Jose ColmenaresSS
Jersey Shore BlueClaws
Age 24
R/R
5'11" / 193 lbs
A+
HR +11%H +4%
Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
peak 1.0 · 2029
wRC+†83
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .269 / .323
PA320
HR7
SB8
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
Scouting · now → future
HIT
35→35
PWR
40→40
SPD
55→55
EYE
43↗45
trajectory · 10 yrs
1.0peak
2029
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status MiLB
MLB Debut 2030
Service 0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through 2035
First FA Year 2036
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2027 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2028 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2029 | MiLB | still in minors · estimated debut 2030 | |||
| 2030 | Arb-2 | $0.9M | +0.9 | $4M | +$3M |
| 2031 | Arb-3 | $0.9M | +0.7 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2032 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.9M | +0.6 | $3M | +$2M |
| 2033 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.9M |
| 2034 | Ext / FA-deal | $5M | — | — | — |
| 2035 | Ext / FA-deal | $0.6M | — | — | — |
| Totals | $9M | $10M | +$1M | ||
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.
Career Projections (MLE)
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 187 | 167 | 25 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 45 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .150 | .224 | .216 | .440 | .066 | .187 | 24 | 7 | .200 | 11 | -19 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +5 | -1.2 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 34 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .200 | .294 | .367 | .661 | .167 | .263 | 29 | 12 | .260 | 57 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 100 | 84 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .167 | .300 | .381 | .681 | .214 | .209 | 36 | 14 | .314 | 98 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +3 | 0.4 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | 3 teams | 463 | 427 | 69 | 16 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 155 | 7 | 17 | 11 | .162 | .218 | .269 | .488 | .108 | .228 | 33 | 5 | .217 | 24 | -40 | -1 | +0 | +5 | +13 | -2.3 |
| ▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 56 | 49 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 0 | 2 | 3 | .306 | .393 | .429 | .821 | .122 | .560 | 41 | 12 | .350 | 126 | +2 | -1 | +0 | +1 | +2 | 0.3 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | PHI | 264 | 238 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 86 | 3 | 6 | 4 | .214 | .286 | .340 | .627 | .126 | .306 | 33 | 8 | .281 | 74 | -8 | -0 | +0 | +3 | +7 | 0.2 |
| TOT | 24 | MLB | PHI | 320 | 287 | 66 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 109 | 3 | 8 | 7 | .230 | .305 | .355 | .660 | .125 | .343 | 34 | 9 | .293 | 83 | -6 | -1 | +0 | +3 | +9 | 0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB 10% | PHI | 359 | 322 | 72 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 30 | 101 | 4 | 8 | 5 | .224 | .298 | .354 | .652 | .130 | .297 | 28 | 8 | .293 | 83 | -7 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +10 | 0.7 |
| 2028 | 26 | MLB 25% | PHI | 399 | 357 | 81 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 34 | 111 | 5 | 9 | 5 | .227 | .303 | .359 | .662 | .132 | .297 | 28 | 9 | .297 | 86 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2029 | 27 | MLB 43% | PHI | 415 | 371 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 36 | 115 | 5 | 9 | 5 | .229 | .306 | .367 | .672 | .137 | .297 | 28 | 9 | .299 | 87 | -6 | -0 | +0 | +4 | +12 | 1.0 |
| 2030 | 28 | MLB 52% | PHI | 422 | 377 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 117 | 5 | 9 | 5 | .225 | .303 | .361 | .664 | .135 | .297 | 28 | 9 | .298 | 86 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +5 | +12 | 0.9 |
| 2031 | 29 | MLB 63% | PHI | 418 | 373 | 85 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 37 | 117 | 5 | 8 | 5 | .228 | .306 | .365 | .671 | .137 | .296 | 28 | 9 | .296 | 85 | -7 | -0 | -1 | +4 | +12 | 0.7 |
| 2032 | 30 | MLB 73% | PHI | 413 | 369 | 82 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 36 | 117 | 5 | 8 | 5 | .222 | .300 | .350 | .650 | .127 | .295 | 28 | 9 | .293 | 82 | -8 | -0 | -2 | +4 | +12 | 0.6 |
| 2033 | 31 | MLB 81% | PHI | 401 | 359 | 80 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 35 | 115 | 4 | 7 | 5 | .223 | .299 | .354 | .653 | .131 | .293 | 29 | 9 | .289 | 79 | -9 | -1 | -3 | +4 | +11 | 0.3 |
| 2034 | 32 | MLB 88% | PHI | 383 | 343 | 74 | 15 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 112 | 4 | 6 | 5 | .216 | .292 | .335 | .627 | .120 | .292 | 29 | 9 | .285 | 76 | -10 | -1 | -4 | +4 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2035 | 33 | MLB | PHI | 354 | 316 | 67 | 13 | 1 | 7 | 31 | 106 | 4 | 5 | 5 | .212 | .291 | .326 | .617 | .114 | .290 | 30 | 9 | .279 | 72 | -11 | -1 | -4 | +4 | +10 | -0.3 |
| 2036 | 34 | MLB | PHI | 311 | 278 | 58 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 96 | 3 | 5 | 5 | .209 | .286 | .320 | .606 | .112 | .288 | 31 | 9 | .273 | 67 | -12 | -1 | -5 | +3 | +9 | -0.5 |
| ▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 4923 | 4411 | 934 | 184 | 23 | 108 | 412 | 1439 | 59 | 107 | 69 | .212 | .288 | .337 | .625 | .126 | .286 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 73 | -153 | -6 | -20 | +53 | +139 | 1.4 | ||
| / 162G | — | 650 | 582 | 123 | 24 | 3 | 14 | 54 | 190 | 8 | 14 | 9 | .211 | .287 | .335 | .622 | .124 | .285 | 29 | 8 | .280 | 73 | -20 | -1 | -3 | +7 | +18 | 0.2 | ||
Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)
Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019 | 17 | ROK | GCL Yankees West | 187 | 159 | 33 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 31 | 3 | 6 | 3 | .208 | .311 | .308 | .620 | .101 | .234 | 17 | 11 | .283 | 74 | -5 | +0 | — | — | +5 | -0.0 |
| 2021 | 19 | ROK | FCL Yankees | 34 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | .250 | .382 | .429 | .811 | .179 | .300 | 21 | 18 | .365 | 137 | +1 | +0 | — | — | +1 | 0.3 |
| 2023 | 21 | A | Tampa Tarpons | 100 | 78 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 20 | 25 | 2 | 2 | 1 | .244 | .410 | .564 | .974 | .321 | .261 | 25 | 20 | .424 | 182 | +9 | +0 | — | — | +3 | 1.2 |
| 2025 | 23 | AA | Somerset Patriots | 23 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | .100 | .182 | .150 | .332 | .050 | .167 | 39 | 4 | .157 | -21 | -3 | +0 | — | — | +1 | -0.3 |
| 2025 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | 371 | 324 | 71 | 19 | 4 | 8 | 38 | 92 | 6 | 17 | 8 | .219 | .312 | .377 | .689 | .157 | .279 | 25 | 10 | .309 | 95 | -2 | +0 | — | — | +11 | 0.9 |
| 2025 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | 69 | 61 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 3 | .344 | .412 | .836 | 1.248 | .492 | .325 | 20 | 10 | .515 | 252 | +12 | -1 | — | — | +2 | 1.3 |
Career Path Comps
What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Scouting | At Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Peak 3 Yrs | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | HIT | PWR | SPD | EYE | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR | AVG/OBP/SLG | ISO | BABIP | HR | SB | K% | BB% | wRC+ | WAR |
| Jose Colmenares (OGILVIE) | 24 | 35 | 40 | 55 | 45 | .200/.269/.323 | .123 | .279 | 7 | 7 | 31% | 7% | 64 | -0.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
|
✕Willie MacIver 2022 · AA |
25 | 36→35 | 45 | 51→55 | 38 | .187/.245/.306 | .118 | .262 | 14 | 14 | 33% | 6% | 50 | -1.8 | .203/.276/.332 | .129 | .299 | 15 | 15 | 35% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .230/.309/.359 | .129 | .323 | 13 | 18 | 30% | 8% | 87 | +0.4 |
|
✕Kaden Polcovich 2023 · AA |
24 | 39 | 46→45 | 54→55 | 45 | .199/.281/.326 | .127 | .271 | 13 | 16 | 30% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .195/.278/.310 | .115 | .276 | 11 | 18 | 31% | 9% | 65 | -0.7 | .167/.262/.269 | .102 | .243 | 9 | 23 | 32% | 10% | 46 | -0.8 |
|
✕Maverick Handley 2023 · AA |
25 | 40 | 45 | 51→50 | 44 | .199/.282/.323 | .124 | .278 | 13 | 13 | 32% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .204/.293/.301 | .097 | .284 | 9 | 11 | 29% | 9% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.289/.271 | .075 | .275 | 6 | 10 | 28% | 9% | 57 | -0.6 |
|
✕Chase Strumpf 2022 · AA |
24 | 42→35 | 44→50 | 48→45 | 44 | .203/.282/.321 | .118 | .296 | 11 | 7 | 33% | 8% | 69 | -0.4 | .196/.293/.355 | .159 | .317 | 19 | 5 | 41% | 10% | 83 | +0.6 | .180/.284/.345 | .165 | .293 | 21 | 3 | 42% | 11% | 73 | -0.1 |
|
✕Jake Rogers 2019 · AA |
24 | 38→40 | 47→55 | 48→45 | 41 | .196/.261/.330 | .133 | .269 | 15 | 9 | 32% | 7% | 62 | -0.9 | .203/.278/.366 | .163 | .280 | 20 | 6 | 33% | 8% | 79 | +0.3 | .206/.283/.412 | .206 | .265 | 29 | 1 | 33% | 8% | 91 | +0.6 |
|
✕Brandon Hicks 2010 · AA |
24 | 39→40 | 47→50 | 52→50 | 41 | .199/.264/.336 | .137 | .287 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 7% | 65 | -0.7 | .196/.257/.331 | .135 | .289 | 15 | 12 | 36% | 7% | 60 | -1.0 | .192/.258/.339 | .147 | .301 | 18 | 10 | 40% | 7% | 59 | -0.7 |
|
✕Ismael Alcantara 2023 · AA |
24 | 40→30 | 46→45 | 50 | 37 | .202/.259/.333 | .131 | .288 | 14 | 12 | 34% | 6% | 62 | -0.9 | .210/.268/.306 | .096 | .313 | 9 | 17 | 34% | 6% | 58 | -1.2 | .216/.274/.290 | .074 | .331 | 7 | 24 | 35% | 6% | 53 | -1.0 |
|
✕Skye Bolt 2019 · AA |
25 | 40→39 | 46→50 | 50 | 41 | .201/.262/.333 | .132 | .280 | 13 | 11 | 32% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .212/.276/.351 | .139 | .302 | 14 | 12 | 33% | 8% | 73 | -0.1 | .234/.302/.369 | .135 | .310 | 15 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 86 | +0.3 |
|
✕Tim Tawa 2023 · AA |
24 | 42→43 | 46→50 | 49→50 | 46 | .211/.275/.332 | .121 | .266 | 14 | 12 | 26% | 8% | 68 | -0.5 | .209/.273/.344 | .135 | .272 | 16 | 11 | 28% | 8% | 71 | -0.3 | .204/.271/.351 | .147 | .261 | 18 | 12 | 28% | 8% | 69 | -0.3 |
|
✕Luke Williams 2021 · AA |
24 | 41→45 | 42→45 | 51→60 | 43 | .204/.265/.308 | .104 | .270 | 9 | 19 | 27% | 6% | 57 | -1.2 | .226/.285/.324 | .098 | .310 | 8 | 27 | 27% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .227/.288/.355 | .128 | .309 | 13 | 42 | 29% | 7% | 76 | +0.0 |
|
✕Luis Santana 2022 · AA |
23 | 40 | 42→45 | 47→50 | 40 | .200/.259/.300 | .100 | .270 | 10 | 10 | 29% | 6% | 53 | -1.5 | .216/.274/.342 | .126 | .277 | 14 | 9 | 26% | 6% | 70 | -0.3 | .207/.266/.330 | .122 | .258 | 15 | 7 | 25% | 5% | 61 | -0.6 |
|
✕Jeferson Morales 2023 · A |
24 | 39→46 | 46→45 | 49→50 | 44 | .197/.277/.329 | .131 | .260 | 14 | 9 | 29% | 7% | 69 | -0.4 | .215/.289/.346 | .131 | .275 | 13 | 9 | 25% | 7% | 78 | +0.2 | .223/.298/.355 | .132 | .277 | 12 | 8 | 23% | 7% | 81 | +0.2 |
|
✕Sicnarf Loopstok 2017 · A |
24 | 43→37 | 43→50 | 50 | 38 | .211/.270/.324 | .114 | .293 | 10 | 12 | 30% | 5% | 64 | -0.8 | .213/.281/.365 | .152 | .300 | 18 | 9 | 34% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .204/.280/.377 | .174 | .281 | 22 | 7 | 34% | 7% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Andrew Navigato 2022 · AA |
24 | 41→40 | 44→60 | 46→50 | 44 | .202/.279/.318 | .116 | .282 | 12 | 12 | 31% | 8% | 67 | -0.5 | .221/.280/.382 | .161 | .276 | 19 | 14 | 27% | 6% | 84 | +0.6 | .220/.279/.406 | .186 | .266 | 23 | 17 | 26% | 6% | 87 | +0.6 |
|
✕Tyler Saladino 2013 · AAA |
24 | 44→46 | 43→45 | 53→55 | 47 | .215/.289/.328 | .113 | .286 | 9 | 18 | 27% | 8% | 72 | -0.2 | .221/.282/.318 | .097 | .282 | 8 | 22 | 23% | 7% | 67 | -0.5 | .253/.299/.369 | .116 | .300 | 11 | 25 | 19% | 5% | 84 | +0.4 |
|
✕Jeter Downs 2022 · AAA |
24 | 36→41 | 49→50 | 52→55 | 41 | .194/.257/.337 | .143 | .263 | 18 | 19 | 33% | 7% | 63 | -0.9 | .184/.262/.320 | .136 | .261 | 17 | 22 | 35% | 8% | 61 | -1.0 | .178/.268/.330 | .152 | .242 | 18 | 26 | 33% | 8% | 64 | -0.3 |
|
✕Dylan Neuse 2023 · A |
24 | 37 | 39→40 | 49→50 | 44 | .183/.260/.264 | .081 | .271 | 8 | 14 | 33% | 9% | 45 | -2.1 | .205/.286/.296 | .091 | .292 | 7 | 13 | 29% | 9% | 63 | -0.8 | .211/.301/.305 | .094 | .293 | 5 | 13 | 27% | 10% | 72 | -0.1 |
|
✕Mark Mathias 2019 · AA |
24 | 44→46 | 42→50 | 52→50 | 45 | .212/.285/.324 | .112 | .284 | 9 | 10 | 27% | 8% | 70 | -0.3 | .226/.290/.356 | .130 | .287 | 12 | 13 | 24% | 7% | 80 | +0.4 | .243/.319/.380 | .137 | .317 | 15 | 17 | 26% | 9% | 97 | +0.9 |
|
✕Grae Kessinger 2022 · AA |
24 | 37→29 | 42→45 | 48→50 | 42 | .191/.254/.286 | .095 | .257 | 11 | 14 | 30% | 7% | 47 | -1.9 | .192/.267/.310 | .118 | .259 | 14 | 15 | 30% | 8% | 59 | -1.1 | .186/.266/.299 | .113 | .246 | 14 | 14 | 29% | 9% | 54 | -0.9 |
|
✕Johan Lopez 2023 · AA |
23 | 39 | 44→45 | 51→55 | 40 | .195/.268/.308 | .113 | .290 | 12 | 13 | 35% | 7% | 59 | -1.1 | .200/.270/.300 | .100 | .307 | 9 | 12 | 35% | 8% | 58 | -1.2 | .166/.253/.240 | .073 | .276 | 4 | 11 | 37% | 10% | 33 | -0.6 |