Jose Colmenares — OGILVIE

Jose ColmenaresSS Jersey Shore BlueClaws

Age 24 R/R 5'11" / 193 lbs A+ HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION246 act + 27 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†57

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .259 / .360

PA27

HR0

K%33

BB%7

BABIP264

ISO160

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.6M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2019	17	ROK	GCL Yankees West	—	187	159	33	5	1	3	21	31	3	6	3	208	311	308	620	101	234	17	11	283	77	-5	+0	—	—	+4	-0.1
2021	19	ROK	FCL Yankees	—	34	28	7	0	1	1	6	7	0	2	0	250	382	429	811	179	300	21	18	365	133	+1	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2023	21	A	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	78	19	4	0	7	20	25	2	2	1	244	410	564	974	321	261	25	20	424	173	+9	+0	—	—	+2	1.1
2025	23	AA	Somerset Patriots	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	1	9	1	0	0	100	182	150	332	50	167	39	4	157	-7	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.2
2025	23	A+	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	371	324	71	19	4	8	38	92	6	17	8	219	312	377	689	157	279	25	10	309	95	-2	+0	—	—	+8	0.6
2025	23	INTL	Adelaide Giants	—	69	61	21	4	1	8	7	14	0	0	3	344	412	836	1.248	492	325	20	10	515	235	+11	-1	—	—	+1	1.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	—	187	167	25	3	1	2	13	45	3	6	3	150	224	216	440	66	177	24	7	200	22	-17	+0	—	—	+4	-1.4
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	34	30	6	0	1	1	4	10	0	2	0	200	294	367	661	167	242	29	12	258	61	-2	+0	—	—	+1	-0.0
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	84	14	3	0	5	14	36	2	2	1	167	300	381	681	214	229	36	14	310	96	-0	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
2025	23	AA MLE	Somerset Patriots	—	23	20	2	1	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	100	182	150	332	50	156	48	4	133	-24	-3	+0	—	—	+0	-0.3
2025	23	A+ MLE	Jersey Shore BlueClaws	—	371	340	59	14	3	6	22	123	6	17	8	174	236	285	522	112	244	33	6	230	42	-26	+0	—	—	+8	-1.8
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	—	187	167	25	3	1	2	13	45	3	6	3	150	224	216	440	66	187	24	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK RAW	GCL Yankees West	—	187	159	33	5	1	3	21	31	3	6	3	208	311	308	620	101	234	17	11	283	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	34	30	6	0	1	1	4	10	0	2	0	200	294	367	661	167	263	29	12	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK RAW	FCL Yankees	—	34	28	7	0	1	1	6	7	0	2	0	250	382	429	811	179	300	21	18	365	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	84	14	3	0	5	14	36	2	2	1	167	300	381	681	214	209	36	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A RAW	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	78	19	4	0	7	20	25	2	2	1	244	410	564	974	321	261	25	20	424	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	463	424	72	17	4	7	27	158	7	17	11	170	231	278	510	108	247	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	463	405	94	24	5	16	46	115	7	17	11	232	321	435	756	202	281	25	10	332	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2019	17	ROK MLE	GCL Yankees West	—	187	169	25	3	1	2	13	45	3	6	3	148	224	213	437	65	177	24	7	200	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	19	ROK MLE	FCL Yankees	—	34	30	6	0	1	1	4	10	0	2	0	200	294	367	661	167	242	29	12	258	61	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	84	14	3	0	5	14	36	2	2	1	167	300	381	681	214	229	36	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	463	426	72	17	4	7	27	158	7	17	11	169	231	277	508	108	239	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	21	A MLE	Tampa Tarpons	—	100	84	14	3	0	5	14	36	2	2	1	167	300	381	681	214	229	36	14	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	463	426	72	17	4	7	27	158	7	17	11	169	231	277	508	108	239	34	6	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	A+ MLE	PHI	—	246	217	44	9	1	5	22	87	4	8	10	203	288	323	611	120	307	35	9	265	65	-10	-2	+0	+3	+5	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	24	A+ RAW	PHI	—	154	126	35	6	1	3	25	41	2	5	9	278	405	413	818	135	386	27	16	371	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	24	AA RAW	PHI	—	92	80	17	5	0	3	8	26	2	3	1	212	300	388	688	175	269	28	9	303	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	24	A+ MLE	PHI	0%	27	25	5	1	0	1	2	9	0	1	1	200	259	360	619	160	262	33	7	253	57	-1	-0	+0	+0	+1	-0.1
TOT	24	A+ MLE	PHI	—	273	242	49	10	1	6	24	96	4	9	11	202	285	326	612	124	303	35	9	264	65	-12	-3	+0	+3	+6	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	25	MLB MLE	PHI	30%	359	323	61	13	2	7	28	113	5	8	6	189	264	307	571	118	264	31	8	260	62	-16	-1	+0	+4	+8	-0.5
2028	26	MLB MLE	PHI	44%	399	359	70	14	2	9	32	123	5	9	7	195	270	320	591	125	266	31	8	266	66	-16	-1	+0	+4	+9	-0.4
2029	27	MLB MLE	PHI	49%	415	373	73	15	2	9	34	127	5	10	7	196	272	319	591	123	267	31	8	269	68	-16	-1	+0	+4	+9	-0.3
2030	28	MLB MLE	PHI	52%	422	379	74	15	2	9	35	129	5	9	7	195	272	317	589	121	268	31	8	270	69	-16	-1	-1	+5	+9	-0.4
2027	25	MLB CTX	PHI	30%	109	98	19	4	1	2	9	34	1	3	2	194	269	316	585	122	266	31	8	255	62	-5	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.2
2028	26	MLB CTX	PHI	44%	177	159	32	7	1	4	14	55	2	4	3	201	274	333	608	132	269	31	8	261	66	-7	-0	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2029	27	MLB CTX	PHI	49%	203	182	37	8	1	5	16	62	3	5	4	203	279	341	619	137	270	31	8	264	68	-8	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.2
2030	28	MLB CTX	PHI	52%	217	194	39	8	1	5	18	66	3	5	4	201	279	330	609	129	270	30	8	265	69	-8	-1	-0	+2	+5	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	706	633	127	27	4	16	57	217	9	17	13	201	276	332	608	131	275	31	8	262	59	-28	-2	-0	+8	+15	-0.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	118	25	4	15	52	200	8	16	12	202	277	336	613	134	277	31	8	262	59	-25	-2	-0	+7	+14	-0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	2406	2164	400	81	14	50	189	750	32	64	43	185	260	305	565	120	254	31	8	255	59	-65	-4	-1	+17	+35	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	109	22	4	14	51	203	9	17	12	186	262	309	572	123	255	31	8	255	59	-26	-2	-0	+7	+14	-0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	2.5	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons	1.1	708	15	16	196	269	321	+8	+6	-0.2	-0.1
/162	664	14	15	+7.1	+5.6	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Colmenares (OGILVIE)	24	35	40	55	45	182/256/295	112	262	6	9	33%	8%	57	-0.9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA	24	38→31	42→45	48→50	41	191/251/284	93	257	11	15	30%	6%	52	-2.2	195/269/308	113	260	13	14	29%	8%	64	-1.3	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Jason Lopez 2022 · AA	24	39	42→50	54→45	41	191/254/290	99	287	9	12	35%	8%	54	-2.0	206/269/313	107	301	10	9	33%	8%	65	-1.2	165/225/251	86	232	8	0	31%	7%	32	-0.7
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA	24	41→44	42→45	52→65	43	204/264/309	106	268	9	20	27%	6%	62	-1.4	227/285/320	93	311	7	28	27%	7%	72	-0.7	222/284/339	116	307	11	42	29%	7%	74	-0.3
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA	24	35→40	46→50	53→55	40	185/248/306	121	260	15	19	34%	7%	56	-1.9	181/262/305	124	259	14	22	34%	8%	62	-1.4	171/263/306	134	238	15	26	33%	8%	61	-0.7
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A	24	36	39→40	49→50	44	177/255/257	79	269	8	14	35%	9%	48	-2.5	207/287/299	92	295	7	12	29%	9%	69	-0.9	212/301/305	93	294	5	13	27%	10%	75	-0.3
✕Blake Hunt 2023 · AA	24	38	42→45	50→40	39	192/251/296	104	277	10	5	33%	6%	55	-2.0	208/265/332	124	274	13	5	28%	6%	68	-1.0	208/275/351	144	265	17	1	28%	7%	74	-0.2
✕Edward Salcedo 2015 · AAA	24	37→41	44→45	48→50	40	192/242/305	113	256	12	16	30%	6%	53	-2.1	205/257/308	103	261	9	11	24%	6%	59	-1.7	197/242/279	82	240	6	5	20%	5%	45	-1.2
✕David Sheaffer 2019 · A	24	36	42→50	52→40	39	184/231/287	103	246	10	7	29%	5%	44	-2.8	211/256/331	120	295	12	5	31%	5%	64	-1.3	193/238/303	110	272	11	1	33%	5%	49	-0.7
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA	24	38→29	45	50	37	194/252/314	121	284	13	12	35%	6%	59	-1.6	211/268/301	90	318	8	17	34%	6%	61	-1.5	217/275/286	69	332	7	24	34%	6%	57	-1.1
✕Nick Quintana 2022 · A	24	33→40	43→45	47→45	45	171/253/277	106	242	11	6	33%	9%	52	-2.2	190/275/295	105	266	10	5	30%	9%	64	-1.3	176/269/273	97	244	10	3	30%	10%	54	-1.0
✕Jalen Miller 2021 · AA	24	40→43	44→45	49→50	41	202/250/313	111	258	12	16	26%	6%	57	-1.8	197/257/324	127	268	13	14	30%	7%	63	-1.3	181/247/311	130	244	14	14	31%	7%	53	-1.1
✕Brandon Hicks 2011 · AAA	25	38→40	44→50	51→50	39	193/251/307	114	272	12	15	33%	6%	57	-1.8	199/261/336	137	306	16	11	38%	7%	68	-1.0	179/258/334	155	270	19	6	39%	8%	63	-0.9
✕Steven Baron 2015 · AA	24	40	39→45	51→50	37	195/234/284	88	271	5	9	29%	4%	44	-2.8	228/283/306	78	309	5	8	26%	7%	68	-1.0	235/296/303	67	318	5	6	26%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Nick Vickerson 2014 · A	25	38	42→40	49→50	48	189/277/293	104	262	10	13	30%	10%	65	-1.2	203/300/302	99	285	9	11	29%	11%	76	-0.4	188/304/272	85	264	8	11	28%	12%	68	-0.6
✕Mycal Jones 2011 · AA	24	41→47	44→45	51→55	39	207/257/326	119	279	11	14	30%	5%	63	-1.3	210/268/306	96	275	7	19	25%	6%	63	-1.4	224/284/303	79	284	5	24	22%	7%	65	-0.7
✕Nick Meyer 2021 · A	24	36	36→40	52→50	41	176/235/239	63	249	4	15	30%	6%	35	-3.4	212/281/292	80	276	8	14	24%	8%	65	-1.2	205/280/278	73	264	8	16	24%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Alerick Soularie 2023 · A	24	39	44→45	53→60	44	192/273/305	114	293	11	16	36%	9%	65	-1.2	199/280/310	111	290	12	26	33%	9%	70	-0.9	181/272/285	104	255	13	39	32%	9%	60	-0.6
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA	25	39	44→40	50	44	196/280/314	118	270	12	12	31%	8%	70	-0.8	201/290/289	88	281	7	11	29%	9%	68	-1.0	190/279/259	68	265	4	8	27%	9%	56	-0.7
✕Clay Fuller 2011 · AA	24	42→45	43→45	53→55	43	206/278/317	111	288	11	19	31%	8%	70	-0.9	220/270/335	115	294	13	14	28%	6%	70	-0.8	222/260/334	113	284	14	15	27%	5%	63	-0.7
✕Xorge Carrillo 2013 · A	24	42	43→40	49→30	40	209/255/316	107	274	11	8	28%	6%	60	-1.6	238/290/320	82	293	6	4	20%	5%	74	-0.5	237/294/318	81	281	7	1	18%	4%	73	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps