Jhonny Severino — OGILVIE

Jhonny SeverinoSS Greensboro Grasshoppers

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 185 lbs A+ Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035

2026 ROS PROJECTION311 act + 207 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .239 / .374

PA207

HR8

SB6

K%30

BB%4

BABIP247

ISO174

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT30

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$9M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$9M	+$8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Arb-1	$3M	+1.5	$7M	+$6M
2034	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$6M	+$4M
2035	Arb-3	$5M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$44M	+$36M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	198	184	32	7	1	2	9	86	4	10	1	174	228	255	484	82	309	43	5	202	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	198	179	48	11	1	3	14	55	4	10	1	268	335	391	726	123	369	28	7	326	108	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	63	59	11	1	1	4	1	18	2	7	0	186	226	441	666	254	184	29	2	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	63	58	15	2	1	5	2	11	2	7	0	259	306	586	893	328	233	17	3	378	147	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	343	314	64	14	4	13	23	103	1	16	4	204	260	398	658	194	251	30	7	281	73	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	2 teams	—	343	303	82	18	6	16	34	72	1	16	4	271	346	528	874	257	300	21	10	375	145	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	468	433	73	17	2	10	22	168	6	10	8	169	219	286	505	118	243	36	5	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	468	423	91	24	2	11	32	118	6	10	8	215	280	359	639	144	268	25	7	283	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	311	294	61	12	0	17	12	96	1	12	1	207	241	422	663	214	238	31	4	280	72	-10	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.5
YTD	21	A+	PIT	—	311	287	76	16	0	22	19	72	1	12	1	265	313	551	863	286	274	23	6	369	140	+14	+2	+0	+3	+9	2.9
ROS	21	A+	PIT	0%	207	195	39	8	1	8	9	63	1	6	1	200	239	374	612	174	240	30	4	269	64	-8	+1	+0	+2	+6	0.0
ROS	21	MLB	PIT	0%	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						238	0	0	263	60	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
FULL	21	A+	PIT	—	312	295	61	12	0	17	12	96	1	12	1	207	240	420	661	214	237	31	4	280	72	-10	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.5
TOT	21	A+	PIT	—	518	489	100	20	1	25	21	159	2	18	2	204	240	403	643	198	242	31	4	276	69	-18	+3	+0	+6	+15	0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	537	503	103	21	2	22	26	158	3	11	2	205	248	386	634	181	247	29	5	279	71	-17	+1	+0	+6	+15	0.5
2028	23	MLB	PIT	49%	581	541	114	23	2	25	31	165	4	12	3	211	259	399	658	189	251	28	5	287	78	-14	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.0
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	609	566	121	24	2	26	34	169	4	13	3	214	263	401	664	187	254	28	6	293	83	-12	+1	+0	+7	+17	1.3
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	626	581	125	25	2	27	36	172	4	13	3	215	266	404	670	189	255	27	6	296	85	-11	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	633	587	127	25	2	28	37	174	4	13	3	216	268	409	676	193	255	27	6	298	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	633	586	127	25	2	28	38	174	4	13	3	217	269	410	679	193	255	27	6	298	86	-10	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.6
2033	28	MLB	PIT	55%	628	581	125	25	2	27	38	174	4	13	3	215	268	404	673	189	254	28	6	297	85	-10	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.5
2034	29	MLB	PIT	58%	618	571	122	24	2	27	38	172	4	12	3	214	268	405	672	191	254	28	6	295	84	-11	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.3
2035	30	MLB	PIT	60%	608	562	120	24	2	26	37	171	4	10	2	214	267	402	669	189	253	28	6	293	82	-12	+1	-2	+7	+17	1.1
2036	31	MLB	PIT	62%	594	549	116	23	2	25	36	169	4	9	2	211	265	397	662	186	251	28	6	289	79	-14	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.8
2027	22	MLB	PIT	35%	186	174	36	7	1	8	9	55	1	4	1	207	250	397	647	190	245	30	5	273	67	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.1
2028	23	MLB	PIT	49%	282	263	55	11	1	12	15	80	2	6	1	209	257	395	653	186	250	28	5	281	73	-8	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.3
2029	24	MLB	PIT	53%	321	298	64	13	1	14	18	89	2	7	1	215	264	406	670	191	253	28	6	287	78	-8	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.6
2030	25	MLB	PIT	55%	343	318	69	14	1	15	20	94	2	7	2	217	268	409	676	192	254	27	6	290	80	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.6
2031	26	MLB	PIT	56%	352	325	70	14	1	15	21	97	3	7	2	215	269	403	672	188	254	28	6	291	81	-8	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2032	27	MLB	PIT	55%	348	322	69	14	1	15	21	96	2	7	2	214	267	404	670	189	253	28	6	291	81	-7	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.7
2033	28	MLB	PIT	55%	343	317	68	14	1	15	21	95	2	7	1	215	268	407	675	192	253	28	6	290	80	-8	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.7
2034	29	MLB	PIT	58%	358	331	70	14	1	15	22	100	2	7	1	211	265	396	661	184	252	28	6	289	79	-8	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.6
2035	30	MLB	PIT	60%	366	338	72	14	1	16	23	103	2	6	1	213	267	402	670	189	251	28	6	286	77	-9	+1	-1	+4	+10	0.5
2036	31	MLB	PIT	62%	366	339	70	14	1	15	22	104	2	5	1	206	259	386	645	180	249	28	6	283	75	-11	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3266	3026	643	129	10	140	192	913	20	63	13	212	264	401	665	188	253	28	6	287	78	-82	+7	-4	+35	+93	5.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	602	128	26	2	28	38	182	4	13	3	213	264	402	666	189	253	28	6	287	78	-16	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7346	6812	1419	286	29	298	415	2136	53	168	41	208	259	390	649	182	254	29	6	284	76	-202	+17	-7	+79	+208	9.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	603	125	25	3	26	37	189	5	15	4	207	259	388	647	181	253	29	6	284	76	-18	+1	-1	+7	+18	0.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Brewers 1	—	198	179	48	11	1	3	14	55	4	10	1	268	335	391	726	123	369	28	7	326	108	+2	+2	—	—	+6	0.9
2023	18	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	63	58	15	2	1	5	2	11	2	7	0	259	306	586	893	328	233	17	3	378	147	+3	+1	—	—	+2	0.7
2024	19	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	123	114	27	6	3	6	8	37	0	4	1	237	287	500	787	263	292	30	7	337	116	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.6
2024	19	ROK	FCL Pirates	—	220	189	55	12	3	10	26	35	1	12	3	291	380	545	925	254	304	16	12	396	161	+15	+1	—	—	+6	2.3
2025	20	A	Bradenton Marauders	—	468	423	91	24	2	11	32	118	6	10	8	215	280	359	639	144	268	25	7	283	75	-13	-1	—	—	+13	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Rougned Odorlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,424 PA	10	4,424	178	70	230	288	422	+16	+32	15.2	15.0
	/162	664	27	11	230	288	422	+2.4	+4.9	2.3	pk7: 15
#4Khalil Greenelast yr '09 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,835 PA	7	2,835	90	25	245	302	422	+30	+14	13.0	13.0
	/162	664	21	6	245	302	422	+7.1	+3.2	3.0	pk7: 13
#5Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	3,267	141	64	215	263	405	+35	+15	6.8	6.2
	/162	664	29	13	215	263	405	+7.1	+3.0	1.4	pk7: 6
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhonny Severino (OGILVIE)	21	30	35	45	25	204/240/403	198	242	25	18	31%	4%	69	+0.5	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Luis Hidalgo 2017 · A	21	37	44→45	47→45	43	190/252/303	113	229	13	12	24%	6%	51	-1.7	224/274/348	124	267	13	8	21%	5%	72	-0.2	259/302/380	121	288	12	8	14%	4%	89	+0.4
✕Johan Mieses 2017 · A	22	35→33	53→55	44→50	35	195/242/365	170	267	21	8	36%	5%	63	-0.8	181/230/331	150	256	20	4	37%	5%	50	-1.8	195/270/377	182	237	27	7	30%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Marcus Greene Jr. 2017 · A	22	34	47→50	44→40	39	181/246/309	128	264	15	5	36%	7%	50	-1.7	207/262/323	116	285	12	4	30%	6%	60	-1.0	206/261/314	108	276	12	2	29%	6%	55	-0.6
✕Sherten Apostel 2020 · A	21	37→32	46→45	45→40	44	190/265/313	123	268	14	4	33%	8%	59	-1.1	202/264/327	125	311	14	4	37%	7%	63	-0.9	207/265/346	139	315	16	0	38%	6%	65	-0.3
✕Brayan Buelvas 2023 · A	21	35→40	46→50	50→55	39	186/245/315	128	247	14	13	30%	6%	51	-1.7	189/251/309	120	275	12	18	34%	7%	52	-1.6	182/244/294	112	275	11	14	36%	7%	42	-1.3
✕Iverson Leonardo 2023 · A	21	37	44→50	49→50	39	187/256/305	118	276	12	9	35%	7%	54	-1.4	197/279/292	95	352	7	8	42%	9%	60	-1.0	146/272/221	75	359	3	4	52%	12%	39	-0.5
✕Ronny Rodríguez 2013 · A	21	38→48	50→55	45→50	34	206/232/358	153	257	18	7	29%	3%	56	-1.3	214/240/338	124	269	13	8	25%	3%	53	-1.5	256/283/425	169	304	22	13	23%	3%	93	+1.0
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2010 · A	21	33	41→45	40→50	41	166/249/256	90	260	9	8	37%	8%	39	-2.5	197/273/307	110	309	10	5	36%	8%	61	-1.0	204/303/338	134	292	14	2	32%	11%	83	+0.2
✕Alexfri Planez 2023 · A	21	38→35	49→50	50→45	32	202/232/343	141	278	18	8	34%	3%	53	-1.5	200/234/336	136	291	17	7	36%	3%	52	-1.6	178/207/315	138	256	20	3	39%	3%	31	-2.1
✕Rodolfo Castro 2021 · A	22	37→40	47→55	46→50	35	194/234/331	137	275	15	6	35%	5%	50	-1.7	211/266/374	163	279	20	8	31%	6%	76	+0.0	205/272/358	153	266	19	11	30%	7%	72	-0.2
✕Audry Pérez 2011 · A	22	42	49→40	48→40	39	219/253/366	147	258	18	5	24%	4%	67	-0.5	221/242/326	105	261	11	2	20%	2%	51	-1.7	252/283/380	127	290	17	0	20%	3%	80	+0.1
✕Yu Chang 2018 · AA	22	36→46	50	49→45	38	193/249/349	157	265	18	9	34%	6%	63	-0.9	212/270/345	133	295	14	7	31%	6%	69	-0.4	215/275/364	149	282	17	4	29%	7%	75	-0.0
✕Sean Coyle 2014 · A	22	35→34	49→50	54→50	36	188/246/332	144	269	17	14	36%	6%	56	-1.3	199/257/342	143	302	18	13	38%	6%	63	-0.8	180/243/309	129	278	16	12	39%	7%	46	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Bryan Ramos 2023 · AA	21	41→43	49→50	46→50	42	216/273/357	141	268	18	5	27%	6%	74	-0.1	203/265/334	131	261	16	8	28%	6%	65	-0.7	183/252/305	121	235	15	10	28%	7%	49	-1.3
✕Roidany Aguila 2012 · A	21	38→41	46→50	46→30	38	197/245/326	129	260	15	6	30%	5%	54	-1.4	203/240/324	121	270	14	3	30%	4%	51	-1.7	196/229/316	120	257	14	0	30%	3%	42	-1.4
✕Kendall Simmons 2023 · A	23	36	47→50	49→50	38	189/255/325	136	272	15	10	35%	6%	59	-1.1	206/270/351	145	304	16	9	36%	6%	72	-0.2	198/264/347	149	294	17	7	37%	6%	65	-0.2
✕Alexander Canario 2022 · A	22	36→34	50→60	50	35	193/236/341	148	280	19	14	38%	5%	54	-1.4	209/272/403	194	297	25	14	37%	7%	86	+0.8	205/276/414	209	281	28	13	37%	8%	87	+0.5
✕Kyle Martin 2008 · A	23	38	48→55	48→45	38	199/242/338	139	246	16	6	27%	4%	56	-1.3	209/259/330	121	269	12	6	26%	5%	60	-1.0	203/255/323	120	257	13	5	26%	5%	54	-0.4
✕Tyler Kolodny 2010 · A	22	40→36	43→45	49→50	41	200/271/316	116	273	11	8	30%	6%	63	-0.9	212/286/347	135	281	14	10	29%	6%	78	+0.2	214/295/369	155	271	17	10	26%	6%	84	+0.2