Jhonny Severino
3B Greensboro Grasshoppers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19 | A/ROKPIT | 343 | .271/.346/.528 | 16 | 16 | 72 | — | .198/.255/.380 |
| 2025 | 20 | APIT | 468 | .215/.280/.359 | 11 | 10 | 32 | — | .171/.221/.282 |
| 2026 | 21 | A+/INTL2 orgs | 521 | .253/.317/.507 | 32 | 17 | 77 | — | .204/.241/.424 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 22 | MLBPIT | 1 | .197/.239/.364 | 0 | 0 | 68 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ25% MLB | 23 | MLBPIT | 110 | .202/.246/.373 | 4 | 2 | 73 | -0.1 | |
| 2029PROJ36% MLB | 24 | MLBPIT | 176 | .206/.252/.379 | 7 | 3 | 77 | -0.0 |
Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 198 | 179 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 268 | 335 | 391 | 726 | 123 | 369 | 28 | 7 | 326 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 63 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 259 | 306 | 586 | 893 | 328 | 233 | 17 | 3 | 378 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 123 | 114 | 27 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 237 | 287 | 500 | 787 | 263 | 292 | 30 | 7 | 337 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK | FCL Pirates | — | 220 | 189 | 55 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 291 | 380 | 545 | 925 | 254 | 304 | 16 | 12 | 396 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A | Bradenton Marauders | — | 468 | 423 | 91 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 118 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 215 | 280 | 359 | 639 | 144 | 268 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 474 | 433 | 111 | 23 | 0 | 31 | 33 | 105 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 256 | 312 | 524 | 836 | 268 | 264 | 22 | 7 | 359 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | INTL | Glendale Desert Dogs | — | 47 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 211 | 362 | 316 | 677 | 105 | 280 | 26 | 19 | 321 | 103 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 198 | 183 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 70 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 158 | 218 | 219 | 437 | 60 | 241 | 35 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 63 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 186 | 226 | 441 | 666 | 254 | 178 | 27 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 123 | 116 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 172 | 213 | 345 | 558 | 172 | 261 | 42 | 5 | 241 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 220 | 198 | 42 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 49 | 1 | 12 | 3 | 212 | 278 | 399 | 677 | 187 | 228 | 22 | 8 | 294 | 85 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 468 | 433 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 161 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 171 | 221 | 282 | 503 | 111 | 232 | 34 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | Greensboro Grasshoppers | — | 474 | 446 | 91 | 17 | 0 | 27 | 20 | 137 | 2 | 16 | 4 | 204 | 241 | 424 | 665 | 220 | 215 | 29 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 198 | 183 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 70 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 158 | 218 | 219 | 437 | 60 | 248 | 35 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 198 | 179 | 48 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 268 | 335 | 391 | 726 | 123 | 369 | 28 | 7 | 326 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 63 | 59 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 186 | 226 | 441 | 666 | 254 | 179 | 27 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Pirates | — | 63 | 58 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 259 | 306 | 586 | 893 | 328 | 233 | 17 | 3 | 378 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 315 | 62 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 100 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 197 | 251 | 378 | 629 | 181 | 240 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 343 | 303 | 82 | 18 | 6 | 16 | 34 | 72 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 271 | 346 | 528 | 874 | 257 | 300 | 21 | 10 | 375 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 468 | 433 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 161 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 171 | 221 | 282 | 503 | 111 | 243 | 34 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A RAW | Bradenton Marauders | — | 468 | 423 | 91 | 24 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 118 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 215 | 280 | 359 | 639 | 144 | 268 | 25 | 7 | 283 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 491 | 99 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 22 | 151 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 202 | 239 | 418 | 656 | 216 | 221 | 29 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 521 | 471 | 119 | 24 | 0 | 32 | 42 | 117 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 253 | 317 | 507 | 824 | 255 | 265 | 22 | 8 | 355 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Brewers 1 | — | 198 | 182 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 70 | 4 | 10 | 1 | 159 | 218 | 220 | 438 | 60 | 241 | 35 | 5 | 195 | 18 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Pirates | — | 63 | 60 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 183 | 226 | 433 | 659 | 250 | 178 | 27 | 2 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 317 | 62 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 100 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 196 | 251 | 375 | 627 | 180 | 240 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 468 | 437 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 161 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 169 | 221 | 279 | 500 | 110 | 232 | 34 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 492 | 99 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 22 | 151 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 201 | 239 | 417 | 656 | 215 | 215 | 29 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 317 | 62 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 100 | 1 | 16 | 4 | 196 | 251 | 375 | 627 | 180 | 240 | 29 | 6 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 20 | A MLE | Bradenton Marauders | — | 468 | 437 | 74 | 17 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 161 | 6 | 10 | 8 | 169 | 221 | 279 | 500 | 110 | 232 | 34 | 5 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 21 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 521 | 492 | 99 | 19 | 0 | 29 | 22 | 151 | 2 | 17 | 4 | 201 | 239 | 417 | 656 | 215 | 215 | 29 | 4 | 278 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB MLE | PIT | 0% | 584 | 550 | 109 | 22 | 2 | 23 | 26 | 167 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 199 | 241 | 374 | 614 | 174 | 237 | 29 | 4 | 269 | 68 | -22 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +13 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 22 | MLB CTX | PIT | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 197 | 239 | 364 | 603 | 167 | 237 | 0 | 0 | 265 | 68 | -0 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 23 | MLB MLE | PIT | 25% | 436 | 409 | 84 | 17 | 1 | 18 | 21 | 121 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 204 | 248 | 383 | 631 | 179 | 240 | 28 | 5 | 277 | 73 | -14 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +9 | -0.3 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB MLE | PIT | 36% | 483 | 452 | 94 | 18 | 2 | 20 | 25 | 132 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 208 | 254 | 390 | 643 | 182 | 244 | 27 | 5 | 282 | 77 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +10 | -0.1 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB MLE | PIT | 43% | 528 | 492 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 22 | 28 | 143 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 210 | 258 | 393 | 651 | 182 | 246 | 27 | 5 | 285 | 79 | -13 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +11 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB MLE | PIT | 47% | 543 | 504 | 107 | 21 | 2 | 22 | 30 | 145 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 212 | 261 | 393 | 655 | 181 | 248 | 27 | 6 | 287 | 81 | -13 | +0 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB MLE | PIT | 48% | 546 | 506 | 108 | 21 | 2 | 22 | 31 | 146 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 213 | 264 | 392 | 655 | 179 | 250 | 27 | 6 | 288 | 81 | -12 | +1 | -1 | +2 | +12 | 0.1 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB MLE | PIT | 48% | 542 | 503 | 106 | 21 | 2 | 21 | 31 | 146 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 211 | 262 | 387 | 649 | 176 | 249 | 27 | 6 | 285 | 79 | -13 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB MLE | PIT | 48% | 531 | 493 | 104 | 20 | 2 | 21 | 30 | 144 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 209 | 259 | 382 | 641 | 173 | 248 | 27 | 6 | 282 | 77 | -15 | -0 | -2 | +2 | +12 | -0.4 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB MLE | PIT | 47% | 518 | 481 | 100 | 20 | 1 | 20 | 29 | 143 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 206 | 256 | 375 | 630 | 168 | 247 | 28 | 6 | 278 | 74 | -16 | -0 | -3 | +2 | +11 | -0.6 |
| 2028 | 23 | MLB CTX | PIT | 25% | 110 | 103 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 202 | 246 | 373 | 619 | 171 | 241 | 28 | 5 | 272 | 73 | -3 | +0 | -0 | +0 | +2 | -0.1 |
| 2029 | 24 | MLB CTX | PIT | 36% | 176 | 164 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 48 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 206 | 252 | 379 | 631 | 173 | 244 | 27 | 5 | 277 | 77 | -5 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +4 | -0.0 |
| 2030 | 25 | MLB CTX | PIT | 43% | 226 | 211 | 44 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 208 | 256 | 382 | 639 | 174 | 247 | 27 | 5 | 281 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2031 | 26 | MLB CTX | PIT | 47% | 253 | 235 | 50 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 14 | 68 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 210 | 259 | 383 | 643 | 173 | 249 | 27 | 6 | 283 | 81 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +5 | 0.0 |
| 2032 | 27 | MLB CTX | PIT | 48% | 260 | 241 | 52 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 69 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 211 | 262 | 382 | 643 | 171 | 251 | 27 | 6 | 283 | 81 | -6 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +6 | 0.0 |
| 2033 | 28 | MLB CTX | PIT | 48% | 261 | 242 | 51 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 70 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 209 | 260 | 378 | 637 | 168 | 250 | 27 | 6 | 281 | 79 | -6 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +6 | -0.1 |
| 2034 | 29 | MLB CTX | PIT | 48% | 252 | 235 | 49 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 69 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 207 | 257 | 372 | 629 | 165 | 249 | 27 | 6 | 277 | 77 | -7 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -0.2 |
| 2035 | 30 | MLB CTX | PIT | 47% | 244 | 227 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 14 | 67 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 204 | 254 | 365 | 619 | 161 | 247 | 27 | 6 | 273 | 74 | -8 | +0 | -1 | +1 | +5 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 1782 | 1658 | 348 | 71 | 7 | 68 | 98 | 483 | 11 | 26 | 11 | 210 | 259 | 384 | 643 | 174 | 251 | 27 | 5 | 279 | 71 | -47 | +1 | -5 | +6 | +39 | -0.6 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 605 | 128 | 26 | 3 | 25 | 36 | 176 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 212 | 261 | 388 | 649 | 177 | 253 | 27 | 6 | 279 | 71 | -17 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 5930 | 5519 | 1121 | 222 | 23 | 229 | 311 | 1679 | 42 | 125 | 42 | 203 | 251 | 376 | 627 | 173 | 244 | 28 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -117 | +3 | -12 | +15 | +94 | -1.7 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 605 | 123 | 24 | 3 | 25 | 34 | 184 | 5 | 14 | 5 | 203 | 252 | 377 | 628 | 174 | 245 | 28 | 5 | 273 | 71 | -18 | +0 | -2 | +2 | +14 | -0.2 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 A+Greensboro Grasshoppers · 474 PAwOBA .353 → .278 (−75)K% 22.2% → 29.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.15% | ÷1.000 | ×1.310 | — | — | 29.02% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 4.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.42% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.38% | ÷1.000 | ×0.870 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 14.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.01% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 5.35% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.850 | ×0.966 | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 8.42% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.
Result: wOBA .353 → .278; ISO .268 → .222; BABIP .264 → .215. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ABradenton Marauders · 468 PAwOBA .278 → .215 (−63)K% 25.2% → 34.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 25.21% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 34.30% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.84% | ÷1.052 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 4.55% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.28% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.01% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.70% | ÷0.993 | ×0.920 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 16.20% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.87% | ÷1.084 | ×0.830 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 5.95% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.66% | ÷0.952 | ×0.910 | ×0.974 | ×1.015 | 0.62% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.61% | ÷0.932 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 3.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 86, 1B 99, 2B 117, 3B 90, K 100, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.
Result: wOBA .278 → .215; ISO .144 → .111; BABIP .268 → .232. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Pirates · 220 PAwOBA .392 → .294 (−98)K% 15.9% → 22.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.91% | ÷1.032 | ×1.440 | — | — | 22.21% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.82% | ÷0.964 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 7.56% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.45% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.33% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.48% | ÷1.003 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 15.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷0.917 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 5.78% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.95% | ÷0.978 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.49% | ÷0.921 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 5.47% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 101, 2B 83, 3B 96, K 106, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .392 → .294; ISO .254 → .203; BABIP .304 → .228. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ABradenton Marauders · 123 PAwOBA .330 → .241 (−89)K% 30.1% → 42.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.08% | ÷0.975 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.95% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 6.50% | ÷1.010 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 4.58% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 15.58% | ÷0.977 | ×0.920 | ×1.014 | ×1.030 | 15.33% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.124 | ×0.830 | ×1.014 | ×1.030 | 6.01% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.90% | ÷1.052 | ×0.910 | ×1.014 | ×1.030 | 3.52% |
| Home runs /BIP | 7.79% | ÷1.046 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 6.14% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 95, 2B 125, 3B 110, K 95, BB 102 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.
Result: wOBA .330 → .241; ISO .263 → .182; BABIP .292 → .261. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Pirates · 63 PAwOBA .372 → .276 (−96)K% 17.5% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.46% | ÷0.949 | ×1.440 | — | — | 26.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.17% | ÷1.002 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 1.98% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.17% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.30% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.89% | ÷0.984 | ×0.820 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 12.13% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.26% | ÷1.026 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 2.92% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.13% | ÷0.966 | ×0.720 | ×0.970 | ×1.008 | 1.55% |
| Home runs /BIP | 10.64% | ÷0.925 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 9.04% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 97, 2B 105, 3B 93, K 90, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.970.
Result: wOBA .372 → .276; ISO .328 → .249; BABIP .233 → .178. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 DSLDSL Brewers 1 · 198 PAwOBA .319 → .195 (−124)K% 27.8% → 35.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.78% | ÷0.962 | ×1.220 | — | — | 35.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.07% | ÷0.986 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 5.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.02% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.42% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.61% | ÷0.998 | ×0.680 | ×0.993 | ×1.008 | 18.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.87% | ÷0.989 | ×0.600 | ×0.993 | ×1.008 | 5.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷0.900 | ×0.600 | ×0.993 | ×1.008 | 0.54% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.42% | ÷1.116 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 1.03% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 100, 2B 98, 3B 80, K 92, BB 97 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.993.
Result: wOBA .319 → .195; ISO .123 → .061; BABIP .369 → .241. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .