—			—	2545	2296	433	83	14	51	194	769	33	66	46	189	262	304	565	115	256	30	8	254	53	-136	-5	-1	+27	+72	-4.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	586	111	21	4	13	50	196	8	17	12	189	262	305	568	116	257	30	8	254	53	-35	-1	-0	+7	+18	-1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	187	159	33	5	1	3	21	31	3	6	3	208	311	308	620	101	234	17	11	283	74	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	28	7	0	1	1	6	7	0	2	0	250	382	429	811	179	300	21	18	365	137	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	78	19	4	0	7	20	25	2	2	1	244	410	564	974	321	261	25	20	424	182	+9	+0	—	—	+3	1.2
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	100	182	150	332	50	167	39	4	157	-21	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	371	324	71	19	4	8	38	92	6	17	8	219	312	377	689	157	279	25	10	309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+11	0.9
2025	23	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	69	61	21	4	1	8	7	14	0	0	3	344	412	836	1.248	492	325	20	10	515	252	+12	-1	—	—	+2	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#2Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#3Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	2	708	14	15	202	273	319	+8	+6	-0.3	-0.2
	/162	664	14	14	202	273	319	+7.1	+5.6	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Colmenares (OGILVIE)	24	35	40	55	45	203/283/308	105	299	5	9	33%	9%	61	-0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	37→28	42→45	48→50	40	187/248/281	94	262	11	15	32%	6%	43	-2.2	194/265/312	118	265	14	14	31%	8%	59	-1.1	189/267/300	111	249	11	7	27%	9%	56	-0.5
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	40	49→50	44	178/256/260	82	272	8	14	35%	9%	42	-2.3	211/287/303	92	304	7	12	30%	9%	66	-0.6	219/303/313	94	309	5	13	28%	10%	75	-0.0
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	43→50	50→40	39	192/251/299	107	277	11	5	34%	6%	50	-1.8	211/268/341	130	275	14	5	28%	6%	67	-0.5	207/268/341	134	263	14	2	26%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	39	38→45	51→50	36	191/230/276	85	272	5	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	230/285/310	80	316	5	8	27%	7%	66	-0.6	240/300/311	71	326	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.2
✕Claudio Finol 2023 · AA	23	38	37→40	50→45	40	187/240/263	77	259	4	8	29%	5%	35	-2.8	204/263/296	92	292	8	10	31%	7%	53	-1.5	181/246/258	77	260	9	12	32%	7%	35	-0.7
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	36	42→40	49→50	47	183/268/285	102	256	10	13	31%	9%	54	-1.4	203/302/300	97	289	8	11	29%	11%	72	-0.2	190/312/271	81	272	7	11	29%	13%	66	-0.4
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	35	36→40	52→50	40	172/231/233	61	252	4	15	32%	6%	24	-3.6	212/280/299	87	278	9	14	25%	8%	62	-0.9	207/281/290	83	267	10	16	25%	8%	57	-0.6
✕Willie MacIver 2021 · A	24	35→33	41→45	49→55	36	182/228/277	95	252	9	9	31%	4%	33	-2.9	190/258/311	121	280	14	15	35%	7%	56	-1.3	225/305/348	123	321	11	18	31%	8%	83	+0.3
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→28	45	50	37	195/254/318	123	282	13	12	35%	6%	56	-1.3	212/270/305	93	320	9	17	34%	6%	59	-1.1	219/278/292	73	339	7	24	35%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→46	42→45	52→60	43	202/263/305	103	271	9	20	28%	7%	56	-1.3	228/286/325	97	313	8	28	28%	7%	70	-0.3	230/291/360	130	317	13	42	30%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→39	43→45	47→45	45	172/254/283	111	243	11	6	33%	9%	47	-1.9	188/273/293	105	265	11	5	31%	9%	58	-1.2	172/265/268	95	240	10	3	30%	10%	45	-1.0
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	187/250/311	124	262	15	19	34%	7%	53	-1.5	184/265/319	135	258	16	22	34%	8%	62	-0.9	175/266/324	149	236	18	26	33%	9%	63	-0.4
✕Bryan Holaday 2012 · AA	24	41	41→45	48→40	40	201/257/296	95	274	9	7	29%	6%	51	-1.7	214/263/302	88	270	7	5	23%	5%	55	-1.4	223/289/353	130	256	14	2	19%	7%	76	+0.0
✕Rowdey Jordan 2023 · AA	24	43→42	39→45	48→55	45	204/271/295	91	290	6	12	30%	8%	56	-1.3	206/274/333	127	284	14	20	31%	7%	68	-0.5	199/268/331	132	272	16	23	31%	7%	62	-0.6
✕Lolo Sanchez 2023 · AA	24	42→43	43→45	50→55	49	210/285/315	104	255	11	18	22%	8%	68	-0.5	199/269/279	80	245	7	10	21%	8%	52	-1.6	179/251/238	59	217	5	7	19%	8%	31	-1.2
✕River Town 2023 · A	24	39→36	44→40	55→50	44	196/275/315	119	256	11	15	27%	7%	64	-0.8	212/300/304	92	266	8	14	22%	9%	72	-0.2	211/311/283	71	261	6	15	19%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→55	54→45	40	191/252/295	104	290	10	12	36%	7%	49	-1.8	204/267/315	111	307	11	9	35%	7%	59	-1.1	156/215/246	90	226	9	0	34%	7%	18	-0.7
✕Brady Policelli 2019 · A	24	40→37	42→45	51→50	41	200/254/308	108	269	9	14	28%	6%	53	-1.5	194/258/312	118	268	11	14	30%	7%	56	-1.3	176/245/296	120	243	12	15	31%	7%	43	-1.5
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	38	44→40	50	44	193/277/309	116	270	12	12	32%	8%	65	-0.7	203/293/294	91	284	8	11	29%	9%	67	-0.5	196/291/271	75	277	5	10	28%	10%	57	-0.6
✕Chris Roller 2022 · AA	25	38	39→50	53→55	39	187/246/274	87	273	6	16	32%	6%	40	-2.4	190/267/311	121	291	12	16	36%	8%	60	-1.0	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7