Cristian Santana

SS West Michigan Whitecaps
Age 23 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A+ HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
Overview
A+PROSPECTMiLBFA 2037
OGV OFP35OGV rank#580ETA2029MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202420A/ROKDET229.154/.380/.3218149—.117/.281/.229
202521ADET394.195/.377/.38715770—.152/.297/.307
202622A+DET354.198/.348/.39616560—.161/.279/.314
2027PROJMLE23MLBDET1.170/.291/.31600790.0
2028PROJ38% MLB24MLBDET105.175/.294/.32531820.1
2029PROJ55% MLB25MLBDET186.179/.296/.33162840.3
Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$0.8M+2
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
Chase%85
BB%79
ISO72
wRC+52
wOBA47
K%41
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 1.6, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 90%
CompsChris Williams (age 22) · Colton Shaver (age 23) · Ian Rice (age 24)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONstats below = full-season projection
showingPROJ
wRC+†79
AVG/OBP/SLG.170 / .291 / .316
PA1
HR0
K%31
BB%12
BABIP219
ISO158
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -5.3 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-5BATRUN: +0.5 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: +0.30+0.3WAR
0.00.51.00.00.10.30.40.40.40.20.127282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$12M ctrl surplus
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 50
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER50
scouting grade only
EYE60
scouting grade only
SPEED45
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.4$1M+$0.6M
2033Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.2$0.5M+$0.0M
2034Arb-1$0.8M+0.1$0.2M+$0.0M (cut)
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $3M $3M +$1M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202117 ROKDSL Tigers — 216171 461229 304615 127 269421520942 251319 2114 417 57 — — — — — —
202218 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 340265 571309 548818 105 215383366749 151281 2616 347 61 — — — — — —
202319 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 419308 4812012 9111614 65 156370312682 156194 2822 324 42 — — — — — —
202420 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 207147 22307 49694 12 150375313688 163195 3324 321 46 — — — — — —
202420 ROKFCL Tigers — 2215 3001 353 00 200429400829 200200 2314 372 82 — — — — — —
202521 ALakeland Flying Tigers — 394302 5911115 769812 71 195377387764 192228 2519 350 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+West Michigan Whitecaps — 354283 566116 549211 50 198348396743 198225 2615 334 60 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202117 ROK MLEDSL Tigers — 216180 28715 215615 127 156296289585 133181 2610 252 57 — — — — — —
202218 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 340280 441005 3912218 105 157300246546 89245 3611 259 61 — — — — — —
202319 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 419340 39908 5916214 65 115271212483 97167 3914 231 42 — — — — — —
202420 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 207164 18205 32914 12 110270213483 104161 4415 236 46 — — — — — —
202420 ROK MLEFCL Tigers — 2216 3001 273 00 188381375756 188161 329 289 82 — — — — — —
202521 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 394323 499113 5513412 71 152297307604 155187 3414 272 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 354299 485113 3811711 50 161279314593 154189 3311 257 60 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Tigers — 216180 28715 215615 127 156296289585 133193 2610 252 57 — — — — — —
202117 ROK RAWDSL Tigers — 216171 461229 304615 127 269421520942 251319 2114 417 57 — — — — — —
202218 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 340280 441005 3912218 105 157300246546 89250 3611 259 61 — — — — — —
202218 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 340265 571309 548818 105 215383366749 151281 2616 347 61 — — — — — —
202319 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 419340 39908 5916214 65 115271212483 97176 3914 231 42 — — — — — —
202319 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 419308 4812012 9111614 65 156370312682 156194 2822 324 42 — — — — — —
202420 A MLE2 teams — 229180 21206 34997 12 117281228508 111183 4315 241 49 — — — — — —
202420 A RAW2 teams — 229162 25308 52747 12 154380321701 167195 3223 326 49 — — — — — —
202521 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 394323 499113 5513412 71 152297307604 155200 3414 272 70 — — — — — —
202521 A RAWLakeland Flying Tigers — 394302 5911115 769812 71 195377387764 192228 2519 350 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 354299 485113 3811711 50 161279314593 154203 3311 257 60 — — — — — —
202622 A+ RAWWest Michigan Whitecaps — 354283 566116 549211 50 198348396743 198225 2615 334 60 — — — — — —
202117 ROK MLEDSL Tigers — 216178 28715 215615 127 157296292588 135181 2610 252 57 — — — — — —
202218 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 340280 441005 3912218 105 157300246546 89245 3611 259 61 — — — — — —
202319 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 419343 39908 5916214 65 114271210481 96167 3914 231 42 — — — — — —
202420 A MLE2 teams — 229186 21206 34997 12 113281220501 108161 4315 241 49 — — — — — —
202521 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 394324 499113 5513412 71 151297306603 154187 3414 272 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 354302 485113 3811711 50 159279311590 152189 3311 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202420 A MLE2 teams — 229186 21206 34997 12 113281220501 108161 4315 241 49 — — — — — —
202521 A MLELakeland Flying Tigers — 394324 499113 5513412 71 151297306603 154187 3414 272 70 — — — — — —
202622 A+ MLEWest Michigan Whitecaps — 354302 485113 3811711 50 159279311590 152189 3311 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202723 MLB MLEDET 0% 464394 6810116 5714610 51 173294325619 152223 3112 285 79 -12 +1 +0 +5 +10 0.3
▸ 2027 — real world (MLB)
202723 MLB CTXDET 0% 11 0000 000 00 170291316606 146219 00 280 79 -0 +0 +0 +0 +0 0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202824 MLB MLEDET 38% 276235 426110 33856 30 179297335632 156228 3112 290 82 -6 +1 +0 +3 +6 0.4
202925 MLB MLEDET 55% 336286 538112 401027 31 183300341641 158232 3012 293 84 -6 +0 +0 +4 +7 0.5
203026 MLB MLEDET 64% 371316 599113 441118 41 186301345645 158236 3012 294 85 -7 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.6
203127 MLB MLEDET 66% 387331 6210113 451158 31 188301345646 157239 3012 294 85 -7 +0 +0 +4 +8 0.6
203228 MLB MLEDET 67% 391336 6310113 451157 20 190300344644 154241 2912 293 85 -7 +0 -1 +4 +8 0.5
203329 MLB MLEDET 66% 385331 6210113 441157 10 187297338635 150240 3011 290 82 -8 +0 -1 +4 +8 0.3
203430 MLB MLEDET 65% 376323 6010112 431137 00 185294330624 146238 3011 285 79 -9 +0 -2 +4 +8 0.1
202824 MLB CTXDET 38% 10589 14203 13322 10 175294325619 150224 3012 285 82 -2 +0 +0 +1 +2 0.1
202925 MLB CTXDET 55% 186158 28416 22564 20 179296331628 152228 3012 288 84 -4 +0 +0 +2 +4 0.3
203026 MLB CTXDET 64% 236201 37618 28715 20 182297335632 152232 3012 289 85 -4 +0 +0 +3 +5 0.4
203127 MLB CTXDET 66% 254217 40618 30755 20 185297336633 151235 3012 289 85 -4 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.4
203228 MLB CTXDET 67% 261224 42718 30775 20 186297334631 149237 3011 288 85 -5 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.4
203329 MLB CTXDET 66% 253217 40618 29755 10 184294329622 145235 3011 285 82 -5 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.2
203430 MLB CTXDET 65% 245210 38617 28745 00 181291321612 140234 3011 281 79 -6 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 15401316 23937648 18046031 100 182295328623 147234 3012 287 72 -30 +2 -3 +16 +33 1.9
/ 162G— A+C — 650555 10116320 7619413 40 182295330625 148235 3012 287 72 -13 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 46843937 66211011143 5661512132 5923 168293311604 142224 3212 275 72 -55 +2 -4 +29 +59 3.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650546 9215220 7921018 83 168294313607 145224 3212 275 72 -13 +1 -1 +7 +14 0.8

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 A+West Michigan Whitecaps · 354 PAwOBA .329 → .257 (−71)K% 26.0% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.99%÷1.000×1.270——33.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.25%÷1.000×0.710—×0.99810.81%
HBP% /PA3.11%—×0.790—×0.9982.45%
Singles /BIP17.28%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×0.99815.07%
Doubles /BIP3.14%÷1.000×0.810×0.950×0.9982.41%
Triples /BIP0.52%÷1.000×0.850×0.950×0.9980.42%
Home runs /BIP8.38%÷1.000×0.800—×0.9986.69%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .329 → .257; ISO .198 → .157; BABIP .225 → .189. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 394 PAwOBA .344 → .272 (−72)K% 24.9% → 33.9%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA24.87%÷0.998×1.360——33.88%
BB% (unintentional) /PA19.04%÷0.945×0.690——13.90%
HBP% /PA3.05%—×0.780——2.38%
Singles /BIP15.69%÷1.051×0.920×0.950—13.04%
Doubles /BIP5.39%÷0.971×0.830×0.950—4.38%
Triples /BIP0.49%÷1.150×0.910×0.950—0.37%
Home runs /BIP7.35%÷0.864×0.800——6.81%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 110, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 100, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .344 → .272; ISO .192 → .166; BABIP .228 → .187. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 207 PAwOBA .323 → .236 (−88)K% 33.3% → 44.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA33.33%÷1.028×1.360——44.11%
BB% (unintentional) /PA23.67%÷1.061×0.690—×1.01515.62%
HBP% /PA1.93%—×0.780—×1.0151.53%
Singles /BIP15.38%÷0.980×0.920×0.950×1.01513.93%
Doubles /BIP3.85%÷1.351×0.830×0.950×1.0152.28%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.106×0.910×0.950×1.0150.00%
Home runs /BIP8.97%÷1.099×0.800—×1.0156.63%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 120, 1B 96, 2B 170, 3B 121, K 106, BB 112 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .323 → .236; ISO .163 → .121; BABIP .195 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKFCL Tigers · 22 PAwOBA .381 → .289 (−92)K% 22.7% → 33.0%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA22.73%÷0.991×1.440——33.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.64%÷1.040×0.620—×0.9858.01%
HBP% /PA13.64%—×0.720—×0.9859.67%
Singles /BIP20.00%÷0.993×0.820—×0.98516.27%
Doubles /BIP0.00%÷0.981×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷0.947×0.720—×0.9850.00%
Home runs /BIP10.00%÷0.952×0.780—×0.9858.07%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 90, 1B 99, 2B 96, 3B 89, K 98, BB 108 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).

Result: wOBA .381 → .289; ISO .200 → .175; BABIP .200 → .161. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 419 PAwOBA .322 → .231 (−91)K% 27.7% → 38.6%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA27.68%÷0.975×1.360——38.61%
BB% (unintentional) /PA21.72%÷1.089×0.690—×1.03014.18%
HBP% /PA3.34%—×0.780—×1.0302.68%
Singles /BIP12.50%÷0.957×0.920×0.950×1.03011.76%
Doubles /BIP6.25%÷1.056×0.830×0.950×1.0304.81%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.020×0.910×0.950×1.0300.00%
Home runs /BIP6.25%÷1.216×0.800—×1.0304.24%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 143, 1B 91, 2B 111, 3B 104, K 95, BB 118 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .322 → .231; ISO .156 → .106; BABIP .194 → .167. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2022 ALakeland Flying Tigers · 340 PAwOBA .342 → .259 (−83)K% 25.9% → 35.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.88%÷0.982×1.360——35.85%
BB% (unintentional) /PA15.88%÷0.998×0.690—×1.04511.47%
HBP% /PA5.29%—×0.780—×1.0454.32%
Singles /BIP19.77%÷1.009×0.920×0.951×1.04517.93%
Doubles /BIP7.34%÷0.974×0.830×0.951×1.0456.22%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.039×0.910×0.951×1.0450.00%
Home runs /BIP5.08%÷1.279×0.800—×1.0453.32%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 156, 1B 102, 2B 95, 3B 108, K 96, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.951.

Result: wOBA .342 → .259; ISO .151 → .100; BABIP .281 → .245. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2021 DSLDSL Tigers · 216 PAwOBA .407 → .252 (−155)K% 21.3% → 25.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.30%÷1.006×1.220——25.82%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.89%÷0.994×0.700—×1.0089.85%
HBP% /PA6.94%—×0.700—×1.0084.90%
Singles /BIP18.40%÷1.048×0.680×0.950×1.00811.43%
Doubles /BIP9.60%÷1.082×0.600×0.950×1.0085.10%
Triples /BIP1.60%÷0.951×0.600×0.950×1.0080.97%
Home runs /BIP7.20%÷0.956×0.470—×1.0083.57%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 91, 1B 110, 2B 116, 3B 90, K 101, BB 99 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .407 → .252; ISO .251 → .133; BABIP .319 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).