Wes Clarke
1B Corpus Christi Hooks| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AA/INTL2 orgs | 595 | .250/.401/.508 | 31 | 6 | 106 | — | .192/.311/.383 |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA/AAMIL | 425 | .244/.346/.468 | 21 | 3 | 76 | — | .200/.280/.361 |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA/AA2 orgs | 465 | .223/.386/.410 | 18 | 3 | 81 | — | .188/.312/.330 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBHOU | 3 | .207/.312/.358 | 0 | 0 | 91 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBHOU | 60 | .207/.310/.355 | 2 | 0 | 89 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 60
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Carolina Mudcats | — | 95 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 419 | 426 | 846 | 221 | 222 | 22 | 22 | 380 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 67 | 59 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 254 | 333 | 542 | 876 | 288 | 294 | 31 | 10 | 375 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 338 | 273 | 61 | 19 | 0 | 9 | 57 | 83 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 223 | 365 | 392 | 757 | 168 | 281 | 25 | 17 | 342 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 503 | 398 | 96 | 24 | 0 | 26 | 89 | 147 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 241 | 395 | 497 | 892 | 256 | 306 | 29 | 18 | 393 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Surprise Saguaros | — | 92 | 74 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 435 | 568 | 1.002 | 270 | 405 | 29 | 18 | 437 | 182 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 373 | 321 | 78 | 13 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 131 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 243 | 343 | 458 | 801 | 215 | 343 | 35 | 12 | 353 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 52 | 44 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 250 | 365 | 545 | 911 | 295 | 286 | 25 | 15 | 396 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA | Nashville Sounds | — | 182 | 148 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 55 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 356 | 358 | 714 | 142 | 292 | 30 | 18 | 327 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 283 | 215 | 49 | 9 | 1 | 12 | 63 | 55 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 228 | 405 | 447 | 852 | 219 | 243 | 19 | 22 | 379 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 95 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 323 | 307 | 629 | 147 | 186 | 31 | 15 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 67 | 61 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 213 | 273 | 443 | 715 | 230 | 259 | 39 | 7 | 291 | 83 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Wisconsin Timber Rattlers | — | 338 | 287 | 47 | 13 | 0 | 8 | 43 | 108 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 164 | 281 | 293 | 574 | 129 | 218 | 32 | 13 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 503 | 426 | 82 | 24 | 0 | 19 | 61 | 194 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 192 | 311 | 383 | 693 | 190 | 283 | 39 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 373 | 334 | 66 | 10 | 1 | 13 | 32 | 160 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 198 | 276 | 350 | 626 | 153 | 319 | 43 | 9 | 277 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AA MLE | Biloxi Shuckers | — | 52 | 46 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 217 | 308 | 435 | 742 | 217 | 259 | 31 | 12 | 300 | 89 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AAA MLE | Nashville Sounds | — | 182 | 157 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 65 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 178 | 283 | 274 | 557 | 96 | 258 | 36 | 13 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Corpus Christi Hooks | — | 283 | 232 | 45 | 8 | 1 | 10 | 46 | 65 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 194 | 330 | 366 | 696 | 172 | 216 | 23 | 16 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 95 | 75 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 160 | 323 | 307 | 629 | 147 | 200 | 31 | 15 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Carolina Mudcats | — | 95 | 68 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 206 | 419 | 426 | 846 | 221 | 222 | 22 | 22 | 380 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 348 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 134 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 170 | 278 | 316 | 594 | 147 | 227 | 33 | 12 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 405 | 332 | 76 | 21 | 0 | 14 | 64 | 104 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 229 | 360 | 419 | 779 | 190 | 283 | 26 | 16 | 348 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 505 | 96 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 73 | 230 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 308 | 376 | 684 | 186 | 288 | 39 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 595 | 472 | 118 | 27 | 1 | 31 | 106 | 174 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 250 | 401 | 508 | 909 | 258 | 321 | 29 | 18 | 399 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 381 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 176 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 277 | 360 | 637 | 160 | 316 | 41 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 425 | 365 | 89 | 17 | 1 | 21 | 53 | 144 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 244 | 346 | 468 | 814 | 225 | 335 | 34 | 12 | 358 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 390 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 130 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 190 | 312 | 331 | 642 | 141 | 238 | 28 | 15 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 465 | 363 | 81 | 12 | 1 | 18 | 95 | 110 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 223 | 386 | 410 | 796 | 187 | 261 | 24 | 20 | 359 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Carolina Mudcats | — | 95 | 77 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 156 | 323 | 299 | 621 | 143 | 186 | 31 | 15 | 296 | 86 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 405 | 350 | 59 | 15 | 0 | 12 | 48 | 134 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 169 | 278 | 314 | 592 | 146 | 225 | 33 | 12 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 595 | 504 | 96 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 73 | 230 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 190 | 308 | 377 | 685 | 187 | 283 | 39 | 12 | 304 | 92 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 381 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 176 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 277 | 360 | 637 | 160 | 312 | 41 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 393 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 130 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 312 | 328 | 640 | 140 | 232 | 28 | 15 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 425 | 381 | 76 | 14 | 1 | 15 | 37 | 176 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 199 | 277 | 360 | 637 | 160 | 312 | 41 | 9 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 465 | 393 | 74 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 68 | 130 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 188 | 312 | 328 | 640 | 140 | 232 | 28 | 15 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | HOU | 2% | 380 | 327 | 66 | 11 | 1 | 12 | 48 | 122 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 310 | 357 | 667 | 152 | 281 | 32 | 13 | 302 | 91 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -7 | +8 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | HOU | 2% | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 312 | 358 | 670 | 151 | 285 | 33 | 0 | 303 | 91 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | HOU | 27% | 222 | 191 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 71 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 205 | 308 | 354 | 663 | 150 | 280 | 32 | 13 | 300 | 89 | -3 | +0 | -1 | -4 | +5 | -0.3 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | HOU | 27% | 60 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 207 | 310 | 355 | 665 | 149 | 284 | 32 | 12 | 301 | 89 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 60 | 53 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 300 | 358 | 658 | 151 | 281 | 32 | 12 | 301 | 82 | -1 | +0 | -0 | -1 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 574 | 120 | 22 | 0 | 22 | 76 | 206 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 302 | 362 | 664 | 153 | 283 | 32 | 12 | 301 | 82 | -8 | +0 | -2 | -12 | +14 | -0.8 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2362 | 2023 | 384 | 82 | 3 | 78 | 288 | 820 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 190 | 299 | 349 | 648 | 159 | 267 | 35 | 12 | 289 | 82 | -5 | +0 | -1 | -7 | +8 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 557 | 106 | 23 | 1 | 21 | 79 | 226 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 190 | 300 | 348 | 648 | 158 | 269 | 35 | 12 | 289 | 82 | -8 | +1 | -1 | -12 | +14 | -0.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AACorpus Christi Hooks · 283 PAwOBA .376 → .311 (−64)K% 19.4% → 22.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.43% | ÷1.036 | ×1.220 | — | — | 22.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.26% | ÷0.948 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 16.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.35% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.88% | ÷0.982 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 15.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.62% | ÷0.930 | ×0.840 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 4.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.62% | ÷0.949 | ×0.940 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.50% | ÷1.057 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.61% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 96, 2B 86, 3B 90, K 107, BB 90 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .376 → .311; ISO .219 → .183; BABIP .243 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAANashville Sounds · 182 PAwOBA .323 → .251 (−71)K% 30.2% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.22% | ÷1.010 | ×1.200 | — | — | 35.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.58% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.018 | 12.35% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.73% | ÷0.983 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 22.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.23% | ÷0.973 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 2.66% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.970 | ×0.950 | ×1.018 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.45% | ÷1.111 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.018 | 4.14% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 122, 1B 97, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 102, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 27.2 → +1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .323 → .251; ISO .142 → .096; BABIP .292 → .258. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AAANashville Sounds · 373 PAwOBA .347 → .277 (−69)K% 35.1% → 42.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 35.12% | ÷0.983 | ×1.200 | — | — | 42.88% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.06% | ÷1.014 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.033 | 8.48% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.07% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×1.033 | 1.04% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.21% | ÷0.951 | ×0.930 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.84% | ÷1.010 | ×0.830 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 5.68% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.970 | ×0.978 | ×1.033 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.47% | ÷0.909 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.033 | 7.53% |
Factors used: league row International League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 82, 1B 90, 2B 102, 3B 130, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.978.
Result: wOBA .347 → .277; ISO .215 → .161; BABIP .343 → .319. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AABiloxi Shuckers · 52 PAwOBA .385 → .300 (−85)K% 25.0% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.00% | ÷0.994 | ×1.220 | — | — | 30.68% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.38% | ÷0.989 | ×0.680 | — | ×0.998 | 10.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷0.972 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 12.18% |
| Doubles /BIP | 12.90% | ÷0.971 | ×0.910 | — | ×0.998 | 12.07% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.68% | ÷1.198 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 6.45% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 140, 1B 94, 2B 94, 3B 80, K 99, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .385 → .300; ISO .295 → .218; BABIP .286 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AABiloxi Shuckers · 503 PAwOBA .386 → .304 (−82)K% 29.2% → 38.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.22% | ÷0.924 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.57% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.69% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.012 | 12.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.39% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.33% | ÷0.988 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 16.40% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.56% | ÷0.827 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 10.12% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | ×0.950 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.36% | ÷1.055 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 7.95% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 111, 1B 98, 2B 65, 3B 80, K 85, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .386 → .304; ISO .256 → .203; BABIP .306 → .283. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Wisconsin Timber Rattlers · 338 PAwOBA .338 → .261 (−78)K% 24.6% → 31.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.56% | ÷0.977 | ×1.270 | — | — | 31.93% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.86% | ÷0.944 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 12.66% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.37% | ÷1.083 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 13.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.049 | ×0.810 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 7.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.74% | ÷0.885 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.27% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 117, 2B 110, 3B 80, K 95, BB 89 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .338 → .261; ISO .168 → .136; BABIP .281 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AABiloxi Shuckers · 67 PAwOBA .369 → .291 (−78)K% 31.3% → 39.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.34% | ÷0.976 | ×1.220 | — | — | 39.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.45% | ÷1.027 | ×0.680 | — | ×1.027 | 7.11% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.840 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.05% | ÷1.060 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.027 | 18.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷0.973 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.027 | 5.06% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 13.16% | ÷1.012 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.027 | 10.69% |
Factors used: league row SL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 95, 3B 80, K 95, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .369 → .291; ISO .288 → .226; BABIP .294 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ACarolina Mudcats · 95 PAwOBA .379 → .296 (−84)K% 22.1% → 30.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.11% | ÷0.996 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 22.11% | ÷1.017 | ×0.690 | — | — | 14.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 3.28% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.89% | ÷0.990 | ×0.920 | ×0.986 | — | 13.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.38% | ÷1.177 | ×0.830 | ×0.986 | — | 4.44% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×0.986 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.51% | ÷0.974 | ×0.800 | — | — | 6.99% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 95, 1B 98, 2B 135, 3B 110, K 99, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.986.
Result: wOBA .379 → .296; ISO .221 → .183; BABIP .222 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .