Cristian SantanaSS West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 22 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035
2026 ROS PROJECTION221 act + 147 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†58
AVG/OBP/SLG.147 / .287 / .270
PA147
HR4
K%35
BB%14
BABIP205
ISO123
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -26.8 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-27BATRUN: +1.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +3.9 runs (Positional adjustment)+4POSREP: +10.4 runs (Replacement-level credit)+10REPTotal WAR: -1.10-1.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.50.80.90.90.80.60.40.1+$35M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2030
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2035
First FA Year   2036
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$3M+$2M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.9$2M+$2M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.8$2M+$2M
2033Arb-1$1M+0.6$1M+$0.8M
2034Arb-2$1M+0.4$0.9M+$0.3M
2035Arb-3$0.6M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $5M $10M +$7M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Tigers — 216182 31717 196515 127 170301335636 165218 309 280 72 — — — — — —
202117 ROKDSL Tigers — 216171 461229 304615 127 269421520942 251319 2114 417 177 — — — — — —
202218 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 340278 411104 4113018 105 147297230527 83252 3812 253 52 — — — — — —
202218 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 340265 571309 548818 105 215383366749 151281 2616 347 124 — — — — — —
202319 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 419341 37907 5817314 65 109264196460 88180 4114 224 30 — — — — — —
202319 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 419308 4812012 9111614 65 156370312682 156194 2822 324 106 — — — — — —
202420 A2 teams — 229180 21206 341007 12 117281228508 111185 4415 240 42 — — — — — —
202420 A2 teams — 229162 25308 52747 12 154380321701 167195 3223 326 107 — — — — — —
202521 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 394315 489116 6313912 71 152315340655 187195 3516 298 86 — — — — — —
202521 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 394302 5911115 769812 71 195377387764 192228 2519 350 126 — — — — — —
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD22 A+DET — 221187 25313 24765 40 134250209459 75200 3411 212 20 -20 +1 +0 +2 +6 -1.1
YTD22 A+DET — 221177 30414 34565 40 169319271591 102218 2515 278 71 -7 +1 +0 +2 +6 0.2
ROS22 A+DET 0% 147122 18304 20514 20 147287270557 123207 3514 261 58 -7 +0 +0 +2 +4 -0.1
ROS22 MLBDET 0% 11 0000 000 00 203 00 239 41 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 -0.0
FULL22 A+DET — 222188 25313 24765 40 133249207456 74198 3411 212 21 -20 +1 +0 +2 +6 -1.1
TOT22 A+DET — 368309 43617 441279 60 139265233498 94202 3412 232 36 -27 +1 +0 +4 +10 -1.1
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202723 MLBDET 43% 438368 5910112 5714310 51 160290291580 130217 3313 273 67 -16 +1 +0 +5 +12 0.1
202824 MLBDET 58% 488413 7012115 6215410 51 169293312605 143225 3213 281 73 -15 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.5
202925 MLBDET 65% 515434 7713216 6515911 61 177300327627 150230 3113 286 77 -14 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.8
203026 MLBDET 68% 530447 8114217 6716311 61 181303336638 154232 3113 288 78 -13 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.9
203127 MLBDET 68% 535451 8114217 6816511 61 180302333634 153231 3113 288 79 -13 +1 +0 +6 +15 0.9
203228 MLBDET 68% 533449 7914116 6816511 51 176299318618 143231 3113 287 78 -13 +1 -1 +6 +15 0.8
203329 MLBDET 66% 526442 7713116 6816411 51 174299317616 143230 3113 285 77 -14 +1 -1 +6 +15 0.6
203430 MLBDET 71% 516435 7513115 6616210 41 172295310606 138229 3113 283 75 -15 +0 -2 +6 +15 0.4
203531 MLBDET 75% 503423 7212115 6515910 41 170295310605 139226 3213 279 72 -16 +0 -3 +5 +14 0.1
202723 MLBDET 43% 190159 25415 25624 20 157287289577 132213 3313 253 52 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
202824 MLBDET 58% 283239 40718 36896 31 167292305597 138221 3113 261 58 -13 +0 +0 +3 +8 -0.2
202925 MLBDET 65% 334282 498110 421037 41 174296316612 142226 3113 266 62 -14 +0 +0 +4 +9 -0.1
203026 MLBDET 68% 361305 539111 461117 41 174296318614 144227 3113 268 63 -15 +0 +0 +4 +10 -0.0
203127 MLBDET 68% 364308 539111 461127 41 172294315609 143227 3113 268 63 -15 +0 +0 +4 +10 -0.0
203228 MLBDET 68% 362306 539111 461127 41 173295317612 144227 3113 268 63 -15 +0 -0 +4 +10 -0.1
203329 MLBDET 66% 349294 508110 451097 31 170295306601 136226 3113 266 62 -15 +0 -1 +4 +10 -0.2
203430 MLBDET 71% 368311 539111 471157 31 170293312605 141225 3113 264 60 -17 +0 -1 +4 +10 -0.4
203531 MLBDET 75% 376317 539110 481198 31 167292297589 129222 3213 260 57 -18 +0 -2 +4 +11 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career— — 29882522 42972987 38193260 308 170294309603 139225 3113 264 61 -133 +3 -5 +32 +85 -1.9
/ 162G— — 650549 9416219 8320313 72 171295311606 140227 3113 264 61 -29 +1 -1 +7 +18 -0.4
Career— — 63295280 86715614183 8212092165 8429 164296303599 139224 3313 277 70 -215 +5 -7 +68 +179 3.1
/ 162G— — 650542 8916119 8421517 93 164295303598 138224 3313 277 70 -22 +1 -1 +7 +18 0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202117 ROKDSL Tigers — 216171 461229 304615 127 269421520942 251319 2114 417 177 +19 -0 — — +6 2.5
202218 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 340265 571309 548818 105 215383366749 151281 2616 347 124 +9 +0 — — +10 1.9
202319 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 419308 4812012 9111614 65 156370312682 156194 2822 324 106 +3 -1 — — +12 1.4
202420 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 207147 22307 49694 12 150375313688 163195 3324 321 104 +1 -1 — — +6 0.6
202420 ROKFCL Tigers — 2215 3001 353 00 200429400829 200200 2314 372 143 +1 +0 — — +1 0.2
202521 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 394302 5911115 769812 71 195377387764 192228 2519 350 126 +11 +1 — — +11 2.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Danny Espinosalast yr '17
career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA
83,2679864221297378+16+3611.011.4
/1626642013+3.2+7.32.2pk7: 12
#2Luis Valbuenalast yr '18
career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA
103,52711310226311395+13+110.511.2
/162664212+2.4+0.12.0pk7: 12
#3Curt Casalilast yr '24
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,566 PA
101,566472217311367+28+197.87.9
/162664201+11.9+7.93.3pk7: 8
#4Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#5Paul Bakolast yr '09
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA
91,844192219297308+17+525.65.8
/16266471+6.1+18.72.0pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15
career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA
51,650782213260414+29-44.24.2
/162664311+11.9-1.71.7pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,9899129175295319+32+183.53.4
/162664207+7.1+4.00.8pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Cristian Santana (OGILVIE) 22 25 50 45 60 139/265/233 94202 76 34% 12% 36 -1.1 ————————— —————————
✕Chris Williams
2019 · A 		22 38→30 53→60 47→40 47 207/281/370 163255 224 29% 9% 82 +0.5 179/271/314 135283 154 38% 11% 63 -0.9 179/261/36818925028440%9%71-0.2
✕Kevin Padlo
2018 · A 		22 36→40 46→55 44→50 48 183/269/314 131257 138 32% 10% 62 -0.9 197/280/350 153289 179 35% 9% 76 +0.0 195/265/371176262221234%8%73-0.1
✕Allan Cerda
2023 · AA 		23 33→22 53→55 42→45 45 179/281/352 173270 216 40% 10% 78 +0.2 172/266/319 147292 188 44% 10% 63 -0.9 131/236/27013921719846%10%35-0.9
✕Marcus Greene Jr.
2017 · A 		22 34 47→50 44→40 39 181/246/309 128264 155 36% 7% 50 -1.7 207/262/323 116285 124 30% 6% 60 -1.0 206/261/31410827612229%6%55-0.6
✕Joe DeCarlo
2017 · A 		23 37 46→55 47→30 44 188/274/317 128274 142 35% 9% 65 -0.7 199/274/344 145282 173 34% 7% 72 -0.2 184/260/32514126018035%7%58-0.5
✕Colton Shaver
2019 · A 		23 37→32 50 43→30 42 197/269/344 147261 194 32% 7% 69 -0.4 188/268/343 155285 193 39% 8% 69 -0.4 160/253/32116124822043%9%54-0.9
✕Darrien Miller
2023 · A 		22 37→41 48→45 50→45 49 193/307/330 137261 177 31% 10% 84 +0.6 184/294/281 97261 95 30% 10% 66 -0.6 174/315/272982519330%11%72-0.1
✕Ian Rice
2017 · A 		23 43→39 47→50 43→30 48 212/291/346 133289 144 30% 9% 79 +0.3 204/289/349 145281 183 32% 10% 79 +0.3 185/276/32013525318033%10%64-0.4
✕Freuddy Batista
2022 · A 		22 39 53→50 46→40 41 207/269/377 170278 217 33% 7% 78 +0.2 205/265/343 138300 156 35% 6% 67 -0.5 205/257/34113528515132%5%59-0.6
✕Yassel Pino
2023 · A 		21 39 47→50 46→40 46 199/275/332 133277 157 33% 9% 68 -0.5 196/260/304 108263 116 28% 7% 55 -1.4 180/245/2789823410527%7%39-1.1
✕Zack Short
2019 · AA 		24 39→38 49→50 47→45 50 199/291/349 150269 169 31% 11% 80 +0.4 196/288/337 141280 157 33% 10% 76 +0.1 180/281/31513524116931%11%66-0.5
✕Sherten Apostel
2020 · A 		21 37→32 46→45 45→40 44 190/265/313 123268 144 33% 8% 59 -1.1 202/264/327 125311 144 37% 7% 63 -0.9 207/265/34613931516038%6%65-0.3
✕Johan Mieses
2017 · A 		22 35→33 53→55 44→50 35 195/242/365 170267 218 36% 5% 63 -0.8 181/230/331 150256 204 37% 5% 50 -1.8 195/270/37718223727730%7%75-0.0
✕Rylan Bannon
2019 · AA 		23 41→42 50 45→50 45 210/286/364 154289 195 33% 9% 82 +0.5 202/269/339 137259 158 27% 8% 68 -0.5 197/295/350153257191230%11%80+0.3
✕Wes Clarke
2023 · AA 		23 35→40 50→55 41→40 51 184/288/333 149262 183 35% 12% 76 +0.0 198/298/367 169310 215 39% 11% 88 +0.9 193/298/36517229122438%12%86+0.6
●Luke Montz
2006 · A 		23 35→45 52→55 45→40 44 194/261/363 169251 204 32% 8% 71 -0.3 202/265/350 148260 173 28% 7% 69 -0.4 211/285/42721624630428%8%97+0.9
✕Daniel Vellojin
2023 · AA 		23 39 46→45 42→45 52 198/293/324 126277 146 32% 12% 75 -0.0 179/260/273 94259 96 32% 9% 47 -1.9 150/237/225752158432%9%24-1.2
✕Miguel Amaya
2021 · A 		22 42 47→50 48→40 46 215/286/350 135266 154 25% 7% 78 +0.2 219/309/349 130303 136 30% 9% 88 +0.9 228/299/36814027116122%7%86+0.3
✕Clint Coulter
2015 · A 		22 42 48→50 42→40 45 213/291/355 142276 165 28% 8% 82 +0.5 209/273/335 126268 124 26% 6% 69 -0.4 202/269/35315124518425%5%68-0.1
✕Damiano Palmegiani
2023 · A 		23 37→38 55 50→40 43 207/280/390 183255 245 30% 7% 86 +0.8 196/272/352 156274 205 34% 7% 73 -0.1 178/261/32314425418336%8%59-0.8