Xavier Scruggs
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015 | 27 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 540 | .227/.332/.395 | 17 | 4 | 59 | — | .180/.263/.290 | |
| 2015 | 27 | MLBSTL | 43 | .262/.279/.310 | 0 | 1 | 65 | -1.2 | ||
| 2016 | 28 | AAANew Orleans Z… | 382 | .290/.409/.565 | 21 | 4 | 114 | — | .232/.323/.446 | |
| 2016 | 28 | MLBMIA | 69 | .210/.290/.306 | 1 | 0 | 79 | -0.8 | ||
| 2019 | 31 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 437 | .237/.341/.432 | 19 | 1 | 89 | — | .206/.288/.372 | |
| 2020 | 32 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2021 | 33 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2022 | 34 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2023 | 35 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2024 | 36 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2025 | 37 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
| 2026 | 38 | No MLB games played | ||||||||
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 154 | 129 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 295 | 409 | 527 | 936 | 233 | 392 | 28 | 15 | 412 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 122 | 110 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 36 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 245 | 320 | 518 | 838 | 273 | 288 | 30 | 8 | 365 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 357 | 316 | 85 | 18 | 1 | 13 | 30 | 107 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 269 | 347 | 456 | 803 | 187 | 362 | 30 | 8 | 354 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 471 | 411 | 107 | 27 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 125 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 345 | 494 | 839 | 234 | 317 | 27 | 8 | 364 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 522 | 452 | 106 | 26 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 150 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 235 | 333 | 442 | 776 | 208 | 297 | 29 | 11 | 344 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA | Springfield Cardinals | — | 546 | 448 | 111 | 18 | 1 | 29 | 82 | 177 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 248 | 378 | 487 | 865 | 239 | 335 | 32 | 15 | 381 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 267 | 600 | 67 | 375 | 39 | 11 | 290 | 82 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +0 | -1.3 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 538 | 472 | 135 | 29 | 3 | 21 | 53 | 114 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 286 | 371 | 494 | 865 | 208 | 336 | 21 | 10 | 381 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 122 | 105 | 27 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 257 | 355 | 476 | 832 | 219 | 301 | 23 | 11 | 365 | 133 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 43 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 279 | 310 | 589 | 48 | 344 | 23 | 0 | 266 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -10 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA | Memphis Redbirds | — | 449 | 383 | 91 | 22 | 1 | 14 | 54 | 103 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 238 | 344 | 410 | 754 | 172 | 285 | 23 | 12 | 337 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | INTL | Gigantes del Cibao | — | 91 | 80 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 175 | 275 | 325 | 600 | 150 | 186 | 20 | 10 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB | Miami Marlins | — | 69 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 290 | 306 | 596 | 97 | 293 | 29 | 7 | 276 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 382 | 317 | 92 | 24 | 0 | 21 | 58 | 90 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 290 | 409 | 565 | 974 | 274 | 343 | 24 | 15 | 424 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA | Leones de Yucatan | — | 243 | 210 | 55 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 23 | 64 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 262 | 362 | 471 | 834 | 210 | 326 | 26 | 9 | 371 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | INTL | Yaquis de Obregon | — | 194 | 165 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 206 | 314 | 382 | 696 | 176 | 241 | 27 | 11 | 311 | 97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals (raw MLB only — historical actual) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MLB Career | — | — | 130 | 119 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 303 | 595 | 76 | 321 | 28 | 5 | 275 | 72 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -31 | +3 | -3.4 | ||
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 154 | 136 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 318 | 390 | 708 | 162 | 357 | 38 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 122 | 113 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 204 | 262 | 407 | 669 | 204 | 261 | 36 | 6 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 357 | 326 | 64 | 15 | 1 | 10 | 20 | 155 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 260 | 340 | 600 | 144 | 320 | 43 | 6 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 471 | 421 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 181 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 276 | 385 | 661 | 183 | 287 | 38 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 522 | 471 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 179 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 191 | 266 | 329 | 595 | 138 | 266 | 34 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 546 | 476 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 20 | 54 | 209 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 193 | 292 | 351 | 642 | 158 | 279 | 38 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 18 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 333 | 267 | 600 | 67 | 375 | 39 | 11 | 289 | 82 | -0 | +0 | -1 | -12 | +0 | -1.3 |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 538 | 488 | 114 | 25 | 3 | 15 | 37 | 147 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 234 | 302 | 389 | 692 | 156 | 299 | 27 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | MLB MLE | St. Louis Cardinals | — | 43 | 42 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 262 | 279 | 310 | 589 | 48 | 344 | 23 | 0 | 264 | 65 | -2 | +0 | -0 | -10 | +1 | -1.2 |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | Memphis Redbirds | — | 449 | 400 | 72 | 18 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 137 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 180 | 263 | 290 | 553 | 110 | 243 | 31 | 8 | 251 | 56 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | MLB MLE | Miami Marlins | — | 69 | 62 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 290 | 306 | 596 | 97 | 293 | 29 | 7 | 284 | 79 | -2 | +0 | +0 | -8 | +1 | -0.8 |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | New Orleans Zephyrs | — | 382 | 336 | 78 | 21 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 113 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 232 | 323 | 446 | 769 | 214 | 293 | 30 | 10 | 337 | 114 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | Leones de Yucatan | — | 243 | 218 | 45 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 75 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 288 | 372 | 660 | 165 | 270 | 31 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 154 | 136 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 228 | 318 | 390 | 708 | 162 | 361 | 38 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A RAW | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 154 | 129 | 38 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 43 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 295 | 409 | 527 | 936 | 233 | 392 | 28 | 15 | 412 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 439 | 86 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 199 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 258 | 349 | 607 | 153 | 311 | 42 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 479 | 426 | 112 | 24 | 1 | 21 | 40 | 143 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 263 | 340 | 472 | 812 | 209 | 343 | 30 | 8 | 357 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 471 | 421 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 181 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 202 | 276 | 385 | 661 | 183 | 297 | 38 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ RAW | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 471 | 411 | 107 | 27 | 3 | 21 | 40 | 125 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 260 | 345 | 494 | 839 | 234 | 317 | 27 | 8 | 364 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 522 | 471 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 179 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 191 | 266 | 329 | 595 | 138 | 270 | 34 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 522 | 452 | 106 | 26 | 1 | 22 | 58 | 150 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 235 | 333 | 442 | 776 | 208 | 297 | 29 | 11 | 344 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 546 | 476 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 20 | 54 | 209 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 193 | 292 | 351 | 642 | 158 | 288 | 38 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA RAW | Springfield Cardinals | — | 546 | 448 | 111 | 18 | 1 | 29 | 82 | 177 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 248 | 378 | 487 | 865 | 239 | 335 | 32 | 15 | 381 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 678 | 614 | 143 | 32 | 3 | 19 | 47 | 188 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 233 | 302 | 388 | 690 | 155 | 302 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 678 | 592 | 165 | 38 | 3 | 26 | 69 | 149 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 279 | 367 | 485 | 852 | 206 | 331 | 22 | 10 | 376 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 583 | 524 | 99 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 175 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 189 | 266 | 296 | 562 | 107 | 259 | 30 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA RAW | 3 teams | — | 583 | 505 | 116 | 27 | 1 | 17 | 63 | 131 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 230 | 328 | 388 | 716 | 158 | 274 | 22 | 11 | 322 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 451 | 398 | 91 | 24 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 133 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 229 | 318 | 425 | 742 | 196 | 294 | 29 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 451 | 379 | 105 | 27 | 0 | 22 | 63 | 110 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 277 | 391 | 522 | 914 | 245 | 335 | 24 | 14 | 401 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 394 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 135 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 279 | 365 | 644 | 160 | 264 | 31 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA RAW | 2 teams | — | 437 | 375 | 89 | 14 | 1 | 19 | 45 | 116 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 237 | 341 | 432 | 773 | 195 | 288 | 27 | 10 | 345 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 21 | A MLE | Quad Cities River Bandits | — | 154 | 135 | 31 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 59 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 230 | 318 | 393 | 711 | 163 | 357 | 38 | 10 | 310 | 96 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 22 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 479 | 439 | 86 | 20 | 1 | 15 | 27 | 199 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 196 | 258 | 349 | 607 | 153 | 305 | 42 | 6 | 265 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2011 | 23 | A+ MLE | Palm Beach Cardinals | — | 471 | 425 | 85 | 22 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 181 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 200 | 276 | 381 | 657 | 181 | 287 | 38 | 6 | 287 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2012 | 24 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 522 | 469 | 90 | 21 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 179 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 192 | 266 | 330 | 596 | 139 | 266 | 34 | 7 | 261 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 25 | AA MLE | Springfield Cardinals | — | 546 | 475 | 92 | 13 | 1 | 20 | 54 | 209 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 194 | 292 | 352 | 643 | 158 | 279 | 38 | 10 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 26 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 678 | 612 | 143 | 32 | 3 | 19 | 47 | 188 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 234 | 302 | 389 | 691 | 155 | 301 | 28 | 7 | 301 | 90 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 27 | AAA MLE | 3 teams | — | 583 | 523 | 99 | 24 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 175 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 189 | 266 | 296 | 562 | 107 | 252 | 30 | 8 | 252 | 57 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 28 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 451 | 396 | 91 | 24 | 0 | 18 | 44 | 133 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 230 | 318 | 427 | 745 | 197 | 293 | 29 | 10 | 329 | 109 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 31 | AAA MLE | 2 teams | — | 437 | 394 | 81 | 13 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 135 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 206 | 279 | 365 | 644 | 160 | 270 | 31 | 6 | 290 | 82 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 130 | 119 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 37 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 303 | 595 | 76 | 321 | 28 | 5 | 275 | 78 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -31 | +3 | -3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 595 | 135 | 30 | 0 | 5 | 35 | 185 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 227 | 292 | 303 | 595 | 76 | 321 | 28 | 5 | 275 | 78 | -22 | +1 | -7 | -153 | +14 | -17.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 4321 | 3873 | 798 | 174 | 11 | 134 | 327 | 1458 | 93 | 42 | 27 | 206 | 284 | 360 | 644 | 154 | 288 | 34 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -4 | +0 | -1 | -31 | +3 | -3.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 583 | 120 | 26 | 2 | 20 | 49 | 219 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 206 | 283 | 360 | 643 | 154 | 287 | 34 | 8 | 284 | 78 | -22 | +1 | -7 | -153 | +14 | -17.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2019 AAALeones de Yucatan · 243 PAwOBA .360 → .290 (−70)K% 26.3% → 31.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.34% | ÷1.018 | ×1.200 | — | — | 31.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.05% | ÷0.986 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.952 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.12% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.952 | 3.68% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.29% | ÷0.992 | ×0.930 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 19.75% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.16% | ÷0.910 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 5.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.68% | ÷1.150 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×0.952 | 0.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.53% | ÷0.792 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.952 | 6.34% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 58, 1B 98, 2B 82, 3B 130, K 104, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 32 vs a level average of 27.2 → −4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .360 → .290; ISO .210 → .172; BABIP .326 → .270. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2016 AAANew Orleans Zephyrs · 382 PAwOBA .411 → .337 (−74)K% 23.6% → 29.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 23.56% | ÷1.027 | ×1.290 | — | — | 29.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.14% | ÷0.964 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.982 | 10.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.57% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.982 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.70% | ÷1.041 | ×0.900 | ×1.022 | ×0.982 | 17.95% |
| Doubles /BIP | 10.57% | ÷0.929 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×0.982 | 9.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.057 | ×0.810 | ×1.022 | ×0.982 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.25% | ÷0.919 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.982 | 7.71% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 108, 2B 86, 3B 111, K 105, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 29 vs a level average of 27.2 → −1.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.022.
Result: wOBA .411 → .337; ISO .274 → .229; BABIP .343 → .293. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 449 PAwOBA .331 → .251 (−80)K% 22.9% → 30.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.94% | ÷0.967 | ×1.290 | — | — | 30.59% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.80% | ÷1.013 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.992 | 8.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.78% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×0.992 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.29% | ÷1.030 | ×0.900 | ×1.009 | ×0.992 | 16.87% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.86% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×0.992 | 6.74% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.36% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.009 | ×0.992 | 0.32% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.00% | ÷1.224 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.992 | 3.16% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 145, 1B 106, 2B 89, 3B 80, K 93, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 28 vs a level average of 27.2 → −0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.
Result: wOBA .331 → .251; ISO .172 → .118; BABIP .285 → .243. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 AAAMemphis Redbirds · 538 PAwOBA .372 → .301 (−71)K% 21.2% → 27.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.19% | ÷0.997 | ×1.290 | — | — | 27.42% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.85% | ÷1.031 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.003 | 6.80% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.04% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.003 | 2.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.91% | ÷1.034 | ×0.900 | ×1.029 | ×1.003 | 20.58% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.10% | ÷0.917 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×1.003 | 7.39% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.900 | ×0.810 | ×1.029 | ×1.003 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.87% | ÷1.036 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.003 | 4.43% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 80, K 99, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 27 vs a level average of 27.2 → +0.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.029.
Result: wOBA .372 → .301; ISO .208 → .162; BABIP .336 → .299. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 AASpringfield Cardinals · 546 PAwOBA .372 → .283 (−90)K% 32.4% → 38.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.42% | ÷1.032 | ×1.220 | — | — | 38.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.65% | ÷1.030 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 9.83% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.20% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 1.89% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.25% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 21.24% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.64% | ÷1.184 | ×0.840 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 4.64% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.37% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | ×0.996 | ×0.988 | 0.30% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.70% | ÷1.143 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 7.40% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 129, 1B 98, 2B 137, 3B 130, K 106, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .372 → .283; ISO .239 → .167; BABIP .335 → .279. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2012 AASpringfield Cardinals · 522 PAwOBA .337 → .261 (−75)K% 28.7% → 34.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 28.74% | ÷1.025 | ×1.220 | — | — | 34.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.11% | ÷1.043 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.72% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 1.50% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.87% | ÷1.003 | ×0.920 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 18.06% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷1.054 | ×0.840 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 7.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.33% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.045 | ×0.998 | 0.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.28% | ÷1.238 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 4.70% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 148, 1B 101, 2B 111, 3B 80, K 105, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.045.
Result: wOBA .337 → .261; ISO .208 → .144; BABIP .297 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2011 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 471 PAwOBA .358 → .287 (−71)K% 26.5% → 38.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.54% | ÷0.978 | ×1.420 | — | — | 38.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.28% | ÷0.975 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.988 | 6.29% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.76% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.988 | 2.54% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.58% | ÷1.006 | ×0.920 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 17.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.44% | ÷1.013 | ×0.960 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 8.89% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.05% | ÷1.150 | ×0.810 | ×1.006 | ×0.988 | 0.73% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.34% | ÷0.914 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.988 | 6.99% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 83, 1B 101, 2B 103, 3B 130, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.006.
Result: wOBA .358 → .287; ISO .234 → .189; BABIP .317 → .287. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 A+Palm Beach Cardinals · 357 PAwOBA .346 → .261 (−85)K% 30.0% → 43.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.97% | ÷0.978 | ×1.420 | — | — | 43.52% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.84% | ÷1.045 | ×0.750 | — | ×0.998 | 5.62% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.24% | — | ×0.930 | — | ×0.998 | 2.08% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.36% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 21.83% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.61% | ÷0.928 | ×0.960 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 8.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.48% | ÷0.934 | ×0.810 | ×0.966 | ×0.998 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.22% | ÷0.984 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 5.55% |
Factors used: league row FSL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 106, 2B 86, 3B 87, K 96, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .346 → .261; ISO .187 → .144; BABIP .362 → .320. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .